The link to the article that I am providing covers the NFL thru the 2021 season. Am certain that others have more up to date information than this. Any additions are welcome.
Here is one of the paragrahs with pertinent betting information:
"Since the NFL changed its postseason format in 2002, quarterbacks making their first career playoff start are 25-40 against the spread (38.5%), winning just 35.4% of those games outright. The first-year playoff curse has afflicted QBs of all statures, too, from future Hall of Famers Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers to journeymen Matt Moore and Matt Cassel, and dozens in between."
And this:
"As mentioned above, first-time playoff starters have covered the spread just 38.5% of the time, with identical hit rates in the wild-card round (20-32 ATS) and divisional round (5-8 ATS). And while those passers have actually been a better bet on the road (11-15 ATS) than at home (14-25 ATS), both have been a losing bet overall and own an outright win percentage of roughly 35%."
Canada (soon to be the 51st state), welcome aboard!
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
The link to the article that I am providing covers the NFL thru the 2021 season. Am certain that others have more up to date information than this. Any additions are welcome.
Here is one of the paragrahs with pertinent betting information:
"Since the NFL changed its postseason format in 2002, quarterbacks making their first career playoff start are 25-40 against the spread (38.5%), winning just 35.4% of those games outright. The first-year playoff curse has afflicted QBs of all statures, too, from future Hall of Famers Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers to journeymen Matt Moore and Matt Cassel, and dozens in between."
And this:
"As mentioned above, first-time playoff starters have covered the spread just 38.5% of the time, with identical hit rates in the wild-card round (20-32 ATS) and divisional round (5-8 ATS). And while those passers have actually been a better bet on the road (11-15 ATS) than at home (14-25 ATS), both have been a losing bet overall and own an outright win percentage of roughly 35%."
Out of those four QBs of their first time entering the Wild Card round, three of them are playing on the road and one at home. C.J. Stroud of the Texans is the only QB playing a home game.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:
Maybe this year could be different??
Out of those four QBs of their first time entering the Wild Card round, three of them are playing on the road and one at home. C.J. Stroud of the Texans is the only QB playing a home game.
But no to Mason Rudolph and Jordan Love, they're going to learn the hard way they aren't winning. Still in the midst of capping those games... bills -10 though
Sip on that plus money honey!
0
@Europa
I think Stroud has a good chance.
I'm willing to give Tua a chance.
But no to Mason Rudolph and Jordan Love, they're going to learn the hard way they aren't winning. Still in the midst of capping those games... bills -10 though
I agree with the notion that Tua has the best chance out of those three QBs winning a road game this week. However, key injuries, frigid weather, coaching and QB experiences disadvantage might take the toll on Miami. I like KC straight up in this game and I parlayed it with Dallas ML.
0
@Digitalkarma
I agree with the notion that Tua has the best chance out of those three QBs winning a road game this week. However, key injuries, frigid weather, coaching and QB experiences disadvantage might take the toll on Miami. I like KC straight up in this game and I parlayed it with Dallas ML.
You can break this down even further to name the list of only rookies making their first playoff start to win a game..... Rookie QBs To Win an NFL Playoff Game Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers – 2022 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks – 2012 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round J. Yates, Houston Texans – 2011 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round Mark Sanchez, New York Jets – 2009 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens – 2008 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – 2004 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Aaron Brooks, New Orleans Saints – 1999 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round Shaun King, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 1999 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship <
Interesting thing on some of these QB's is the team finished very high in my Power Ratings.
2022 9ers no. 1
Seahawks 2013 no.1
Yates, Texans no.1
Jets 2009 finished very high up
Steelers 2004 very high up maybe even no. 1
not sure about Flacco with 2008 Ravens.
So yea agree with the other comment these QB's had strong teams and they were good enough to help make those teams strong.
0
Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:
You can break this down even further to name the list of only rookies making their first playoff start to win a game..... Rookie QBs To Win an NFL Playoff Game Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers – 2022 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks – 2012 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round J. Yates, Houston Texans – 2011 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round Mark Sanchez, New York Jets – 2009 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens – 2008 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – 2004 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Aaron Brooks, New Orleans Saints – 1999 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round Shaun King, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 1999 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship <
Interesting thing on some of these QB's is the team finished very high in my Power Ratings.
2022 9ers no. 1
Seahawks 2013 no.1
Yates, Texans no.1
Jets 2009 finished very high up
Steelers 2004 very high up maybe even no. 1
not sure about Flacco with 2008 Ravens.
So yea agree with the other comment these QB's had strong teams and they were good enough to help make those teams strong.
You can break this down even further to name the list of only rookies making their first playoff start to win a game..... Rookie QBs To Win an NFL Playoff Game Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers – 2022 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks – 2012 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round J. Yates, Houston Texans – 2011 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round Mark Sanchez, New York Jets – 2009 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens – 2008 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – 2004 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Aaron Brooks, New Orleans Saints – 1999 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round Shaun King, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 1999 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship <
Interesting thing on some of these QB's is the team finished very high in my Power Ratings.
2022 9ers no. 1
Seahawks 2013 no.1
Yates, Texans no.1
Jets 2009 finished very high up
Steelers 2004 very high up maybe even no. 1
not sure about Flacco with 2008 Ravens.
So yea agree with the other comment these QB's had strong teams and they were good enough to help make those teams strong.
0
Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:
You can break this down even further to name the list of only rookies making their first playoff start to win a game..... Rookie QBs To Win an NFL Playoff Game Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers – 2022 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks – 2012 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round J. Yates, Houston Texans – 2011 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round Mark Sanchez, New York Jets – 2009 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens – 2008 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – 2004 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship Aaron Brooks, New Orleans Saints – 1999 Total Wins: 1 Final Result: Lost Divisional Round Shaun King, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 1999 Total Wins: 2 Final Result: Lost Conference Championship <
Interesting thing on some of these QB's is the team finished very high in my Power Ratings.
2022 9ers no. 1
Seahawks 2013 no.1
Yates, Texans no.1
Jets 2009 finished very high up
Steelers 2004 very high up maybe even no. 1
not sure about Flacco with 2008 Ravens.
So yea agree with the other comment these QB's had strong teams and they were good enough to help make those teams strong.
QB;s this year 1st time in PO's will be eliminated J LOVE Packers--plus lost to T B -- C J STROUD Texans and who ever is QB for steelers my gawd this team is negative points and has a 10-7 record
TUA T @ CHIEFS i'll give him a win Cheifs were horrible this year too many injuries but miami loses in DIV rounds
0
QB;s this year 1st time in PO's will be eliminated J LOVE Packers--plus lost to T B -- C J STROUD Texans and who ever is QB for steelers my gawd this team is negative points and has a 10-7 record
TUA T @ CHIEFS i'll give him a win Cheifs were horrible this year too many injuries but miami loses in DIV rounds
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
