Im letting u have it simply becuase baseball is coming up. I live for it so therefore I stop betting bball around now.
Using EXAMPLE stats
Lets say the Bulls are avg 98 PPG at home.
The are playing the Blazers. They are avg 92 PPG away
Bulls -7
Blazers are defensively giving up 90 PPG
Bulls are giving up 93 Blazers are now -3
Bulls-7
Blazers -3
Bulls -4
Say the actual line is Bulls -10
U take the Bulls
Say the line is Bulls +6
Then u take the Blazers.
Take the opposite of your line. Then what u need to do is take the public consensus. If the team your ready to nail is the public favorite over 60% LEAVE IT ALONE!!! The plan didnt work
The lower the public likes the team the better the bet.
Then look at your normal every day handicapping theories. (IE: did they cover 5 in a row? Did they play three games in four days? Ya know shit like that.
Good luck.
NBA ONLY USE HOME AND AWAY
NCAA ONLY USE OVERALL
If the public likes the favorite by less than 55% and its the same team u want to bang then just remember the lower the public the better, I can answer questions but I will not reveal my public Con. Source.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Im letting u have it simply becuase baseball is coming up. I live for it so therefore I stop betting bball around now.
Using EXAMPLE stats
Lets say the Bulls are avg 98 PPG at home.
The are playing the Blazers. They are avg 92 PPG away
Bulls -7
Blazers are defensively giving up 90 PPG
Bulls are giving up 93 Blazers are now -3
Bulls-7
Blazers -3
Bulls -4
Say the actual line is Bulls -10
U take the Bulls
Say the line is Bulls +6
Then u take the Blazers.
Take the opposite of your line. Then what u need to do is take the public consensus. If the team your ready to nail is the public favorite over 60% LEAVE IT ALONE!!! The plan didnt work
The lower the public likes the team the better the bet.
Then look at your normal every day handicapping theories. (IE: did they cover 5 in a row? Did they play three games in four days? Ya know shit like that.
Good luck.
NBA ONLY USE HOME AND AWAY
NCAA ONLY USE OVERALL
If the public likes the favorite by less than 55% and its the same team u want to bang then just remember the lower the public the better, I can answer questions but I will not reveal my public Con. Source.
the way you just described the points is how Vegas makes the line (IMO, from checking those numbers for most games they are usually right on), it doesnt take much to put a line out when they just average the scoring for a team and the defense points given up and find the middle, then the home team usually gets 0-2 points in the NBA depending on the match up, just like football usually gets a FG at home...its rare to find a game above 3-4 points in the NBA of the average (unless the star player is out), when you do you pound it just like you said.... this theory doesnt always work tho, sometimes you need to go on your gut feeling, but its def a good tool to use in picking games..... great post by the way!
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the way you just described the points is how Vegas makes the line (IMO, from checking those numbers for most games they are usually right on), it doesnt take much to put a line out when they just average the scoring for a team and the defense points given up and find the middle, then the home team usually gets 0-2 points in the NBA depending on the match up, just like football usually gets a FG at home...its rare to find a game above 3-4 points in the NBA of the average (unless the star player is out), when you do you pound it just like you said.... this theory doesnt always work tho, sometimes you need to go on your gut feeling, but its def a good tool to use in picking games..... great post by the way!
All of you guys will want to be here in MKD when u read this:
Here lines are made very early, maybe 15h before the game, and they never change them!!!So all you do is wait and see if the line is droping or not and make your play...and they always take the regular time score so UNDER is much much better then the OVER...i made lots of $$$ knowing their mistakes...too bad you cant bet here...
GL TO ALL
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All of you guys will want to be here in MKD when u read this:
Here lines are made very early, maybe 15h before the game, and they never change them!!!So all you do is wait and see if the line is droping or not and make your play...and they always take the regular time score so UNDER is much much better then the OVER...i made lots of $$$ knowing their mistakes...too bad you cant bet here...
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