FINAL YTD (NFL): 71-44-4 YTD
NFL PLAYOFFS: 3-2 ATS
Not great, especially not yesterday, had a small feeling what if the cowboys just can't get it done in the playoffs and I silenced it. Hence I'm going to be a bit more selective and bring back some of the FH plays that did so well for me during the season, if applicable. New day though and a couple games on the board so let's get to them:
OVER 19 FH (PIT/BUF): I think the loss of Watt WiLL be big for Pittsburgh but also for Buffalo as that should give Josh Allen some more time in the pocket and another edge to run to if he so chooses. The weather is much better today and a day game preferable when taking into account frigid temperatures. Neither of these teams are warm weather and both are annual playoff entrants so they are very experienced. I just think the first halves have been more geared to scoring for Buffalo and Pittsburgh all season so this is low enough to warrant a play. Let's not forget Pittsburgh does have some explosiveness in the running game and if Rudolph can get the ball to the WR's they too can open things up.
UNDER 44 (PHI/TB): All seasons Philly has tended to score less on the road and TB play better defense at home. That won't change tonight and no AJ Brown means more down field throws will be limited. We can then point to Dallas Goedert as someone who could benefit but the Bucs have been good against TE's. On the flip side I think the Philly D has had a really great season but need to take some breathers here and there as any defense does. That means I can see Philly trying to establish the run and slug it out in Tampa. I also think the total is a tad bit high and might come down so I'd rather play them here as 44 is a key number in totals.
Please keep comments constructive, I'm aware that early on there are some who have won more than I, so 3 out of 5 isn't ideal. That being said, do your own research as well. And, as always, tail or fade good luck to all...
missed em but did ok today...THANKS FOR POSTING....
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