I like Samardzija a lot this year. He has the kind of stuff to frustrate these Cinci hitters and make this a low run game. If I can get that I like the + money.
CLE Indians ML +126
Don't trust Quintana at all to replicate his previous performance. Cleveland bats can heat up fast.
Under 8 OAK Athletics - BOS Red Sox +105
I like both pitchers in this one. I lean Bosox after that embarrassment yesterday but cant go against a pitcher like Anderson
KCsFinest829 28-32 -382$
CHI Cubs ML +157
I like Samardzija a lot this year. He has the kind of stuff to frustrate these Cinci hitters and make this a low run game. If I can get that I like the + money.
CLE Indians ML +126
Don't trust Quintana at all to replicate his previous performance. Cleveland bats can heat up fast.
Under 8 OAK Athletics - BOS Red Sox +105
I like both pitchers in this one. I lean Bosox after that embarrassment yesterday but cant go against a pitcher like Anderson
Harvey is on the mound for the Mets and he's been lights out all year. Don't see much difference today. Yes Dodgers have a better offense but I'll always take the better pitcher.
LA Angels TT under 3 -105
Darvish has been great against the Angels. Angels are inconsistent. Rangers is only team in MLB that has not lost on consecutive days. With their ace on the mound, I don't expect that to change.
MIL Brewers ML -121
Brewers are on a roll and I'm getting awesome value here as they go for the sweep. As a side note, I have the Brewers RL -1.5 +140 on a parlay as this is also great value with Estrada tossing today.
Hekili1 10-11 -128$
NY Mets ML -156
Harvey is on the mound for the Mets and he's been lights out all year. Don't see much difference today. Yes Dodgers have a better offense but I'll always take the better pitcher.
LA Angels TT under 3 -105
Darvish has been great against the Angels. Angels are inconsistent. Rangers is only team in MLB that has not lost on consecutive days. With their ace on the mound, I don't expect that to change.
MIL Brewers ML -121
Brewers are on a roll and I'm getting awesome value here as they go for the sweep. As a side note, I have the Brewers RL -1.5 +140 on a parlay as this is also great value with Estrada tossing today.
Roth and Darvish takes hills respectively here, doesnt look like a smooth day for either vs these lineups whos hitting very well, especially these matchups. Darvish fairs better tho, because he also has a superior pen behind him, unlike the counterpart. Darvish has dominated only the M's and stros, both highest and struggling offense with K-prone bats. A depleted outmatched pen and Roth has odds against them here even with hot bats winning these days at home. Jerome Williams reliefs here as well and doesnt match up well vs TEX.
MikeTizzy 28-19-1 1081$
pick it up fellas, stop the bleeding now!
Over 7.5 LA Angels - TEX Rangers -115
TEX Rangers ML -145
Roth and Darvish takes hills respectively here, doesnt look like a smooth day for either vs these lineups whos hitting very well, especially these matchups. Darvish fairs better tho, because he also has a superior pen behind him, unlike the counterpart. Darvish has dominated only the M's and stros, both highest and struggling offense with K-prone bats. A depleted outmatched pen and Roth has odds against them here even with hot bats winning these days at home. Jerome Williams reliefs here as well and doesnt match up well vs TEX.
Contrary to popular belief, this isnt a hit-fest here. Brewers hitting homers, Volquez has his splits to his name here, has handled this lineup at petco to the tune of 2-0 W with same lights out pen to back him. Walks, not homers is his weakness, but he gets comfy at Petco.
The only lefty there isnt terrible. Metrics with both pens makes this a non-contest late innings, Brewers lineup hav holes besides the homers lately, this isnt the same Richards matchup. Estrada and pen fairs well here as well, but possibly their streak ends. Many scenarios that plays here for the Under 7.5 that should be get the W and not the Push.
adding last one:
Under 7.5 SD Padres - MIL Brewers -110
Contrary to popular belief, this isnt a hit-fest here. Brewers hitting homers, Volquez has his splits to his name here, has handled this lineup at petco to the tune of 2-0 W with same lights out pen to back him. Walks, not homers is his weakness, but he gets comfy at Petco.
The only lefty there isnt terrible. Metrics with both pens makes this a non-contest late innings, Brewers lineup hav holes besides the homers lately, this isnt the same Richards matchup. Estrada and pen fairs well here as well, but possibly their streak ends. Many scenarios that plays here for the Under 7.5 that should be get the W and not the Push.
pls guys, ill tell u guys one last time. Throw out all old thinking of what u think u know, this is baseball, study ur metrics, join SABR. All the money is in there. Simon, Matt if u top dogs dont mind. ill lead the whole pack all by myself.
Thank you Mavin, all i wanna tell u. All i do is study, and happy to realize how to be a true pro.
pls guys, ill tell u guys one last time. Throw out all old thinking of what u think u know, this is baseball, study ur metrics, join SABR. All the money is in there. Simon, Matt if u top dogs dont mind. ill lead the whole pack all by myself.
Thank you Mavin, all i wanna tell u. All i do is study, and happy to realize how to be a true pro.
Roth and Darvish takes hills respectively here, doesnt look like a smooth day for either vs these lineups whos hitting very well, especially these matchups. Darvish fairs better tho, because he also has a superior pen behind him, unlike the counterpart. Darvish has dominated only the M's and stros, both highest and struggling offense with K-prone bats. A depleted outmatched pen and Roth has odds against them here even with hot bats winning these days at home. Jerome Williams reliefs here as well and doesnt match up well vs TEX.
Tizzy nice call on the over ! I can tell you work hard on the picks. I am sure you will be around the top of the heep at the end of the year
Quote Originally Posted by MikeTizzy:
MikeTizzy 28-19-1 1081$
pick it up fellas, stop the bleeding now!
Over 7.5 LA Angels - TEX Rangers -115
TEX Rangers ML -145
Roth and Darvish takes hills respectively here, doesnt look like a smooth day for either vs these lineups whos hitting very well, especially these matchups. Darvish fairs better tho, because he also has a superior pen behind him, unlike the counterpart. Darvish has dominated only the M's and stros, both highest and struggling offense with K-prone bats. A depleted outmatched pen and Roth has odds against them here even with hot bats winning these days at home. Jerome Williams reliefs here as well and doesnt match up well vs TEX.
Tizzy nice call on the over ! I can tell you work hard on the picks. I am sure you will be around the top of the heep at the end of the year
i promised last night, after sitting back and observing the bloodbath here, i had everything right and u guys were all off on the metrics. Today i inject life, and hopefully finally open some eyes, like Mavin been preaching.
i promised last night, after sitting back and observing the bloodbath here, i had everything right and u guys were all off on the metrics. Today i inject life, and hopefully finally open some eyes, like Mavin been preaching.
TIZZY,can u teach a little each day about how and why these metrics factor into your decisions and wat specific statistics you are utilizing??or is it too convoluted and complicated to do such a thing??
if so,how does one learn about wat you are studying,is it all freely available on internet by typing "sabremetrics"??
pardon my ignorance on such matters,i am very much a baseball novice in every way possible,dont even know the calculation of a ERA,haha......thanks 4 taking time to reply,MIKE TIZZY
TIZZY,can u teach a little each day about how and why these metrics factor into your decisions and wat specific statistics you are utilizing??or is it too convoluted and complicated to do such a thing??
if so,how does one learn about wat you are studying,is it all freely available on internet by typing "sabremetrics"??
pardon my ignorance on such matters,i am very much a baseball novice in every way possible,dont even know the calculation of a ERA,haha......thanks 4 taking time to reply,MIKE TIZZY
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