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SJP's Interleague Roundtable (SUNDAY---June 26th, 2011)

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Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by EstakaBriones:

   SarahJ Philli you are the man ...whoops im sorry , keep up the great capping

 




 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

Nice day yesterday.  Good Luck today Sarah. 


Thanks PS, you too!
 
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Posted: #78

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



Nice! Best of luck.

On a completely unrelated to sports betting topic, I noticed your location is set as NY but you have a David Ortiz avatar.

Love my Celts, Sox and Bruins. Love Boston period. Hate the Pats though. Only true NY team i like is Syr Orange.

Best of luck today SJP           

 
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Posted: #79
Building the official card:

  • Houston Astros +1.5 (-129)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-124)
  • St. Louis Cardinals (+107)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (-105)

More to come.
 
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by play2winthagame:

Love my Celts, Sox and Bruins. Love Boston period. Hate the Pats though. Only true NY team i like is Syr Orange.

Best of luck today SJP           



I see, I see. Cool!

Good luck today to you as well.
 
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Posted: #81
I take it you don't like Rock and Roll aren't you from Eugene, I used to live in Portland  Mutlnomah Village section  Great town  also used to go to Eugene or up in the hills outside of Eugene where the hippies and good green are 
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by BarneysDad:

I take it you don't like Rock and Roll aren't you from Eugene, I used to live in Portland  Mutlnomah Village section  Great town  also used to go to Eugene or up in the hills outside of Eugene where the hippies and good green are 


LOL! There are a ton of hippies in Eugene, but I'm not one of them. :)
 
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Posted: #83
Building the official card:

  • Houston Astros +1.5 (-129)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-124)
  • St. Louis Cardinals (+107)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (-105)
  • Washington Nationals +1 (-106)

More to come.
 
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Posted: #84
I need to get some sleep.

I'll be back later.
 
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Posted: #85

Bost/pit;  I have no lean on the side in this one, maybe an over lean. Hard to imagine Bost being swept but they did L 2 of 3 at home vs SD. Maybe they are not taking IL seriously? Whatever. Miller was sharp in his Sox debut, one mistake from a shutout, maybe he is reborn??? Miller is 4-5  3.82 era in IL play, has one start at PNC: 0-1  7.71 era, two starts with Gibson: 0-1  5.68 era. McDonald walks way too many batters for this Sox team, will they make him pay? Over may be the right play here. 

 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by play2winthagame:

Bost/pit;  I have no lean on the side in this one, maybe an over lean. Hard to imagine Bost being swept but they did L 2 of 3 at home vs SD. Maybe they are not taking IL seriously? Whatever. Miller was sharp in his Sox debut, one mistake from a shutout, maybe he is reborn??? Miller is 4-5  3.82 era in IL play, has one start at PNC: 0-1  7.71 era, two starts with Gibson: 0-1  5.68 era. McDonald walks way too many batters for this Sox team, will they make him pay? Over may be the right play here. 



Boston is a great team, but they're still the same team that began the season 2-10. Add in the fact that they lose the DH in the NL and it puts more pressure on their pitchers to perform---the weakness of the Red Sox is their starting pitching compared to other contenders.

You're never as great as you look during your winning streaks, and you've never as bad as you look during your losing streak.

With that being said, there's a little wiggle room on the 1.5 side in case Boston shows up. :)
 
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Posted: #87

Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:



Boston is a great team, but they're still the same team that began the season 2-10. Add in the fact that they lose the DH in the NL and it puts more pressure on their pitchers to perform---the weakness of the Red Sox is their starting pitching compared to other contenders.

You're never as great as you look during your winning streaks, and you've never as bad as you look during your losing streak.

With that being said, there's a little wiggle room on the 1.5 side in case Boston shows up. :)

Their pitching is taking a hit since Beckett has not pitched and Bucholtz has been on the DL. Lackey sucks I'll give you that but at full strength the Sox are the team to beat in the AL and maybe in the whole MLB.

 
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Posted: #88
Quote Originally Posted by SarahJPhilli:

Building the official card:
  • Houston Astros +1.5 (-129)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-124)



Congrats your Saturday, 8-1 is very impressive. You were on the sharp side of many of those games, it's no surprise as to why you had a successful day.

As for today's card, those very well maybe the right side, but turning dogs into favorites is not the best monetary, LONG TERM, dollar builder (specially for volume players). There are many sharps who are not volume players, they don't mind decreasing their value to strictly win a particular game because they're wagering 1, maybe 2 games per day.

However, any player making 3+ wagers a day (volume players) this will not increase revenue, only win percentage. The percentage maybe the objective when you have a following online, so I get that. At the end of the day, it's about you and your pockets, so make the right decision for yourself.

It's tough to believe every yaya that comes on here, and take their word as gold. Very rare anyone has productive things to say, but you can track this yourself.

Simply chart when you turn a dog into a favorite by adding +1.5 from this point forward through the end of the season. You'll see the Mets +165 as oppose to +1.5 (-125). Come back to me with the overall DOLLARS for both. I promise you'll see an increase in revenue. It's a fairly easy concept, saving money on your losers, and increasing revenue on your winners. Minimizing losses, while Maximizing profits. It's what any investor attempts to achieve.

We live and we learn, games like the Padres earlier in the week, the Mets yesterday, and ones in the future hopefully will do that for you.

Over the last 5 seasons between 23-27% of ball games are only determined by a single run. Because of that, there is far more VALUE taking a few extra loses without the added hook, but cashing in a ton more when the pups bite.

Knock em' dead today, Philli.
 
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Posted: #89

Amazing job yesterday Sarah, there was definatly some people that ended up goin 1-8 lmao.

I went 5-1, sorry that im not on your level

 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by RodWoman:

  Great job yesterday.  Not many 8-1 days out there for anyone.  Best thing about 8-1, it will result in you posting plays for another 3-4 days. Is it tail time, ,  or back to the fade,.  Tough call today.  Good luck, Sarah.


Def a fade for me, this is where Bet Jamaica gets it all back in the next few days
 
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Posted: #91
greg gibson hp ump in pitt

Carmona has allowed atleast 4 runs in 8 straight starts

im with ya on hou and pitt, gl
 
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Posted: #92

Quote Originally Posted by WiseGuys-R-Us:



Congrats your Saturday, 8-1 is very impressive. You were on the sharp side of many of those games, it's no surprise as to why you had a successful day.

As for today's card, those very well maybe the right side, but turning dogs into favorites is not the best monetary, LONG TERM, dollar builder (specially for volume players). There are many sharps who are not volume players, they don't mind decreasing their value to strictly win a particular game because they're wagering 1, maybe 2 games per day.

However, any player making 3+ wagers a day (volume players) this will not increase revenue, only win percentage. The percentage maybe the objective when you have a following online, so I get that. At the end of the day, it's about you and your pockets, so make the right decision for yourself.

It's tough to believe every yaya that comes on here, and take their word as gold. Very rare anyone has productive things to say, but you can track this yourself.

Simply chart when you turn a dog into a favorite by adding +1.5 from this point forward through the end of the season. You'll see the Mets +165 as oppose to +1.5 (-125). Come back to me with the overall DOLLARS for both. I promise you'll see an increase in revenue. It's a fairly easy concept, saving money on your losers, and increasing revenue on your winners. Minimizing losses, while Maximizing profits. It's what any investor attempts to achieve.

We live and we learn, games like the Padres earlier in the week, the Mets yesterday, and ones in the future hopefully will do that for you.

Over the last 5 seasons between 23-27% of ball games are only determined by a single run. Because of that, there is far more VALUE taking a few extra loses without the added hook, but cashing in a ton more when the pups bite.

Knock em' dead today, Philli.

The +RL is the dumbest bet in baseball if you feel the dog is going to lose by 1 then DO NOT BET THAT DOG... making dogs into favs is what the books want you to do... lose profit when u win and eat juice when you lose... 1 RUN games DO NOT happen often enough for this to be profitable

GL TODAY

 
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Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:


Def a fade for me, this is where Bet Jamaica gets it all back in the next few days

 
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Posted: #94
Quote Originally Posted by 35MOOSE35:

The +RL is the dumbest bet in baseball if you feel the dog is going to lose by 1 then DO NOT BET THAT DOG... making dogs into favs is what the books want you to do... lose profit when u win and eat juice when you lose... 1 RUN games DO NOT happen often enough for this to be profitable

GL TODAY

Yeah i agree most of the times you should just take the dog straight up, i dont play many dogs, or +RL but this was my last one i did, earlier last week.

MIN - RL +1.5 (-150)

The Twins started the first few months of the season in the basement. However they have bounced back lately going a very impressive 15-2 in their last 17 games. They have also been solid on the road as of late going 7-1 in their last 8. This team is finally getting their shit together lol. The Twins dont seem to mind being the underdog on the road going 13-6 in their last 19 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. As for the Giants they did pick up the win last night but they have lost 5 of their last 6 games. We have still yet to see Tim Lincicum in his CY Young form. I like the twins on the Runline tomorrow, they even have a shot to win straight up.

Final: 2-1 SF

 
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Posted: #95
Sticking my neck out today and posting my actions again. Afterall, I went 100% yesterday, while some people only mustered a paltry 89%!!!

MIL -1.5 @ +140

This is a home team that is scoring runs playing against a road team that is decimated by injuries and failing to score runs, going against a pitcher they've never seen before. Narveson has been far from lights out this season, but given the weakness of the Twins line up today, I expect him to go deep.

NYM 5 inning ML @ +150

The perpetually under-performing Mets are heating up whilst the Rangers might just be starting to find ways to lose when heavy chalk. Given that the Mets go with an SP sporting a 7-0 road record, I'm looking for the Mets to try to come out hot early and try to build the momentum to get above .500. Meanwhile, the Rangers might still be reeling from defeats as a -167 & a -185 favourite in their last three games. The +150 looks very generous for the first 5.

Best of luck!
 
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Posted: #96

Quote Originally Posted by UKCrunch:

Sticking my neck out today and posting my actions again. Afterall, I went 100% yesterday, while some people only mustered a paltry 89%!!!

MIL -1.5 @ +140

This is a home team that is scoring runs playing against a road team that is decimated by injuries and failing to score runs, going against a pitcher they've never seen before. Narveson has been far from lights out this season, but given the weakness of the Twins line up today, I expect him to go deep.

NYM 5 inning ML @ +150

The perpetually under-performing Mets are heating up whilst the Rangers might just be starting to find ways to lose when heavy chalk. Given that the Mets go with an SP sporting a 7-0 road record, I'm looking for the Mets to try to come out hot early and try to build the momentum to get above .500. Meanwhile, the Rangers might still be reeling from defeats as a -167 & a -185 favourite in their last three games. The +150 looks very generous for the first 5.

Best of luck!

Holland gets a lot of run support when he pitches.  GL

 
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Posted: #97

Yesterday (5-1) ....18-5-3 MLB RUN!

Season (52-40-3)

Yesterday i was to lazy to do any write up's today im wayyyy to hungover! lol I get back into the routine tomorrow.

Today's picks...

PHI - RL (-110)

BOS - TT - OVER 4.5 (-150)

NYY - ML (-160)

CWS - ML (-160)

TOR/STL - UNDER 7 (-105)

WSH/CWS - First 5 Innings - UNDER 4.5 RUNS (-140)

BOL Everyone!!!

 
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Posted: #98
Tampa Bay v Houston
Niemann pitched well in his last outing after a month off. Maybe that rest is what he needed to get back on track. On the other side of the mound Happ hasn't been involved in a winning game in his last 7 outings. He allows a hit per inning and a walk every other. So the Rays should be able to get runners on base quite frequently causing Happ to throw from the stretch. TB has been swinging a good bat as of late, can not say as much for the Stros. TB has a chance at a sweep and they usually come through when they are up 2-0. I believe they are 5-1 when given the chance at a sweep. That 1 loss was a 4 game set at home vs the White Sox. TB is 14-6 in game 3 while Houston is 9-14. TB gets better as the series goes on ( accept game 4 where they are 0-4)  Houston seems to lose interest as the series goes along.
Have to stay with the hot bats and the hot trends. I believe TB has only lost 1 Sunday game on the road this season.
Have to stick with the hot team and ride TB
TB ML
TB -1.5
TB -2.5
 
 
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Posted: #99
holy chalk kush, gl
 
 
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Posted: #100

Quote Originally Posted by BigGame90:

Tampa Bay v Houston
Niemann pitched well in his last outing after a month off. Maybe that rest is what he needed to get back on track. On the other side of the mound Happ hasn't been involved in a winning game in his last 7 outings. He allows a hit per inning and a walk every other. So the Rays should be able to get runners on base quite frequently causing Happ to throw from the stretch. TB has been swinging a good bat as of late, can not say as much for the Stros. TB has a chance at a sweep and they usually come through when they are up 2-0. I believe they are 5-1 when given the chance at a sweep. That 1 loss was a 4 game set at home vs the White Sox. TB is 14-6 in game 3 while Houston is 9-14. TB gets better as the series goes on ( accept game 4 where they are 0-4)  Houston seems to lose interest as the series goes along.
Have to stay with the hot bats and the hot trends. I believe TB has only lost 1 Sunday game on the road this season.
Have to stick with the hot team and ride TB
TB ML
TB -1.5
TB -2.5
 

GL

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