Percentage of games won by 1 run??????

Anybody have this info? Am very interested in these stats as well.

Have been trying to put together a math formula regarding the usage of this data. 

Am trying to see if its possible to play the -1.5 and the underdog...both at + money and have success in certain situations... and info would be much appreciated

Was hoping someone might have this data on a spreadsheet?

 If not I might go back and do the past 5 years myself.

I do think there is a chance an advantage might be possible...depending on the situation and lines involved.

Example of what I am talking about:

Padres/Giants line for tonight

-1.5 is +141

Dog line is +156

This isn't confirmed yet...but I have seen posted that estimated 30% of games are decided by 1 run but 40% of those are won by the dog.

If you could get the type of lines above in certain situations I think money might be made in the long run.

But I need to see the previous 5 years data first. Once that data is retrieved then it can be deciphered and maybe something could be made of it.

But if someone has a link to this data or has it let me know.

usually around 30% of games are decided by 1 run per season

so far this year there have been 492 games and 137 games have been decided by 1 run which is 27.8%

83 games the home team won by a run and 54 away teams won by one run so far this year

60.5% of 1 run wins were by home teams in 2010

39.5% of 1 run wins were by away teams in 2010

3585 1 run games since 2005

12,789 total games since 2005

so 28% of games since 2005 have been decided by 1 run

SeattleC

you were right on...

hammer22 - no prob, i like looking that stuff up - thanks for starting this thread

uriss - your data intrigues me too - good stuff

i wonder what would happen if you played every dog moneyline and every favorite -1.5 each day??

basically betting on games to not end with the favorite winning by 1 run - or saying that the dog will win outright or the favorite will win by 2 runs or more...