Posted:
#251
Thanks for the picks please let me and the group know where to find your nhl plays I am excited to see them
Bol
0
General Sharps MLB Picks
Posted:
#252
General - nice run over last 28 days! Solid approach that made a nice profit. I typically don't play NHL but will give your method a shot. Will you post on NHL thread?
Regarding NFL - teasers are the only way to play. I look for favorites -7 to -8.5 and/or underdogs +1 to +2.5 and tease 6 points. You have to be selective and only play 2 team teasers but I have made money with this approach. Straight up ATS bets on NFL are impossible for me!
Regarding NFL - teasers are the only way to play. I look for favorites -7 to -8.5 and/or underdogs +1 to +2.5 and tease 6 points. You have to be selective and only play 2 team teasers but I have made money with this approach. Straight up ATS bets on NFL are impossible for me!
0
Posted:
#254
Quote Originally Posted by GeneralSharp:
Thanks guys.
Another not so great night going 2-2.
WAS 1.52 - LOSE $100
COL 2.08 - LOSE $100
LAD 1.65 - WIN $165
LAA 1.56 - WIN $156
Overall cost of bets: $400
Overall winnings: $321
Overall profit: -$79
Record to Date: 126W - 81L, +13.08U, 60.9% Overall Winning Percentage
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $11,308, +$1308
Total Profit to Date (after 28 days of betting): +$1308, +13.08 Units flat betting $100 per pick. This averages 0.48 Units profit per day. Current win % is 60.9%
4 Week Summary: So after 207 bets, over 4 weeks (28 betting days) we have a profit of 13.08 Units.
In this thread we were flat betting each pick $100. This yielded us a profit of $1308 over 4 weeks betting MLB.
Now $1308 over 4 weeks is not enough to live on (for most) by betting $100 per game, however if you had a decent sized bankroll, and were betting lets say $300 per game,
you would of course than profit $3924. Now, you can definetely live off of $3924 per month (well you should be able to!).
As you can see, you don't need to chase. You don't need to make big plays on
"5 star" or "lock" plays. You don't need the stress over massive bankroll swings. 13 Units profit per month is not a hard goal to obtain. Personaly I flat bet a lot more than $100 per game and
I average 15-20 units per month profit over MLB, NHL, and NBA. I do bet NFL, but only for fun and it's much smaller amounts. I have being doing this for over 20 years and I have always made money.
The bottom line here is you can win at sports. You just have to treat it as a job. You have to keep accurate records. Be honest with your handicapping. Understand why you won
and lost games. Track everything and focus your bets on sports you are profitable at. I love watching NFL, but I am just terrible at betting it, thus I avoid putting my money on games.
Have faith. Work hard. Don't be discouraged. Just follow strict bankroll management and stay disciplined.
I will still post plays but I may miss a few days here and there until NHL starts. Goodluck everybody.
Thanks General!
0
Good luck.Let's hope it is!
Posted:
#264
Quote Originally Posted by LexingtonTim:
He is sharp! And he is the General! BOL! I agree with all your plays! Big night ahead General! Lex Tim
LT, that would have to be considered one hell of a compliment; coming from someone ranked #5 (55%) on the Covers MLB Leaderboard (as of today) keep an eye out, I'm right behind you (#9), and closing fast, the best to you always, may you continue to prosperHe is sharp! And he is the General! BOL! I agree with all your plays! Big night ahead General! Lex Tim
0
Posted:
#265
Hey guys. Thanks a lot. Appreciate the comments. You especially sportsnetwork.
2-2 last night, but good work finding value on RL SN. I never bet them and didn't track them lately. Worth looking into again.
Will update record later tonight, just super busy today.
Today's Plays: Saturday Sept 13th, 2014 - All lines are from Pinnacle sports at the time of post.
GL everyone.
MIL 1.49
WAS 1.72
STL 1.49
DET 1.83
KC 1.70
LAA 1.48
SEA 1.65
0
Posted:
#267
5-2 tonight, not bad. Hoping Ms would pull it off, oh well.
Last night was 2-2.
Updating record:
Friday:
STL 1.51 - WIN $151
ARI 1.76 - LOSE $100
KC 1.56 - LOSe $100
SEA 1.71 - WIN $171
Saturday:
MIL 1.49 - LOSE $100
WAS 1.72 - WIN $172
STL 1.49 - WIN $149
DET 1.83 - WIN $183
KC 1.70 - WIN $170
LAA 1.48 - WIN $148
SEA 1.65 - LOSE $100
Last 2 days 7-4
Overall cost of bets: $1100
Overall winnings: $1144
Overall profit: $44
Record to Date: 133W - 85L, +13.52U, 61.0% Overall Winning Percentage
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $11,352, +$1352
Total Profit to Date (after 30 days of betting): +$1352, +13.52 Units flat betting $100 per pick. This averages 0.45 Units profit per day. Current win % is 61.0%
The grind continues tomorrow, back with plays in a few hours.
0
Posted:
#271
Decent day, going 4-2.
The run line hit on all 4 wins. Good job reviewing the thread on run lines SN. 68% win rate for run line over 200 plays in 31 days is a lot of coin.
WAS 1.68 - WIN $168
PIT 1.45 - WIN $145
MIL 1.61 - WIN $161
LAD 1.56 - WIN $156
KC 1.60 - LOSE $100
CWS 1.77 - LOSE $100
Overall cost of bets: $600
Overall profit: $630
Overall winnings: +$30, 0.30 Units
Record to Date: 137W - 87L, +13.82U, 61.2% Overall Winning Percentage
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $11,382, +$1382
Total Profit to Date (after 31 days of betting): +$1352, +13.52 Units flat betting $100 per pick. This averages 0.45 Units profit per day. Current win % is 61.2%
Will post tomorrows plays later tonight. Will begin betting another unit on the run lines in addition to the ml plays posted.
0
Posted:
#274
Sharp; I fully understand the thread is based upon the equation of betting flat units @ $100 a game for the sake of simplicity, and MM technique; the down side to this is seemingly your outstanding WIN ratio of 61.2% attached to an ROI of +13.82u not outstanding, but very acceptable on today's MLB wagering market. reviewing a very successful thread as this, I find 'daily' coincides with my own personal handicaps, and as you may have concluded, I play the RL/RRL exclusively through-out the entire season on a daily format that would be described as an "investment wager" where value is the forefront of the handicap aka: MM always over-powers winning %.... enter the RL....for the past 4 seasons MLB games are won by 2 runs or more 55;25% this year it's a bit higher than avg; cashing in at 56.73%.....check yesterdays results (Sunday), and boxscores; all pertaining to the RL....
Yesterdays (09/14/14) Results: Run Line & Reverse Run Line WINS..their were 15 games on the slate, 12 resulted in WINS of 2 runs or more; as the following results indicate>
DET/WIN RL [-1.5]
MIN/WIN RRL [-1.5]
BOS/WIN RRL [-1.5]
HOU/WIN RRL [-1.5]
OAK/WIN RL [-1.5]
TEX/WIN RRL [-1.5]
ARI/WIN RL [-1.5]
L.A.D/WIN RL [-1.5]
StL/WIN RL [-1.5]
MIL/WIN RL [-1.5]
PIT/WIN RL [-1.5]
WAS/WIN RL [-1.5]
Of the 137 WINS documented in this thread, 68.84% (including yesterdays games) have resulted in [-1.5] RL WINS; equating to a 87 LOSS ratio, playing all 224 games this thread has produced on the [-1.5] RL/RRL, using a 2.5u justified wagering boundry, attached to the RL price of each individual game; your looking at aprx +190.93u for the past 31 days...or $19,093 in dollars. Your decision to include the RL for the remaing games, should not only prove interesting, but also justified to the stats you have brought forward..well done, may you continue your prosperity
0
Posted:
#275
Quote Originally Posted by GeneralSharp:
well saidThanks guys.
Record to Date: 137W - 87L, +1382U
Winning Percentage 61.9%
Starting Bankroll: $10,000
Current Bankroll: $11,382
Total Profit to Date (after 31 days of betting): +$18,13.08 Units flat betting $100 per pick. This averages 0.48 Units profit per day. Current win % is 61.9%
4 Week Summary: So after 224 bets, over 4 weeks (31 betting days) we have a profit of +13.82 Units.
In this thread we were flat betting each play $100. This yielded us a profit of $1382 over 4 weeks betting MLB.
Now $1382 over 4 weeks is not enough to live on (for most) by betting $100 per game, however if you had a decent sized bankroll, and were betting lets say $300 per game,
you would of course than profit over $4000. Now, you can definetely live off of $4000 per month (well you should be able to!).
As you can see, you don't need to chase. You don't need to make big plays on
"5 star" or "lock" plays. You don't need the stress over massive bankroll swings. 15 Units profit per month is not a hard goal to obtain. Personaly I flat bet a lot more than $100 per game.
I average 15-20 units per month profit over MLB, NHL, and NBA. I do bet NFL, but only for fun and it's much smaller amounts. I have being doing this for over 20 years and I have always made money.
The bottom line: you can win at sports. "You just have to treat it as a job. You have to keep accurate records. Be honest with your handicapping. Understand why you won and lost games. Track everything and focus your bets on sports you are profitable at". I love watching NFL, but I am just terrible at betting it, thus I avoid putting my money on games.
Have faith. Work hard. Don't be discouraged. Just "follow strict bankroll management and stay disciplined"
I will still post plays but I may miss a few days here and there until NHL starts. Goodluck everybody.
0
Hot Forum Topics
