people are putting too much emphasis on the Ravens not stopping the run.. It doesn't mean the Ravens aren't going to score a shit ton of points either.. Look for Jacoby Jones to have a big game first game back to houston. Torry Smith, Ray Rice, Anquan Boldin could all have big days after seeing what Aaron Rodgers did to that clueless secondary last week.. I agree the line is a total over-reaction to the injuries, Run defense.. and Baltimores lackluster performances on the road.. The Ravens do step up there performance against opponents over .500
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people are putting too much emphasis on the Ravens not stopping the run.. It doesn't mean the Ravens aren't going to score a shit ton of points either.. Look for Jacoby Jones to have a big game first game back to houston. Torry Smith, Ray Rice, Anquan Boldin could all have big days after seeing what Aaron Rodgers did to that clueless secondary last week.. I agree the line is a total over-reaction to the injuries, Run defense.. and Baltimores lackluster performances on the road.. The Ravens do step up there performance against opponents over .500
Don't take the Jags man. They have nothing going for them. I would need to get +10 for me to bet on them again. I had them vs. the texans and then again vs the bears. Horrible team.
With that said, I guess every bettor is thinking like me. so consequently there may be value in the line. Looking at their schedule, they did cover in their two road games vs colts and vikings. both are better teams than the raiders.
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Don't take the Jags man. They have nothing going for them. I would need to get +10 for me to bet on them again. I had them vs. the texans and then again vs the bears. Horrible team.
With that said, I guess every bettor is thinking like me. so consequently there may be value in the line. Looking at their schedule, they did cover in their two road games vs colts and vikings. both are better teams than the raiders.
Love the Pats this week buddy. No bias either, I was on the Seabags last week. Love the situation for them and with division lead on the line, and everyone shitting on Brady and the defense, I think they come out and absolutely STOMP a Jets team I believe is one of the worst teams in the league. They can't do anything well really and I see the Pats moving the ball at will. Pats have been letting teams back in games recently, but Sancheeze isn't backdoor king Manning and this game isn't in Seattle.
Also like Jaxonville and the Bucs. Any thoughts on TBay? I've been banking big on dogs recently, but the books have adjusted this week and I have a weird feeling tons of favs cover tomorrow. Small card for me.
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Love the Pats this week buddy. No bias either, I was on the Seabags last week. Love the situation for them and with division lead on the line, and everyone shitting on Brady and the defense, I think they come out and absolutely STOMP a Jets team I believe is one of the worst teams in the league. They can't do anything well really and I see the Pats moving the ball at will. Pats have been letting teams back in games recently, but Sancheeze isn't backdoor king Manning and this game isn't in Seattle.
Also like Jaxonville and the Bucs. Any thoughts on TBay? I've been banking big on dogs recently, but the books have adjusted this week and I have a weird feeling tons of favs cover tomorrow. Small card for me.
Been one of my favorite years. Glad you're off to a better start than last year, love reading your thought processes.
Agree on the first two. At first I thought Houston, then I thought it through and figured Baltimore is too proud of a team to be a 7 point dog. Aaron Rodgers said last week before the GB-HOU game that even though HOU was favored, "they think we're the favorite." I like Houston, but they still have to prove their mental toughness to me. Baltimore can make big plays through the air. Flacco is inconsistent, but it's hard for me to think the Texans should be laying 7 on Baltimore.
Oakland shouldn't be laying 7 on any team. Jacksonville sucks, but they're coming off a bye. At 4.5, I thought Jacksonville was a decent pick. At 7, I'll take them every time.
St. Louis you sold me on. I kept leaning Green Bay all week, but I've had such success taking home underdogs this year, might as well stick with it. It concerns me that Green Bay stuffed Houston's running game, but hopefully the Packers have a let down in their second straight road game against a lesser team playing surprisingly well.
I just hope you're wrong on the Jets. I fear you're probably right. Even if you take out Revis and Holmes, the Jets are STILL banged up at the skill positions and defensive line.
I do think the Jets can move the ball on New England. The way the Jets stay in this game/win it is by winning the turnover battle, and creating pressure without blitzing by Coples/Wilkerson/others up front. The Jets have struggled to get after quarterbacks this season, but Coples and Wilkerson have looked better each game. Another wildcard is how the Jets' safeties play. Jim Leonhard (too small) and Eric Smith (too slow) aren't starting anymore. Landry and Bell can lay wood. Landry is the biggest hitter I've seen on the Jets in a while. Curious how the Jets use them in this game, especially to try to stop some of those passes over the middle.
30-20 Pats.
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Been one of my favorite years. Glad you're off to a better start than last year, love reading your thought processes.
Agree on the first two. At first I thought Houston, then I thought it through and figured Baltimore is too proud of a team to be a 7 point dog. Aaron Rodgers said last week before the GB-HOU game that even though HOU was favored, "they think we're the favorite." I like Houston, but they still have to prove their mental toughness to me. Baltimore can make big plays through the air. Flacco is inconsistent, but it's hard for me to think the Texans should be laying 7 on Baltimore.
Oakland shouldn't be laying 7 on any team. Jacksonville sucks, but they're coming off a bye. At 4.5, I thought Jacksonville was a decent pick. At 7, I'll take them every time.
St. Louis you sold me on. I kept leaning Green Bay all week, but I've had such success taking home underdogs this year, might as well stick with it. It concerns me that Green Bay stuffed Houston's running game, but hopefully the Packers have a let down in their second straight road game against a lesser team playing surprisingly well.
I just hope you're wrong on the Jets. I fear you're probably right. Even if you take out Revis and Holmes, the Jets are STILL banged up at the skill positions and defensive line.
I do think the Jets can move the ball on New England. The way the Jets stay in this game/win it is by winning the turnover battle, and creating pressure without blitzing by Coples/Wilkerson/others up front. The Jets have struggled to get after quarterbacks this season, but Coples and Wilkerson have looked better each game. Another wildcard is how the Jets' safeties play. Jim Leonhard (too small) and Eric Smith (too slow) aren't starting anymore. Landry and Bell can lay wood. Landry is the biggest hitter I've seen on the Jets in a while. Curious how the Jets use them in this game, especially to try to stop some of those passes over the middle.
I like rams a tin this year and always at home, seems like they are always dogs. I've said it before the perception from last year hasn't faded and people still don't believe. Well I believe. They are also 6th against the passing game so couple that with GBs running woes and being in the road in the dime will be tough off that huge Primetime blowout. Loving them! Even picked them SU in my pickem league with my friends.
I don't know about Baltimore now, I think Houston is going to win the game. To me they're a wounded bear, they are going to bounce back and play better. 7 is a lot to be getting so hopefully it works out for you.
I like the Jags too off their bye. Raiders are horrible and that ain't no joke. They don't know how to win games and I think you are spot in with them.
I do not like laying the 10 with NE. Their D is horrible and I mean no good. Injuries in O with Hernandez and Gronk have to limit their play.
Good luck.
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I like rams a tin this year and always at home, seems like they are always dogs. I've said it before the perception from last year hasn't faded and people still don't believe. Well I believe. They are also 6th against the passing game so couple that with GBs running woes and being in the road in the dime will be tough off that huge Primetime blowout. Loving them! Even picked them SU in my pickem league with my friends.
I don't know about Baltimore now, I think Houston is going to win the game. To me they're a wounded bear, they are going to bounce back and play better. 7 is a lot to be getting so hopefully it works out for you.
I like the Jags too off their bye. Raiders are horrible and that ain't no joke. They don't know how to win games and I think you are spot in with them.
I do not like laying the 10 with NE. Their D is horrible and I mean no good. Injuries in O with Hernandez and Gronk have to limit their play.
Ravens run D can't get worse than it was,D line not keeping the LB's clean,Ngata is wounded (knee and shoulder),Keamoutu(knee)last Sunday they couldn't control the edge....they are a mess on D,who steps up to lead now ???...Lewis has lead for 15 years...Jimmy Smith(groin)replaced Webb,if he goes down,Brown steps in...3rd string corners belong at KFC,and Brown will get deep fried if he needs to play...GL...Andy...
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Ravens run D can't get worse than it was,D line not keeping the LB's clean,Ngata is wounded (knee and shoulder),Keamoutu(knee)last Sunday they couldn't control the edge....they are a mess on D,who steps up to lead now ???...Lewis has lead for 15 years...Jimmy Smith(groin)replaced Webb,if he goes down,Brown steps in...3rd string corners belong at KFC,and Brown will get deep fried if he needs to play...GL...Andy...
JerryWrasse - I was kinda looking at Pittsburgh there to be honest if the line goes to a pk or +1. The Steelers are banged up and down no question but I'm not big on this Bengals team though I could be wrong. Pittsburgh's road woes have been well documented. 10 days to prepare and a SNF seems like a neat spot to get a W. In a close game I'd take Tomlin over Lewis 10x outta 10. Good point about them winning the last few games though. Lean PIT but will see where the line is late. GL Jerry.
mtbaker - Not really sure about the total. Could see it going either way to be honest. GB's defense could give out and the Rams O finally has a breakout game and both teams trade scores OR I could see the Rams running often and the Packers O-line stinking out the joint especially if the secondary can cover. One concern is St. Louis hasn't really been down big this year except CHI. I don't think they have a catchup offense but they have a lot of other strengths that generally prevent them from getting down big. GL buddy.
raems - I should have clarified earlier in that I don't believe the Texans have what it takes to blow out good teams. This isn't a team like the Packers or Giants last week that can take a good team and just slap them around, they don't play that style and don't have the weapons. Those 8 wins came against Tennessee (2x), Jacksonville (2x), Miami, Cleveland, 2011 Tampa, and Denver (6pt win). Not exactly a murderer's row. Houston's run game has been fairly underwhelming this season (3.8 YPC) as teams are stacking the box and they have a new right side of the o-line. Andre Johnson looks average and there is no Jacoby Jones kind of player to stretch the field and open holes. The rest of their weapons consist of two OK TE's and Kevin Walter. GL.
Someone correct me if I'm wrong but this is tied for the highest potential close in the Harbaugh era. Baltimore closed +7 last year in the AFC Championship after looking like dogshit against Houston and playing a Pats team off 9 straight wins and winning by about 50 against Tebow. You have to go back to Harbaugh's first year to find them +7 again when they closed +7 @ the Giants in their 3rd straight road game. I don't like fading a team off a home blowout but this is the kind of game where I'm getting an inflated number that I will bet at a very high rate. Baltimore will go down later in the year but I don't think they roll over in a situation like this.
Love this...
You've completely sold me on this Baltimore pick...
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
JerryWrasse - I was kinda looking at Pittsburgh there to be honest if the line goes to a pk or +1. The Steelers are banged up and down no question but I'm not big on this Bengals team though I could be wrong. Pittsburgh's road woes have been well documented. 10 days to prepare and a SNF seems like a neat spot to get a W. In a close game I'd take Tomlin over Lewis 10x outta 10. Good point about them winning the last few games though. Lean PIT but will see where the line is late. GL Jerry.
mtbaker - Not really sure about the total. Could see it going either way to be honest. GB's defense could give out and the Rams O finally has a breakout game and both teams trade scores OR I could see the Rams running often and the Packers O-line stinking out the joint especially if the secondary can cover. One concern is St. Louis hasn't really been down big this year except CHI. I don't think they have a catchup offense but they have a lot of other strengths that generally prevent them from getting down big. GL buddy.
raems - I should have clarified earlier in that I don't believe the Texans have what it takes to blow out good teams. This isn't a team like the Packers or Giants last week that can take a good team and just slap them around, they don't play that style and don't have the weapons. Those 8 wins came against Tennessee (2x), Jacksonville (2x), Miami, Cleveland, 2011 Tampa, and Denver (6pt win). Not exactly a murderer's row. Houston's run game has been fairly underwhelming this season (3.8 YPC) as teams are stacking the box and they have a new right side of the o-line. Andre Johnson looks average and there is no Jacoby Jones kind of player to stretch the field and open holes. The rest of their weapons consist of two OK TE's and Kevin Walter. GL.
Someone correct me if I'm wrong but this is tied for the highest potential close in the Harbaugh era. Baltimore closed +7 last year in the AFC Championship after looking like dogshit against Houston and playing a Pats team off 9 straight wins and winning by about 50 against Tebow. You have to go back to Harbaugh's first year to find them +7 again when they closed +7 @ the Giants in their 3rd straight road game. I don't like fading a team off a home blowout but this is the kind of game where I'm getting an inflated number that I will bet at a very high rate. Baltimore will go down later in the year but I don't think they roll over in a situation like this.
Love this...
You've completely sold me on this Baltimore pick...
Before looking at your thread I locked in a 2-team, 6-point teaser with New England -4 & Jacksonville +12. I also have the Ravens @ +13 in another teaser. Glad to see you're on the same side.
Good luck to us!!!
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Before looking at your thread I locked in a 2-team, 6-point teaser with New England -4 & Jacksonville +12. I also have the Ravens @ +13 in another teaser. Glad to see you're on the same side.
dillon24 - I agree with you there bud. Hopefully it's a close game or Ravens win. This team hasn't suddenly become Jacksonville.
Dubfire- I've lost twice with the Jags already as well so I'm well aware of how bad they are. I just don't think Oakland is much if any better and the spot favors the Jags.
nepatriots_12 - This game should be a Pats big win from start to finish. Jets so have a top special teams unit though which should keep them in it. No real feel for NO/TB. Laying points on the road with a bad team like the Saints can't be a long term winning strategy. However I never know which Josh Freeman will show up. One week he looks like a decent NFL QB and the next he can't complete a 4 yard out route. GL bro. You're right with the favs. Dogs are 26 games over .500 so far this season and there will soon be a big time run by the favs.
Jetfanmack- Good thoughts on the games. Nice read. I disagree with the Jets though. I don't see the weapons needed to play catchup in this one. Feel good game for the much criticized Patriots defensive backs.
NONEED4LUCK- GL. Rams are a gritty little team that is tough to knock off. I think they play well here.
BigBoiHarris - I kind of think the Cowboys play well today. This is a talented team but the coaching and mental gaffs keep me from backing them as road favs. I saw last week's game in it's entirety and it wasn't just the last drive that they messed up horribly. They should have won that game by 14 points last week. Carolina is crap. No feel for the other games.
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dillon24 - I agree with you there bud. Hopefully it's a close game or Ravens win. This team hasn't suddenly become Jacksonville.
Dubfire- I've lost twice with the Jags already as well so I'm well aware of how bad they are. I just don't think Oakland is much if any better and the spot favors the Jags.
nepatriots_12 - This game should be a Pats big win from start to finish. Jets so have a top special teams unit though which should keep them in it. No real feel for NO/TB. Laying points on the road with a bad team like the Saints can't be a long term winning strategy. However I never know which Josh Freeman will show up. One week he looks like a decent NFL QB and the next he can't complete a 4 yard out route. GL bro. You're right with the favs. Dogs are 26 games over .500 so far this season and there will soon be a big time run by the favs.
Jetfanmack- Good thoughts on the games. Nice read. I disagree with the Jets though. I don't see the weapons needed to play catchup in this one. Feel good game for the much criticized Patriots defensive backs.
NONEED4LUCK- GL. Rams are a gritty little team that is tough to knock off. I think they play well here.
BigBoiHarris - I kind of think the Cowboys play well today. This is a talented team but the coaching and mental gaffs keep me from backing them as road favs. I saw last week's game in it's entirety and it wasn't just the last drive that they messed up horribly. They should have won that game by 14 points last week. Carolina is crap. No feel for the other games.
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