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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Final leg of parlay have Rams +1.5, how to hedge

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    icanwinsomeday
    ActionMagnet
    beermugs
    umgmu
    Vegas502
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    12 Next Last»
     
    icanwinsomeday
    icanwinsomeday
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 12:43 AM ET #1

    the ticket payout is close to 900$

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    the ticket payout is close to 900$

     
    ActionMagnet
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 12:46 AM ET #2

    Hedge. Guarantee yourself at least $400

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    Hedge. Guarantee yourself at least $400

     
    beermugs
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 12:47 AM ET #3

    Don't hedge, you'll be letting your book off the hook.

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    Don't hedge, you'll be letting your book off the hook.

     
    ActionMagnet
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 12:53 AM ET #4

    Or watch the game, if RAMS up early, bet the Niners live line.

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    Or watch the game, if RAMS up early, bet the Niners live line.

     
    umgmu
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 1:14 AM ET #5

    Always lock up profitan_light

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    Always lock up profitan_light

     
    Vegas502
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 1:48 AM ET #6

    Hedge what you put in. The parlay will be considered a free play if you lose

    No Gamble No Future
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    Hedge what you put in. The parlay will be considered a free play if you lose

     
    Bobbys_pregame
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 5:35 AM ET #7

    Hedge because Niners are winning this game by 3

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    Hedge because Niners are winning this game by 3

     
    szhcik
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 6:35 AM ET #8

    @Bobbys_pregame

     no they aint...rams win...hedging your geeing the bookie money...bookies luv hedgers...hate bet to layers.......secrets out...

    Sweet home ALABAMA
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    @Bobbys_pregame

     no they aint...rams win...hedging your geeing the bookie money...bookies luv hedgers...hate bet to layers.......secrets out...

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 11:30 AM ET #9

    surprisedpeaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    surprisedpeaceclover

     
    invest4profits
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 11:48 AM ET #10

    i have the exact same scenario, and considering the cashout or hedge myself. 

     

    Have one on bovada to win 1173 with a 558 cash out option... Makes sense to do a small hedge pre game and then maybe look for a live spot to hedge at plus money if rams can get up early

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    i have the exact same scenario, and considering the cashout or hedge myself. 

     

    Have one on bovada to win 1173 with a 558 cash out option... Makes sense to do a small hedge pre game and then maybe look for a live spot to hedge at plus money if rams can get up early

     
    invest4profits
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 11:48 AM ET #11

    @ActionMagnet

     exactly..... nothing better than a plus money hedge

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    @ActionMagnet

     exactly..... nothing better than a plus money hedge

     
    Ed-Collins
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 1:51 PM ET #12

    If you wish to hedge, why, why, WHY did you include that last leg on the parlay? If you hadn't included it, you would already have your "guaranteed profit" and you could now bet whatever you wanted on tonight's game.
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    If you wish to hedge, why, why, WHY did you include that last leg on the parlay? If you hadn't included it, you would already have your "guaranteed profit" and you could now bet whatever you wanted on tonight's game.
     
    ToddC
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 1:53 PM ET #13

    Consider yourself lucky the niners have a low line tonight.

     

    Always hedge in these opportunities…. More like hedge every time  peace_5

     

    T2
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    Consider yourself lucky the niners have a low line tonight.

     

    Always hedge in these opportunities…. More like hedge every time  peace_5

     

     
    Ed-Collins
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 1:53 PM ET #14

    https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/to-hedge-or-not-to-hedge-here-is-the-math-and-why-hedging-is-a-bad-idea-740779
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    https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/to-hedge-or-not-to-hedge-here-is-the-math-and-why-hedging-is-a-bad-idea-740779
     
    Ed-Collins
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 1:55 PM ET #15

    If you want to maximize your long-term profits, do NOT hedge.
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    If you want to maximize your long-term profits, do NOT hedge.
     
    skillahmang
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 2:02 PM ET #16

    Im glad schizik got canned

    lmao

     

    i would hedge half the profit or the buy in atleast

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    Im glad schizik got canned

    lmao

     

    i would hedge half the profit or the buy in atleast

     
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 2:19 PM ET #17

    Yes, I will be that a-hole and say why do so many people ask about hedging. 

     

    If you liked the game enough to put it in a the parlay, you should keep it. Otherwise you wouldn't have put it there in the first place.

     

    Usually people ask about hedging parlays where there's multiple games left, which you can't really hedge. That is not the case here. It's pretty dang obvious how to hedge this one, you simply bet whatever you want on the Niners.

     

    I dunno your financial situation, but unless you're a kid or in a bad situation, $900 is not something most people need to hedge out of. If it is, the answer is simple. No one knows your situation. No one knows how much a $200 or $400 hedge would mean to you. 

     

    But again, the answer is very simple. You can hedge up to $400 by simply betting against yourself and taking the Niners -1.5. However much you want to hedge is up to you and your financial situation. 

     

    And if you are going to hedge, try and do it soon because the line is moving towards -2 Niners on some sites. 

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    Yes, I will be that a-hole and say why do so many people ask about hedging. 

     

    If you liked the game enough to put it in a the parlay, you should keep it. Otherwise you wouldn't have put it there in the first place.

     

    Usually people ask about hedging parlays where there's multiple games left, which you can't really hedge. That is not the case here. It's pretty dang obvious how to hedge this one, you simply bet whatever you want on the Niners.

     

    I dunno your financial situation, but unless you're a kid or in a bad situation, $900 is not something most people need to hedge out of. If it is, the answer is simple. No one knows your situation. No one knows how much a $200 or $400 hedge would mean to you. 

     

    But again, the answer is very simple. You can hedge up to $400 by simply betting against yourself and taking the Niners -1.5. However much you want to hedge is up to you and your financial situation. 

     

    And if you are going to hedge, try and do it soon because the line is moving towards -2 Niners on some sites. 

     
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 2:31 PM ET #18

    @icanwinsomeday

     

     50$ bet? 100$? $400 2-teamer?

     

    Need more context 

     

    Sounds like losing the initial stake isn't a big deal to u so you could just ride it out....

     

    How many parlays do you make weekly? Just 1? 5? 10? 

     

    If its your only ticket this week and you only need to hit 1-2 tickets a year to make profit for the season do you let it ride??

     

     

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    @icanwinsomeday

     

     50$ bet? 100$? $400 2-teamer?

     

    Need more context 

     

    Sounds like losing the initial stake isn't a big deal to u so you could just ride it out....

     

    How many parlays do you make weekly? Just 1? 5? 10? 

     

    If its your only ticket this week and you only need to hit 1-2 tickets a year to make profit for the season do you let it ride??

     

     

     
    NFLMafia613
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 2:38 PM ET #19

    I'm in the same boat. I bet a six team parlay and only threw down 5 dollars to win 263.00 dollars. Have a cash out for 110.00 or ride it out tonight. Picked the Rams to win. Doing some more research this afternoon. 

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    I'm in the same boat. I bet a six team parlay and only threw down 5 dollars to win 263.00 dollars. Have a cash out for 110.00 or ride it out tonight. Picked the Rams to win. Doing some more research this afternoon. 

     
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 2:46 PM ET #20

    @NFLMafia613

     110/5 = 22

     

    Highly unlikely u can continue to hit 6-teamers at a 1/22 rate ....unless u take the money and only make 15-20 more 5$ parlays all season and lock in profit

     

    263/5= 52.5

     

    Possible to hit 6-teamers at a 1/53 rate but still might not hit at that rate

     

     

     

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    @NFLMafia613

     110/5 = 22

     

    Highly unlikely u can continue to hit 6-teamers at a 1/22 rate ....unless u take the money and only make 15-20 more 5$ parlays all season and lock in profit

     

    263/5= 52.5

     

    Possible to hit 6-teamers at a 1/53 rate but still might not hit at that rate

     

     

     

     
    Wildbetsmn
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 3:31 PM ET #21

    These are tough. My rule is if it pays over 3k I'll hedge a little bit and it's usually just my wager x2 not half or a substantial amount. No reason to do them if your not going to follow all the way through with it. 

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    These are tough. My rule is if it pays over 3k I'll hedge a little bit and it's usually just my wager x2 not half or a substantial amount. No reason to do them if your not going to follow all the way through with it. 

     
    OverAmbassador
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 3:34 PM ET #22

    Hedge your initial wager on rams +1.5.

     

     

    Wait for an in game live opportunity to get rams at + odds on the ML.

     

    Always hedge brother. This is a turtle race in the end....take profits when you can and eliminate any risk of losing money when you can  peace_5

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    Hedge your initial wager on rams +1.5.

     

     

    Wait for an in game live opportunity to get rams at + odds on the ML.

     

    Always hedge brother. This is a turtle race in the end....take profits when you can and eliminate any risk of losing money when you can  peace_5

     
    Seymourbukz
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 3:46 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by icanwinsomeday:

    the ticket payout is close to 900$


    It’s not life changing money just let it ride or hedge half plain and simple 

    @cm2bm
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    Quote Originally Posted by icanwinsomeday:

    the ticket payout is close to 900$


    It’s not life changing money just let it ride or hedge half plain and simple 

     
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 4:03 PM ET #24

    @OverAmbassador

     That's why we need context...if he a $20 bettor a week 900 is a lot...

     

    If he's betting $500 a week its just a weeks worth + a bit 

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    @OverAmbassador

     That's why we need context...if he a $20 bettor a week 900 is a lot...

     

    If he's betting $500 a week its just a weeks worth + a bit 

     
     
    LVRaiders335i
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    Posted: Oct. 3, 2022 - 4:38 PM ET #25

    I would tease

     

    49ers n under

    rams n over 

    both 7 points 

    San Fran ML  straight bets 

    21-23 final either way 

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    I would tease

     

    49ers n under

    rams n over 

    both 7 points 

    San Fran ML  straight bets 

    21-23 final either way 

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