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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    BENGALS vs RAVENS

    12 Next Last»
    WilliamMunny
    bigjc
    Bet_The_House
    Bluejay50
    tjohnsont35
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 3048
    Posts: 44
    12 Next Last»
     
    WilliamMunny
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 3:33 PM ET #1

    Just locked in a play on my Ravens. I truly believe Lamar will play. Line is inflated due to the uncertainty Once we know he is playing the line will plummet. So first play of the weekend is. 

     

    RAVENS +7 bought a half

     

    If he doesn’t play I may be screwed  an_roll_laugh

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Just locked in a play on my Ravens. I truly believe Lamar will play. Line is inflated due to the uncertainty Once we know he is playing the line will plummet. So first play of the weekend is. 

     

    RAVENS +7 bought a half

     

    If he doesn’t play I may be screwed  an_roll_laugh

     

     
    bigjc
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 3:40 PM ET #2

    He doesn't really give a crap about taking that team anywhere until he gets paid

    Gambling isn't about money; it's about the thrill of the risk
    Reply

    He doesn't really give a crap about taking that team anywhere until he gets paid

     
    Bet_The_House
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 4:12 PM ET #3

    I like the play but you lost credibility buying the half point. If you buy a half point and it costs you 10 or 15% the chance that the half point matters is significantly less than the percentage amount you pay for it. Good way to lose money long term.

    Reply

    I like the play but you lost credibility buying the half point. If you buy a half point and it costs you 10 or 15% the chance that the half point matters is significantly less than the percentage amount you pay for it. Good way to lose money long term.

     
    Bluejay50
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 4:16 PM ET #4

    Lamar hasn’t practiced in a month and if he does play, it will likely be not at full strength.   Losing that much practice time hurts anyone.  Don’t expect typical heroics even if he does play.  Bengals are as hot as any team right now.  Can’t go against them at under a TD 

    Reply

    Lamar hasn’t practiced in a month and if he does play, it will likely be not at full strength.   Losing that much practice time hurts anyone.  Don’t expect typical heroics even if he does play.  Bengals are as hot as any team right now.  Can’t go against them at under a TD 

     
    tjohnsont35
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 4:22 PM ET #5

    Looks like Huntley might play.  A lot of people expecting Lamar and Tua to play which I doubt. 

    Reply

    Looks like Huntley might play.  A lot of people expecting Lamar and Tua to play which I doubt. 

     
    BrazenBurrow
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 4:54 PM ET #6

    The Bengals played like shit in the 2nd half, and still won by 11pts. Coach Taylor will correct that; hence you may want to buy another 7pts to have a chance. Even if Lamar plays. new_moj_wink

    Reply

    The Bengals played like shit in the 2nd half, and still won by 11pts. Coach Taylor will correct that; hence you may want to buy another 7pts to have a chance. Even if Lamar plays. new_moj_wink

     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 5:26 PM ET #7

    GL munny. Still getting a feel for this one and will have my thoughts soon. peace_5clover

    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply

    GL munny. Still getting a feel for this one and will have my thoughts soon. peace_5clover

     
    D-Town
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 7:02 AM ET #8

    Good luck WM.  an_cheers

    Reply

    Good luck WM.  an_cheers

     
    DvsRob
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 7:32 AM ET #9

    @WilliamMunny

     Why not just wait to see if he playing LOL 

    Hunter Biden's Crack Pipe Is Hot
    Reply

    @WilliamMunny

     Why not just wait to see if he playing LOL 

     
    Skog
    Skog
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 8:10 AM ET #10

    @Bet_The_House

     2.5 is the one place you always have to buy the hook.

    6.5 is a close second.

    I would have bought it

    Reply

    @Bet_The_House

     2.5 is the one place you always have to buy the hook.

    6.5 is a close second.

    I would have bought it

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 9:26 AM ET #11

    @BrazenBurrow

     good luckkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkan_shake

    Reply

    @BrazenBurrow

     good luckkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkan_shake

     
    Digitalkarma
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 10:09 AM ET #12

    Munny my thoughts are in I think we will be fine with Huntley but if Lamar plays that's alright too . We'll make this game close just not sure if we win with Snoop? Our defense will really have to be on point and I believe they will give us a fighting chance. 

     

    Cincy down another O-lineman, Ravens pass rush is decent and got to Burrow at times. Just need to get him off his rhythm. Fortunately don't need to rely heavily on blitzes this year. Ravens +6.5 for me. If it goes up I will take it again peace_5 

     

     

     

    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply

    Munny my thoughts are in I think we will be fine with Huntley but if Lamar plays that's alright too . We'll make this game close just not sure if we win with Snoop? Our defense will really have to be on point and I believe they will give us a fighting chance. 

     

    Cincy down another O-lineman, Ravens pass rush is decent and got to Burrow at times. Just need to get him off his rhythm. Fortunately don't need to rely heavily on blitzes this year. Ravens +6.5 for me. If it goes up I will take it again peace_5 

     

     

     

     
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 10:14 AM ET #13

    @Skog

     Exactly thank you 

    Reply

    @Skog

     Exactly thank you 

     
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 10:19 AM ET #14

    @BrazenBurrow

     Ravens played with there third string QB who was making his first NFL start. It’s a division opponent. Raven D is very good. Bengals have scored 3 points in the second half last two games. 

    Reply

    @BrazenBurrow

     Ravens played with there third string QB who was making his first NFL start. It’s a division opponent. Raven D is very good. Bengals have scored 3 points in the second half last two games. 

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 12:36 PM ET #15

    GL clover@WilliamMunnypeace_5

     

    Why not take the +pts @ a premium w/ a division opponent, could be a close game, saying it could be a blowout in a wildcard game?confused

     

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
    Reply

    GL clover@WilliamMunnypeace_5

     

    Why not take the +pts @ a premium w/ a division opponent, could be a close game, saying it could be a blowout in a wildcard game?confused

     

     

     
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 3:03 PM ET #16

    Last nine games the Ravens D has given up an avg of 14.6 pts per game. Five of those games were with a backup QB 

    Reply

    Last nine games the Ravens D has given up an avg of 14.6 pts per game. Five of those games were with a backup QB 

     
    WilliamMunny
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 3:04 PM ET #17

    @Macwestie1

     peace_5

    Reply

    @Macwestie1

     peace_5

     
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 3:05 PM ET #18

    @Digitalkarma

     Completely agree and signing Roquan is a plus. He will come out on fire. Ravens will lean on run game to keep burrow off the field. 

    Reply

    @Digitalkarma

     Completely agree and signing Roquan is a plus. He will come out on fire. Ravens will lean on run game to keep burrow off the field. 

     
    Wizerguy
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 4:20 PM ET #19

    Cinn's offense PF 27 PA 16, Cinn's  final score looks like a dominate performance. However, they scored 14 pts off the 2 interceptions from the 3rd stringer and their defense  scored 7 off a fumble ret for a TD...thats 21 pts. Pure points final 6-16.  For Balty, they scored 16 PF and 27 PA you cant charge their  defense for the fumble ret for TD because they were not on the field at that time., so that has to be removed from Balty PA in that gm. Also, Balty scored 3pts off Cinn turnover. Pure points final 13-20. 

     

       Since Cinn won the game which would look like dominating fashion to the novice football watcher.. we will spotlight them. When you have a team in Cinn that scores 14 pts off the 2 Ints from a 3rd string QB and their defense ret a fumble back for a td, that's not a true indication of their "true" offensive output because Cinn was aided by those turnovers, so You cant charge Cinn offense with the 14 pts as mentioned. Also, you cant charge the 7 as well because Cinn offense wasnt on the field at that time, their defense was the one that scored the 7. Those 21 points have to be removed from Cinn final score in order to get the "true" pure points for (TPPF) in order to properly handicap that gm, same with baltys.  When you include that game in both teams 4 game series Baltys last 4 away and Cinn last 4 home, you must average in those 2 scores with the previous 3 games ( away/home) and include the AOPR of ea opponent in that 4 game series ( away/home) and find out the win margin vs that AOPR in that series  to try and get a line on this game. Its complicating I know. These are division opponents. They know ea other, both sport the same TPPA defense at 18 , Cinn has the better offense and balty just cant score with Huntley. However I believe  he will be ok in this game and my #'s show a different outcome this time if Huntley plays clean..my money will be on the balty defesne to slow Burrows down, and the coaches to adjust..dont think they win..but it will be a 3-4 pt game imo.peace_5 The dog covers when these 2 take the field this year. 3rd times the charm

    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
    Reply

    Cinn's offense PF 27 PA 16, Cinn's  final score looks like a dominate performance. However, they scored 14 pts off the 2 interceptions from the 3rd stringer and their defense  scored 7 off a fumble ret for a TD...thats 21 pts. Pure points final 6-16.  For Balty, they scored 16 PF and 27 PA you cant charge their  defense for the fumble ret for TD because they were not on the field at that time., so that has to be removed from Balty PA in that gm. Also, Balty scored 3pts off Cinn turnover. Pure points final 13-20. 

     

       Since Cinn won the game which would look like dominating fashion to the novice football watcher.. we will spotlight them. When you have a team in Cinn that scores 14 pts off the 2 Ints from a 3rd string QB and their defense ret a fumble back for a td, that's not a true indication of their "true" offensive output because Cinn was aided by those turnovers, so You cant charge Cinn offense with the 14 pts as mentioned. Also, you cant charge the 7 as well because Cinn offense wasnt on the field at that time, their defense was the one that scored the 7. Those 21 points have to be removed from Cinn final score in order to get the "true" pure points for (TPPF) in order to properly handicap that gm, same with baltys.  When you include that game in both teams 4 game series Baltys last 4 away and Cinn last 4 home, you must average in those 2 scores with the previous 3 games ( away/home) and include the AOPR of ea opponent in that 4 game series ( away/home) and find out the win margin vs that AOPR in that series  to try and get a line on this game. Its complicating I know. These are division opponents. They know ea other, both sport the same TPPA defense at 18 , Cinn has the better offense and balty just cant score with Huntley. However I believe  he will be ok in this game and my #'s show a different outcome this time if Huntley plays clean..my money will be on the balty defesne to slow Burrows down, and the coaches to adjust..dont think they win..but it will be a 3-4 pt game imo.peace_5 The dog covers when these 2 take the field this year. 3rd times the charm

     
    Wizerguy
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 4:24 PM ET #20

    .

    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
    Reply

    .

     
    dubz4dummyz
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 4:29 PM ET #21

    @Wizerguy

     Great analysis, especially the chance of 14+ points off turnovers again. 

     

    Plus a bunch of ravens starters didn't play...

    If Lamar plays, ravens get that true dual-threat game

     

    Reply

    @Wizerguy

     Great analysis, especially the chance of 14+ points off turnovers again. 

     

    Plus a bunch of ravens starters didn't play...

    If Lamar plays, ravens get that true dual-threat game

     

     
    Wizerguy
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 4:52 PM ET #22

    @dubz4dummyz

     peace_5

    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
    Reply

    @dubz4dummyz

     peace_5

     
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 5:08 PM ET #23

    @Wizerguy

     

     Well said an_cheers

     

    as a raven fan it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they won. Well maybe a little. A big key is this is a division opponent. Those games are just different. The Raven D will be vicious come Sunday. They know it’s on them to lead the team. Ever since Roquan showed up the D has risen to elite one of the best on the league 

    Reply

    @Wizerguy

     

     Well said an_cheers

     

    as a raven fan it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they won. Well maybe a little. A big key is this is a division opponent. Those games are just different. The Raven D will be vicious come Sunday. They know it’s on them to lead the team. Ever since Roquan showed up the D has risen to elite one of the best on the league 

     
    szhcik
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 5:33 PM ET #24

    @WilliamMunny

     fab half fit qb...cincin bro...i hope...an_cheers

    Sweet home ALABAMA
    Reply

    @WilliamMunny

     fab half fit qb...cincin bro...i hope...an_cheers

     
     
    lmb4321
    lmb4321
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2014
    Posts: 12492
    Posted: Jan. 10, 2023 - 5:45 PM ET #25

    @Wizerguy

     Like the write-up and in total agreement....peace_5

    Reply

    @Wizerguy

     Like the write-up and in total agreement....peace_5

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