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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    2014 Major League Super System with write up

    «First Previous 234 ... 789 Next Last»
    MasterGippy22
    Moneysnatcher
    Luckydan
    Coatsy
    MikeyAces
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 20245
    Posts: 217
    «First Previous 234 ... 789 Next Last»
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 4, 2014 - 10:48 PM ET #26

    Actually +6 today and a total of +13.5 so far
    Reply
    Actually +6 today and a total of +13.5 so far
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 4, 2014 - 10:53 PM ET #27

    looks like only one play for tomorrow Angels 3/3......
    Reply
    looks like only one play for tomorrow Angels 3/3......
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 4, 2014 - 10:57 PM ET #28

    correct units was +6 for the day...Total +13.5
    Reply
    correct units was +6 for the day...Total +13.5
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 4, 2014 - 10:58 PM ET #29

    Books don't know how to cap these spring games. Wanting juice no matter who you bet...lol
    Reply
    Books don't know how to cap these spring games. Wanting juice no matter who you bet...lol
     
    Moneysnatcher
    Moneysnatcher
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 9:11 AM ET #30

    what's the play for today?
    Reply
    what's the play for today?
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 11:00 AM ET #31

    The only play today in this match would be angels even money 3/3
    Reply
    The only play today in this match would be angels even money 3/3
     
    Moneysnatcher
    Moneysnatcher
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 11:08 AM ET #32

    not sure if you've sent the batting lineup...not impressive
    Reply
    not sure if you've sent the batting lineup...not impressive
     
    Luckydan
    Luckydan
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 12:37 PM ET #33

    Curious on how you will play the inevitable game 4 of a match when I have +103 on a team, and you can only find -105. Not everyone will have the same lines ( Cpt. Obvious here), but when you are dealing with numbers around E, there will be some concerns on whether you play or don't. Advice?

    GL
    Reply
    Curious on how you will play the inevitable game 4 of a match when I have +103 on a team, and you can only find -105. Not everyone will have the same lines ( Cpt. Obvious here), but when you are dealing with numbers around E, there will be some concerns on whether you play or don't. Advice?

    GL
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 1:45 PM ET #34

    There may be some modifications along the way but I will be playing the best odds I can find but will not pass on even money bets. I will also discourage anyone from just randomly selecting a game unless they follow a match from the beginning. For instace I have a question about the lineup for the Angels. I'm not concerned even they have a one armed shortstop. The individual random games mean very little except for the big money games at the end. I'm not betting games, I'm betting book mistakes over time involving food teams. I will be using a spread sheet to keep up with who remains in the match and whether to start a new match. As long as I'm not paying juice for the underdog. Its a play. I believe will hit enough long shots to overcome the even money games.

    Reply

    There may be some modifications along the way but I will be playing the best odds I can find but will not pass on even money bets. I will also discourage anyone from just randomly selecting a game unless they follow a match from the beginning. For instace I have a question about the lineup for the Angels. I'm not concerned even they have a one armed shortstop. The individual random games mean very little except for the big money games at the end. I'm not betting games, I'm betting book mistakes over time involving food teams. I will be using a spread sheet to keep up with who remains in the match and whether to start a new match. As long as I'm not paying juice for the underdog. Its a play. I believe will hit enough long shots to overcome the even money games.

     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 1:46 PM ET #35

    There may be some modifications along the way but I will be playing the best odds I can find but will not pass on even money bets. I will also discourage anyone from just randomly selecting a game unless they follow a match from the beginning. For instace I have a question about the lineup for the Angels. I'm not concerned even they have a one armed shortstop. The individual random games mean very little except for the big money games at the end. I'm not betting games, I'm betting book mistakes over time involving food teams. I will be using a spread sheet to keep up with who remains in the match and whether to start a new match. As long as I'm not paying juice for the underdog. Its a play. I believe will hit enough long shots to overcome the even money games.

    Reply

    There may be some modifications along the way but I will be playing the best odds I can find but will not pass on even money bets. I will also discourage anyone from just randomly selecting a game unless they follow a match from the beginning. For instace I have a question about the lineup for the Angels. I'm not concerned even they have a one armed shortstop. The individual random games mean very little except for the big money games at the end. I'm not betting games, I'm betting book mistakes over time involving food teams. I will be using a spread sheet to keep up with who remains in the match and whether to start a new match. As long as I'm not paying juice for the underdog. Its a play. I believe will hit enough long shots to overcome the even money games.

     
    Luckydan
    Luckydan
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 4:41 PM ET #36

    Game 6 of a match comes up. You have +105 (for 32 units) from your local guy. I have the same game at Pick 'em -108 either side. What would you suggest I do in this scenario. Thanks.

    GL

    Reply
    Game 6 of a match comes up. You have +105 (for 32 units) from your local guy. I have the same game at Pick 'em -108 either side. What would you suggest I do in this scenario. Thanks.

    GL

     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 5:21 PM ET #37

    I would pass if I were you. Never going to place a bet less than even money. You would just wait til the next time they are a dog to finish your own match. Its a system .....you would not blindly follow a pick because I'm not betting individual games anyway. if you can get the team as a dog and I couldn't it may be a play for you and not me
    Reply
    I would pass if I were you. Never going to place a bet less than even money. You would just wait til the next time they are a dog to finish your own match. Its a system .....you would not blindly follow a pick because I'm not betting individual games anyway. if you can get the team as a dog and I couldn't it may be a play for you and not me
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 5:26 PM ET #38

    I thought about not even playing even money i.e...+100 games but I'm going to start off that way. Part of making the math work is make sure you are paid when the books are wrong and you hit your dog.
    Reply
    I thought about not even playing even money i.e...+100 games but I'm going to start off that way. Part of making the math work is make sure you are paid when the books are wrong and you hit your dog.
     
    Luckydan
    Luckydan
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 5:58 PM ET #39

    Probably best to play only into a 10 cent line. Anything above that would create problems as we have discussed earlier. The dreaded -110/ -105 15 cent line would kill alot of potential plays. The problem is that a lot of local books have 15 or 20 cent lines for various reasons. Best not to even play if that is the case.

    GL
    Reply
    Probably best to play only into a 10 cent line. Anything above that would create problems as we have discussed earlier. The dreaded -110/ -105 15 cent line would kill alot of potential plays. The problem is that a lot of local books have 15 or 20 cent lines for various reasons. Best not to even play if that is the case.

    GL
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 6:29 PM ET #40

    I should probably clarify dog as only even money or better. If they are a  -105 dog its a pass. In our spring training experiment there were several no play dogs. Along those lines our even money angels lost today so -3 units today and Law is a 6 bet Ext time they are a dog even money or better.

    Total +4.5 units

    Reply

    I should probably clarify dog as only even money or better. If they are a  -105 dog its a pass. In our spring training experiment there were several no play dogs. Along those lines our even money angels lost today so -3 units today and Law is a 6 bet Ext time they are a dog even money or better.

    Total +4.5 units

     
    Coatsy
    Coatsy
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 6:39 PM ET #41

    Keep in mind the 5th or 6th spots you will be hard pressed to get + odds as the teams ace pitchers will be on the mound. 

    I'm interested to see how you make out but I'm afraid you are going to have many scenarios where you have a pile of money on poor pitchers.


    Reply
    Keep in mind the 5th or 6th spots you will be hard pressed to get + odds as the teams ace pitchers will be on the mound. 

    I'm interested to see how you make out but I'm afraid you are going to have many scenarios where you have a pile of money on poor pitchers.


     
    Coatsy
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 6:39 PM ET #42

    Meant 6th and 7th 
    Reply
    Meant 6th and 7th 
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2014 - 7:16 PM ET #43

    Well it will be interesting but that is why I'm only betting top 15 teams. I don't want the Astros facing   Verlander.
    Reply
    Well it will be interesting but that is why I'm only betting top 15 teams. I don't want the Astros facing   Verlander.
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2014 - 11:43 AM ET #44

    Only two plays today in our exhibition season experiment for Match 1............ If we get low on teams I may start a match 2.  Today would be Toronto for 6 and Colorado for 6
    Reply
    Only two plays today in our exhibition season experiment for Match 1............ If we get low on teams I may start a match 2.  Today would be Toronto for 6 and Colorado for 6
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2014 - 4:06 PM ET #45

    Saw Nationals at +105 so they would finally enter match 3/3.15
    Reply
    Saw Nationals at +105 so they would finally enter match 3/3.15
     
    MikeyAces
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2014 - 4:37 PM ET #46

    Good luck to you sir, seems like a solid system
    Reply
    Good luck to you sir, seems like a solid system
     
    sebastianstis
    sebastianstis
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2014 - 7:35 PM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by MasterGippy22:

    Saw Nationals at +105 so they would finally enter match 3/3.15

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MasterGippy22:

    Saw Nationals at +105 so they would finally enter match 3/3.15

     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 6, 2014 - 9:39 PM ET #48

    Got a love spring training... one play today canceled. We lost other two. Nationals move to 6 bet and Colorado will be a 12 bet next time they are dogs. _4.5 units going into tomorrow in our exhibition experiment
    Reply
    Got a love spring training... one play today canceled. We lost other two. Nationals move to 6 bet and Colorado will be a 12 bet next time they are dogs. _4.5 units going into tomorrow in our exhibition experiment
     
    MasterGippy22
    MasterGippy22
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2014 - 11:43 AM ET #49

    3 plays today

    1. Atlanta 6/7.20

    2. Phillies6/6

    3. Detroit 3/3

    Reply

    3 plays today

    1. Atlanta 6/7.20

    2. Phillies6/6

    3. Detroit 3/3

     
     
    Bart_
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    Posted: Mar. 7, 2014 - 11:56 AM ET #50

    How did this perform last year?
    Reply
    How did this perform last year?
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