Something I've tracked for years and use occasionally. If a team scores a TD in the 1st quarter and "wins" the quarter, they win the game 77% of the time. I've back tracked it 10 years. This week, so far, it went 9-0. When I bet live, I parlay a few of them and have hit consistently. Hard to line them up all the time, but now that the later games are the same time, you could do it. Some games you'll be eating a lot of juice.
*Correction, the stat was 8-0 this week so far. I thought the Broncos kicked two FG's but they scored a TD and missed the XP, so the Raiders win doesn't count in the stat as the score should have been tied 7-7. I mean, I guess it could be counted since the Raiders "won" the 1 quarter, but I mean technically it would have been tied.
LOVE IT.....kudos
Bro ... Read what he wrote ... He said if a team scores a touchdown, and wins the first 1/4 ...
So if the Bills score a TD in the first 1/4 and are leading 10 - 7 at the end of the first 1/4, then yes, its obviously a play ...
Sorry if it’s confusing guys. As long as team wins quarter one and scores a TD, they will win the game 77% if the time.
If a team is a heavy favorite and they go up 7-0 or 10-0 or something, the juice is gonna be insane. If you only play less juiced ones, you’re not gonna experience that 77% though. So gotta parlay to bring that favorite down.
Ideal would be a home team that’s a pregame 3 point favorite (so basically a pick ‘em) that scores a TD in the first quarter and wins the first quarter but the opposing team is driving in their territory. That would be minimal juice.
77%?? I looked at the last three years where a team did score a TD in the first quarter and led the game (won the quarter)
2020-2021 season 125-71 (71%)
2021-2022 season 125-46 (73%)
2022-2023 season 100-58 (63%)
Total for those three 350-175 (67%)
It would have to be huge in the years prior to get to 77% and the win rate is nice, but not sure it's 77%. Thanks for the info regardless
This stat went 2-1 this morning. I parlayed Colts/Ravens for even money. Was trying to get the bears in there too but they finished the quarter way early and Buccs were driving in the red zone when Colts/Ravens got to 2nd quarter. Good thing I didn't cause they lost, they actually had a chance to drive and win it though.
would have to agree. Not discounting the win percentage. But if parlays are being used you are at the mercy of well everything. Love this stat and really like that the O.P. Is thinking outside of the box!
That maddness night not work for prime time tht is why 77%....he gave ya the formula the rest is for ya to figure it out...maybe he missing some...ya fill the gab....its help one reach one....ya seem to just come here for free pick.....
....trust me no1 know everything..we just doin out best to be the best....crack the higher ups....bla bla bla
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