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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Mike Trout Strikeouts

    «First Previous 222324 ... 303132 Next Last»
    TxRangers
    Raiders22
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    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 1:58 PM ET #526

    Little Mikey, please stay in the lineup. Don't hurt your left index finger when you're pushing your code for your gate to open for your mansion in Anaheim. You should be ashamed of yourself living in a mansion by stealing money from my angel's owner. But please don't hurt your left index finger. We all know how fragile you are because your steroids have been wearing off

    Reply

    Little Mikey, please stay in the lineup. Don't hurt your left index finger when you're pushing your code for your gate to open for your mansion in Anaheim. You should be ashamed of yourself living in a mansion by stealing money from my angel's owner. But please don't hurt your left index finger. We all know how fragile you are because your steroids have been wearing off

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 1:58 PM ET #527

    Mike Trout is a clear Hall of Fame-level player, and the strikeout comparison doesn’t hurt his case.

    He does have more strikeouts than hits in his career, but that’s not unusual for modern power hitters. What matters is his overall production:

    • 3× MVP (one of the most in MLB history)
    • 9× All-Star
    • Elite career OPS (well over .900)
    • Career WAR among the highest for active players for most of his peak
    • Combination of power, on-base ability, and defense in center field

    The key point:

    • Strikeouts are a byproduct of his approach (power + patience), not inefficiency.
    • He also walks a lot, which offsets strikeouts in overall value.

    Historically, Hall of Fame voting doesn’t penalize players for strikeouts if they:

    • produce elite offensive value
    • dominate their era
    • accumulate MVP-level seasons

    So for Trout specifically:

    • The answer is still no concern for Hall of Fame status
    • He’s essentially a “first-ballot if career ended today” type player

    If anything, his only real question isn’t Hall of Fame—it’s longevity (health in later career years), not strikeouts.

    Reply

    Mike Trout is a clear Hall of Fame-level player, and the strikeout comparison doesn’t hurt his case.

    He does have more strikeouts than hits in his career, but that’s not unusual for modern power hitters. What matters is his overall production:

    • 3× MVP (one of the most in MLB history)
    • 9× All-Star
    • Elite career OPS (well over .900)
    • Career WAR among the highest for active players for most of his peak
    • Combination of power, on-base ability, and defense in center field

    The key point:

    • Strikeouts are a byproduct of his approach (power + patience), not inefficiency.
    • He also walks a lot, which offsets strikeouts in overall value.

    Historically, Hall of Fame voting doesn’t penalize players for strikeouts if they:

    • produce elite offensive value
    • dominate their era
    • accumulate MVP-level seasons

    So for Trout specifically:

    • The answer is still no concern for Hall of Fame status
    • He’s essentially a “first-ballot if career ended today” type player

    If anything, his only real question isn’t Hall of Fame—it’s longevity (health in later career years), not strikeouts.

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:01 PM ET #528

    So, I am not sure why you keep saying this.

    Just enjoy making money off of your angle on him striking out.  I am sure you can do it on other pier hitters as well.

    But to say he is not a Hall-of-Famer is not anyone's opinion but yours based on strikeouts that most do not care about in today's game

    peace_5

    Reply

    So, I am not sure why you keep saying this.

    Just enjoy making money off of your angle on him striking out.  I am sure you can do it on other pier hitters as well.

    But to say he is not a Hall-of-Famer is not anyone's opinion but yours based on strikeouts that most do not care about in today's game

    peace_5

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:02 PM ET #529

    Having more strikeouts than hits is pretty common for modern power hitters, and it doesn’t automatically disqualify someone from the Hall of Fame.

    A few Hall of Famers with huge strikeout totals:

    • Reggie Jackson — 2,597 strikeouts, 2,584 hits
    • Jim Thome — 2,548 strikeouts, 2,328 hits
    • Mike Schmidt — 1,883 strikeouts, 2,234 hits (closer, but still tons of Ks)

    And some likely/near-lock future Hall guys:

    • Aaron Judge
    • Giancarlo Stanton

    The Hall of Fame is generally about:

    • overall offensive production
    • WAR/value
    • MVPs
    • postseason impact
    • dominance relative to era

    not simply strikeouts vs hits.

    Now, if a player has:

    • low batting average,
    • mediocre OBP,
    • little defensive value,
    • and more strikeouts than hits,

    then the strikeout issue becomes part of a bigger negative profile.

    But for elite sluggers, strikeouts are often just the tradeoff for:

    • home runs,
    • walks,
    • power,
    • run production.
    • <

    Reply

    Having more strikeouts than hits is pretty common for modern power hitters, and it doesn’t automatically disqualify someone from the Hall of Fame.

    A few Hall of Famers with huge strikeout totals:

    • Reggie Jackson — 2,597 strikeouts, 2,584 hits
    • Jim Thome — 2,548 strikeouts, 2,328 hits
    • Mike Schmidt — 1,883 strikeouts, 2,234 hits (closer, but still tons of Ks)

    And some likely/near-lock future Hall guys:

    • Aaron Judge
    • Giancarlo Stanton

    The Hall of Fame is generally about:

    • overall offensive production
    • WAR/value
    • MVPs
    • postseason impact
    • dominance relative to era

    not simply strikeouts vs hits.

    Now, if a player has:

    • low batting average,
    • mediocre OBP,
    • little defensive value,
    • and more strikeouts than hits,

    then the strikeout issue becomes part of a bigger negative profile.

    But for elite sluggers, strikeouts are often just the tradeoff for:

    • home runs,
    • walks,
    • power,
    • run production.
    • <

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:02 PM ET #530

    Can you make money off of Judge or others on this angle or no?

    Reply

    Can you make money off of Judge or others on this angle or no?

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:08 PM ET #531

    @Raiders22

     I haven't looked at other strikeout props. Only trout. But dude, with all due respect. Mike Trout is not a Hall of Fame player and this is why analytics aren't important YOU CAN'T HIT THE BALL, YOUR ASS DOESN'T BELONG IN THE HALL OF FAME. YOU CAN'T COMPARE REGGIE JACKSON OR JIM THOME TO THE WORTHLESS TROUT. The next time trout hits a home run and the world series. Let me know. And really you are comparing Mike Schmidt to Mike Trout. You say Schmidt had a ton of strikeout? At the end of the season, trout will have more strikeouts than Schmidt. What do you call that? 2 tons?

    Reply

    @Raiders22

     I haven't looked at other strikeout props. Only trout. But dude, with all due respect. Mike Trout is not a Hall of Fame player and this is why analytics aren't important YOU CAN'T HIT THE BALL, YOUR ASS DOESN'T BELONG IN THE HALL OF FAME. YOU CAN'T COMPARE REGGIE JACKSON OR JIM THOME TO THE WORTHLESS TROUT. The next time trout hits a home run and the world series. Let me know. And really you are comparing Mike Schmidt to Mike Trout. You say Schmidt had a ton of strikeout? At the end of the season, trout will have more strikeouts than Schmidt. What do you call that? 2 tons?

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:09 PM ET #532

    How come Frank Thomas didn't strike out? How come Manny Machado who almost has as many home runs as trout does. How come he has never had a season where he's had more strikeouts than hits? We could go on and on? But please answer this one simple question. How come Manny Machado, a power hitter, has never had one season where he's had more strikeouts than hits? I'll wait for your answer. And for the record. This will be 8 seasons in a row the great Mike Trout will accomplish this feat. Another one, Alvarez from Houston? What about his strikeouts? Compare him to Trout. It's a complete difference

    Reply

    How come Frank Thomas didn't strike out? How come Manny Machado who almost has as many home runs as trout does. How come he has never had a season where he's had more strikeouts than hits? We could go on and on? But please answer this one simple question. How come Manny Machado, a power hitter, has never had one season where he's had more strikeouts than hits? I'll wait for your answer. And for the record. This will be 8 seasons in a row the great Mike Trout will accomplish this feat. Another one, Alvarez from Houston? What about his strikeouts? Compare him to Trout. It's a complete difference

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:11 PM ET #533

    Alvarez, Houston astros, 22 strikeouts, trout, 46 strikeouts??? Why????? I'll wait for your answer. Wait a minute? You said power hitters have strikeouts???

    Reply

    Alvarez, Houston astros, 22 strikeouts, trout, 46 strikeouts??? Why????? I'll wait for your answer. Wait a minute? You said power hitters have strikeouts???

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:14 PM ET #534

    @TxRangers

     A LOT of very good players do not even make the postseason, let alone the WS.  I am not sure how much that can be held against a player.

     

    Reply

    @TxRangers

     A LOT of very good players do not even make the postseason, let alone the WS.  I am not sure how much that can be held against a player.

     

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:14 PM ET #535

    @Raiders22

     I want to know why power hitter Manny Machado or Alvarez has never had more strikeouts than hits in a season? But yet Mike Trout has done it eight times in a row, and next year will be nine, next year will be 10. Dude, I appreciate your candor, but you know trout doesn't belong in the Hall of Fame because he can't hit a baseball

    Reply

    @Raiders22

     I want to know why power hitter Manny Machado or Alvarez has never had more strikeouts than hits in a season? But yet Mike Trout has done it eight times in a row, and next year will be nine, next year will be 10. Dude, I appreciate your candor, but you know trout doesn't belong in the Hall of Fame because he can't hit a baseball

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:15 PM ET #536

    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    Alvarez, Houston astros, 22 strikeouts, trout, 46 strikeouts??? Why????? I'll wait for your answer. Wait a minute? You said power hitters have strikeouts???

    Yessir.  I today's game.  The emphasis has totally changed to velocity, launch angle and barrel rate.  Because that is what has proven to produce the most runs over extended time -- not just getting hits.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    Alvarez, Houston astros, 22 strikeouts, trout, 46 strikeouts??? Why????? I'll wait for your answer. Wait a minute? You said power hitters have strikeouts???

    Yessir.  I today's game.  The emphasis has totally changed to velocity, launch angle and barrel rate.  Because that is what has proven to produce the most runs over extended time -- not just getting hits.

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:16 PM ET #537

    @Raiders22

     You also say the strikeout to hit ratio doesn't matter for him getting into the Hall of Fame? I STRONGLY DISAGREE WITH YOU AGAIN. THERE ARE ONLY TWO PLAYERS IN THE HALL OF FAME THAT HAS MORE STRIKEOUTS THAN HITS. SO IT CLEARLY MATTERS TO THE HALL OF FAME VOTERS! Am I wrong?

    Reply

    @Raiders22

     You also say the strikeout to hit ratio doesn't matter for him getting into the Hall of Fame? I STRONGLY DISAGREE WITH YOU AGAIN. THERE ARE ONLY TWO PLAYERS IN THE HALL OF FAME THAT HAS MORE STRIKEOUTS THAN HITS. SO IT CLEARLY MATTERS TO THE HALL OF FAME VOTERS! Am I wrong?

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:16 PM ET #538

    @Raiders22

     That's not answering the question for Alvarez or Machado 

    Reply

    @Raiders22

     That's not answering the question for Alvarez or Machado 

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:17 PM ET #539

    How come Alvarez has 22 strikeouts and trout 46?

    Reply

    How come Alvarez has 22 strikeouts and trout 46?

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:17 PM ET #540

    @TxRangers

      I haven't looked at other strikeout props. Only trout.

    Why not?  Is it very profitable?  Like do you have an idea of ROI or +/- on it for the year?

    If it is -- then why not do it for other power hitters that strike out?

    Why not bet even more and more as the bankroll builds on on these?

    Are the books not adjusting at all?

    Reply

    @TxRangers

      I haven't looked at other strikeout props. Only trout.

    Why not?  Is it very profitable?  Like do you have an idea of ROI or +/- on it for the year?

    If it is -- then why not do it for other power hitters that strike out?

    Why not bet even more and more as the bankroll builds on on these?

    Are the books not adjusting at all?

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:19 PM ET #541

    @Raiders22

     

     I'm not worried about strikeout props right now. I want you to tell me why Alvarez has 22 strikeouts and trout 46. Also tell me why Manny Machado or Alvarez has never had more strikeouts in a season than hits but trout has 8 in a row. And watch this!? Honestly. Answer this question honestly. Who do you want on your favorite team right now, Alvarez or trout? And once again, I appreciate your candor dude, but you're wrong.

    Reply

    @Raiders22

     

     I'm not worried about strikeout props right now. I want you to tell me why Alvarez has 22 strikeouts and trout 46. Also tell me why Manny Machado or Alvarez has never had more strikeouts in a season than hits but trout has 8 in a row. And watch this!? Honestly. Answer this question honestly. Who do you want on your favorite team right now, Alvarez or trout? And once again, I appreciate your candor dude, but you're wrong.

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:19 PM ET #542

    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    @Raiders22  You also say the strikeout to hit ratio doesn't matter for him getting into the Hall of Fame? I STRONGLY DISAGREE WITH YOU AGAIN. THERE ARE ONLY TWO PLAYERS IN THE HALL OF FAME THAT HAS MORE STRIKEOUTS THAN HITS. SO IT CLEARLY MATTERS TO THE HALL OF FAME VOTERS! Am I wrong?

    Yessir.  I think so, nowadays.

    ANY poll of baseball guys will tell you he is a sure-fire HoF.

    So, this may have mattered far more years ago.

    In today's game it does not.

    We may not like it -- because I cannot stand strikeouts.  

    But sports and baseball have changed.

    For the good or bad can be debated.

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    @Raiders22  You also say the strikeout to hit ratio doesn't matter for him getting into the Hall of Fame? I STRONGLY DISAGREE WITH YOU AGAIN. THERE ARE ONLY TWO PLAYERS IN THE HALL OF FAME THAT HAS MORE STRIKEOUTS THAN HITS. SO IT CLEARLY MATTERS TO THE HALL OF FAME VOTERS! Am I wrong?

    Yessir.  I think so, nowadays.

    ANY poll of baseball guys will tell you he is a sure-fire HoF.

    So, this may have mattered far more years ago.

    In today's game it does not.

    We may not like it -- because I cannot stand strikeouts.  

    But sports and baseball have changed.

    For the good or bad can be debated.

    peace_5

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:21 PM ET #543

    @Raiders22

     That's not answering my questions?

    Reply

    @Raiders22

     That's not answering my questions?

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:22 PM ET #544

    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    @Raiders22  That's not answering the question for Alvarez or Machado

    No.  The answer is for Trout or Judge type of hitters with a MUCH higher WAR and OPS, etc. than those guys.

    But even their BAs are higher, etc.

    K's are just one metric. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    @Raiders22  That's not answering the question for Alvarez or Machado

    No.  The answer is for Trout or Judge type of hitters with a MUCH higher WAR and OPS, etc. than those guys.

    But even their BAs are higher, etc.

    K's are just one metric. 

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:23 PM ET #545

    Fort example:

    • Mike Trout
      • ~20–23% K rate
      • Very disciplined for a power hitter
      • Rarely chases compared to other sluggers
    • Aaron Judge
      • ~30–32% K rate
      • High strikeouts due to elite power approach
      • Still offset by elite walk rate (~15–18%)
    • Manny Machado
      • ~17–20% K rate
      • Very good bat control for a power hitter
      • One of the more contact-oriented stars
    • Francisco Álvarez
      • ~25–30% K rate (varies by season)
      • Still developing plate discipline
      • Typical for young power-hitting catchers
    • <

    Reply

    Fort example:

    • Mike Trout
      • ~20–23% K rate
      • Very disciplined for a power hitter
      • Rarely chases compared to other sluggers
    • Aaron Judge
      • ~30–32% K rate
      • High strikeouts due to elite power approach
      • Still offset by elite walk rate (~15–18%)
    • Manny Machado
      • ~17–20% K rate
      • Very good bat control for a power hitter
      • One of the more contact-oriented stars
    • Francisco Álvarez
      • ~25–30% K rate (varies by season)
      • Still developing plate discipline
      • Typical for young power-hitting catchers
    • <

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:25 PM ET #546

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22:

    @TxRangers   I haven't looked at other strikeout props. Only trout. Why not?  Is it very profitable?  Like do you have an idea of ROI or +/- on it for the year? If it is -- then why not do it for other power hitters that strike out? Why not bet even more and more as the bankroll builds on on these? Are the books not adjusting at all?

    I am interested in these questions.

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22:

    @TxRangers   I haven't looked at other strikeout props. Only trout. Why not?  Is it very profitable?  Like do you have an idea of ROI or +/- on it for the year? If it is -- then why not do it for other power hitters that strike out? Why not bet even more and more as the bankroll builds on on these? Are the books not adjusting at all?

    I am interested in these questions.

    peace_5

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:26 PM ET #547

    • Babe Ruth
      • ~10–15% K rate (very low for a power hitter)
      • Dominated without high strikeouts despite elite power
    • Mickey Mantle
      • ~15–18% K rate
      • One of the rare early “power + patience + some swing-and-miss” profiles
    • Willie Mays
      • ~10–12% K rate
      • Elite all-around hitter with strong contact skills
    • Reggie Jackson
      • ~25–28% K rate (estimated modern equivalent)
      • First “true boom-or-bust” slugger archetype
    • Mike Schmidt
      • ~25%+ K rate
      • Power-heavy third baseman, strikeouts accepted for HR output
    • Jim Thome
      • ~28–30% K rate
      • Classic “three true outcomes” early prototype (HR / BB / K)
    • Mark McGwire
      • ~20–25% K rate
      • Extremely powerful but still somewhat controlled compared to modern sluggers
    • Aaron Judge
      • ~30%+ K rate
      • Modern “elite power acceptance” archetype
    • Giancarlo Stanton
      • ~28–33% K rate
      • High-strikeout, extreme power profile
    • Joey Gallo
      • ~35–40% K rate
      • Extreme “all-or-nothing” hitter
    • <

    Reply

    • Babe Ruth
      • ~10–15% K rate (very low for a power hitter)
      • Dominated without high strikeouts despite elite power
    • Mickey Mantle
      • ~15–18% K rate
      • One of the rare early “power + patience + some swing-and-miss” profiles
    • Willie Mays
      • ~10–12% K rate
      • Elite all-around hitter with strong contact skills
    • Reggie Jackson
      • ~25–28% K rate (estimated modern equivalent)
      • First “true boom-or-bust” slugger archetype
    • Mike Schmidt
      • ~25%+ K rate
      • Power-heavy third baseman, strikeouts accepted for HR output
    • Jim Thome
      • ~28–30% K rate
      • Classic “three true outcomes” early prototype (HR / BB / K)
    • Mark McGwire
      • ~20–25% K rate
      • Extremely powerful but still somewhat controlled compared to modern sluggers
    • Aaron Judge
      • ~30%+ K rate
      • Modern “elite power acceptance” archetype
    • Giancarlo Stanton
      • ~28–33% K rate
      • High-strikeout, extreme power profile
    • Joey Gallo
      • ~35–40% K rate
      • Extreme “all-or-nothing” hitter
    • <

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:26 PM ET #548

    1. Strikeouts were once rare and penalized

    • Ruth/Mays/Mantle: contact mattered more
    • Strikeouts under ~15% were normal for stars

    2. Power era accepted strikeouts

    • Jackson/Schmidt: Ks rose with HR emphasis

    3. Modern “three true outcomes” era

    • HR + BB + K is now a full offensive model
    • Elite hitters often strike out 25–35% of the time

    ?? Big takeaway

    • Pre-1980 stars: ~10–18% K rate
    • 1980–2000 power era: ~20–28%
    • Modern elite sluggers: ~25–35%+

    But despite rising strikeouts:

    • Offensive value (OPS, WAR) has not declined for elite hitters
    • Teams now accept strikeouts in exchange for power and walks
    Reply

    1. Strikeouts were once rare and penalized

    • Ruth/Mays/Mantle: contact mattered more
    • Strikeouts under ~15% were normal for stars

    2. Power era accepted strikeouts

    • Jackson/Schmidt: Ks rose with HR emphasis

    3. Modern “three true outcomes” era

    • HR + BB + K is now a full offensive model
    • Elite hitters often strike out 25–35% of the time

    ?? Big takeaway

    • Pre-1980 stars: ~10–18% K rate
    • 1980–2000 power era: ~20–28%
    • Modern elite sluggers: ~25–35%+

    But despite rising strikeouts:

    • Offensive value (OPS, WAR) has not declined for elite hitters
    • Teams now accept strikeouts in exchange for power and walks
     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:29 PM ET #549

    Those are pretty decent breakdowns from AI about older players and modern players and how things have changed.

    peace_5

     

    Reply

    Those are pretty decent breakdowns from AI about older players and modern players and how things have changed.

    peace_5

     

     
     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 10, 2026 - 2:32 PM ET #550

    @Raiders22

     I was about to ask you where you got the stats from #545, 546. You said AI. That explains it. Because it's 100% wrong. How can you tell me that Mike Trout doesn't strike out as much as Alvarez. Trout averages 111 K'S per year, Alvarez 74. Alvarez has never had one season with more strikeouts than hits, trout will have 8 seasons in a row. Those AI numbers are completely

    Reply

    @Raiders22

     I was about to ask you where you got the stats from #545, 546. You said AI. That explains it. Because it's 100% wrong. How can you tell me that Mike Trout doesn't strike out as much as Alvarez. Trout averages 111 K'S per year, Alvarez 74. Alvarez has never had one season with more strikeouts than hits, trout will have 8 seasons in a row. Those AI numbers are completely

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