Posted:
#301
FIrst play for today
New mexico state +9.5 Ncaab
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Going to be here for a bit...so I'll post picks in this thread
Posted:
#304
Quote Originally Posted by itsonnow1:
Oh, 2 units
Oh, 2 units
they have a good chance, but most of the ncaa games have been so close to the spread with wide runs, it might just be better waiting live in game for a better line, it usually comes back to the original spread by the end of the game
what do you think of maryland -4.5?
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Posted:
#305
Quote Originally Posted by sexyama:
they have a good chance, but most of the ncaa games have been so close to the spread with wide runs, it might just be better waiting live in game for a better line, it usually comes back to the original spread by the end of the game
what do you think of maryland -4.5?
I would suggest you generally avoid all live betting. It's a chasers world. And if you want to stay professional and disciplined and consistent? Just stick with your full game wagers.
Maryland at -4.5 is almost a steal, if you consider how they outrank valp in many different ways and valp is injury plagued.
However...valp defense is the reason the line is set so tight. Tread carefully.
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Posted:
#306
Quote Originally Posted by itsonnow1:
I would suggest you generally avoid all live betting. It's a chasers world. And if you want to stay professional and disciplined and consistent? Just stick with your full game wagers.
Maryland at -4.5 is almost a steal, if you consider how they outrank valp in many different ways and valp is injury plagued.
However...valp defense is the reason the line is set so tight. Tread carefully.
yup i know how you hate live betting, but i don't like relying on a stupid goaltending goal, or a random useless basket to cover the spread, noticing it a lot in these college bball games
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Posted:
#307
Quote Originally Posted by sexyama:
yup i know how you hate live betting, but i don't like relying on a stupid goaltending goal, or a random useless basket to cover the spread, noticing it a lot in these college bball games
Short term trend.
Don't let what has happened recently sway you from realizing what will happen mostly.
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Posted:
#309
Quote Originally Posted by sexyama:
potential blowout by kansas, nms looks like garbage, can't get inside the paint, coach better figure something out on ku's zone defence
Just checked the score, Ku looks good so far, but definitely too early to tell.
If you want to do this professionally and long term, your best bet is to not watch the game, and to not live game to game, basket for basket. Place your bet and just check the score 2-3 hours later. I've been doing this for a long long time. What's going to be the result? Has nothing to do with how it looks halfway or midway there. I'm sure you've seen enough crazy finishes and turn arounds to know that.
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Posted:
#318
Quote Originally Posted by itsonnow1:
So, this is a consensus.
So, this is a consensus.
more than 65% of the people that responded to me via pm, really have a thing for proving and disproving ignorance. I'm really against this....as I prefer peace, but....Fine!! I've got plenty of time. ;)
So I did them a favor and am going to continue to do them a favor. If I'm not here to post, I'm not here to post, but, as long as I am I will try to post my plays early. Going to continue to ignore certain posters of course (and yes, my ignore list has definitely grown), but I will continue to post here and let those that really want to win, win.
First things first....here's just two small examples where my exquisite analysis has helped someone win and has turned out exactly as said (not inflated ego, lol)...now these are just THREE examples where I "shot off at at the mouth" in this forum (as someone has said)....using my "wannabe analysis" LOL....I've done it way more than three times on this forum...but this is just three...
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=102089354
(comments I make about the raptors. Only one person agrees. Others take pacers. Raptors go on to win out right)
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=102086529
(comments I makee about the knicks. No one agrees. People back lakers. Knicks win out right)
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=22&sub=102038591&page=7
(comments I made about the lakers vs detroit. Lakers win outright)
Not that those are any definite proof of my analysis working LONG term...however, someone stated I've never done what I just proved I've done above. LOL
I'm not going to resort to bashing anyone in return....however, anyone can make their own conclusions as to why someone would go through lengths and bounds to bash someone, that you really can't bash. By making long, lengthy posts, that achieve nothing really.
I have gotten non stop requests via pm to be added to my email list. Yet in this thread, after I leave, is non stop attempts to bash me.
lol
I don't have to do this, anyone who takes the time out themselves can do this...but I did just for kicks....
Total units won since starting this thread is +10.5 units. Not a lot if you're a small bettor...huge if you're a big bettor. But the idea is to win long term.
Longest win streak? 7 days. Longest losing streak? 3 days. Oh...and that longest win streak? Was during the beginning of this month. LOL.
It's funny, absolutely particularly funny, that the ONLY time you get lengthy lengthy retorts from others is on a SINGLE loss. Or a SINGLE losing day. Oh man.....It's like they are waiting on the edge of their seats "PLEASE make this guy lose today so I can go in his thread and bash him...PLEASE...I can't stand that he's winning and so arrogant about it!" LMAO!!!
Anyway, I'm going to continue to give my advice here, continue to give my picks here. Doesn't make sense for me to stop, after talking it over with a few of the people who responded to me via pm.
Now for the people who have nothing better to do but bash because that's what they're best at? I'm only going to ignore you, and let the winning picks themselves answer your madness and make you look truly ridiculous. :)
I'm not surprised by people wanting to be on your email list. Anyone with an ego as big as yours and a condescending nature as severe MUST be able to do what he claims to some degree or you wouldn't be on here you would be locked up in a nuthouse somewhere.
BTW you completely missed the point of my question. I didn't ask for proof of if you had ever given a correct analysis on a play on covers, obviously you have. I asked for proof that your advice has been THE SOLE REASON SOMEBODY WON MONEY ON HERE which was your initial claim was it not?
You don't even see it do you? You're so blinded by your ego you don't even understand the concept that those posts you sourced did not show that anybody won a play DIRECTLY because of YOU as you claimed. You may have been a small factor in somebody playing raptors BUT IF THEY WERE NOT ALREADY LEANING THAT WAY then they wouldn't have made the play just because you said so and even if some idiot did THERE WAS NO PROOF of that on any of the threads you posted not from even ONE poster.
You should not assume your advice has DIRECTLY resulted in anyone making any money because even if your advice is well received and it HELPED whoever made the play still had the final decision on whether to make the play or not and so the credit should go "directly" to them with you getting a little side dish of that credit. You see my issue was with your use of the words "directly due to your advice" if you had said partly due then I wouldn't have found it so stupid.
Also I would liken the "advice" you gave in all 3 posts you linked more to giving a fish (a single play) rather than any substantial advice that could make any covers member money directly because of your advice as you claimed and if we go by this logic then you have also DIRECTLY lost people a lot of money on here by giving incorrect advice (more like a play with a small write up judging from your examples) too but this is a side issue, your direct claiming of the credit for the plays of anyone that reads any thread in which you post an opinion is what really got me.
Get me?
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Posted:
#319
Quote Originally Posted by Killa_Kraken:
I'm not surprised by people wanting to be on your email list. Anyone with an ego as big as yours and a condescending nature as severe MUST be able to do what he claims to some degree or you wouldn't be on here you would be locked up in a nuthouse somewhere.
BTW you completely missed the point of my question. I didn't ask for proof of if you had ever given a correct analysis on a play on covers, obviously you have. I asked for proof that your advice has been THE SOLE REASON SOMEBODY WON MONEY ON HERE which was your initial claim was it not?
You don't even see it do you? You're so blinded by your ego you don't even understand the concept that those posts you sourced did not show that anybody won a play DIRECTLY because of YOU as you claimed. You may have been a small factor in somebody playing raptors BUT IF THEY WERE NOT ALREADY LEANING THAT WAY then they wouldn't have made the play just because you said so and even if some idiot did THERE WAS NO PROOF of that on any of the threads you posted not from even ONE poster.
You should not assume your advice has DIRECTLY resulted in anyone making any money because even if your advice is well received and it HELPED whoever made the play still had the final decision on whether to make the play or not and so the credit should go "directly" to them with you getting a little side dish of that credit. You see my issue was with your use of the words "directly due to your advice" if you had said partly due then I wouldn't have found it so stupid.
Also I would liken the "advice" you gave in all 3 posts you linked more to giving a fish (a single play) rather than any substantial advice that could make any covers member money directly because of your advice as you claimed and if we go by this logic then you have also DIRECTLY lost people a lot of money on here by giving incorrect advice (more like a play with a small write up judging from your examples) too but this is a side issue, your direct claiming of the credit for the plays of anyone that reads any thread in which you post an opinion is what really got me.
Get me?
You're not on my ignore list, so I'll respond to you.
I totally do understand what you're saying. Those posts I sent you? Were just flash analysis I made....the real "pick" came from my system. Which was the direct cause of people on covers having made money. I have personally helped more than one person manage their accounts, and those "analysis" were direct causes for them to make wagers.
Anyone who's followed me from start to finish since posting in this thread, is ahead.
I don't care what happens on any one play. When I say I make an annual salary in a week? Is not me saying "I win 80% of the time while everyone else is winning 55% of the time". Anyone who follows my thread can figure that out for themselves. I bet based on units. And I've come to the point, from my years of playing, to be able to make large wagers on those units.
I only come off as arrogant and egotistical to the sensitive, insecure people. Most definitely those who are in some ways trying to compete with me. Notice, one poster in my thread (who I can clearly see all his posts, but will not respond to), constantly tries to compare his bet selection and win rate with me.
LOL I don't compare myself with anyone. I do talk about how much I win....however, I don't say anything but the obvious. The MAJORITY of sports bettors lose long term. There's nothing arrogant or egotistical about that. I win more money in a week, than some people do in a year If I'm betting $5k a unit and have a 10 unit week.....some people don't make that in a year. There's nothing arrogant or egotistical about that...it's a fact of my experience. Yet, to the insecure or sensitive, it can easily be perceived as arrogant. It is merely a bridge to express a point...which is? I have years and years of experience, betting small and large. Winning and losing....and if I say something about long term or short term? Chances are? I am right. If I give an analysis about a team or a situation or condition? Chances are, I am right.
Can I be wrong? Most definitely! Stick around long enough? I will be right way more than I'm wrong.
My success on the forum is why I have gotten so many requests to be in my email list. If you add up all the times I posted plays (not only in this thread) and how many times I said something about one thing, or condition...I am WINNING. I am AHEAD. My advice is SOUND. Regardless of how you may feel about me personally? What I am doing is effective. Period.
You don't like my personality? ......this is about winning in sports betting....not making friends. You don't have to be my friend to appreciate the work I do.
Anyone who converses with me on a personal level (via pm) knows, I can also be a very encouraging, positive friend, as well as someone you can learn from. I am aggressive when it comes to speaking against nonsense like fixes, trap lines, long wasteful analysis and write ups, etc. Nonsense that has no real effect on the LONG TERM.
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Posted:
#321
Quote Originally Posted by itsonnow1:
You're not on my ignore list, so I'll respond to you.
I totally do understand what you're saying. Those posts I sent you? Were just flash analysis I made....the real "pick" came from my system. Which was the direct cause of people on covers having made money. I have personally helped more than one person manage their accounts, and those "analysis" were direct causes for them to make wagers.
Anyone who's followed me from start to finish since posting in this thread, is ahead.
I don't care what happens on any one play. When I say I make an annual salary in a week? Is not me saying "I win 80% of the time while everyone else is winning 55% of the time". Anyone who follows my thread can figure that out for themselves. I bet based on units. And I've come to the point, from my years of playing, to be able to make large wagers on those units.
I only come off as arrogant and egotistical to the sensitive, insecure people. Most definitely those who are in some ways trying to compete with me. Notice, one poster in my thread (who I can clearly see all his posts, but will not respond to), constantly tries to compare his bet selection and win rate with me.
LOL I don't compare myself with anyone. I do talk about how much I win....however, I don't say anything but the obvious. The MAJORITY of sports bettors lose long term. There's nothing arrogant or egotistical about that. I win more money in a week, than some people do in a year If I'm betting $5k a unit and have a 10 unit week.....some people don't make that in a year. There's nothing arrogant or egotistical about that...it's a fact of my experience. Yet, to the insecure or sensitive, it can easily be perceived as arrogant. It is merely a bridge to express a point...which is? I have years and years of experience, betting small and large. Winning and losing....and if I say something about long term or short term? Chances are? I am right. If I give an analysis about a team or a situation or condition? Chances are, I am right.
Can I be wrong? Most definitely! Stick around long enough? I will be right way more than I'm wrong.
My success on the forum is why I have gotten so many requests to be in my email list. If you add up all the times I posted plays (not only in this thread) and how many times I said something about one thing, or condition...I am WINNING. I am AHEAD. My advice is SOUND. Regardless of how you may feel about me personally? What I am doing is effective. Period.
You don't like my personality? ......this is about winning in sports betting....not making friends. You don't have to be my friend to appreciate the work I do.
Anyone who converses with me on a personal level (via pm) knows, I can also be a very encouraging, positive friend, as well as someone you can learn from. I am aggressive when it comes to speaking against nonsense like fixes, trap lines, long wasteful analysis and write ups, etc. Nonsense that has no real effect on the LONG TERM.
I appreciate your humble reply it makes a nice change. Hopefully we all get to see more of this side of you in future!
Honestly? I'm not one to talk I don't even post my plays here, reason being I consider myself a beginner in this game and don't have enough faith in my ability yet to encourage people to follow me. I appreciate everyone's input that comes from a genuine place on covers (some are bookies and shills from what I've heard?) but it just seems like you think you are God's gift to gambling sometimes and you should try to behave a little more like you also have something to learn while you're here because all of us do and none of us are perfect.
FTR though I salute your decision to continue posting plays and apologize for the nuthouse comment as that was a little below the belt.
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Posted:
#322
Quote Originally Posted by Killa_Kraken:
I appreciate your humble reply it makes a nice change. Hopefully we all get to see more of this side of you in future!
Honestly? I'm not one to talk I don't even post my plays here, reason being I consider myself a beginner in this game and don't have enough faith in my ability yet to encourage people to follow me. I appreciate everyone's input that comes from a genuine place on covers (some are bookies and shills from what I've heard?) but it just seems like you think you are God's gift to gambling sometimes and you should try to behave a little more like you also have something to learn while you're here because all of us do and none of us are perfect.
FTR though I salute your decision to continue posting plays and apologize for the nuthouse comment as that was a little below the belt.
Truly man. I appreciate the kind words. I really, deep down inside, don't mean to come off as a snobby prick. I really don't. It just happens sometimes when someone seems so confident about what they're campaigning...especially with text. It can be so easily misinterpreted. I definitely do apologize for who I seemed like.....because I'm definitely not the arrogant, snobby, prick ....most definitely not. But I'm young.....I'm only 31....I've made so much money early in my life....regardless.....Personality wise? I am still learning...
Because? ......Truly, you are very right. No matter how long you've been on earth, ....you will ALWAYS have something to learn. There is no end to knowledge. No end to experience. And even in my experience of years of winning......I know, that there is still a chance, even if it is slight, that I can lose. Lose more than I win. But my experience, my past....proves other wise. But for me to ever think that it can never turn the other way? Is just nuts.
That is why I am so passionately against anyone charging for picks, or planning on going tout. The touts are such a deceptive business. Even I, a person who has made a fortune with his system, would never charge a person for my picks. It's ridiculous. Even if I win 10 years in a row, there is no guarantee I will continue to win.....there is only a HIGH chance.....
Still not worth paying for AND risking money on the picks. Touts know this....and the ONLY guarantee for them? Is the subscription fees they get from their clients.
I encourage people to follow me and my advice mainly because I know that their chances of success increases following me.....more than just doing any random thing...over the long term. I teach people how to protect their bankroll, and how to avoid very bad wagering habits.
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