PACERS THREAD FROM A LOCAL

I'm going to stick with my plan of playing it automatically if the team total is set at 90 or above, it will be an automatic under play.  I still believe it will hit 65-70% of the time.

Here's another nice little trend.  I noticed it the first three games, and kept an eye on it tonight. 

Here are the 1st half totals from the Pacers first 4 games.

Magic-84
Pelicans-86
Cavs-80
Pistons-84

It's starting to look like the 1st half under has a lot of value with this team.  I don't have a definite idea why, but here are my thoughts.

1.  No fouling late in the game with a bunch of late free throws.
2.  Looks like the Pacers are feeling out their opponents in the first half, going to the locker room, making adjustments, and then taking control in the 2nd half.
3.  Pacers are not a team that will have a lot of runs, and they don't allow runs either.  The Heat, Spurs, Clippers, Rockets, etc. are teams that can score 20 pts in a few minutes.  Pacers aren't built that way.  They run the shot clock down, run set plays, and then clog the defensive end.  Teams won't be able to  have those big runs that can take a half total over.

Those are my thoughts...I'll look into it a little more.

Pistons total team under 93 and over for the game......we are all winners...

Nice info Alan, I love Pacers Bulls under tomorrow lets see if a bet under for the first half.

Bulls at Pacers tonight...I'm very nervous with any bet involving Derrick Rose because he's shaking off the rust, he's shooting a lot, and he will eventually get right...we just don't know when that will be.

He drives a lot to the hole, but this Pacers team should be able to make life difficult for him at the rim.  I don't know if we have the speed to keep up with him on the perimeter (not many teams do), but he is struggling with his shot.

No official word on George Hill, but Vogel said he hopes to have him tonight...I think he will play.  I think he could've played last night, but they wanted him ready to go tonight.

Boozer has been playing good this year, but the Pacers have 4 guys on the front line to rotate in and out of the lineup.  This is one team the Bulls big men can't wear down. 

Overall, when Derrick Rose is healthy and back into his rhythm later on this year, I think the Bulls would win a 7 game series...BUT...and this is a big BUT.  If Paul George keeps up this pace (which I didn't think he was capable of), this might be the best team in the league, and I may have to rethink my pick of the Bulls in a 7 game series.

Back to this game...I'm going to put 2 small wagers on this game.  Sticking with 1st half under, and Bulls team total under 90.  I said if there was a team total 90 and above, I would play the under...I'll stick with it.  Remember, this is a long season...gotta be in this for the long term.

Interesting pieces of info:  Hibbert is averaging 8 pts a game...David West is averaging 10.  Pacers are winning, and their big men aren't even scoring a ton of points. 

The Pacers are so deep, Chris Copeland can't even get off the bench.  Read an article about it yesterday.  He seems to be in good spirits and he was even quoted as saying, "We have a great team...I'll just be ready when they need me".  Copeland would be the 6th or 7th guy on other teams roster...he can't even get garbage minutes on this team.  Apparently, the Pacers signed him (why the Knicks let him go, I'll never know) and after they signed him Luis Scola became available and fell into their lap.  It sucks for Copeland...I love his skill set...I hope he gets out there to show what he can do.

GL tonight gents

Once again, great insight alan. Im born and raised in Greenwood indy, so i too am very familiar with the Pacers, but am somewhat new to the gambling. Obviously the toughest thing to do is to bet against your favorite team, so most of the time, if i dont like the spot, instead of betting against them, ill jsut lay off the game! not the smartest tactic, but just cannot stand to bet against my team! Anyways, great insight and i look forward to using alot of it in the very near future, sir!  I will be at the game tonight, and waiting till tip to see if i can get a better line, (pk, or -1) and take it for small, just to add a little something to sweeten the pot while i sit back and watch my Pacers do work!!!

 

BOL and thanks again

Hey great thread. Big Pacers fan as well. Been one of the few that posts majority Pacers plays, glad to see u on here as well.

first half under 91 looks juicy

George Hill game time decision.  I'll keep an eye on the local pregame here and post as soon as I find out if he's playing or not. 

George Hill is out again...they are targeting Friday for him to return.

Nice cash on the first half under.  I'm going to follow a trend from the Pacers first few games.  They hit the first half under...then the second half over.  Over for 2nd half is set at 91...I'll take it.  I saw lots of missed shots from both teams...I think they correct a lot of that.  Rose and George got lots of rest that half...they are going to be playing most of the 2nd half.  Gl to all 

All three plays cash in tonight...The first 5 games have all gone very similar.  Pacers and opponent play a sluggish first half cashing in on all first half unders.  Pacers come out in second half and blow the other team out cashing in on 2nd half overs, and 2nd half pacers plays.  Pacers D continues to be a nightmare to play against cashing another ticket on the opponents team total under. 

Hibbert is a beast right now on the defensive end.  5 more blocks tonight...this is getting in teams heads and they are not driving to the hole with confidence, and most shots by the basket are fade aways. 

Hidden Box Scores Stats you may miss:  Mahinmi and Scola played 26 minutes.  On the defensive end, they didn't miss a beat, and Scola put in 12 pts.  Luis Scola has legit scoring attributes, and he's coming off the bench...massive advantage Pacers in all matchups this year.

D. Sloan played 21 minutes tonight...Point Guard is the biggest weakness for this team (or we thought).  He put in 9 pts, 6 reb, 4 asst.  CJ Watson had 11 pts and 5 asst.  When George Hill comes back, if this team gets this type of production out of the point guard position, we could be looking at the best team in the league.  Obviously, this isn't going to last all year, but Ill be looking for when the Pacers have a few bad games in a row, and then look at some Eastern Conference, and Season Championship futures.

As for now, I'll keep riding the first half unders, opponent Team Total unders, and possibly second half overs. 

Tor at Ind...ok guys I like the over here...my reason is that Indiana has a tough match saturday againts the Nets so for that maybe they wont be fighting to much on defense tonight, and on the other side Raptors plays on saturday againts the Jazz a game Raptors know they must win, so Raptors maybe  wont spend to much effort on defense eather, remember defense takes more of stamina than ofense, maybe Hibbert and George get some more time on the bench to rest..anyway I will see what is the public betting if there on the under I will bet the over for sure.......Good Luck and I hope its not a 90 75 game haha....

I'm going to be on the first half under.  Maybe I'll take a look at the second half lines at halftimes.

Carlos...The over may hit, but I disagree with your reasoning about playing the Nets.  This team will fight just about every night on defense.  They have a deep enough bench to keep fresh legs, and fresh energy on the floor.  It's one of the reasons I like this team so much in the regular season.  Back to backs, and road trips won't affect this team like it will other teams.  There could be some garbage points at the end of the game if the Pacers really take control of the game...that's one reason I like the first half unders with the Pacers. 

I went with over 93.5 first half.....

This is good info. Thanks. 

seems to be zero defense in this game so far.. 

Continue to cash these first half unders...splashing a little on second half over.  Just following the trend.

On the first half under again here...Should be a great game.  Nets always give Pacers problems.

Thanks for the write ups. Jumping on this one with you.

Thanks ohone

For the life of me I just can't figure out why people keep trying to play the first half overs on the Pacers.  That makes this 7 in a row.  If you're a trend bettor, the Pacers have typically dominated in the second half, and the second half overs have been popular. 

I've got the Nets under 94 team total (Pacers opponent with a team total over 90-take the under) as we've discussed in this thread before.  I'll probably put a little bit on the Pacers, and the 2nd half over for this game, but not a huge wager.

Great hit. I only put one unit on it cause I'm not familiar with them but I truly believe in local picks. I cleaned up on TOR tonight hitting overs in 1h and full game. Thinking I'll start a Raptors only thread too. Keep up the great work! Cheers.

Great post

Thanks guys...went an unreal 4-0 in this game tonight...obviously that's going to be rare, but these games have been following a definite script. Pacers have trailed at half 6 out of 7 games. They adjust at halftime and dominate second half. First half goes under...second half goes over. It'd be real nice if this contines though!

Ohone...absolutely start a Raptors thread. I'd love to see it!

pacers will be on a 5th game in 7 nights taking on a memphis team that just smoked a tired golden state team.  love the way the pacers dominate the 2nd half though.