I will be on the first half under, and I will also take the Grizzlies +3.5 first half. We'll see how the first half goes. If it goes like the rest of the Pacers' games have gone, I'll play the second half over and Pacers second half.
No play on the Grizzlies Team Total. My rule is only if their team total is 90 or above to I take the under. Currently it's at 88.5...that's a no play for me.
Again, I'm not worried this early in the year about being tired playing 5 games in 7 nights. They were off last night, they have a deep bench and they are healthy.
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I will be on the first half under, and I will also take the Grizzlies +3.5 first half. We'll see how the first half goes. If it goes like the rest of the Pacers' games have gone, I'll play the second half over and Pacers second half.
No play on the Grizzlies Team Total. My rule is only if their team total is 90 or above to I take the under. Currently it's at 88.5...that's a no play for me.
Again, I'm not worried this early in the year about being tired playing 5 games in 7 nights. They were off last night, they have a deep bench and they are healthy.
Your rule is if the opposing team has a TT to 90 or above you take the under??
Yes...so far the team totals for Pacers opponents have been: 87, 90, 74, 91, 80, 84, 91. All have hit the under in the posted Team Total. Something I'm hoping to see is the books overadjust these numbers, and then start taking the over. Looks to me like the teams are averaging 86-88 pts against the Pacers...If the books start posting numbers like 86 and under...might be a good time to start jumping on the over, but we'll see what the numbers show.
Want to emphasize, I'm not going to be correct on all these bets. But I think I can hit 65-70% of these. Don't bet too much on any certain bet, but in the long term I think the Pacers can be a very profitable team.
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Quote Originally Posted by ohone:
Staying on this ride, thanks for the write ups.
Your rule is if the opposing team has a TT to 90 or above you take the under??
Yes...so far the team totals for Pacers opponents have been: 87, 90, 74, 91, 80, 84, 91. All have hit the under in the posted Team Total. Something I'm hoping to see is the books overadjust these numbers, and then start taking the over. Looks to me like the teams are averaging 86-88 pts against the Pacers...If the books start posting numbers like 86 and under...might be a good time to start jumping on the over, but we'll see what the numbers show.
Want to emphasize, I'm not going to be correct on all these bets. But I think I can hit 65-70% of these. Don't bet too much on any certain bet, but in the long term I think the Pacers can be a very profitable team.
Pacers have found something against the Grizzlies in transition. Everytime Memphis misses, pacers run and beat them down the floor. We'll be lucky to hit the first half under...but pacers are wearing the Grizzlies down already. I'll be on the Pacers 2nd half most likely,
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Pacers have found something against the Grizzlies in transition. Everytime Memphis misses, pacers run and beat them down the floor. We'll be lucky to hit the first half under...but pacers are wearing the Grizzlies down already. I'll be on the Pacers 2nd half most likely,
Going to go with Pacers 2h -1.5 here. Their starters haven't played a lot, and the Pacers bigs are dominating inside. Pacers bench actually extended the lead against Memphis against Memphis starters.
No opinion on the total on the 2h. Normally it might be a 2h over play, but both teams are playing some pretty tough defense. GL all
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Going to go with Pacers 2h -1.5 here. Their starters haven't played a lot, and the Pacers bigs are dominating inside. Pacers bench actually extended the lead against Memphis against Memphis starters.
No opinion on the total on the 2h. Normally it might be a 2h over play, but both teams are playing some pretty tough defense. GL all
Nice hits tonight on the first half under and Pacers 2h.
If Hill, Stephenson, George, and Hibbert play like this...this is the best team in the league by far. The bench is full of guys that could start for some teams, and with Paul George now they finally have that superstar they've been missing.
Still loving these first half unders, and Pacers 2h. Lots of value til the numbers catch up.
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Nice hits tonight on the first half under and Pacers 2h.
If Hill, Stephenson, George, and Hibbert play like this...this is the best team in the league by far. The bench is full of guys that could start for some teams, and with Paul George now they finally have that superstar they've been missing.
Still loving these first half unders, and Pacers 2h. Lots of value til the numbers catch up.
Tough game to handicap with all the injuries the Bucks have. Lots of questionable guys, but some may play and of course will be limited. I can't think of a worse team to be shorthanded against since the Pacers can send waves a guys out there. Read an article that said the Bucks may only dress 7 guys...lol. Pacers have a 9 man rotation.
I'm not going to lay 14.5, but if this line gets down to 12.5 or lower, I'll take a shot. Here's why: Pacers have guys on their bench that are still fighting for playing time, and remember Granger is 1-2 weeks away from coming back. If this game gets out of control, and Vogel puts the subs in, these guys will be playing at a high level to impress the coaches, and it's hard to blame them. I know I talk about him a lot, but Chris Copeland can't get any playing time...that's how good this bench is. Also, this team isn't made of flashy guys looking to goof around at the end of the game. Vogel won't allow it...and West, and George won't allow it. They will be business all the way through every game. That being said, 14.5 is a ton of points in the NBA...too much for me. But if it gets to 12.5...I'll take it.
Back to the game. I said at the beginning of the year I expect to hit 65-70% of wagers on the Pacers and so far we've been ahead of that. The first half under has hit every single game, and even though we all know that won't last all year, my opinion is we stick with it. Total is 92.5...I'll be on that now because I think it may come down a bit. I'll be honest, I think the Pacers score some points the first half, but I have no clue where the Bucks points will come from. I'm also going to put just a little bit on the Bucks TT under 85. I know my rule is play the TT under if it's 90 or above, but the Bucks have no healthy bigs which means Hibbert, West, and Mahinmi should have no trouble dominating the paint so I'll take a stab at the Bucks under 85.
Interesting stat...Pacers are the only team to not score over 100 points this year. Team Total tonight is set at 99. I'm staying away from that one though.
I won't be able to watch the entire game tonight, but I'll try and post 2H plays. If I'm not able to post, here are my thoughts.
Best case scenario would be the Pacers to be up by 7-9 points at half. Catch a second half line like Pacers -5, and jump on that. I will probably stay away from Totals in the second half because if this gets to be a blowout, the 4th quarter could be weird. If Pacers are up big at half, I'm going to stay away completely. If Bucks hang with them, and it's tied or Bucks are somehow ahead, I don't like laying double digits in the second half, but I will take the Pacers TT over (that's only if the score is close at half).
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Tough game to handicap with all the injuries the Bucks have. Lots of questionable guys, but some may play and of course will be limited. I can't think of a worse team to be shorthanded against since the Pacers can send waves a guys out there. Read an article that said the Bucks may only dress 7 guys...lol. Pacers have a 9 man rotation.
I'm not going to lay 14.5, but if this line gets down to 12.5 or lower, I'll take a shot. Here's why: Pacers have guys on their bench that are still fighting for playing time, and remember Granger is 1-2 weeks away from coming back. If this game gets out of control, and Vogel puts the subs in, these guys will be playing at a high level to impress the coaches, and it's hard to blame them. I know I talk about him a lot, but Chris Copeland can't get any playing time...that's how good this bench is. Also, this team isn't made of flashy guys looking to goof around at the end of the game. Vogel won't allow it...and West, and George won't allow it. They will be business all the way through every game. That being said, 14.5 is a ton of points in the NBA...too much for me. But if it gets to 12.5...I'll take it.
Back to the game. I said at the beginning of the year I expect to hit 65-70% of wagers on the Pacers and so far we've been ahead of that. The first half under has hit every single game, and even though we all know that won't last all year, my opinion is we stick with it. Total is 92.5...I'll be on that now because I think it may come down a bit. I'll be honest, I think the Pacers score some points the first half, but I have no clue where the Bucks points will come from. I'm also going to put just a little bit on the Bucks TT under 85. I know my rule is play the TT under if it's 90 or above, but the Bucks have no healthy bigs which means Hibbert, West, and Mahinmi should have no trouble dominating the paint so I'll take a stab at the Bucks under 85.
Interesting stat...Pacers are the only team to not score over 100 points this year. Team Total tonight is set at 99. I'm staying away from that one though.
I won't be able to watch the entire game tonight, but I'll try and post 2H plays. If I'm not able to post, here are my thoughts.
Best case scenario would be the Pacers to be up by 7-9 points at half. Catch a second half line like Pacers -5, and jump on that. I will probably stay away from Totals in the second half because if this gets to be a blowout, the 4th quarter could be weird. If Pacers are up big at half, I'm going to stay away completely. If Bucks hang with them, and it's tied or Bucks are somehow ahead, I don't like laying double digits in the second half, but I will take the Pacers TT over (that's only if the score is close at half).
Pacers locker room info: This doesn't have anything to do with bets/wagers. It's just some info that you won't find in the national media. If you're not interested in this...don't read.
One of the reasons the Pacers are so good this year can be attributed to a very unlikely guy...Jeff Foster!!!
Explanation: When Lance Stephenson was drafted, Larry Bird knew he was a mess, but had the physical ability to be a monster. In his rookie year, we never knew if we were going to get "Good Lance", or "Bad Lance". This year we are getting "Good Lance" most of the time. Here's an excerpt from a local article about when he "got it", about being a professional basketball player.
According to Stephenson, the turning point came two playoff seasons ago,
when he famously flashed the choke sign at LeBron James and got caught
up in extracurricular foolishness with Juwan Howard. That’s when he had a
talk with veteran Jeff Foster.
Apparently, that's when he started to understand things, and this year he's really turned it on. So much, it looks like there's no way he loses his starting job to Granger.
Local columnist, Bob Kravitz, (whos one of the best local sports guys in the country) sent out a tweet earlier this week that said something to the effect of he saw a very subtle difference in Lance earlier this year that let him know Lance had grown up. It was the first time he had seen Lance look people right in the eyes when he was being interviewed, and being talked to. First time Kravitz had seen him do that.
Lance has been one of the reasons the Pacers have been so good...who knew we could thank Jeff Foster for it.
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Pacers locker room info: This doesn't have anything to do with bets/wagers. It's just some info that you won't find in the national media. If you're not interested in this...don't read.
One of the reasons the Pacers are so good this year can be attributed to a very unlikely guy...Jeff Foster!!!
Explanation: When Lance Stephenson was drafted, Larry Bird knew he was a mess, but had the physical ability to be a monster. In his rookie year, we never knew if we were going to get "Good Lance", or "Bad Lance". This year we are getting "Good Lance" most of the time. Here's an excerpt from a local article about when he "got it", about being a professional basketball player.
According to Stephenson, the turning point came two playoff seasons ago,
when he famously flashed the choke sign at LeBron James and got caught
up in extracurricular foolishness with Juwan Howard. That’s when he had a
talk with veteran Jeff Foster.
Apparently, that's when he started to understand things, and this year he's really turned it on. So much, it looks like there's no way he loses his starting job to Granger.
Local columnist, Bob Kravitz, (whos one of the best local sports guys in the country) sent out a tweet earlier this week that said something to the effect of he saw a very subtle difference in Lance earlier this year that let him know Lance had grown up. It was the first time he had seen Lance look people right in the eyes when he was being interviewed, and being talked to. First time Kravitz had seen him do that.
Lance has been one of the reasons the Pacers have been so good...who knew we could thank Jeff Foster for it.
Jeff foster the rebounding machine huh? That's pretty interesting. I think its cus he started messing with k.Michelle in the off-season. She was messin with that Olympic swimmer and he stepped his game up. Now lance doin it too...she must have some of that good good tho hah.
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Jeff foster the rebounding machine huh? That's pretty interesting. I think its cus he started messing with k.Michelle in the off-season. She was messin with that Olympic swimmer and he stepped his game up. Now lance doin it too...she must have some of that good good tho hah.
Now that I think about it..I think bucks +14.5 or the over 184 is the play. I can see this game being one where Indy doesn't try too hard on defense. They have a game at Chicago tomorrow and Indy just outscoring the bucks..something like 103-92
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Now that I think about it..I think bucks +14.5 or the over 184 is the play. I can see this game being one where Indy doesn't try too hard on defense. They have a game at Chicago tomorrow and Indy just outscoring the bucks..something like 103-92
Composite..they won a few 1h bets I believe, but its the sorry teams that they seem to start off slow. Like against magic, pistons, old man nets. If you want to play it..I think its better to play Indy 1qtr. That 1qtr bet has been good to me, but I think tonight's 1qtr line is too high for my liking.
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Composite..they won a few 1h bets I believe, but its the sorry teams that they seem to start off slow. Like against magic, pistons, old man nets. If you want to play it..I think its better to play Indy 1qtr. That 1qtr bet has been good to me, but I think tonight's 1qtr line is too high for my liking.
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