Posted:
#2126
Tic Toc Tic Toc 
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phixer's nfl
Posted:
#2127
Quote Originally Posted by Raider44:
Phixer...The total on this game should be over under 46 pretty solid. Is there any good reason they have it at 49.5 to 50. I know everyone likes favorites and overs. Is this adjustment on line due to the high scoring games flying over the total lately when 2 teams play in different conferences ? Crazy stat I saw had like 70% of those games resulting in over. Would hate to take a Lions game under as much as a Ravens game over. I am not sure how the money is spread on the game. From what I can tell pretty even on the pointspread. Venturing a guess on more being bet on the over. I have no data to back that up though. So with the over and under being higher is Vegas thinking this will be played at high scoring pace of the Lions. Or begging you to think that because the Ravens will control the ball and clock and get their general 21 points and allow 24-27 ? I remember when I actually used to look at statistics of both teams to handicap a game.....lol Both teams are playing for their playoff lives. Maybe I am over thinking it but this looks on the surface like a tough game to call for me. It will probly be a no play for me tonight. Unless the Phix is in with solid reasoning. I can make a case for both teams winning. To me its a coin flip game,....I stay away from those generally. 5.5 is interesting line. Not one you see all that often in NFL anyways.
Phixer...The total on this game should be over under 46 pretty solid. Is there any good reason they have it at 49.5 to 50. I know everyone likes favorites and overs. Is this adjustment on line due to the high scoring games flying over the total lately when 2 teams play in different conferences ? Crazy stat I saw had like 70% of those games resulting in over. Would hate to take a Lions game under as much as a Ravens game over. I am not sure how the money is spread on the game. From what I can tell pretty even on the pointspread. Venturing a guess on more being bet on the over. I have no data to back that up though. So with the over and under being higher is Vegas thinking this will be played at high scoring pace of the Lions. Or begging you to think that because the Ravens will control the ball and clock and get their general 21 points and allow 24-27 ? I remember when I actually used to look at statistics of both teams to handicap a game.....lol Both teams are playing for their playoff lives. Maybe I am over thinking it but this looks on the surface like a tough game to call for me. It will probly be a no play for me tonight. Unless the Phix is in with solid reasoning. I can make a case for both teams winning. To me its a coin flip game,....I stay away from those generally. 5.5 is interesting line. Not one you see all that often in NFL anyways.
Phixer dont get me wrong not begging for any plays or anything I just value your opinion and more importantly your knowledge you share...
That total is moving in the right direction with the betting percentages. I believe phixer is playing percentages/rlm from what I see. I myself play rlm's and percentages also. He is doing it the correct way. Mia and Pitt were the 2 big plays yesterday.
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Posted:
#2128
Quote Originally Posted by broncofn:
That total is moving in the right direction with the betting percentages. I believe phixer is playing percentages/rlm from what I see. I myself play rlm's and percentages also. He is doing it the correct way. Mia and Pitt were the 2 big plays yesterday.
Sorry, add Green Bay to Pitt and Miami as the big plays.
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Posted:
#2132
i really appreciate each and everyone of you expressing your views and sharing your thoughts here. i must say that i sometimes do not have the time to read it all but when relaxed and at ease - i read each and every word posted here. i know how hard it is to expose your views and subject them to the criticism of others but there is also beauty in that as we all are kind of scientific brotherhood of degens and like to hear and be heard. so instead of thanking and replying to each post individually as i'd like to do - accept my collective thanks and a handshake. and btw - no matter positive or negative attitude posts - although i must say i am surprised at the overwhelming majority of positive ones - all the posts are appreciated as the time is the most precious thing given to us in this life and if you spend some time here - thanks.
i also know that i am as good as my last bet so cheers to that!
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Posted:
#2135
and if you really love to hear it from the man - mr barry norman - from the family that once was among the owners of baltimore colts and today is a binary options guru conducting webinars - you should sign up for his webinars for sportsbettors who can use their edge in that binary options as mavin did, i did, kingmidas and others did. the variables are way less then in sports and therefore for us it is much easier. he i think conducts his webinar on 27th of this month and i will find out the details how to get there and register. of course its free and those who know me enough know that i am not promoting the guy but simply think that lot can be learnt about football inside politics as well from that gentleman who grew in that world from the owners side
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Posted:
#2137
Quote Originally Posted by phixer:
and if you really love to hear it from the man - mr barry norman - from the family that once was among the owners of baltimore colts and today is a binary options guru conducting webinars - you should sign up for his webinars for sportsbettors who can use their edge in that binary options as mavin did, i did, kingmidas and others did. the variables are way less then in sports and therefore for us it is much easier. he i think conducts his webinar on 27th of this month and i will find out the details how to get there and register. of course its free and those who know me enough know that i am not promoting the guy but simply think that lot can be learnt about football inside politics as well from that gentleman who grew in that world from the owners side
and if you really love to hear it from the man - mr barry norman - from the family that once was among the owners of baltimore colts and today is a binary options guru conducting webinars - you should sign up for his webinars for sportsbettors who can use their edge in that binary options as mavin did, i did, kingmidas and others did. the variables are way less then in sports and therefore for us it is much easier. he i think conducts his webinar on 27th of this month and i will find out the details how to get there and register. of course its free and those who know me enough know that i am not promoting the guy but simply think that lot can be learnt about football inside politics as well from that gentleman who grew in that world from the owners side
Thanks Phix! Definitely interested
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Posted:
#2138
Quote Originally Posted by rakets:
Sharps are Sharps and do not get rake. Books are books and do get the rake....If there is even money on both sides. Very rarely is the money equal which is really my point. When there is more money on one side than the other it generally seems to go Vegas direction. Not always but the big money Night games certainly do just that. They would love to get even money on each side. That way they have no exposure.
Does anyone believe the sharps win because they get a 10% rake? Last I looked they don't make the picks for anyone. In fact, most of the time they have a decent amount of money on each side. THE REASON VEGAS wins is the juice!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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