All Forums | NFL Betting

Proof the public is terrible

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 5191
Posts: 84
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 8
Posted: #26
college gambler u are a moron - enough said here are my pics today
 
San Diego
New Orleans
Miami
Indy
Cleveland
NYJ
 
you suck deuche bag
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 3455
Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by collegegambler:

they set the line to get even money and    on sportsbook.com    its  92% percent on the colts   8% on the packers.
 
so all im saying is  take the pack.

Not for anything But that is Sportsbook, you cannot go by one book specially if it is sportsbook.

92% probably equals 8 out of 9 people or so.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2008
Posts: 1858
Posted: #28
I typically have the most success when i bet the sharp public team
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 5
Posted: #29
You're the douche bag you fool. Least he posts lines, you post 6 games like you're in your own office pool. I never talk shit bout anyone, unless that rude jag-offs such as yourself. No doubt you have zero cash on any of those plays, but in the 1 in 347 chance you do, I hope you bet a lot and lose them all, person
Quote Originally Posted by vicdeanmachine:

college gambler u are a moron - enough said here are my pics today
 
San Diego
New Orleans
Miami
Indy
Cleveland
NYJ
 
you suck deuche bag
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 8
Posted: #30
san diego pk
new orleans +3
Miami -3
indy -2
cleband +7
NYJ -3
 
person sauce - come back later and  tell me how great i am and how worthless u are u commoner
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2002
Posts: 883
Posted: #31
were they on MIZZ too? but heavy on LSU ??  lol ,,,, tardo !!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2002
Posts: 883
Posted: #32
PACKERS GET DUMPED ON THE ROAD, TOUTS ARE CREAMING OVER FAVRE TODAY,
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 5
Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by vicdeanmachine:

san diego pk
new orleans +3
Miami -3
indy -2
cleband +7
NYJ -3
 
person sauce - come back later and  tell me how great i am and how worthless u are u commoner


Aight poopdick here's the deal. We're both new here so whoever has a worse day, never posts here again, deal?

Titans 1H -6
Giants 1H -6.5
Bears -2.5
Giants -9.5
Ravens Under 37.5
Titans -8.5
Bungles +9.5
Panthers -2.5
Bills pk

Good luck moon cricket
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 8
Posted: #34
ok
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 5
Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by vicdeanmachine:

ok


Ummm OK well you went 0-3 and I went 7-2. I also didn't mention that at the 1/2 I pounded the Bears Over 21 and the Panther +.5

So actually went 9-2 for the early games and you did not win A single game. My point is simple, although you agreed to never post here again per our agreement(and mind you I am a man of my word) and had I been on the LOSING end of our wager, would have kept my end of the deal. I simply called you out because I am new to the forum and don't like when people are rude to others for absolutely no reason. I don't care what you think but in my opinion you went 0-3 because of Karma and I had a 9-2 morning because I defended someone I don't even know but did not deserve how you jumped on him.

So, I just wanted to let you know, I could care less if you don't keep your end of the bargain and continue to post here but maybe just keep in mind the Lord works in mysterious ways and being a dick to people for no reason, will only hurt you in the end. Good luck on your late plays and keep it real my man
 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 659
Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by Winn:

were they on MIZZ too? but heavy on LSU ??  lol ,,,, tardo !!

Yes,you can't fade because some win some lose.If it was just that simple as fading we'd all be millionaires by now.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 16192
Posted: #37
Vicdeanmachine  congrats on your card,  nice day   1-5!! 
 
My fading the public on my two plays the  Packers and Oakland was  dumb  huh?
 
you want to talk your shit, back it up with some wins.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 16192
Posted: #38
congrats to  anyone who tailed me    or was on  Green Bay and Oakland.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 16192
Posted: #39
you guys miss the point  cant fade every percentage only ones of      85 percent or more!!!!!!  this accounts to about an average of  0-3 games per week at most.
 
at sportsbook.com  87 percent on colts    i take packers  game is over in the third quarter
 
86 percent on the Jets, i take oakland and they win outright.
 
games at 60 percent, 70 percent who knows do not fade those!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 20937
Posted: #40
just one small point
you can lose your money just as fast fading the public
as you can playing with the public
what it comes down to is your personal capping skills, why follow either one? I can lose my own money
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 16192
Posted: #41
no i do  cap games as well. but  we all know in the NFL  what usually makes no sense wins.   and with 90 percent on a side  if you are on the 10 percent side, then you are betting what makes no sense, and since this is the NFL  you usually win.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 148
Posted: #42
Viddeanmachine.....you suck.  I think I'll just fade you and win lots of cash.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 16192
Posted: #43
horns, yea  he talks all his shit  i won my bets  i do not want credit,  just trying to help peole out,  i love betting and have noticed the 90 percent side teams   almost never cover.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 3721
Posted: #44
God some of you guys are retarded
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 3721
Posted: #45
I'm a public bettor and I'm 7-1 on public sides with Tampa Bay pending.  How terrible am I.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2000
Posts: 11995
Posted: #46
Browns covered at 85%
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2008
Posts: 11008
Posted: #47
Here's the breakdown at sportsbook.com. after 7 weeks of action.
 
80% or better ---  14-12 ATS (53.9%), yes the public has a winning record
 
70% - 79.9%  ---  18 - 18  ATS (50%)
 
below 70% ---   19-17 ATS  (52.8%)
 
 
Compare the public over 80% with the big money line moves.
 
2 pt line moves    ---  10-9 (52.6%)
 
 
If you want to fade the public a simple stratergy is to fade the public after they've had a good run.
 
This happened today, in the early 1pm (eastern time) games the public went 4-1 in games 70% or better.
 
Fading the public in 70% or better games in  the afternoon games gave you .....
 
Detroit- won
Raiders - won
Packers - won
 
And the sunday night game with 75% on Tampa , gave you Seattle - won
 
However, after the public loses then back the public. They are coming off 4 consecutive losses of 70% or better, I would not fade the public in 70% or better gtames off this stretch of games.
 
Here's what you have for monday night  ....
 Games under 70% went 1-3 ATS on sunday, now back the public with 69% on Denver. If it goes over 70% even better.
 
This simple strategy has done very well this season on sunday and monday night games.
 
I had plans to do a line movement report every week prior to the sunday night game each week but was out of town the 1st 2 weeks of the season and was to busy and fell behind so I bagged it. 
 
If you followed my write-ups in Arena Football Playoffs doing this very thing, it work well.
 
 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2003
Posts: 38798
Posted: #48
u wanna know where this works the best??

- march madness
- bowl games
- playoff nba
- playoff nfl

why?

because the oddsmakers have SOOO many resources to figure out a sharp line. and why do the dogs keep hitting in this situation? because its all mental to the athletes that they are looked at as dogs.

trust me, its that simple..
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 1
Posted: #49
Dude's got a point, but you cant just fade blindly.
 
I had money on
 
Car
Oakland
And Bills and won
 
I think they were all against the majority
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2008
Posts: 68
Posted: #50
The best is short favs with public all over them.
All Forums | NFL Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.