Froggy's Ultimate Quarter System

@Qwan61

Thanks. Finally someone that gets it (mathematically). 

The main question is how do you know which game to pick to play the 1st Q? TY

@Dynasty4

To start: It's not just 1Q.

TL DR: The Quarter Method is a 4-legged martingale wagering on NBA quarters (1st Quarter -- pre game wager, then 2Q, 3Q, and 4Q are live wagers). Max loss is 20 units. Max gain is 1 unit. Current record is 22-0.

The way I pick is based on team performances and their ability to cover quarters based on ATS odds. If a team has a bad record of covering, then the system doesn't consider them as a pick. The system also takes into consideration power rankings based on them being Home or Away. It also takes into consideration their fatigue factor. Teams that are on a back-to-back, 3rd game in 4 nights, 5th game in 7 nights or a combination of these factors will almost always forego a quarter. These are things that the system calculates automatically. It also doesn't over extend by taking picks with odds worse than -1. These are all factors that protect us and allow us to navigate safely even when a martingale is a theoretically "dangerous" strategy.

TY. GL

MIL 1Q is now +0.5 

MIL 2Q 

Quarter Method completes us in 2Q. Congrats to all who tailed! 

@Qwan61

Lol again it's rare for a team to lose all 4 quarters.  No lie when froggy post up exact quarter bets hes pretty damn good. But this method..losing 1q then keep chasing isnt ideal for anyone. Depending on books, Some set live bets or quarters low. Or have none at all. No team today lost all 4 quarters smh. Sorry man i like ur stuff at first froggy but realize it's a chasing game . 

You could pick any t3am today and still would not lose all 4 quarters

@dboyy

You should try it. Let me know how that works out for you. 

@dboyy

 Is that you in the poster? You fugly.

@Action008

 If that really his face, that is the most ugly face I have ever seen. Looks like a loner face.

@dboyy

"...Lol again it's rare for a team to lose all 4 quarters..."

15% isn't exactly a rare event.

Yesterday is a perfect example of how things can go awry. Indiana Pacers and New Orleans Pelicans both got swept.

Anyways... we have 2 picks on the deck for tonight.

Quarter Method Pick (current record: Undefeated with 20-something wins )

Charlotte Hornets 1Q pk
Toronto Raptors 1Q -0.5

If you don't understand this system, please read page 1 of this thread.

TL DR: The Quarter Method is a 4-legged martingale wagering on NBA quarters (1st Quarter -- pre game wager, then 2Q, 3Q, and 4Q are live wagers). Max loss is 20 units. Max gain is 1 unit.

BOL to all who chooses to tail. 

"Yesterday is a perfect example of how things can go awry. Indiana Pacers and New Orleans Pelicans both got swept."

I'm not following the thread or system, just perusing various threads this morning, I might be off on your qualifying parameters, but, Indy 32-31 Q4, no?

(Just making this note to you in case you're keeping a tracking database.)

@VeritasAlways

In a live setting, odds change based on the point gap between two teams. For 4Q Indiana's odds were -2

Got it.

I was an oddsmaker for years, I understand live lines, I just missed that "live" part of your system (not following closely, just as as said "perusing"), and didn't factor in the updated/current line.

Good luck going forward. . .

@VeritasAlways

I figured out the live lines through a formula that I developed (basically through observation). I'd love to pick your brain to see if my formula makes sense.

I take the 1Q line and add or subtract points based on the point difference at the end of each quarter.

If point difference is greater than 29.5 points then I add/subtract 4.5 from the line

If point difference is greater than 24.5 points and less than 29.5 points then add/subtract 4.0 from the line

If point difference is greater than 20.5 points and less than 24.5 points then add/subtract 3.5 from the line

If point difference is greater than 16.5 points and less than 20.5 points then add/subtract 3.0 from the line

If point difference is greater than 12.5 points and less than 16.5 points then add/subtract 2.5 from the line

If point difference is greater than 10.5 points and less than 12.5 points then add/subtract 2.0 from the line

If point difference is greater than 7.5 points and less than 10.5 points then add/subtract 1.5 from the line

If point difference is greater than 4.5 points and less than 7.5 points then add/subtract 1.0 from the line

If point difference is greater than 2.5 points and less than 4.5 points then add/subtract 0.5 from the line

Else odds remain equal to 1Q lines.

Whatever...the Hornets suck...but maybe they will take the 3rd...but they SUCK...lol.

@froggy80 any play on Q3 per model or was the cover q2?

Charlotte 3Q Cash it!

You guys should join the discord... plenty of plays here and I am move available

https://discord.gg/jFEBmueqdV

@Froggy80

 I just stumbled by the NBA site after focusing solely on tourney. Saw you. Thought damn the last NBA game already started. Then saw your Toronto 1q pick was still on the board!!

Btw I think you win this one in the 1st qtr. But no matter what we have 3 more at bats if needed.Good luck sir?

*! Lol