FINAL YTD (NFL): 71-44-4 YTD
NFL PLAYOFFS: 5-2 ATS
Continuing the AMAZING NFL season and will do so this week with my beloved Ravens, who I have hit at over 80% ATS this year. I kept the record for the year posted b/c I was asked to by a few others but by now I'm sure anyone in this thread has made money here so doesn't even need the reassurances. As I do every year, especially in NFL, I am only doing my work to HELP people. I'm happy to discuss plays people don't like but coming in here and trolling when I lose a game, when most people posting lose MUCH more often, isn't cool, for any thread. I post year after year, in the forum, so if you follow others, so be it. But please don't act like this is some lucky run or a one year wonder. I don't need accolades but do your own research and if you have questions or comments, try to keep them constructive.
Anyways, on to this weeks games where I will post in this thread for Saturdays (tomorrows) matchups and potentially start a new thread for Sunday. I don't care about page views, I care about winning. That's what this thread is about...
BALTIMORE FH (-6.5)...BIG PLAY!!!: I have heard all about Lamar's incompetence in the playoffs. Guess what, so has he. I have heard how Harbaugh might win but not cover most games at home. Guess what, he doesn't care. It's all about winning and when these two teams square off, the Ravens have gotten the best of the Texans, going 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS against them. The spread started at 8.5 and now sits at 10. The Texans are 2-11 SU against Baltimore and 0-7 SU playing in Baltimore. Of course that doesn't mean that this years version will lose by 10 or more but....they will. The Ravens have receivers, including Mark Andrews back, a more than competent running game, and a defense that is amongst lead leaders in sacks. They will get to Stroud, who doesn't scramble that much, and will more than cover Nico Collins as the other receivers won't strike much fear into the Ravens secondary. I would watch Dalton Shultz as the Ravens have been susceptible against tight ends. The game will be cold, the UNDER usually finds it's way into these affairs, but the truth is the Ravens will be motivated and want to come out and grab the lead, which I see them handily doing. I'm afraid of a backdoor cover here and 10 points is massive at this point. But I don't see a rookie QB, who has more than impressed, to be able to win in Baltimore, which few teams do, in the cold (I realize he's played many games in the cold at OSU), and against a team that, if they come out rusty, so be it, but that should handle the Texans. I see a low scoring FH, maybe something like 13-3 and I'll side with the best FG kicker to get that extra point through and ensure the 6.5 will be covered in the FH.
The BIG PLAYS have been awesome all year, but so/so in the playoffs so far, going 3-2 ATS. But after this game it will move to 5-2 ATS and the overall playoff record to 6-2 ATS. I will have a play on the GB/SF game too upcoming. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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