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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #4576

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

.cool It's HUMPING DAY! an_2drinks

 

W  Cinci +133 @pinn  "value bet" ...about 47% chance to win
W  Tampa -109 @pinn   *BB
W  Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
W  Twinkies -133 @pinn *BB   ...estimated runs: 2.4 vs 4.0
W  Astros TT und 4.5 -193 @pinn

 

YTD "value bets"  =  25 - 11   +19.38u

YTD *Best Bets   =  67 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)

Adding: 

Cleveland -114 @pinn  *BB           ... est. run production: 4.6 vs 3.4

 
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Posted: #4577

Breaking the curse. Guardians have lost Bibee's last nine starts.

 
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Posted: #4578

Quote Originally Posted by River_fish:

Breaking the curse. Guardians have lost Bibee's last nine starts.

 

cool Hopefully Tiggers remain in their extended run-production slump so that even if Bibee has a bad outing against a soft offense, the better buillpen will back him up while the Clevland bats only need a few runs to win it......though I project 4.6 (give or take) an_angel

 
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Posted: #4579

Any info on CUBS??

 
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Posted: #4580

Quote Originally Posted by googotts:

Any info on CUBS??

Coin-flipper.   I'll wait for another when they climb out of their funk... peace_5

 
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Posted: #4581

Thank you 

 
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Posted: #4582

How about KC ????

 
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Posted: #4583

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Until today I would normally consider both TEXAS and Arizona (at today's low odds) to be bets I would make....BUT upon further review of my betting stats, while I am winning with my *BBs and my "value bets" I am losing overall on my regular bets....so I will pass, and just track the results in my handicapping stats for the time being.   SAME for Seattle.....PASS......even though I might normally bet them on a regular bet as I have them at +0.9 run edge to win

 

@fubah2

 if u wouldve bet those three teams u wouldve added 3 more wins  win

an_worship

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
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Posted: #4584

@fubah2

 @fubah how can I get a hold of you? I dont want to give out in open public?

Mr Evil.
 
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Posted: #4585

@fubah2

 Tigers dont hate on me lol

Mr Evil.
 
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Posted: #4586

@fubah2

 Hopefully i have tigers

Mr Evil.
 
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Posted: #4587

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

.cool It's HUMPING DAY! an_2drinks

 

W  Cinci +133 @pinn  "value bet" ...about 47% chance to win
W  Tampa -109 @pinn   *BB
W  Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
W  Twinkies -133 @pinn *BB   ...estimated runs: 2.4 vs 4.0
W  Astros TT und 4.5 -193 @pinn

 

YTD "value bets"  =  25 - 11   +19.38u

YTD *Best Bets   =  67 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)

 

W  Cleveland -114 @pinn  *BB           ... est. run production: 4.6 vs 3.4

 

A's   -125 @pinn   *BB                      ... est. run production: 4.2 vs 2.7
A's/LAA und 10 -125 alt@pinn     ...est game total range: 6.0  to  9.5 

 
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Posted: #4588

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

. It's HUMPING DAY!   

W  Cinci +133 @pinn  "value bet"

 

YTD "value bets"  =  25 - 11   +19.38u

cool Correction to my addition error above. 

Updated from 24 - 11  +18.38u so now should read: 25 - 11 +19.71u  (not +19.38u)

 
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Posted: #4589

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

YTD *Best Bets   =  67 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)

 

W  Cleveland -114 @pinn  *BB           ... est. run production: 4.6 vs 3.4

 

YTD *Best Bets   =  68 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)

 

pending... A's -125 @pinn *BB

 
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Posted: #4590

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

A's/LAA und 10 -125 alt@pinn     ...est game total range: 6.0  to  9.5

 

UGHH!   8 runs in after just 2 innings.  sad  This is why I HATE unders.  

A line available for under 10 tonight almost seemed "too good to be true" ....an_brick 

 
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Posted: #4591

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Until today I would normally consider both TEXAS and Arizona (at today's low odds) to be bets I would make....BUT upon further review of my betting stats, while I am winning with my *BBs and my "value bets" I am losing overall on my regular bets....so I will pass, and just track the results in my handicapping stats for the time being.   SAME for Seattle.....PASS......even though I might normally bet them on a regular bet as I have them at +0.9 run edge to win  

 

 

@fubah2  

if u wouldve bet those three teams u wouldve added 3 more wins

@KellyM_1964

sad... well that just figures.....On the day I stop posting those "regular bets" all 3 would have won for me.

Instead I bet twice on the A's/LAA game and BOTH are going to lose...

BoL on your bets tomorrow... peace_5

 
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Posted: #4592

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

.

Toro/NYY  looks to have NYY with almost a full run edge but the odds up around -170 are above my betting range to justify a bet with just a +0.9 run edge... Compounding that is they have had two very close 1-run games and tonight figures to be the same but THIS TIME it might go against the homies an_speechless  The Yankees are notorious for blowing games on high odds they are expected to win......but I wouldn't bet against them either...

  an_policeman

Sooooo, in a scoreless game in the top of the 7th, SURE ENOUGH! the Yankees allow Toronto to load the bases with nobody out, then Toronto scores 2....

Glad I passed on the Yankees and their high odds in what was  expected to be a very tight game...an_timeout

 
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Posted: #4593

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

A's/LAA und 10 -125 alt@pinn     ...est game total range: 6.0  to  9.5

This one looked like a sure loser after only 2 innings with 8 runs in!!!  Late chance to hedge bet and take a split vs a single loss:

LIVE BET top of 9th, LAA 5 - 4: OVER 9.5 +270 @B365 

 

 
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Posted: #4594

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Until today I would normally consider both TEXAS and Arizona (at today's low odds) to be bets I would make....BUT upon further review of my betting stats, while I am winning with my *BBs and my "value bets" I am losing overall on my regular bets....so I will pass, and just track the results in my handicapping stats for the time being.   SAME for Seattle.....PASS......even though I might normally bet them on a regular bet as I have them at +0.9 run edge to win       @fubah2   if u wouldve bet those three teams u wouldve added 3 more wins @KellyM_1964 ... well that just figures.....On the day I stop posting those "regular bets" all 3 would have won for me. Instead I bet twice on the A's/LAA game and BOTH are going to lose... BoL on your bets tomorrow...

 

Looks like the DODGERS bats are back . . .

 

 

 
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Posted: #4595

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Until today I would normally consider both TEXAS and Arizona (at today's low odds) to be bets I would make....BUT upon further review of my betting stats, while I am winning with my *BBs and my "value bets" I am losing overall on my regular bets....so I will pass, and just track the results in my handicapping stats for the time being.   SAME for Seattle.....PASS......even though I might normally bet them on a regular bet as I have them at +0.9 run edge to win       @fubah2   if u wouldve bet those three teams u wouldve added 3 more wins @KellyM_1964 ... well that just figures.....On the day I stop posting those "regular bets" all 3 would have won for me. Instead I bet twice on the A's/LAA game and BOTH are going to lose... BoL on your bets tomorrow...

 

 

I suppose I will more carefully consider betting the regular bets again.... an_policeman

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #4596

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Until today I would normally consider both TEXAS and Arizona (at today's low odds) to be bets I would make....BUT upon further review of my betting stats, while I am winning with my *BBs and my "value bets" I am losing overall on my regular bets....so I will pass, and just track the results in my handicapping stats for the time being.   SAME for Seattle.....PASS......even though I might normally bet them on a regular bet as I have them at +0.9 run edge to win       @fubah2   if u wouldve bet those three teams u wouldve added 3 more wins @KellyM_1964 ... well that just figures.....On the day I stop posting those "regular bets" all 3 would have won for me. Instead I bet twice on the A's/LAA game and BOTH are going to lose... BoL on your bets tomorrow...     I suppose I will more carefully consider betting the regular bets again....

@fubah2

 would it matter any   if u just played the reg bets  with the best edges ??

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
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Posted: #4597

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Until today I would normally consider both TEXAS and Arizona (at today's low odds) to be bets I would make....BUT upon further review of my betting stats, while I am winning with my *BBs and my "value bets" I am losing overall on my regular bets....so I will pass, and just track the results in my handicapping stats for the time being.   SAME for Seattle.....PASS......even though I might normally bet them on a regular bet as I have them at +0.9 run edge to win       @fubah2   if u wouldve bet those three teams u wouldve added 3 more wins @KellyM_1964 ... well that just figures.....On the day I stop posting those "regular bets" all 3 would have won for me. Instead I bet twice on the A's/LAA game and BOTH are going to lose... BoL on your bets tomorrow...     I suppose I will more carefully consider betting the regular bets again....

@fubah2  

would it matter any   if u just played the reg bets  with the best edges ??

@KellyM_1964

Well the regular bets with the best edges are elevated to *Best Bet status.  But maybe the regular bets which fall just barely short of making the cut to *BB status is something I'll consider.....Generally those would require at least +.9 runs edge or better but not yet making *BB status, and they would have to be on lowish odds...

 
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Posted: #4598

 A's tie it up  5 - 5 but  Angels playing above their heads tonight...

This move may cost me but this game is certainly a coin-tosser now so I'd rather forge a split and a tiny loss on juice than risk a full loss on juice when this game did not proceed as originally expected...

LIVE hedge bet, 5 - 5, top of the 10th: ANGELS -125 @B365  *BB

 
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Posted: #4599

@fubah2

 Great call on the A's today, Fubah.

I know, it was looking like a dud for many innings through, so I just forgot about the game, then I looked back an hour later and **BAMM!**  The Ath's took the fort back from those pesky mudda fodda Angels...   an_woo

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Posted: #4600

Thursday, May 21:

Pitty -118 @pinn          ... close call for a bet; est.+0.9 run edge for Pitty

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