Posted:
#76
@theclaw
Great line: BOS -7. Congratulations again.
0
IT'S NBA PLAYOFF TIME ..................2026
Posted:
#78
1-1, won/lost 0
Playoffs 6-2, won 3.9 units
Got a little lucky with Celtics that game could of went either way. Thankfully they fouled White and he made both. The first FT looked like a miss but bounce off the glass and in.
Sometimes you win these type games and sometimes you lose.
But boy oh boy how did the Rockets lose that game. Brutal frigg'in loss to take.
What were they I think up 6 with like 30 seconds left and the ball. What a horrendous mess that was to finish out the game.
Lebron clanked one bad shot, had 2 bad TO's with 1 leading to a dunk and he also missed a 3 but then redeemed himself making that final 3 to send the game to OT.
Oh well won with Celtics which could of lost so I can't really complain to much.
2
Posted:
#80
My Lines ..................
Pistons -3.06 over Magic
Hawks -.06 over Knicks
OKC -6.83 over Suns
Series tied 1-1 we back the series winner.
Pistons 3rd in PR I and 1st in PR II are you kidding me only -2.5. Pistons clearly the play.
I'll pass on Knicks/Hawks with Hawks playing so much better after Young trade let's sit tight and see if they are the real deal.
OKC being a shooting efficiency 5% or better team and we know these teams roll big game 1 by 20 pts or more.
So how do they do in the remainder of the series in game 2 and after.
But first let's look at this .........
Of the 8 teams 4 won series 4-0
3 won 4-1
0 win 4-2
1 won 4-3....... yep those 2008 Celtics
I didn't include the 9th team 2013 OKC since Westbrook was hurt in the 2cd game and never played again in playoffs
In games 2 through remainder of the series these teams are 18-11 ATS....... 62%
Now think about this..... what if we could avoid 1 ATS loss like we did backing the Suns game 2 ?
Well, of the 8 teams only 2 finished with losing game ATS records game 2 and on. And both teams were 1-2 ATS.
So is we avoided 1 loss no team finished with a losing record from game 2 and on.
Now if we avoid 1 loss from each of the 8 teams like we have already done with OKC then check this out..... 18-11 ATS avoiding 8 losses, 1 for each team gives us a spectacular 18-3 ATS in the remaing games after avoiding 1 loss.
These teams off an ATS loss are 7-4 ATS.
These teams up 2-0 and on the road are only 3-4 ATS. But at least a couple of those losses were in spots were the team was 2-0 both SU & ATS.
We don't have that here, O
OKC coming off an ATS loss.
Last year OKC was 2-0 SU & ATS coming i to game 3 and failed to cover.
Play has to be on OKC
0
Posted:
#82
Pistons -2.5 over Magic --- 1.1 units
OKC -9 over Suns --- 1.1 units
I was leaning over on Pistons coming off a great defensive game in game 2 but now I am backing off that as I was hoping line would drop with an overreaction to that game 2 but nope line moving up.
The book did lower the line with a nice line adjustment but not the spit to take the over.
0
Posted:
#83
Forgot the Twolves/Nuggets game.
My Line .......
Twolves -2.31 over Nuggets
My line favored Twolves game 3 and game 4 but with a 2-1 series lead this game 4 basically boils down to who will win this series.
If Twolves win highly likely they win series so a must win for the Nuggets if they are to win the series.
With the line so small a win is almost a cover so you want to back the series winner is what this game boils down to.
If you have good info on who wins this series then back that team. If your info is correct you are highly likely to win ATS tonight.
I'll pass myself.
0
Posted:
#88
My Lines ................ Sunday
Raps -3.02 over Cavs
Spurs -5.3 over Blazers ....... using ave of full season and after break
Celtics -4.53 over 76ers
Rockets -6.43 over LA
It appears Raps and 76ers would be the play.
With Raps off an ATS win I'll pass.
With 76ers off an ATS loss but a game they easily could of should of covered I'll pass.
If Raps are to get back into this series they need a SU win today obviously.
If KD plays and the line doesn't move up I definately take the Rockets but to iffy at this point. Line likely goes up I think, this line seems book suggesting he won't play.
The play I like best today is ................
Celtics/76ers OVER 213.5 --- 1.1 unit
1
Posted:
#89
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1: @theclaw I had 7.5 sweated that one too but went (1-3) not a good ending to my night Yes brutal to lose by the half point .............
Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1: @theclaw I had 7.5 sweated that one too but went (1-3) not a good ending to my night Yes brutal to lose by the half point .............
What I meant Mac was had that first FT not gone in.
After reading this I can see how my comment could be misunderstood.
Many times in my days I've lost by .5 and it is brutal especially in some circumstances.
At times I will buy down to a whole number to prevent that brutal .5 pt loss.
I thought about buying the 213.5 total down to 213 in today's Celtics/76ers game. I looked around trying to get the 213, could not find it, could of waited it out.
To lose by that .5 is so tough to take..........
0
Posted:
#90
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1: @theclaw I had 7.5 sweated that one too but went (1-3) not a good ending to my night Yes brutal to lose by the half point ............. What I meant was had that first FT not gone in. After reading this I can see how my comment could be misunderstood. Many times in my days I've lost by .5 and it is brutal especially in some circumstances. At times I will buy down to a whole number to prevent that brutal .5 pt loss. I thought about buying the 213.5 total down to 213 in today's Celtics/76ers game. I looked around trying to get the 213, could not find it, could of waited it out. To lose by that .5 is so tough to take..........
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1: @theclaw I had 7.5 sweated that one too but went (1-3) not a good ending to my night Yes brutal to lose by the half point ............. What I meant was had that first FT not gone in. After reading this I can see how my comment could be misunderstood. Many times in my days I've lost by .5 and it is brutal especially in some circumstances. At times I will buy down to a whole number to prevent that brutal .5 pt loss. I thought about buying the 213.5 total down to 213 in today's Celtics/76ers game. I looked around trying to get the 213, could not find it, could of waited it out. To lose by that .5 is so tough to take..........
0
Posted:
#91
Well, Nuggets almost at the end of the road.
They open -11 game 5 back at home.
I assume Ant must be out ? I didn't see if he played games 4 or not.
Not very likely Nuggets can come back to win this series, maybe if Ant is out the rest of the series then I think they could but not saying I would favor them to do it, I'd pass on any calls if he is out.
If he plays game 6 and 7 if needed doubtful Nuggets come back.
0
Posted:
#95
My Lines ................. Monday
Pistons -3.06 over Magic
OKC -6.83 over Suns
Nuggets -5.69 over Twolves
Pistons need this win or risk losing the series. This group of key players has not won a single playoff series past 2 years.
Pistons is the play .
Nuggets off 3 ATS & SU losses down 1-3 and back at home have to be the play.
20 pt big blowout win coming.
OKC 5% shooting efficiency team, it still applies in games 2 through the remainder of series if we could avoid 1 loss which we already did backing Suns in game 2.....19-3 ATS with OKC ATS win game 3.
And only 2 of the 8 teams finished with a losing ATS record in games 2 through remainder of series OKC 1-1 ATS now.
These teams off 1 ATS win 11-7 ATS.
Play is on OKC
0
Posted:
#100
1-2, lost 1.35 units
Playoffs --- 9-5, won 3.45 units
I think that may have been my first losing record on a given day
Poor Pistons just cannot get it done. I look for them to bounce back game 5 though.
OKC was hanging right around 10 pt leads, each time I checked the score I think in the 4th. I was hoping they could pull away at the end, I didn't see the end so I don't know if Suns got a little lucky to cover or not.
Nuggets had a 25 pt lead at one point and I thought for sure they'd cruise to that 20 pt win. But hey we got the cover.
1
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