Posted:
#1
Record: 17-9
Blue Jays/Rays UNDER 4 1/2 (F5)
The market is pricing this off Lauer's surface-level ERA, not his current form. Sub-16 pitches per inning over his last two starts signals improved command and early-count contact, a direct counter to Tampa's patient profile. On the other side, Martinez is dealing like a top-tier arm right now, carrying a 1.70 ERA and coming off a clean 7-inning outing. Both offenses have been slow starters this month, ranking bottom half in early scoring, which reinforces a low-event first half. Add in the controlled Trop environment and this shapes as a quiet five innings. This number's inflated relative to current efficiency trends.
Good Luck!
5
Hot Forum Topics
