Posted:
#151
In Match 4 of your Champ League, how did you play today's Pitt/Cin game?
GL
GL
2014 Major League Super System with write up
Posted:
#152
Lucky
To answer your question, it was not a game played in my champ League. The Reds are in my Match 3 and have not won out of that match yet. I have them as a play today as a dog. Pittsburgh has not won out of Match 2 yet, but they are a big play today at 40/40. I am guessing my book did not have either as a dog, not sure.
These were my plays for the day
Champ League Match 2
Pittsburgh 40/40
Cleveland 40/58
Boston 5/.5.50 (ya a Red Sox play)
Champ League Match 3
LAA 40/40
Cinn 10/14
Champ League Match 4
Colorodo 5/6.25
Cubs 5/8
Astros 10/16.60
ROCK LEAGUE
MATCH 3
Boston 10/11
Seattle 40/40
Clevland 20/29
Rock League Match 4
Cinn 10/14
cubs 10/17
Rockies 10/12
White sox 10/11
Astros 20/33
Twins 10/11
Good Luck
Posted:
#154
Gippy Nation
I am on the verge of making the "dont play call" on the Astros. They have lost 3 in a row after showing a little life recently. They are sooooooo bad. They are a play in both of my leagues today but if they lose that will be a 4 in a row streak, and 7 wins out of 27 overall.... or .25 percent...Thats way below the Gippy Mendoza line. Everytime Ive called a team out they have come through. Be prepared and stay tuned. If I make the call do not play them til further notice. I will continue to track them but not play them
Good Luck
Posted:
#156
Posted: 4/24/2014 4:44:46 PM I started Match 4 in Rock League yesterday and Match 4 in Champ League 2 days ago. (Post 150)
Miami and Houston both cleared their Champ League Match 4 plays on 4/22 with dog wins over ATL and SEA respectively. Why are they in play tonight?
Didn't MN clear their Match 4 Rock League with wins at TB on 4/23? 4/24? Why were they in play today?
GL
Miami and Houston both cleared their Champ League Match 4 plays on 4/22 with dog wins over ATL and SEA respectively. Why are they in play tonight?
Didn't MN clear their Match 4 Rock League with wins at TB on 4/23? 4/24? Why were they in play today?
GL
Posted:
#162
Lucky
When I post my spread sheets next week it should clear these issues up. I think Champ League for me started on 23rd and Rock League started on 24th (with Match 4). Sorry for any confusion...... the basic principal is they are out of a match when they lose.... until then you double up til game 6. I have Matches 2-4 going and called Match 1 off a while back. I may start a Match 5 by the end of the week as teams dwindle down by winning out.
Commentary
It appears all it takes is a Gippy "threat of elimination" to stir up a dog. I have made three open threats of elimination...once against Miami and twice against Houston and each time has resulted in a win for the good guys. Still all 30 teams in play. big day for me today.
Rock League
Match 2
Pittsburgh 160/242
Angels 40/58
Match 4
Cubs 40/54
White sox 10/14
.It appears to me there are certain teams the odds makers are doing a good job of handicapping. The Pirates are an example. They are a decent team but as a dog they are 3-7 on covers charts and my books havnt had them as a dog when they have won. They are right on the Gipppy Mendoza line and if they lose today will be putting me in a big money game 6...... The next time they are dogs, I will be sweating and my profits in Match 2 will be at stake. I don't like teams that put me in such a situation.. They have a 3 game losing streak and an 4 game streak. If they continue this trend..... they will not make the cut after the break.
I hope to publish all dog data next weekend as our database grows. Hard to figure why the oddsmakers love Detroit so much, and Boston, you would think they win daily. If nothing else it proves my theory is right.
Good Luck
Posted:
#171
Posted: 4/22/2014 1:40:13 PM
Our sparse plays today
Rock League
Mets 20/30- Match 3
Twins 40/68-Match 3
Tex 20/28- Match 2
Sorry, but I couldn't find your response to this, but why were the Twins a 40/68 play on 4/22/14 when they won as a sizable dog on 4/20/14?
Fingers crossed with Pittsburgh on Tuesday. Big money play!! Charlie Morton getting about +1.30 or so vs Tillman.
GL
| 04/24/14 | @ TB | W 9-7 | Ricky Nolasco (R) | Erik Bedard (L) | W 146 | O 8 111 |
| 04/23/14 | @ TB | W 6-4 | Mike Pelfrey (R) | Jake Odorizzi (R) | W 162 | O 8.5 110 |
| 04/22/14 | @ TB | L 3-7 | Kyle Gibson (R) | David Price (L) | L 206 | O 7.5 -102 |
| 04/20/14 | @ KC | W 8-3 | Phil Hughes (R) | Yordano Ventura (R) | W 165 | O 8 102 |
Sorry, but I couldn't find your response to this, but why were the Twins a 40/68 play on 4/22/14 when they won as a sizable dog on 4/20/14?
Fingers crossed with Pittsburgh on Tuesday. Big money play!! Charlie Morton getting about +1.30 or so vs Tillman.
GL
Posted:
#172
Hello Dan
Yes we are facing out first big money game 6 of the year, assuming my books have Pitt as a dog which they would have to be. Winless Morton vs Tillman at 3-1. Baltimore well rested at home against a traveling Pitt team. On the good side these team are pretty evenly ranked. ESPN power rankings have them as Pitt 13 and O's 14. In my unofficial dog rankings the O's are a much better team at least as a dog so far. I believe oddsmakers have given Pittsburgh to much credit this year after the miracle season of a year ago. I think the Bucs spent the off season reading their old headlines with McCuthcheon polishing his trophy. I will be at my local watering hole sweating my first big money ganme of the year. $320 in the Rock League, and $160 in the Champ League. I will be wearing my Pirate hat from Halloween
To answer your other question without spending a lot of time to go back and figure it out it may be something as simple as bettor error on my part. I must admit playing 3 matches in 2 leagues has been at times a logistical challenge. I have tweaked a few things that have helped. One is I have all my live matches on one long spread sheet where I can see the current status of all teams in each Match. Also I have made the simple adjustment of listing all the teams in alphabetical order. Simple but effective.
Good Luck and Go Bucees tomorrow!
Posted:
#173
You should never be in this situation to begin with. Your books have screwed you over on two winning games in which Pittsburgh was + money in one, and at least even money in the other. Of course, when they win tomorrow night, it will be a mute point. That $40 bar tab that you will incur tomorrow night might be what you wanted, but you will need some "liquid courage" to hopefully avoid a possible season changing wager.
GL
GL
Posted:
#174
Another thing that can make it confusing is when you play two leagues, one team may be a dog and win out but not be a dog the same day with the other bookie.For instance my plays today
_______________________________________________
Champ League
Match 2
Oakland 20/26
Cleveland 80/80( 5th game even though they won out somehow in the Rock League)
Match 4
Milwaukee 5/7.50
___________________________________________
Rock League
Milwaukee in Match 3
10/14
Oakland Match 2
40/51
Cleveland Match 3
40/41
It makes me think I may just go with one book and just increase my betting size, but I will finish out all of these matches as far as they take me to the Allstar break.. After the All-star break I will definitely just be playing one league (or book) at a time when I go 100-3200, and have all the data I need.
MG
Posted:
#175
Lucky
I couldn't agree more. I wish I had time to shop but alas I do not, at last at this point in my life. More power to those who got Pitt out of their match early. True it will probably cost me match 2 if they lose but I have the bankroll to survive. In any event after I have the dada I need there will be little chance I'll be in this situation after the break, but your point is well taken .....I often see thev-102 dog and I pass on principal. If you have the time to shop you have a big advantage with the system
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