Froggy's Ultimate Quarter System

Dont get it...so any quarter you'll count it as a win (19-0) ??? If lose 1q and 2q then 3q wins?

Yeah it's rare for a team to win every quarter but this is ridiculous lol like funny.  I wont stop dm thoughcuz its nice place

@dboyy

As I wrote in the picks, please read page 1 of this thread to understand the system. The answer is yes, 1q loss = 2q bet. 2q loss = 3q bet. Etc. It's not rare for a team to cover at least one quarter, but when a total loss can cost 20 units, it's extremely important to avoid them. Despite how common it is to be able to cover at least a quarter, almost 15% of total matchups have teams that don't cover any quarter (sweeps). My system avoids this loss scenario at a 99.2% success rate. 242 - 2 record during 3 seasons.

@dboyy

After a quarter wins, you're supposed to stop betting.

Every game a team is not gonna lose all 4 quarter bro

So your system is pretty much chasing until it wins

Bet 1 unit. If lose then bet 2 unit.  If lose than bet 4 unit. Just to profit 

@dboyy

 Precisely.  It's like playing roulette, losing black on your first spin,  and the continuing to double down on black until you hit.

In this system's case, record means nothing as long as you win one out of four quarters in a game which like you mentioned,  is very likely to happen.

Following this system you just double down and pray that you don't miss 20 in a row and bust your roll. And a 19-0 record doesn't hold much merit because as long as he wins 1 out of 4 qtrs in a game then it classifies as a win (although you could have went 1-3 for the game, clearly not winning in the conventional sense).

Not exactly...most games do not meet the criteria...so its not the same risk associated with a roulette wheel. 

Guys... nobody is forcing you to follow this system. @ColoradoSlim, you clearly don't understand this system because there are only 4 quarters in a match, not 20. It's a 4-legged martingale. @dboyy, have you ever looked at live quarter odds? It's a moving target. As the point differentials change between the 2 teams, the odds also change. It's not about a team winning or losing a quarter, it's about covering the spread. It's much harder to do than you guys think. It's not like a roulette martingale where you continue to double down over and over and over again for as long as you can until you bust your bankroll. This martingale has a clear stop... and it has reached that stop twice in 246 attempts. Twice!

Again... please don't tail me if you don't trust me. However, I have absolutely nothing to hide. I keep telling you guys to read page 1. If you don't take heed of my warnings, that's not my problem.

Here are the last 10 sweeps just for reference:

02/25/2022 - Minnesota Timberwolves
02/25/2022 - Toronto Raptors
02/24/2022 - Brooklyn Nets
02/17/2022 - Houston Rockets
02/16/2022 - Boston Celtics
02/16/2022 - Orlando Magic
02/15/2022 - Philadelphia 76ers
02/14/2022 - Milwaukee Bucks
02/14/2022 - Toronto Raptors
02/14/2022 - New York Knicks

These are basically 20 unit loss landmines that the system so effectively avoids. These landmines are placed in approximately 15% of the matchups. 454 out of 3066 total matches on record (3 seasons).

Quarter Method Pick

Washington Wizards 1Q -1
Atlanta Hawks 1Q +2

4Q Gas System Pick

Atlanta Hawks 4Q +1

Please read page 1 if you don't understand how this system works. TL:DR It's a 4-legged martingale and you can potentially lose 20 units on a single loss. But our current record stands at 19-0 sooo... 

Interesting system. Fun to follow along with anyways . So at 21-0 you can afford a loss and still be into profit if im understanding the numbers right. 20 or 21 wins covers 1 loss? (As in a full 4q 20 unit loss)

Gl tonight frogger

@dubz4dummyz

This is correct. This is a celebratory moment for everyone who followed from the beginning.

@Froggy80

 Cool. Good job avoiding those mines

Very interesting to follow

Quarter Method Pick

Washington Wizards 1Q -1 

Winner winner~ 

2 for 2 in the first quarter... let's go!

Quarter Method Strikes again! (Record 21 - 0)

Washington Wizards 1Q -1 
Atlanta Hawks 1Q +2 

Congrats to all who tailed! 

SWEET

Where do you get team stats bro ?

@zzbynzz

Team stats? What team stats?

@Froggy80

 team stats win or lose in a quarter, 

the weighted average quarters won and the percentage of at least 1 quarter being won

you mention in first page

@zzbynzz

I calculate all of it myself.

@Froggy80

 anything for TN brother?

Quarter Method Pick

Milwaukee Bucks 

Froggy's system is waaay above random expectations. 4 losses in a row should happen 1/16 times(.5^4th) and yet he has ___2__ losses in 244 plays.

If this was just a coin flip betting system then he should have 244/16 losses or roughly 15ish losses.