Los Angeles Angels -1.5 +136
It's been really ugly for the Angels as of late. They've lost 9 of 10, just got swept by the Royals and now on the brink of being swept by the White Sox. I can't imagine a road trip going worse. Kikuchi has been terrible, aside from his 4/18 start vs the Padres. But he's faced some of the better offense in the league as well, so while the numbers aren't good, the Cubs, Braves and Yankees are hitting everyone. He has 6 pitches in his arsenal, and I think he can keep these young Sox hitters off balance. Fedde isn't as good as his numbers indicate either. He throws 90 mph, and nothing with crazy break. He's going to get hammered soon, and I'm not gonna miss it.
Boston Red Sox +110
I think the pitching match up is a wash, both are bad. I'd play the over, but it being a getaway day for both squads, I can't be sure there is enough "want to" in each line up to get there. Bostons pen is vastly better than Torontos, and with all the injuries the Jays have right now, their offense is weak. Wilson Contreras and Trevor Story both have very good track records vs Lauer with plenty of sample size. I'll take the better offense and bullpen as a small dog in a rubber match.
Los Angeles Dodgers -235
You'll next to never, catch me playing a favorite this big. It's baseball, anything can happen. But a few reasons as to why I think this is a sure thing. A. The Dodgers lost last night, and they've only lost back to back games twice this year. B. The Dodgers line up owns Alcantara. Freeman, Muncy, Hernandez and Smith all have 10+ ABs vs him, and all are .300 or better, and Ohtani has 2 HR in 7 ABs. I'm hoping we get the full line up, as its travel day to STL next, but I think we should given their success. C. Glasnow has been great, and Miami has the LA to MIA flight to look forward to, they may not have any interest at all today.
Cubs/Padres Over 9 +100
Waldren has been real bad since coming up, and Taillon hasn't been all that great himself, but I'm relying on an empty Cubs bullpen to contribute to the over today. They are just running out of arms out there. The Padres bats are starting to heat up, especially Machado, and if they can get to Taillon early, or even just make him work a bit and get rid of him before the 6th, the Cubs pen will do their thing for us. Beautiful day to hit a baseball in San Diego.
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