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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    STRAIGHT FROM MOON PALACE SPORTSBOOK --- LETS GET FIRED UP FOR SOME MNF!

    123 ... 678 Next Last»
    keith.line
    schboy23
    jayjordan21
    wil168
    Laroja
    ...
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    123 ... 678 Next Last»
     
    keith.line
    keith.line
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    Posts: 2936
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:17 PM ET #1

    CLICK THEN READ.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R044sleOW6I 

     

    MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

     

    I had an awesome write-up for this game but the formatting didn’t work, post came out blank and I went from fired up to mad as hell so I am going to be much more blunt and to the point in this one.

    Hopefully everyone had as much fun as I did yesterday. It was great to the see the info I have is reliable and continually winning. I nailed that San Fran game and had it the entire way which is why I made it the biggest play of the season. Most of you won with Washington but I ended up with a push at the end of the day. After a day like that I am very excited to get back into it and with this game tonight I am even more fired up to continue the winning streak. I rarely ever see the public more one sided on an under then I have tonight. What shocks me even more is this is a Monday night game. Let’s get this straight right now because I see it posted on here every single day. The consensus you see on Covers scoreboard is NOT how much money is bet on games, it is how many people have picked each side in the FREE CONTESTS. Now this might give you an idea of who is picking who, but it relates absolutely nothing in regards to the books and the actual public consensus. Sportsbooks don’t want the side with the most people on it to lose; they want the side with the most money to lose. If we look at the consensus on Covers along with about 8 other consensus websites we see anywhere from 54-60% backing the over. However the truth is its nearly 2.4:1 on the under in regards to money. From the wagers I processed today along with four other tellers and all bets throughout the week, it has been nearly 50/50 betting volume but the money has been 70/30 in favor of the under. Now considering the line has been 44 -110 for both sides THE ENTIRE WEEK it is telling you the book is just fine accepting the action on the under at 44. Now what more people don’t know is 44 is in ways a key number for totals in the NFL as a 21-21 score anytime this game gets you a winning ticket. Everyone is saying the clock is going to be moving to quick to score that many points. Not only is the clock going to be moving quickly, the offenses are going to be moving at quite a busy pace as well. Tonight’s game has the 21st and 30th ranked defense going against a very capable offense (Tennessee) and an offense that is talented playing behind their entire city (Jacksonville). You have got to be joking if you’re telling me this one is not going to get to 21-21. It’s going to 7-7 through the first quarter, 14-14 at the half. 21-17 at the end of the third quarter and then 28-17 with about 9:00 to go in the fourth quarter. The reason I say this is because rarely do you see a push on back to back primetime games especially in the NFL. Last night’s game was played on the 3’s and 7’s, tonight’s game is going to be played on the 4’s and 11’s which bodes well for this number of 44 too putting the likely finishing total at 45 or 48 or 52 (28-17 or 28-20 or 28-24). Either way this one is sailing well over the total.

    $550/$500 OVER 44

     

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    CLICK THEN READ.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R044sleOW6I 

     

    MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

     

    I had an awesome write-up for this game but the formatting didn’t work, post came out blank and I went from fired up to mad as hell so I am going to be much more blunt and to the point in this one.

    Hopefully everyone had as much fun as I did yesterday. It was great to the see the info I have is reliable and continually winning. I nailed that San Fran game and had it the entire way which is why I made it the biggest play of the season. Most of you won with Washington but I ended up with a push at the end of the day. After a day like that I am very excited to get back into it and with this game tonight I am even more fired up to continue the winning streak. I rarely ever see the public more one sided on an under then I have tonight. What shocks me even more is this is a Monday night game. Let’s get this straight right now because I see it posted on here every single day. The consensus you see on Covers scoreboard is NOT how much money is bet on games, it is how many people have picked each side in the FREE CONTESTS. Now this might give you an idea of who is picking who, but it relates absolutely nothing in regards to the books and the actual public consensus. Sportsbooks don’t want the side with the most people on it to lose; they want the side with the most money to lose. If we look at the consensus on Covers along with about 8 other consensus websites we see anywhere from 54-60% backing the over. However the truth is its nearly 2.4:1 on the under in regards to money. From the wagers I processed today along with four other tellers and all bets throughout the week, it has been nearly 50/50 betting volume but the money has been 70/30 in favor of the under. Now considering the line has been 44 -110 for both sides THE ENTIRE WEEK it is telling you the book is just fine accepting the action on the under at 44. Now what more people don’t know is 44 is in ways a key number for totals in the NFL as a 21-21 score anytime this game gets you a winning ticket. Everyone is saying the clock is going to be moving to quick to score that many points. Not only is the clock going to be moving quickly, the offenses are going to be moving at quite a busy pace as well. Tonight’s game has the 21st and 30th ranked defense going against a very capable offense (Tennessee) and an offense that is talented playing behind their entire city (Jacksonville). You have got to be joking if you’re telling me this one is not going to get to 21-21. It’s going to 7-7 through the first quarter, 14-14 at the half. 21-17 at the end of the third quarter and then 28-17 with about 9:00 to go in the fourth quarter. The reason I say this is because rarely do you see a push on back to back primetime games especially in the NFL. Last night’s game was played on the 3’s and 7’s, tonight’s game is going to be played on the 4’s and 11’s which bodes well for this number of 44 too putting the likely finishing total at 45 or 48 or 52 (28-17 or 28-20 or 28-24). Either way this one is sailing well over the total.

    $550/$500 OVER 44

     

     

     
    keith.line
    keith.line
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    Posts: 2936
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:18 PM ET #2

    It almost worked. What needs to be there is there. See you guys at the half.

    Reply

    It almost worked. What needs to be there is there. See you guys at the half.

     
    schboy23
    schboy23
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    Posts: 297
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:19 PM ET #3

    Reply
     
    jayjordan21
    jayjordan21
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    Posts: 51
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:21 PM ET #4

    Great write-up Keith...Im with you all the way...Good Luck!!!
    Reply
    Great write-up Keith...Im with you all the way...Good Luck!!!
     
    wil168
    wil168
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:22 PM ET #5

    GL keith.. and thanks for the write up..
    Reply
    GL keith.. and thanks for the write up..
     
    Laroja
    Laroja
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:22 PM ET #6

    over =]
    Reply
    over =]
     
    jayweb03
    jayweb03
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:22 PM ET #7

    I'm tailing you tonight. No sides tonight?

    How about the ALCS game? You have a play on that?
    Reply
    I'm tailing you tonight. No sides tonight?

    How about the ALCS game? You have a play on that?
     
    pokey11
    pokey11
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:23 PM ET #8

    Reply
     
    ufce98
    ufce98
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:23 PM ET #9

    Great write up and info again. Thanks KL.

     

    Reply

    Great write up and info again. Thanks KL.

     

     
    charizmattik
    charizmattik
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    Posts: 41
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:24 PM ET #10

    Loving the pick. Thought you were going to have another huge parlay for us, but i'd rather stick with the better play. Let's get that money! 
    Reply
    Loving the pick. Thought you were going to have another huge parlay for us, but i'd rather stick with the better play. Let's get that money! 
     
    Crashdavis565
    Crashdavis565
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:24 PM ET #11

    how bout the sides bro?

    there has to be a ton on Tenn why no pick here?

    thanks for all you do

    Crash

    Reply

    how bout the sides bro?

    there has to be a ton on Tenn why no pick here?

    thanks for all you do

    Crash

     
    more4us
    more4us
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:24 PM ET #12

    Love the over with you on that .........Good luck tonight.....................
    Reply
    Love the over with you on that .........Good luck tonight.....................
     
    gnfr
    gnfr
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:26 PM ET #13

    gl coke.line...
    Reply
    gl coke.line...
     
    bigtymers250
    bigtymers250
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:27 PM ET #14

    Reply
     
    sungod95
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:27 PM ET #15

     Nice link!It was a pleasant surprise! I agree withthe over.
    Reply
     Nice link!It was a pleasant surprise! I agree withthe over.
     
    charizmattik
    charizmattik
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:28 PM ET #16

    https://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=207459

    So is this article a bunch of garbage, or is it legit?
    Reply
    https://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=207459

    So is this article a bunch of garbage, or is it legit?
     
    NOmoose
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:28 PM ET #17

    Great write up but 21-21 doesn't get you a winning ticket. 
    Reply
    Great write up but 21-21 doesn't get you a winning ticket. 
     
    midlip
    midlip
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:30 PM ET #18

    i have it at 44.5

    that number hold up or are you suggesting to buy the hook?
    Reply
    i have it at 44.5

    that number hold up or are you suggesting to buy the hook?
     
    jayweb03
    jayweb03
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:31 PM ET #19

    21-21 goes to OT and someone kicks a FG. The total is then 45
    Reply
    21-21 goes to OT and someone kicks a FG. The total is then 45
     
    bigcash
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:32 PM ET #20

    Tenn. 2nite. 3 home dogs covered out of 6 games(3-0).4 dogs covered out of 6 games. Team this up w/ keith pick 4 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ !!!!!
    Reply
    Tenn. 2nite. 3 home dogs covered out of 6 games(3-0).4 dogs covered out of 6 games. Team this up w/ keith pick 4 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ !!!!!
     
    NOmoose
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:33 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by jayweb03:

    21-21 goes to OT and someone kicks a FG. The total is then 45


    and if the clock runs out in OT with nobody scoring? 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jayweb03:

    21-21 goes to OT and someone kicks a FG. The total is then 45


    and if the clock runs out in OT with nobody scoring? 
     
    squinta1
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:34 PM ET #22

    good info

     

    Keep it coming

    Reply

    good info

     

    Keep it coming

     
    letsmakebets
    letsmakebets
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:43 PM ET #23

    love your plays. good luck my man
    Reply
    love your plays. good luck my man
     
    Day-trader1
    Day-trader1
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:44 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by NOmoose:



    and if the clock runs out in OT with nobody scoring? 

    It ends in a tie silly...

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by NOmoose:



    and if the clock runs out in OT with nobody scoring? 

    It ends in a tie silly...

     
     
    PublicLies
    PublicLies
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:47 PM ET #25

    Keith -

    Some books have moved it down to 43.5, doesn't it seem as though they are baiting you to take the over? My numbers show that it is 55/45 on the over, meaning the books wouldnt mind seeing it go to 60/40.

    BOL

    Reply

    Keith -

    Some books have moved it down to 43.5, doesn't it seem as though they are baiting you to take the over? My numbers show that it is 55/45 on the over, meaning the books wouldnt mind seeing it go to 60/40.

    BOL

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