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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    PACERS THREAD FROM A LOCAL

    «First Previous 161718 ... 373839 Next Last»
    Kohler
    Cmcmahan
    alangrrbs
    Messy
    prodigy808
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    Kohler
    Kohler
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2013 - 4:43 PM ET #376

    This OH system worked great for me last night as all three games I chose won in the first half - Pacers under 94, NYKnicks under 94 and Detroit over 97.  No chasing, no sweat. It won't always be like this I know but great work.
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    This OH system worked great for me last night as all three games I chose won in the first half - Pacers under 94, NYKnicks under 94 and Detroit over 97.  No chasing, no sweat. It won't always be like this I know but great work.
     
    Cmcmahan
    Cmcmahan
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2013 - 6:20 PM ET #377

    I wonder what the results would be when OH under teams go against OH over teams?  Tonight bulls are an under candidate but I would have to assume thunder are an over candidate (although we don't know the specific numbers for them yet)
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    I wonder what the results would be when OH under teams go against OH over teams?  Tonight bulls are an under candidate but I would have to assume thunder are an over candidate (although we don't know the specific numbers for them yet)
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 10:29 AM ET #378

    Quote Originally Posted by Cmcmahan:

    I wonder what the results would be when OH under teams go against OH over teams?  Tonight bulls are an under candidate but I would have to assume thunder are an over candidate (although we don't know the specific numbers for them yet)


    You can take both.  If both halves go over, you're only out 1 unit.  If both halve go under, you're only out 1 unit.  If one half goes over, and one goes under you're up 2 units.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cmcmahan:

    I wonder what the results would be when OH under teams go against OH over teams?  Tonight bulls are an under candidate but I would have to assume thunder are an over candidate (although we don't know the specific numbers for them yet)


    You can take both.  If both halves go over, you're only out 1 unit.  If both halve go under, you're only out 1 unit.  If one half goes over, and one goes under you're up 2 units.
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 10:31 AM ET #379

    Found the best team so far for the OH system.

    Charlotte Bobcats.

    25 out of their 26 games have had an under half in it.  That makes a profit of 22 units so far this year if we would've implemented it.  At the start of the year.
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    Found the best team so far for the OH system.

    Charlotte Bobcats.

    25 out of their 26 games have had an under half in it.  That makes a profit of 22 units so far this year if we would've implemented it.  At the start of the year.
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 10:49 AM ET #380

    The last 14 games the Trailblazers are 13-1 to the Over for a 10 unit profit.  24-3 on the year for a 15 unit profit.

    I have noticed that the lines for these over teams adjust more aggressively.  Meaning the totals go up a lot more for the over teams as opposed to how much the lines go down for the under teams.

    I guess what I've taken away from all the studying is that the teams that are candidates are Knicks under, Pacers under, Bulls under, Charlotte under, Detroit over, Portland over, Philly over.  I lean slightly to saying there's a little more value in the under teams because the books don't adjust the lines as much as they do for the over teams.


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    The last 14 games the Trailblazers are 13-1 to the Over for a 10 unit profit.  24-3 on the year for a 15 unit profit.

    I have noticed that the lines for these over teams adjust more aggressively.  Meaning the totals go up a lot more for the over teams as opposed to how much the lines go down for the under teams.

    I guess what I've taken away from all the studying is that the teams that are candidates are Knicks under, Pacers under, Bulls under, Charlotte under, Detroit over, Portland over, Philly over.  I lean slightly to saying there's a little more value in the under teams because the books don't adjust the lines as much as they do for the over teams.


     
    Messy
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 1:15 PM ET #381

    Pacers back to playing solid D tonight?

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    Pacers back to playing solid D tonight?

     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 1:38 PM ET #382

    The Rockets (to me at least) are in the same category as the Clippers.  Inconsistent to bet on...hard to set lines for...very unpredictable.  The last 5 games they beat Orlando by 10...lose to Porland by 3...Beat Golden State by 4...lose to Sacramento by 15...Beat Chicago by 15.  They've had impressive wins, and some inconceivable losses.

    To me it all equals up to laying off the line, but I do think the Pacers have the edge here.

    I'm going to keep on the OH system for the Pacers, so I'll start by taking the 1h under.  I like the way the Pacers D matchup against Houston here.  Houston loves running that high pick 'n' roll with Harden, but I think Lance and Paul George have the length and strength to disrupt that.  George Hill is no all-start, but he's longer than people think.  They aren't going to be able to dominate that perimeter like they normally do.  I think Dwight will get his numbers tonight, but he's going to have to fight for it, and Hibbert can't stop him, but he can certainly frustrate him and body him up and make life difficult.

    Where I really like the Pacers against this team is after Harden and Howard on the roster.  Parsons likes to take advantage of lesser quality opponents as does Lin, Beverley, etc.  The Rockets haven't played Miami or Indiana yet, but they've played a healthy Memphis team, Charlotte, and Orlando.  All above average defensive teams, and the games have been low scoring.  I think we see the same tonight.  Scoring 110+ pts against Golden State, Portland, Chicago, Brooklyn, etc is impressive, but the Pacers D is on another planet compared to those teams.  The other thing I think contributes to a lower scoring team is the Rockets don't have the defense to cause as many turnovers to a Pacers team that can get turned over a lot by super athletic teams.  I think we see less possessions than most Rockets games with less fast breaks.  Looks like the total is at 197.5...I'm going to wait til closer til gametime and see if the line goes up and take the under.  If not I'll still take 197.5...I don't see both teams getting over 100 here.
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    The Rockets (to me at least) are in the same category as the Clippers.  Inconsistent to bet on...hard to set lines for...very unpredictable.  The last 5 games they beat Orlando by 10...lose to Porland by 3...Beat Golden State by 4...lose to Sacramento by 15...Beat Chicago by 15.  They've had impressive wins, and some inconceivable losses.

    To me it all equals up to laying off the line, but I do think the Pacers have the edge here.

    I'm going to keep on the OH system for the Pacers, so I'll start by taking the 1h under.  I like the way the Pacers D matchup against Houston here.  Houston loves running that high pick 'n' roll with Harden, but I think Lance and Paul George have the length and strength to disrupt that.  George Hill is no all-start, but he's longer than people think.  They aren't going to be able to dominate that perimeter like they normally do.  I think Dwight will get his numbers tonight, but he's going to have to fight for it, and Hibbert can't stop him, but he can certainly frustrate him and body him up and make life difficult.

    Where I really like the Pacers against this team is after Harden and Howard on the roster.  Parsons likes to take advantage of lesser quality opponents as does Lin, Beverley, etc.  The Rockets haven't played Miami or Indiana yet, but they've played a healthy Memphis team, Charlotte, and Orlando.  All above average defensive teams, and the games have been low scoring.  I think we see the same tonight.  Scoring 110+ pts against Golden State, Portland, Chicago, Brooklyn, etc is impressive, but the Pacers D is on another planet compared to those teams.  The other thing I think contributes to a lower scoring team is the Rockets don't have the defense to cause as many turnovers to a Pacers team that can get turned over a lot by super athletic teams.  I think we see less possessions than most Rockets games with less fast breaks.  Looks like the total is at 197.5...I'm going to wait til closer til gametime and see if the line goes up and take the under.  If not I'll still take 197.5...I don't see both teams getting over 100 here.
     
    prodigy808
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 6:21 PM ET #383

    Houston TT Under 96 good Alan? GL tonight
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    Houston TT Under 96 good Alan? GL tonight
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 7:03 PM ET #384

    Quote Originally Posted by prodigy808:

    Houston TT Under 96 good Alan? GL tonight

    Not sure...that's a no play for me.  Like the Total under as opposed to one team in particular.  Just my opinion though.
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    Quote Originally Posted by prodigy808:

    Houston TT Under 96 good Alan? GL tonight

    Not sure...that's a no play for me.  Like the Total under as opposed to one team in particular.  Just my opinion though.
     
    Tigers2013
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 7:24 PM ET #385

    Total is up to 199. Granger may unsettle the offense as well that assists the under
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    Total is up to 199. Granger may unsettle the offense as well that assists the under
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 9:18 PM ET #386

    Under
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    Under
     
    prodigy808
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 9:20 PM ET #387

    That 1st half total was f'in brutal, double down under 2nd half GL
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    That 1st half total was f'in brutal, double down under 2nd half GL
     
    prodigy808
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 9:22 PM ET #388

    What line did you have Alan
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    What line did you have Alan
     
    mlbwatch11
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2013 - 10:31 PM ET #389

    UNDER 197 
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    UNDER 197 
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2013 - 1:24 AM ET #390

    Yeah, that 1h under was awful.  I had 99 on the 1h under...took a tough one, but nailed the 2h under and full game under.

    I should've been more confident in my evaluation of this matchup.  Pacers absolutely destroyed that high pick and roll.  Lot of credit to Vogel for this game plan.  I never hear his name mentioned as top coaches in the league, but that comes with time, and this guy is top knotch with game plans, and in game adjustments.  Stephenson and George disrupted the Rockets game on the perimeter, and it wasn't even close in the second half.  Should've gone with my gut and took the Pacers, but like mentioned above...the Rockets are so different from night to night we never know what team is going to show up.  Turned a nice profit with the OH system, and total under tonight...hopefully this is a start of nice run of profits. 
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    Yeah, that 1h under was awful.  I had 99 on the 1h under...took a tough one, but nailed the 2h under and full game under.

    I should've been more confident in my evaluation of this matchup.  Pacers absolutely destroyed that high pick and roll.  Lot of credit to Vogel for this game plan.  I never hear his name mentioned as top coaches in the league, but that comes with time, and this guy is top knotch with game plans, and in game adjustments.  Stephenson and George disrupted the Rockets game on the perimeter, and it wasn't even close in the second half.  Should've gone with my gut and took the Pacers, but like mentioned above...the Rockets are so different from night to night we never know what team is going to show up.  Turned a nice profit with the OH system, and total under tonight...hopefully this is a start of nice run of profits. 
     
    JBender
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2013 - 4:40 PM ET #391

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Found the best team so far for the OH system.

    Charlotte Bobcats.

    25 out of their 26 games have had an under half in it.  That makes a profit of 22 units so far this year if we would've implemented it.  At the start of the year.

     

    Both the 1st and 2nd went way over last night

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    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Found the best team so far for the OH system.

    Charlotte Bobcats.

    25 out of their 26 games have had an under half in it.  That makes a profit of 22 units so far this year if we would've implemented it.  At the start of the year.

     

    Both the 1st and 2nd went way over last night

     
    Cmcmahan
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2013 - 8:42 PM ET #392

    Quote Originally Posted by JBender:

     

    Both the 1st and 2nd went way over last night


    If u chased for a 3rd half like Alan mentioned (tonight's first half), the under hit.  These system has been very profitable the last few nights for the 4 or so under teams and 4 or so over teams that Alan researched.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JBender:

     

    Both the 1st and 2nd went way over last night


    If u chased for a 3rd half like Alan mentioned (tonight's first half), the under hit.  These system has been very profitable the last few nights for the 4 or so under teams and 4 or so over teams that Alan researched.  
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2013 - 11:32 AM ET #393

    Celtics at Pacers

    Still rolling with the OH system.  Taking the 1h under 95.

    I really like what the Celtics have been doing this year.  Brad Stevens is a great coach, and I think in 3-4 years the Celtics will be a top tier team.  Right now they are young, and a little outmatched, but they don't quit, they play hard, and they have some guys that are matchup problems. 

    I'm going to take the Celtics 1h +7.  They have been pretty solid in the first halves this year, and they played the Pacers really tough last time in the first half. 

    One move that Stevens made that really showed me he's going to be great in the NBA was realizing that Jordan Crawford is a point guard, and not a shooting guard.  Most coaches wouldn't have figured that out, and would've left him at the SG spot and let him shoot away from the outside.  Stevens gave him more of a PG role, and now he averages over 6 assists per game, and is much more efficient on offense.  He had 24 against the Pacers last time.

    Even though the Celtics played last night, I think with Stevens game plan, and a really big number at +7, this team can hang with the Pacers.  I'd love to see it close and then take the Pacers big 2h.

    GL today gents!
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    Celtics at Pacers

    Still rolling with the OH system.  Taking the 1h under 95.

    I really like what the Celtics have been doing this year.  Brad Stevens is a great coach, and I think in 3-4 years the Celtics will be a top tier team.  Right now they are young, and a little outmatched, but they don't quit, they play hard, and they have some guys that are matchup problems. 

    I'm going to take the Celtics 1h +7.  They have been pretty solid in the first halves this year, and they played the Pacers really tough last time in the first half. 

    One move that Stevens made that really showed me he's going to be great in the NBA was realizing that Jordan Crawford is a point guard, and not a shooting guard.  Most coaches wouldn't have figured that out, and would've left him at the SG spot and let him shoot away from the outside.  Stevens gave him more of a PG role, and now he averages over 6 assists per game, and is much more efficient on offense.  He had 24 against the Pacers last time.

    Even though the Celtics played last night, I think with Stevens game plan, and a really big number at +7, this team can hang with the Pacers.  I'd love to see it close and then take the Pacers big 2h.

    GL today gents!
     
    Enjoi
    Enjoi
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2013 - 11:42 AM ET #394

    Alan, what do you think of the full game under? 
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    Alan, what do you think of the full game under? 
     
    Bearbetting
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2013 - 11:42 AM ET #395

    With u on Celtics, BOL man 
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    With u on Celtics, BOL man 
     
    Henry-Gondorff
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2013 - 5:05 PM ET #396

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Celtics at Pacers

    Still rolling with the OH system.  Taking the 1h under 95.

    I really like what the Celtics have been doing this year.  Brad Stevens is a great coach, and I think in 3-4 years the Celtics will be a top tier team.  Right now they are young, and a little outmatched, but they don't quit, they play hard, and they have some guys that are matchup problems. 

    I'm going to take the Celtics 1h +7.  They have been pretty solid in the first halves this year, and they played the Pacers really tough last time in the first half. 

    One move that Stevens made that really showed me he's going to be great in the NBA was realizing that Jordan Crawford is a point guard, and not a shooting guard.  Most coaches wouldn't have figured that out, and would've left him at the SG spot and let him shoot away from the outside.  Stevens gave him more of a PG role, and now he averages over 6 assists per game, and is much more efficient on offense.  He had 24 against the Pacers last time.

    Even though the Celtics played last night, I think with Stevens game plan, and a really big number at +7, this team can hang with the Pacers.  I'd love to see it close and then take the Pacers big 2h.

    GL today gents!

    Sullinger is not 100%, but he said he will play tonight. 

    BOL on you play Allan! 
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    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Celtics at Pacers

    Still rolling with the OH system.  Taking the 1h under 95.

    I really like what the Celtics have been doing this year.  Brad Stevens is a great coach, and I think in 3-4 years the Celtics will be a top tier team.  Right now they are young, and a little outmatched, but they don't quit, they play hard, and they have some guys that are matchup problems. 

    I'm going to take the Celtics 1h +7.  They have been pretty solid in the first halves this year, and they played the Pacers really tough last time in the first half. 

    One move that Stevens made that really showed me he's going to be great in the NBA was realizing that Jordan Crawford is a point guard, and not a shooting guard.  Most coaches wouldn't have figured that out, and would've left him at the SG spot and let him shoot away from the outside.  Stevens gave him more of a PG role, and now he averages over 6 assists per game, and is much more efficient on offense.  He had 24 against the Pacers last time.

    Even though the Celtics played last night, I think with Stevens game plan, and a really big number at +7, this team can hang with the Pacers.  I'd love to see it close and then take the Pacers big 2h.

    GL today gents!

    Sullinger is not 100%, but he said he will play tonight. 

    BOL on you play Allan! 
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2013 - 5:53 PM ET #397

    Line up to 190...too high to pass up.  Taking under for full game. 
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    Line up to 190...too high to pass up.  Taking under for full game. 
     
    melosjumper7
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2013 - 6:30 PM ET #398

    so far right on the money....
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    so far right on the money....
     
    melosjumper7
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2013 - 7:07 PM ET #399

    any 2nd half bet?
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    any 2nd half bet?
     
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2013 - 7:15 PM ET #400

    Going to take a small bet on pacers Over 47.5. Celtics clearly tired...not
    Playing good D. I can see this continuing which has me worried about the game total going over late. Just hope the Pacers keep playing D.
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    Going to take a small bet on pacers Over 47.5. Celtics clearly tired...not
    Playing good D. I can see this continuing which has me worried about the game total going over late. Just hope the Pacers keep playing D.
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