Post #2016 in 2016

NBA Playoffs 2017 = Fav's & Overs

AND

If Warriors & Cavs both sweep their way to The Finals
there will be a 9 day wait, and b/c of the TV Ads sold,
there's  nearly no likelyhood of pushing the date ahead.

This is first season in NBA istory in which 2 teams
started the postseason 8-0. 

Now it's even more of a record, with
GS 10-0
Clev 9-0

New York 2B Starlin Castro (ex-Cubs traded to NYY)
joined Alfonso Soriano (also a Cubs player traded to NYY)
as the only Yankees with at least 18 multi-hit performances
in the team's first 37 games. 

 Race 13, Preakness S. (Grade I)

Trifecta Box:
#2 Cloud Computing
#3 Hence

Ahhhh...somebody's talking Preakness Trifecta

 combination box: $200

WIN) Classic Empire

PLACE) Always Dreaming

SHOW) Cloud Computing

 see ya at the WINNERS WINDOW

s_N,

Taking your "hit-the-board" ponies
with my nags in a Superfecta Box
b/c these 4 horses look the best..
   

So the Pop-#'s tell us that we should see some pride
and thus a closely contested NBA game (San Ant +6).

Those Pop-#'s tell us we should see some Spurs Pride
and thus a closely contested NBA game (San Ant +6).

1st5 := FIRST FIVE (Opening day upto 20 May)

Texas road-runs (avg.): For 2.95, Foe = 1.63 —
the Tex Pen let in 3rd-most runs post-5th-inning
(as of 20-V-17):

Thus, Andrew Cashner is 1-3, 3 no-decisions —
the 1st5-inning record he has is 4-2-1.

Also, Tampa Bay is experiencing Pen issues:
TB @home-runs/game: For = 3.13, Foe = 1.87

Thus, Matt Andriese is 3-1, 4 no-decisions —
but his 1st5 record is 7-1
and likewise
Chris Archer's overall 3-2, 4 no-decisions —
and yet for the 1st5-innings he is 6-2-1.



///   MORE FF STATs   ///

LAD @home-runs/game: For = 3.86, Foe = 1.71 => WINs

NYM road-runs/g: For = 3.95, Foe = 3.63 => OVERs

StL road-runs/g: For = 3.50, Foe = 2.38 => WIN's & OVERs

SF @home-runs/g: For = 1.95, Foe = 1.62 => UNDERs

KC @home-runs/g: For = 1.96, Foe = 2.17 => LOSS's & UNDERs

The Preakness

Pens are 12-2 in the Playoffs after a loss with Mike Sullivan as HC.

^^^ Yes, the Pens are the epitome of NOT judging the next game
by the previous performance — e.g., they looked so horribly timid
vs. the Caps, and then the very next they dominated both ends of
the ice, just like they did last night.

Tho' it must be said that Craig Anderson did NOT play well for the
1st time in the Playoffs; if he had, the Sens would've won that game.

NCAAF
TCU's Kenny Hill back, but struggled under pressure 3rd downs
but their defense was so porous allowing 187 rush yds/game,
and they lost 5 games at home by a 12.2 pts /game margin
(good teams just don't lose that many games at home)
and thet play a very difficult schedule...

Play their Win-total UNDER.

The Preakness


NO. 1 MULTIPLIER
Odds: 30-1
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Trainer: Brendan Walsh
Race record: 4 starts, 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third.
Why he can win: He has done little wrong in his career,
and put up a decent speed figure in winning the Illinois Derby. Seems to be improving and this is a logical step up.


NO. 2 CLOUD COMPUTING
Odds: 12-1.
Jockey: Javier Castellano.
Trainer: Chad Brown.
Race record: 3-1-1-1.
Why he can win: He has a very solid trainer and has yet to miss the board in three starts. He could have run in the Derby but Brown opted to wait for this.


NO. 3 HENCE
Odds: 20-1.
Jockey: Florent Geroux.
Trainer: Steve Assmussen.
Race record: 7-2-1-1.
Why he can win: His Sunland Derby win was as impressive as any of the preps, and if he runs back to that, he should be in the mix.


NO. 4 ALWAYS DREAMING
Odds: 4-5.
Jockey: John Velazquez.
Trainer: Todd Pletcher.
Race record: 6-4-1-1.
Why he can win: Got the perfect trip in the Derby, and could easily get a similar run here. Derby form usually carries over to this race, and he has every reason to run another big one here.


NO. 5 CLASSIC EMPIRE
Odds: 3-1.
Jockey: Julien Leparoux
Trainer: Mark Casse
Race record: 8-5-0-1.
Why he can win: Might have been the best horse in the Derby but never had any chance after a world of trouble that left him battered and beaten. He still managed to run fourth, and with a cleaner trip should be right there at the finish.


NO. 6 GUNNEVERA
Odds: 15-1.
Jockey: Mike Smith.
Trainer: Antonio Sano.
Race record: 10-4-2-1.
Why he can win: Like a lot of horses in the Derby, he lost all chance at the start and then had more trouble in the stretch and still finished a respectable seventh. Should get a much better trip this time around. Switches to veteran jockey Smith and should be in the mix late.


NO. 7 TERM OF ART
Odds: 30-1.
Jockey: Jose Ortiz.
Trainer: Doug O’Neill.
Race record: 9-2-1-2.
Why he can win: He has been rested since the Santa Anita Derby, and he ran behind the brilliant Mastery two back, who was injured or would have been a heavy Derby favorite. Should thrive with more distance.


NO. 8 SENIOR INVESTMENT
Odds: 30-1.
Jockey: Channing Hill.
Trainer: Kenny McPeek.
Race record: 8-3-0-1.
Why he can win: He is another closer who has won four of his last five. Another improving horse and McPeek’s runners have hit the board in the Triple Crown races at big prices in the past.


NO. 9 LOOKIN AT LEE
Odds: 10-1.
Jockey: Corey Lanerie.
Trainer: Steve Asmussen.
Race record: 10-2-3-2.
Why he can win: He is ultra consistent, and always seems to fire. His Derby was terrific, and he was the only horse to make a serious run at the winner.


NO. 10 CONQUEST MO MONEY
Odds: 15-1.
Jockey: Jorge Carreno.
Trainer: Miguel Hernandez.
Race record: 5-3-2-0.
Why he can win: He could easily find himself on the lead without a lot of pace pressure. His Arkansas Derby was terrific, when he hung on for second after a contested early pace. If he gets by with easy fractions here, he won’t quit without a fight.

Golden State in Playoff Game #3 are 1-9 SUATS for the 1st Half.

2017 Playoff teams that lost the 1st 2 games of the series
have covered the 1st-half pointspread 9 times out of 9...

Pop's as sure Aldrige is a great player
(not the Dumb Dork on both court ends)
as he is the current US Pres is the dumbest & worst ever.

He is too old & set in old ways...
He has David Lee, who'd love to show his old GS team
what they lost in trading him away... But Pop can't see him play
let alone start.

Celts, if they can muster up sufficient effort (which is near impossible
because they now are fully certain their team has no chance to win
and are not going to ruin their careers just to cover for Bookies)
than such supreme effort makes their team a wash with the Cavs...
and then LeBron's 30+ points come in on top of that...
which easily covers the -17.5 spread.

Toward justification of victory by 17 points by LBJ's Cavs.



LeBron feels the mass media's doubters that he's GOAT
and he has one sure-fire way to make their talk less loud.
Back-to-back blowouts. 

Olynyk made sure LeBron has one less ring; & documented is the
same dirty move he tried again this year on the Bulls' Robin Lopez when the Bulls were spanking the Celts' behinds for the 2nd time in
a row.  So for the Boston to quite happily retain Olynyk's services is
what makes LeBron & his whole team despise with great passion
the entire Celtics organization.
LeBron knows that an organization, thru inaction, sanctions such
dirty play; for LBJ knows that a much poorer team in a much
smaller market like Sac can and did show Boogie the door out
(for doing a lot less) and Boogie is at least double the impact of
play to be lost compared to that of Olynyk.

Also, LeBron is not doing any Bookies any favors —
knowing now what he's learned from what his buddy
D. Wade learned about the Chgo mob & MJ's Dad.

Bron knows GS watches his army,
as they know Cavs watch them
(and not just the scouts and advance-club stat guys
- the players themselves)
and when GS beats Portland at home by 29,
then just recently tops that huge margin of victory
by beating Spurs by 36...
the Cavs will equal the record-blowout
to show that it was no fluke
whilst, in turn, it sends a shot across the bow of Waracle Arena.
GS topped out at  -14 and won by 36 ! And vs. the Spurs, no less !!
Therefore the Cavs, to feel as great as the Dubs, MUST
win by at least 36 points.

Nobody ought to expect Lebron to respect -16 pts.
He'll need his team to win by more than 36 points
b/c the Celts are considered far less worthy an opponent
than are the Spurs)...
so Bron has to feel he & his team have, once again,
been disrespected,
for that lined # isn't at least -23 as it, at least, ought to be.

LBJ knows his supporters feel it's a case of
the NBA's GOAT vs. the midget line of -16,
(rather than at least -23).

Any thoughts on 1q -5.5 and 1h -10.5?

GS beat the Trail Blazers covering by 17:
1Q by 16; 2Q lost by 7; 3Q by 16; 4Q by 4

GS whipped Spurs covering by 22.5:
1Q by 17; 2Q by 11; 3Q by 3; 4Q by 5

Cavs beat Celts & covered ats by 27 thusly:
1Q lost by 1; 2Q by 16; 3Q by 9; 4Q lost by 1

Then in Game #1 covered ats by 8.5 thusly:
1Q by 11; 2Q by 11; 3Q lost by 5; 4Q lost by 4

And lastly covered by 39 points as follows:
1Q by 14; 2Q by 27; 3Q by 5; 4Q lost by 2

The data listed above would lead one to take the Cavs for the 1st H
to be sure,
and the 2nd Q as well.

The Go State data are listed because LBJ & his Cavalier partners
are comparing and trying hard to not only measure up
but also intimidate the other, pre-game.

Cavs -19 (+144)

8 total TO's in Game 2
tonight 9 in the 1st Half
for 10 Boston points, or
the Cav's would be up
by 26 points at the Half.

Should add at least 3 pts
to the margin of victory in
both the 3rd & 4th Q's...