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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    IT'S NBA PLAYOFF TIME ..................2026

    «First Previous 345 ... 181920 Next Last»
    theclaw
    poorguy
    Macwestie1
    umgmu
    nmgolf57
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 26580
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    «First Previous 345 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 12:53 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    Great stuff, TC.  Thanks for all of your time and effort. In their last 12 PO matchups CLV is 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS vs. TOR.  I don't know what that portends for Game #3 since CLV is burdened with laying 3.5 points on the road and their DEF is not very good (Massey has CLV's DEF rated #16). Good luck going forward.

    Nice to see you dog, good stuff.  Cavs appear to have the Raps number...........peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    Great stuff, TC.  Thanks for all of your time and effort. In their last 12 PO matchups CLV is 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS vs. TOR.  I don't know what that portends for Game #3 since CLV is burdened with laying 3.5 points on the road and their DEF is not very good (Massey has CLV's DEF rated #16). Good luck going forward.

    Nice to see you dog, good stuff.  Cavs appear to have the Raps number...........peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 12:59 PM ET #52

    Didn't  take long for both Tatum and Queta to regress. Tatum drops from 32.2 to like 24.5 and Queta drops from 33.3 to 18.8.

    More sustainable levels for both players.

    Crazy stuff these big dogs winning SU. Yea Wenby hurt plays a role. But 76ers just rolling the Celtics ?!%?

    Brown's usage goes to 36.1%. Way to high a usage. His PER is over 27 I think which is still not that good.

    Doubtful they can win the title if this continues. 

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    Didn't  take long for both Tatum and Queta to regress. Tatum drops from 32.2 to like 24.5 and Queta drops from 33.3 to 18.8.

    More sustainable levels for both players.

    Crazy stuff these big dogs winning SU. Yea Wenby hurt plays a role. But 76ers just rolling the Celtics ?!%?

    Brown's usage goes to 36.1%. Way to high a usage. His PER is over 27 I think which is still not that good.

    Doubtful they can win the title if this continues. 

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 1:17 PM ET #53

    Will OKC get upset tonight. Awful large ml play there.  Should you bite ?

    Of the 10 monster shooting efficiency  teams over 5% they are now 8-2 ATS in their very first playoff game..

    And they are a equally impressive 6-1-3 to the under in those games.

    Of the 8 teams won ATS all 8 won by 20 pts or more. And all 8 went 6-0-2 to the Under.

    5 of the 8 held opps under 90 pts

    7 of 8 held opps 92 or under

    The last team held opp to 94.

    Of the 2 teams failed to win ATS  they held opps to 99 and 109.

    It appears it was defense helped these teams win ATS.

    of the previous 7 teams won ATS game 1 and played game 2...... 4 of those 7 gave up over 100 pts. A 5th team , OKC last year gave up 99 pts.

    5 of the 7 gave up 99 pts or more in game 2.

    While game 1 only 2 of the 9 teams gave up 99 pts or more both failed to cover.

    Of the teams did cover game 1 not 1 team gave up 99 pts or more.

    So game 2 is a big difference from game 1.

     

    Of the 7 game 1 ATS winners with all 7 winning by 20 pts or more, not 1 single team of those 7 won by 20 pts or more in game 2.

    One team failed to cover game one did win by 29 pts and hold opp to 81 pts in game 2.

    Of the 10 game 1's and the 9 game 2's these monster shooting efficiency  teams are an outstanding  19-1 SU .

    BUT The previous 7 teams to WIn ATS  in game 1 are only 4-3 ATS game 2

    And 4-3 to the under game 2.

     

    I would not count on OKC to lose this game SU.

    But they are not as likely to cover such an inflated line.

    Big line adjustment  by the books. Best to go against  these and with my lines on the Suns.....

    Play is on the Suns +17.

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    Will OKC get upset tonight. Awful large ml play there.  Should you bite ?

    Of the 10 monster shooting efficiency  teams over 5% they are now 8-2 ATS in their very first playoff game..

    And they are a equally impressive 6-1-3 to the under in those games.

    Of the 8 teams won ATS all 8 won by 20 pts or more. And all 8 went 6-0-2 to the Under.

    5 of the 8 held opps under 90 pts

    7 of 8 held opps 92 or under

    The last team held opp to 94.

    Of the 2 teams failed to win ATS  they held opps to 99 and 109.

    It appears it was defense helped these teams win ATS.

    of the previous 7 teams won ATS game 1 and played game 2...... 4 of those 7 gave up over 100 pts. A 5th team , OKC last year gave up 99 pts.

    5 of the 7 gave up 99 pts or more in game 2.

    While game 1 only 2 of the 9 teams gave up 99 pts or more both failed to cover.

    Of the teams did cover game 1 not 1 team gave up 99 pts or more.

    So game 2 is a big difference from game 1.

     

    Of the 7 game 1 ATS winners with all 7 winning by 20 pts or more, not 1 single team of those 7 won by 20 pts or more in game 2.

    One team failed to cover game one did win by 29 pts and hold opp to 81 pts in game 2.

    Of the 10 game 1's and the 9 game 2's these monster shooting efficiency  teams are an outstanding  19-1 SU .

    BUT The previous 7 teams to WIn ATS  in game 1 are only 4-3 ATS game 2

    And 4-3 to the under game 2.

     

    I would not count on OKC to lose this game SU.

    But they are not as likely to cover such an inflated line.

    Big line adjustment  by the books. Best to go against  these and with my lines on the Suns.....

    Play is on the Suns +17.

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 1:23 PM ET #54

    My lines .................

    OKC -14.67 over Suns

    Pistons -11.06 over Magic

    Pistons off a game 1 SU & ATS losses and my lines on the Pistons.

    Play is on the Pistons.

     

    I have a nice ml parlay ........... 1 unit +111

    Pistons ml

    OKC ml

    Celtics ml

    Rockets ml

     

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    My lines .................

    OKC -14.67 over Suns

    Pistons -11.06 over Magic

    Pistons off a game 1 SU & ATS losses and my lines on the Pistons.

    Play is on the Pistons.

     

    I have a nice ml parlay ........... 1 unit +111

    Pistons ml

    OKC ml

    Celtics ml

    Rockets ml

     

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 1:27 PM ET #55

    Pistons -8.5 over Magic --- 1.1 units

    Suns +17.5  (-115) over OKC --- 1.15 units

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    Pistons -8.5 over Magic --- 1.1 units

    Suns +17.5  (-115) over OKC --- 1.15 units

     
    poorguy
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 2:21 PM ET #56

    Pistons Go Pistons!

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    Pistons Go Pistons!

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 10:19 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by poorguy:

    Pistons Go Pistons!

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by poorguy:

    Pistons Go Pistons!

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 10:22 PM ET #58

    Game 2 a different  story so far for OKC.

    Suns down 30-29 after the first quarter after being down like 22 pts in 1st quarter of game 1.

    And 29 pts equates to 116 pts. Far cry from under 90 pts.

    Long way to go but things looking different  right from the start .

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    Game 2 a different  story so far for OKC.

    Suns down 30-29 after the first quarter after being down like 22 pts in 1st quarter of game 1.

    And 29 pts equates to 116 pts. Far cry from under 90 pts.

    Long way to go but things looking different  right from the start .

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2026 - 10:24 PM ET #59

    clover@theclawpeace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    clover@theclawpeace_5

     

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2026 - 8:12 AM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    @theclaw

     

    Mac ..................peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    @theclaw

     

    Mac ..................peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2026 - 8:20 AM ET #61

    2-0 ATS, won 2 units

    Playoffs 4-1 ATS

     

    OKC did exactly as the other big shooting efficiency  teams have done.

    Could not match their game 1 defensive play. Gave up over 100 pts and failed to cover while going over not under.

    Their offense  scored all most the same pts, 119 to 120 but it was the defense as why they did not cover that big number.

    And once again none of the 10 teams could win by 20 pts or more in game 2.

     

    Maybe I can find other spots where these teams are so consistent with how they perform.

     

    Pistons roll as expect. Cade was impressive. 

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    2-0 ATS, won 2 units

    Playoffs 4-1 ATS

     

    OKC did exactly as the other big shooting efficiency  teams have done.

    Could not match their game 1 defensive play. Gave up over 100 pts and failed to cover while going over not under.

    Their offense  scored all most the same pts, 119 to 120 but it was the defense as why they did not cover that big number.

    And once again none of the 10 teams could win by 20 pts or more in game 2.

     

    Maybe I can find other spots where these teams are so consistent with how they perform.

     

    Pistons roll as expect. Cade was impressive. 

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2026 - 8:25 AM ET #62

    My Lines ................

    Hawks -.06 over Knicks

    Raps -3.02 over Cavs

    Twolves -2.31 over Nuggets

     

    Game 3's we don't use my lines if series is tied 1-1. Then we back the team to win the series if we have a strong series winner which here we don't not so I'll pass on those 2 games.

     

    Raps down 0-2 and back at home and favored to cover on my lines, play is on the Raps.

     

    Raps +3 over Cavs --- 1.1 units

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    My Lines ................

    Hawks -.06 over Knicks

    Raps -3.02 over Cavs

    Twolves -2.31 over Nuggets

     

    Game 3's we don't use my lines if series is tied 1-1. Then we back the team to win the series if we have a strong series winner which here we don't not so I'll pass on those 2 games.

     

    Raps down 0-2 and back at home and favored to cover on my lines, play is on the Raps.

     

    Raps +3 over Cavs --- 1.1 units

     
    umgmu
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2026 - 8:47 AM ET #63

    @theclaw

     Great work wed and always fantastic info.

    an_cheerspeace_5an_clap

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    @theclaw

     Great work wed and always fantastic info.

    an_cheerspeace_5an_clap

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2026 - 1:48 PM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by umgmu:

    @theclaw  Great work wed and always fantastic info.

     

    Umgmu thanks .........peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by umgmu:

    @theclaw  Great work wed and always fantastic info.

     

    Umgmu thanks .........peace_5

     
    nmgolf57
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2026 - 6:35 PM ET #65

    Good luck claw!

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    Good luck claw!

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 9:40 AM ET #66

    Quote Originally Posted by nmgolf57:

    Good luck claw!

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by nmgolf57:

    Good luck claw!

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 9:52 AM ET #67

    1-0 ATS, won 1 unit

    Playoffs --- 5-1 ATS, won 3.9 units

     

    Raps couldn't miss there at the end they kept draining 3's.

    Game 4 will be interesting to see if Raps get back into this series.

     

    Joker was dreadful, I'd think he bounces back game 4.

    I didn't see status of Ant as of yet.

     

    Wow Hawks showing the form of the Pacers from last year. Making the right plays at the right time. 

    Game 4 will be key, Hawks need to hold home court if they do  not very likely Knicks come back to win the series.

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    1-0 ATS, won 1 unit

    Playoffs --- 5-1 ATS, won 3.9 units

     

    Raps couldn't miss there at the end they kept draining 3's.

    Game 4 will be interesting to see if Raps get back into this series.

     

    Joker was dreadful, I'd think he bounces back game 4.

    I didn't see status of Ant as of yet.

     

    Wow Hawks showing the form of the Pacers from last year. Making the right plays at the right time. 

    Game 4 will be key, Hawks need to hold home court if they do  not very likely Knicks come back to win the series.

     
    yorosan
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 9:58 AM ET #68

    @theclaw

     nice job an_cheers

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    @theclaw

     nice job an_cheers

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 10:05 AM ET #69

    My Lines. ............

    Celtics -4.53 over 76ers

    Rockets -6.43 over LA

    Spurs -5.3 .......... Ave full season & after the break

     

    With Wemby out I have no clue who's the right side.

    Rockets down 0-2 should be the right side .

    Is it possible LA better without Doncic and Auston ?

    I doubt it very much. I'll wait out the line see if it moves down a bit more then decide how to play this game.

    If the Rockets cannot play well here in this spot my goodness they are terrible as a team with no leadership nothing to see with them.

    Assuming KD plays.

    Then All this stuff about KD his burner accounts bad mouthing teammates we can truly see why this guy has not won titles without going to an already championship team that had great chemistry and leadership qualities already established within the team.

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    My Lines. ............

    Celtics -4.53 over 76ers

    Rockets -6.43 over LA

    Spurs -5.3 .......... Ave full season & after the break

     

    With Wemby out I have no clue who's the right side.

    Rockets down 0-2 should be the right side .

    Is it possible LA better without Doncic and Auston ?

    I doubt it very much. I'll wait out the line see if it moves down a bit more then decide how to play this game.

    If the Rockets cannot play well here in this spot my goodness they are terrible as a team with no leadership nothing to see with them.

    Assuming KD plays.

    Then All this stuff about KD his burner accounts bad mouthing teammates we can truly see why this guy has not won titles without going to an already championship team that had great chemistry and leadership qualities already established within the team.

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 10:10 AM ET #70

    Quote Originally Posted by yorosan:

    @theclaw  nice job

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by yorosan:

    @theclaw  nice job

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 10:15 AM ET #71

    Game 3's with series  tied 1-1 we don't use my lines we back the team to win the series if the info supports it.

    Clearly  Celtics should win this series, play is on the Celtics.

    I'd expect the Celtics to bounce back after both Tatum and Queta regressed back to more sustainable levels in the game 2 loss.

     

    Celtics -7 over 76ers --- 1.1 units

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    Game 3's with series  tied 1-1 we don't use my lines we back the team to win the series if the info supports it.

    Clearly  Celtics should win this series, play is on the Celtics.

    I'd expect the Celtics to bounce back after both Tatum and Queta regressed back to more sustainable levels in the game 2 loss.

     

    Celtics -7 over 76ers --- 1.1 units

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 10:19 AM ET #72

    Pending ML parlay ........... 1 unit (+111)

    Pistons game 2 ........ win

    OKC game 2 ......... win

    Celtics game 3

    Rockets game 3

     

     

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    Pending ML parlay ........... 1 unit (+111)

    Pistons game 2 ........ win

    OKC game 2 ......... win

    Celtics game 3

    Rockets game 3

     

     

     
    DogbiteWilliams
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 7:31 PM ET #73

    @theclaw

     Nice hit with TOR.  Congratulations and continued good luck.

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    @theclaw

     Nice hit with TOR.  Congratulations and continued good luck.

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 8:25 PM ET #74

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    @theclaw  Nice hit with TOR.  Congratulations and continued good luck.

     

    Thank you dog ...............peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    @theclaw  Nice hit with TOR.  Congratulations and continued good luck.

     

    Thank you dog ...............peace_5

     
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2026 - 8:28 PM ET #75

    With KD out I only sit with my 4 team ML parlay.

    Rockets should be able to get a win, maybe ?!%#?

    Celtics up 7 at half.

     

    Tomorrow  I'll have some pretty cool info on the 5% shooting efficiency  monsters after their big blowout game 1 wins.

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    With KD out I only sit with my 4 team ML parlay.

    Rockets should be able to get a win, maybe ?!%#?

    Celtics up 7 at half.

     

    Tomorrow  I'll have some pretty cool info on the 5% shooting efficiency  monsters after their big blowout game 1 wins.

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