Posted:
#51
Parlay will dig a bigger hole....bet a dime on 1 game early..
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I need to win 2k on NFL today. Matter of life and death!
Posted:
#53
If you play teaser no more than 2 teams, anything can happen no matter what the % says pregame. If I was you id play these 2 straight :
PHilly ml -140 over 52 saints/pitt I think these 2 win and if they don't hey its only money, people have a lot worse problems in life than this, don't stress over 5k like its a life or death thing.
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Posted:
#57
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:
Jimmy...I have been exactly where you are right now many times in my life...it was never pleasant...but I do want you to understand I am speaking from personal experience...
Never...and I mean never...was it ever a good idea to do a parlay, teaser or pleaser when I HAD to have a winner...not even once...
You need to win 2k tomorrow...ok...single bets are the way to go hands down no doubt about it...but you need to plan your action carefully...
There are 9 games on the early slot...3 late afternoon and one in the evening...I am guessing your week ends Sunday night like most do...
With 9 games early, your strategy should be to select more from that grouping and play them at lower levels...say...$500 each...2 to 4 games total...and look for opportunities at the halftime to add on another 1 or 2 winners...
Personally, I would look for teams that have several particular features..
1. Good defense.
2. At home.
3. Still in playoff hunt.
4. DVOA advantage over opponent.
5. General advantage "Good team playing bad team at home".
6. Play vs teams on a downhill slide.
Early games that fit these in my opinion...
Dallas -7
Indy -9
This team doesn't have a good defense but meets the other criteria...
N.E. Patriots -13.5
These teams are NOT at home but meet the other criteria listed...
Houston +2.5
Minny -6
Finally, this team doesn't have a good defense and is not at home but meets the other criteria...
G.B. -3
If I was you, I would pick out of these selections for the early games depending on what you like....personally, I do like Dallas and Indy quite a bit...either one of those defenses could completely shut down their opponent...Dallas should bounce back off the shutout last week and Indy has a great QB with a sneaky good defense...
Do the same analysis for the later games and come up with more selections...
On your teaser selections, I would be concerned about the BUCS and STEELERS...they could lose badly tomorrow and be outside of the big 17- 18 points...
Good luck!
Man, Thank You for your Time and sharing your experiences. I'm sure at one time or another all of us have been there.
I pray his plays Hits 
"Stop chasing the money and start chasing the passion."
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& Bears/49ers Over 44 
Posted:
#64
Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:
That being said, the Rams have no chance of losing tomorrow to Arizona. Literally about 2%, if any.Steelers have probably about a 90% chance of winning.And I would say the Colts are about 78%
That being said, the Rams have no chance of losing tomorrow to Arizona. Literally about 2%, if any.Steelers have probably about a 90% chance of winning.And I would say the Colts are about 78%
the Steelers have a 90% chance or winning ? Please stop. Good grief this is a dumb statement. In the dome ? Wow you aren’t too smart
SPORTS BETTOR / BOOK / REAL ESTATE INVESTOR / THE DIFFERENCE IS MINDSET
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Posted:
#65
My advice would be to spend the next hour or so going through the forum. Find the best cappers with posted YTD plays and tail their full card exactly how they’ve laid it out.
Not exactly the most exciting way of gambling but it can be very profitable. Some personal recommendations would be guys like Leaguecapper, macwestie, rush, lets_get_em. They all appear to be more profitable then not.
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Posted:
#66
Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:
Bengals +10 seems solid. I dont see how the Browns are a 10 pt favorite.
Bengals +10 seems solid. I dont see how the Browns are a 10 pt favorite.
That should tell you something. Cleveland is the much better team, and quit thinking about years past. Each year is a new year. The Browns are a totally different team. Browns will cover that spread. It's an ABSOLUTE SUCKERS BET for people to take the Bengals. Why you might ask? Well two weeks ago with Jeff Driskell at QB they went out to LA to play the Chargers as +14 point dogs. Well they only lost to the Chargers by 4 or 5. So now two weeks later, doesn't the Bengals +10 look pretty easy against the so called Browns as you say? Why not right? Not so fast, Browns Cover this spread
CatchMyPick
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Posted:
#67
Quote Originally Posted by Tressel33:
Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:
Bengals +10 seems solid. I dont see how the Browns are a 10 pt favorite.
That should tell you something. Cleveland is the much better team, and quit thinking about years past. Each year is a new year. The Browns are a totally different team. Browns will cover that spread. It's an ABSOLUTE SUCKERS BET for people to take the Bengals. Why you might ask? Well two weeks ago with Jeff Driskell at QB they went out to LA to play the Chargers as +14 point dogs. Well they only lost to the Chargers by 4 or 5. So now two weeks later, doesn't the Bengals +10 look pretty easy against the so called Browns as you say? Why not right? Not so fast, Browns Cover this spreadBengals +10 seems solid. I dont see how the Browns are a 10 pt favorite.
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Posted:
#69
Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:
| Dec 23 | NFL [101] TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS +14-110 (B+7) | |
| Dec 23 | NFL [104] NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -6½-110 (B+7) | |
| Dec 23 | NFL [110] MIAMI DOLPHINS +3½-110 (B+7) | |
| Dec 23 | NFL [112] INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -3-105 (B+7) | |
| Dec 23 | NFL [118] NEW YORK JETS +10-115 (B+7) | |
| Dec 23 | NFL [121] LOS ANGELES RAMS -7-110 (B+7) | |
| Risking 422.00 USD To Win 2110.00 USD | ||
Dolphins are gonna break your heart on this...
Gl tho sir
Courage is being scared to death but saddling up anyway
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Posted:
#75
Some good advice in here... seriously stay away from these teasers and parlays if youre digging your way out of a hole. I mean, you are going to do what you want to do,but that's more like playing the lotto than handicapping and betting a football game.
Good luck today man, hope you do well.
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