My Largest Wager Ever on a Superbowl!!!!

Played 15 Units early Colts -5.5 and today bought a .5 pt for another 15 Units Colts -4 surprised it's down but not in the least unhappy about it!

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4 early props for .5 unit each

longest fg over 42.5 -115

Over 10.5 1st qtr -115

Over 3 fgs -110

Reggie Wayne Over 77.5 receiving

Folks, this one does not require a lot of handicapping ability and never has a Superbowl been this easy to figure the clear cut and decisive winner.  With or w/ out Freeney the Colts defense will be the shocker to everyone in this game and will all but manhandle the Saints.  Very little respect has been given to this unit and all they do is step up in the big spot and answer the bell.  Speed kills and a matchup like this where Saints will have to match scores w/ the Colts, the defensive lineman will have their ears pinned for a one dimensional passing attack which clearly favors the Colts in an up tempo game and Colts win turnover battle +2 at least.  If for some reason Saints want to slow it down and try that approach there is no question their Linebacker speed will all but neutralize any rushing attack. 

 I'm focusing on this matchup the most because the other 2/3 of the game are as lopsided as it gets.  Special teams clearly favor the Colts in all phases from return game to kicking up and down Colts are better. This my friends is 33% of the game and still nobody wants to talk about it yet you will see Sunday Special teams have an impact on the game whether it be getting the route started or dagger in the heart kind of strike it will be very apparent.

Manning will completely dismantle Saints secondary and will  neutralize any kind pass rush by way of blitzing w/ quick strikes which will not only frustrate the hell out of the Saints and their hero defensive coord. but will have defense dragging come 4th qtr where the hammer will be put down.  Late 3rd eary 4th the game  will completely get away from the Saints having to play in catch up mode setting up the perfect scenario where Indy defense will  impose their will.  Keep throwing the regular season stats out and get blinded by the fact that this Colts defense is good and you will all be shocked come Sunday night

BOL w/ your plays & hope everyone is seeing this one the right way. 

i went 5 early on saints @ 5.5 and planning on coming back on colts when it hits 4. i'll end up betting 5 dimes on colts but i like my early action on saints +5.5.  now i'm just waiting for it to hit 4. 3.5 would be a dream.

i did the same with the over.  went early on over 56.5. i expect it to hit 58 especially with freeney talk.  i don't know if i will shoot the gap on that point and a half if it moves or just keep the over 56.5.

i'm really liking the over in the 1st 1/4.

 with ya on the Colts. Also really like the over 10.5 1st Quarter.  GL splooge 

Quote Originally Posted by SimonSezSo:

Screw the props..just put it all on the COLTS

just shits and giggles w/ the $250 ea on the props simon.  I'll be at a party w/ about 150 people so the props just make for better bar chatter.  The more this week goes on the more I have to hold myself back from playing another 15 U on the Colts.  I just listened to Ray Rice talk about Colts defense w/ Mike Francesca explaining to him how he has no doubt that Indy's front 7 is the fastest in the NFL and rated Indy's defense as the best they faced all season!  Fuck the stats people this is coming from one of the better backs in the league!  If you continue to look at statistics from the regular season you are just fooling yourself.  This is the difference in this game.  Do not get the impression Saints will match scores here against Indy's defense...not happening folks

tough middle Iguero unless down to 3.5 but nothing to lose all to gain so I like it a lot especially since your head is in the right place.  handpiccked, orange & tooez and all backers  

  Ohhhh man on opposite sides again Skipster! Enjoy it brotha! 

c'mon jmw59 I can't hear it from the hometown folk  who are already hammered before the party starts or did it?  It's gotta be sick down there, i heard hotels are sold out everywhere they are just gonna ride the SB right into Mardi Gras.  I can't imagine what that place is going to be like w/ a Saints win.  I'll tell ya this will be the most expensive hit i've ever taken on the big one but after the wounds heal I'll feel great for the Saints and the city no question 

TAIL SKIPSTER on the COIN FLIP...

he's got a streak goin? skip's gotta feeling w/ these colts on em off em on em off em on the right sides...somewhat concerning whenever i'm going other way against him.. it's just our history

1.) This game is not as easy as you say.  You will find out early in the game that the Colts defense is average.  You say mandhandle right.  Who the fuck have they manhandled all year?

2.)  The Saints have the best offense the Colts have seen all year.  They are not one dimensional.  You say the Colts defense will neutralize things with speed.  The Saints have a good O line and might be able to run all day on this undersized Colts defense.

3.) Indy's special teams is that much better than Saints?  Please explain as I see this matchup as a wash.

If you liked the game so much, why did you not hammer it when it opened 3.5? 

1-i'm not looking at the regular season as most who do this time of year go home losing.  Speed kills and when the Saints front is looking at 7 hats on fire they won't have an answer.  I know it's difficult to see but it's what will happen.

2-saints will not run all day and will be all but shut down w/ their running game.  Indy's run defense is more under rated then any run defense i've ever seen.  Between Session, Brackett and Bethea they are not going anywhere on the ground.  Saints have not seen anywhere close to this much speed and it will be evident. The run defense has stepped up when needed and will do so again. What did the Saints rush for against Minny??  O line didnt look so hot there

3-Kicking game is a wash on both sides w/ punting and kickoffs but I'd rather have Stover any day over Hartley for a big kick.  As far as the coverage units go Indy has advantage here on both kickoff and punt coverage.  Saints do not have the likes of Humber, Powers and Lacey in their coverage units.

I had account issues w/ wager amount etc. and could not get in immediately at 3.5 believe me I tried like hell. I could have played some at 3.5 and should have but opted to wait.  I should have waited until my second play but who would have thought it was coming back down...i sure didnt.  .

2 of the best rushing offenses in the league in Jets and Baltimore both shut down to 87 and 86 yds rushing and most recent and important games. Yes...that's who the fuck they manhandled! 

No, I said they held the #1 rushing team in the NFL to 87 yards.  No team in the NFL did what Indy did to the Jets rush attack all year.  You can be blind to the facts and make shit up or just accept the fact that Indy's defense is very good.  Better yet just come back late sunday night and tell me your sorry and how right I was and i'll forgive you for making ridiculous statements  

lot easier to stop the run when the team u are playing is ranked last in the league is passing

saints balance will give them trouble.. mark it down

this is the same crap everyone says but why doesnt it hold true for Cincy or SD??  They knew Jets were running the ball so they stacked the line, dared them to run and they did to the tune of a buck seventy each game which happens to be their season average!  Indy held them to half that.  No shit everyone knows the jets are running it but nobody has been able to stop it until Indy did.  All this says is how under rated a defense Indy is.  There is no faster front 7 in the game and Brees will be looking through tiny closing windows for most of the game.  You don't think that defense is on a mission??  Do you think at all they are tired of hearing how Manning is everything to Colts??  We can all come back to this thread after the game and take our lumps one way or the other.  I know I certainly will if I'm wrong. The funny thing is a lot of you clowns disappear after a Superbowl loss, can't be found and never own up to how wrong you were.   This place cracks me up.  After I said Giants would win superbowl 2 years ago I got lambasted and scoffed at for 2 weeks then you could see about 3 hours in between posts at covers days to follow.  Come take your lumps it's easy to talk shit now and disappear. Mark that down!!!

Well said.  Oh and if this defense is so good why is this the highest over/under in SB history?