This my 1st year sharing Football so my confidence level is slowing growing. But Ive always said a community thread is for strong plays with research or hx behind it. Mine has neither. Purely #'s formula of probability
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Post #1 ....all plays but 2H's
Post #15...all 2H plays
This my 1st year sharing Football so my confidence level is slowing growing. But Ive always said a community thread is for strong plays with research or hx behind it. Mine has neither. Purely #'s formula of probability
People will say otherwise, but I find totals have NO consistency. Every formula for college and pro always gets me to 45-55% for the year. So I tend to follow good cappers if I'm ever tempted to play a total.
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People will say otherwise, but I find totals have NO consistency. Every formula for college and pro always gets me to 45-55% for the year. So I tend to follow good cappers if I'm ever tempted to play a total.
Some capping I did last night these were best angles I could find.
Only play left outstanding is Atlanta on a five teamed to win m/l for 2500$ for 100$ bet. I'm playing the five star plays no set number plays for me today.
Some capping I did last night these were best angles I could find.
Only play left outstanding is Atlanta on a five teamed to win m/l for 2500$ for 100$ bet. I'm playing the five star plays no set number plays for me today.
on the cards ML and yanks under. Last night i had LA Tech +9... they were down 27-0 in the first quarter. Final score: 59-57. Game truly isnt over until it's over fellas.
Also had the cards when they came back against the nats on friday. ive had some REAL big breaks the past few days lol
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on the cards ML and yanks under. Last night i had LA Tech +9... they were down 27-0 in the first quarter. Final score: 59-57. Game truly isnt over until it's over fellas.
Also had the cards when they came back against the nats on friday. ive had some REAL big breaks the past few days lol
Hey guys, sorry for not chiming yesterday - had an OOT wedding.
I back tested Porkys 2h system. It works great at about 60% clip... But you're playing about 20+ games a day... Too much for me.
I've been playing this and it hits about 70% with 1-6 plays a week:
If dog is winning at half:
Score diff + game spread - 2H spread >= 19, play the dog
If fav is winning at half:
Score diff - game spread + 2H spread >= 19, play the fav.
This assumes the 2H fav is the game fav, if not - flip the 2H sign.
I also play Angles parlays system... That hits nicely as well, if spread/total > 44% makes it a play for me. I think that went 5-2 yesterday.
Btw- 19 is the magic number for college, 13.5 is the number I use for NFL, I also double the unit amount if it gets to 19... Which doesn't happen too often.
GL
On the formulas are using the negative number for the Favorites spread and 2nd half spread?
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Quote Originally Posted by schiman:
Hey guys, sorry for not chiming yesterday - had an OOT wedding.
I back tested Porkys 2h system. It works great at about 60% clip... But you're playing about 20+ games a day... Too much for me.
I've been playing this and it hits about 70% with 1-6 plays a week:
If dog is winning at half:
Score diff + game spread - 2H spread >= 19, play the dog
If fav is winning at half:
Score diff - game spread + 2H spread >= 19, play the fav.
This assumes the 2H fav is the game fav, if not - flip the 2H sign.
I also play Angles parlays system... That hits nicely as well, if spread/total > 44% makes it a play for me. I think that went 5-2 yesterday.
Btw- 19 is the magic number for college, 13.5 is the number I use for NFL, I also double the unit amount if it gets to 19... Which doesn't happen too often.
GL
On the formulas are using the negative number for the Favorites spread and 2nd half spread?
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