Posted:
#176
CM johnson and 44 also had great stuff to say
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How many of us make money in the NBA?
Posted:
#177
I mostly stick to football where I have the most confidence in my ability to pick a winner ats.
NBA, I look into everyday and really try to pick my spots during the regular season. Depending on my mood I might bet 4 games a night, which doesn't always end up pretty or I might not lay money for 2/3 weeks. I also try to capitalize on the in-game o/u. If you have a book that offers live betting, everyonce in awhile they will really mess-up on the adjustment and that is usually when you can capitalize.
In the playoffs your best bet is to throw all capping out and play the story lines.
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Posted:
#178
Quote Originally Posted by JerryWrasse:
I mostly stick to football where I have the most confidence in my ability to pick a winner ats.
NBA, I look into everyday and really try to pick my spots during the regular season. Depending on my mood I might bet 4 games a night, which doesn't always end up pretty or I might not lay money for 2/3 weeks. I also try to capitalize on the in-game o/u. If you have a book that offers live betting, everyonce in awhile they will really mess-up on the adjustment and that is usually when you can capitalize.
In the playoffs your best bet is to throw all capping out and play the story lines.
In game betting is something that definitely takes some time to master and get experienced in. One you start to understand betting the sport and situationals more, you will find that in game betting is can be exploited to steadily build your bankroll.
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Posted:
#179
Bet 1st half overs, bet second half unders and u cant go wrong.....
Based on trends, results and lines, u can make the folliwing assumption......
"Generally, NBA players shoot better in the 1st half of games than second half of games".
I thought i would never say that, but there is empirical evidence behind it.......
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Posted:
#180
Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:
Bet 1st half overs, bet second half unders and u cant go wrong.....
Based on trends, results and lines, u can make the folliwing assumption......
"Generally, NBA players shoot better in the 1st half of games than second half of games".
I thought i would never say that, but there is empirical evidence behind it.......
i'd like to see this empirical evidence you speak of
i would be very surprised if thats true
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Posted:
#181
this is my 2nd year.. 1st year i was reading up games and doing trends and shit like that... had no payouts.. my 2nd year .. i am following a few cappers that are being paid.. feels like beginning of season u do no follow the handicappers cuz they miss alot.. then in the middle of season its when profit comes in... 2nd year i am cashing out as of late.. i was cashing out more when i had a job but i got laid off now im just taking it slow again like my 1st year and 1st year i didnt have money going in...when i have a big bet it usually hit.. lol...i like to watch games... nba\ ncaab ... get the feel of the teams.. and when i see a line that is too cheap i will take it for what its worth haha
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Posted:
#183
Quote Originally Posted by NEO - THE ONE:
go to NCAAB forum and follow nropp11 religiously,
That's all you have to do to make $$ in basketball
go to NCAAB forum and follow nropp11 religiously,
That's all you have to do to make $$ in basketball
I couldn't agree more about nropp11.........great source of info. Although he's been on a "cold streak" lately, he ALWAYS gets it going again. IE: last night he did really well. GL to all!
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Posted:
#184
Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:
Bet 1st half overs, bet second half unders and u cant go wrong.....
Based on trends, results and lines, u can make the folliwing assumption......
"Generally, NBA players shoot better in the 1st half of games than second half of games".
I thought i would never say that, but there is empirical evidence behind it.......
In theory, that sounds like terrible advice. Most lines already account for this in most situations. This is mostly due to the 4th quarter phenomenon, which today was a sad day with Jerry Sloan leaving the Jazz. No coach or team has been more impactful in 4th quarters as Sloan was under the Jazz.
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Posted:
#186
making money in any sport can be done and has been done for decades !
The wiseguys and sharps are business people they look at every wager as investent with a 100% ROI
most here are just having fun betting with monopoly money posts
$20,000 lock of year $100,000 lock of year etc...
IF you treat sports wagering as a business and really sty focused every day YOU will win large every season !
IF you keep doing as you been doing YOUR going to get the same results you get every year !
I'm no veteran at this betting but i have help from my 4 friends and just 3 years into this betting seriously with $100 - $500 wagers instead of the mini wagers $25 - $50
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Posted:
#187
All what u need is to be involved with the referees......
Without doubt, they are the biggest crooked animals known to humanity........these people are 100% SCUM of the earth.......
These guys get paid off by PIMPS (as if on the road they dont root prostitiutes in return for information for the PIMPS that provide them the girls?
Furthermore, these guys subsidize there salaries........just like Donaghy did all these years,.....
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Posted:
#189
Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:
All what u need is to be involved with the referees......
Without doubt, they are the biggest crooked animals known to humanity........these people are 100% SCUM of the earth.......
These guys get paid off by PIMPS (as if on the road they dont root prostitiutes in return for information for the PIMPS that provide them the girls?
Furthermore, these guys subsidize there salaries........just like Donaghy did all these years,.....
Wow the refs can really piss me off too but I don't hold that kind of animosity towards them. They are humans capable of human errors. Just know which ones are more error prone.
Violet Palmer is the worst in the entire league. I stay away from all her games from now on.
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Posted:
#191
Quote Originally Posted by nbafan88:
1) Money Management
2) Don't bet on late night chaser games involving golden state or the clippers.
3) Limit yourself to 3-4 plays a night on big card nights.
4) Don't bet against the Celtics!
5) Don't be influenced by other people on covers if you have done your own capping on a game.
1) Money Management
2) Don't bet on late night chaser games involving golden state or the clippers.
3) Limit yourself to 3-4 plays a night on big card nights.
4) Don't bet against the Celtics!
5) Don't be influenced by other people on covers if you have done your own capping on a game.
What do you mean ?
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Posted:
#194
Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyChill:
What do you mean ?
What do you mean ?
A lot of people can create a nice write-up with useless stats and info, and with a little bit of persuasiveness in their writing - it can be quite deceiving and misleading.
A good amount of the general population at Covers posts for attention for whatever reason, you have to have an eye to distinguish the people around here that are really making money, and the people who spew constant bullshit on the reg.
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Posted:
#195
Quote Originally Posted by Mikado:
A lot of people can create a nice write-up with useless stats and info, and with a little bit of persuasiveness in their writing - it can be quite deceiving and misleading.
A good amount of the general population at Covers posts for attention for whatever reason, you have to have an eye to distinguish the people around here that are really making money, and the people who spew constant bullshit on the reg.
Actually, I was wondering how can someone cap the games on their own?
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Posted:
#196
Quote Originally Posted by Mikado:
In game betting is something that definitely takes some time to master and get experienced in. One you start to understand betting the sport and situationals more, you will find that in game betting is can be exploited to steadily build your bankroll.
I 100% agree man. You don't hear too many people talking about in-game betting on here. In-game betting is my bread and butter when it comes to making money with sports. It can really take this to the next level when one learns to utilize it right. I view my full game bets as just a base-ground bet to build upon.
How often do you use it? I have always had respect for you as a capper here on covers. I have been starting a little group of people that discuss in-game lines while the game is on. You should stop by on Sunday, it would be awesome to hear you input.
To be honest, that's why I love this site so much. When people use covers right and help each other, it can really benefit everyone. That's also why I get so upset with bashing... this should just be all about sharing opinion and helping each other.
Take care man and GL with the last few games.
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Posted:
#197
Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyChill:
Actually, I was wondering how can someone cap the games on their own?
Actually, I was wondering how can someone cap the games on their own?
Nobody really does it on their own. The more sources and information you know the better. Normally it takes a few years to really accumulate enough info and the growing pains and lessons learned in gambling (money management in particular) on the NBA to become effective.
However what you don't want to do is solely follow others - because you learn NOTHING if you win or lose.
Betting in the NBA starts to become much easier after you learn from your mistakes in each game from an non-biased perspective.
Honestly, it's sometimes hard to watch the games I bet on live because of stress and emotion - it is this emotion that often clouds the gamblers mind to make bad decisions. If you can't think, then don't play. The best plays will just pop out at you and you won't have to go looking for them. In my experience the harder I look into a play, the more likely I am to lose. First initial gut instincts are typically the best, at least for me.
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Posted:
#199
Diadactic Diatribe.......
It's a wonder why books are in the BIZ. Socratically and Ironically speaking IF YOU NEED TO KNOW.
Yes, the media is often touting the losing team. Mike Ditka had a sick run a few years back in the NFL on MNF though. Tread lightly here.
When a person asks questions, pretending not to understand, to lure the interlocutor into a logical trap.
Money Mgmt for sure. Increased wagering about a 50th of the time. In-game wagering after an understanding of your said team and other variances, yes. Fade 2/3 of your friends, yes also! Especially if they aren't on covers and talk a lot of sheeeet.
DISCLAIMER: EVEN IF YOUR FRIENDS ARE ON COVERS, THERE STILL IS A LOT OF SHEEET.
2ND DISCLAIMER: BLINDLY FADING THE PUBLIC MAY BECOME ADDICTIVE.
Monday and Tuesday NBA Streaking Underdogs vs. juiced favorites off a BigGame Wknd Jan - March.
I look fwd to the refs next season, empirically speaking. How can you not with the LIFESTYLE they live!
Regardless, know your sheeeet! Know your matchups in basketball, physically, psychologically, and sociologically. Scheduling is very important and this isn't Kansas every night sweetheart
Don't bet a lot if you don't know what a Prolate Spheroid is.
Stay away from teasers and large parlay cards. If you do happen to hit one we won't believe you. 2 teamers, stick with it. Risky Favorite ML parlays can make you money, but it's money you better have to be able to play and lose.
Large movement one way on the total, continuing thru gametime. Fade. I've seen it more than not.
Don't pay $99 for 30 days worth of picks and expect to retire at the first of the month.
Those are my principles, if you don't like them, I have others!
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Posted:
#200
Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyChill:
Actually, I was wondering how can someone cap the games on their own?
Actually, I was wondering how can someone cap the games on their own?
I have a formula that I created using: HomeAway ,Season, and Last 5/10 Records and Margins that gave me solid predictions for many games since late March in the season. I use that combined with any media news, injury reports, and playoff situations that may arise. I rocked a 4 game parlay due to it which paid out $550+ for a $15 dollar bet.
I'm up consistently 300%-400% on my bankroll starting with a $400 deposit in February.
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