Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: . YTD "value bets" = 24 - 11 +18.38u
It's HUMPING DAY!
**Handicapping on the fly today as we speak!
Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...but only 47% chance to win
Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
It's HUMPING DAY!
**Handicapping on the fly today as we speak!
Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...but only 47% chance to win
Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
It's HUMPING DAY!
**Handicapping on the fly today as we speak!
Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...but only 47% chance to win
Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
It's HUMPING DAY!
**Handicapping on the fly today as we speak!
Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...but only 47% chance to win
Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
Twinkies -133 @pinn *BB ...estimated runs: 2.4 vs 4.0
Astros TT und 4.5 -193 @pinn ...could be a nailbiter; bet small or not at all
**Handicapping on the fly today as we speak!
It's HUMPING DAY!
**Handicapping on the fly today as we speak!
Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...but only 47% chance to win
Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
Twinkies -133 @pinn *BB ...estimated runs: 2.4 vs 4.0
Astros TT und 4.5 -193 @pinn ...could be a nailbiter; bet small or not at all
**Handicapping on the fly today as we speak!
Until today I would normally consider both TEXAS and Arizona (at today's low odds) to be bets I would make....BUT upon further review of my betting stats, while I am winning with my *BBs and my "value bets" I am losing overall on my regular bets....so I will pass, and just track the results in my handicapping stats for the time being.
Until today I would normally consider both TEXAS and Arizona (at today's low odds) to be bets I would make....BUT upon further review of my betting stats, while I am winning with my *BBs and my "value bets" I am losing overall on my regular bets....so I will pass, and just track the results in my handicapping stats for the time being.
@countrybob
"Never judge a book midway through reading it thinking you know what happened, then close and shelf it or burn it..."
~McGregor O'Brian
@countrybob
"Never judge a book midway through reading it thinking you know what happened, then close and shelf it or burn it..."
~McGregor O'Brian
SAME for Seattle.....PASS......even though I might normally bet them on a regular bet as I have them at +0.9 run edge to win
SAME for Seattle.....PASS......even though I might normally bet them on a regular bet as I have them at +0.9 run edge to win
Any insights for Seattle? CWS IS on an amazing form with 8 wins out of 10. I Guess 2day could be a good day to bet against them
Good job fubah, appreciat It
Any insights for Seattle? CWS IS on an amazing form with 8 wins out of 10. I Guess 2day could be a good day to bet against them
Good job fubah, appreciat It
Well, because of the starter + bullpen advantage favoring Seattle, my capping has them figured for a fair +0.9 run edge....which at today's pre-game odds, would have just made the cut for a regular bet for me (but NOT a *BB
) But as I mentioned above, my regular bets aare a mixed bag this season with an overall net LOSS, while my *BBs and "value bets" are showing significant results.....So I passed on Seattle and will simply track them as a circled play on my capping stat sheet. ![]()
BUT watching HANCOCK walk the bases loaded in the 2nd ip does NOT bode well at all!
Well, because of the starter + bullpen advantage favoring Seattle, my capping has them figured for a fair +0.9 run edge....which at today's pre-game odds, would have just made the cut for a regular bet for me (but NOT a *BB
) But as I mentioned above, my regular bets aare a mixed bag this season with an overall net LOSS, while my *BBs and "value bets" are showing significant results.....So I passed on Seattle and will simply track them as a circled play on my capping stat sheet. ![]()
BUT watching HANCOCK walk the bases loaded in the 2nd ip does NOT bode well at all!
Atlanta should have about +0.8 run edge tonight. It would be more but they have lost their TOP BATTER (Baldwin)
...and at these high odds it's just not worth the risk for me, especially as a regular bet.
Mets/Wash = coin-flipper PASS!
BoSox/KC = coin-flipper PASS!
Milw/CUBS = coin-flipper PASS!
Pitty/StLouis = coin-flipper PASS!
Toro/NYY looks to have NYY with almost a full run edge but the odds up around -170 are above my betting range to justify a bet with just a +0.9 run edge... Compounding that is they have had two very close 1-run games and tonight figures to be the same but THIS TIME it might go against the homies
The Yankees are notorious for blowing games on high odds they are expected to win......but I wouldn't bet against them either...
![]()
Atlanta should have about +0.8 run edge tonight. It would be more but they have lost their TOP BATTER (Baldwin)
...and at these high odds it's just not worth the risk for me, especially as a regular bet.
Mets/Wash = coin-flipper PASS!
BoSox/KC = coin-flipper PASS!
Milw/CUBS = coin-flipper PASS!
Pitty/StLouis = coin-flipper PASS!
Toro/NYY looks to have NYY with almost a full run edge but the odds up around -170 are above my betting range to justify a bet with just a +0.9 run edge... Compounding that is they have had two very close 1-run games and tonight figures to be the same but THIS TIME it might go against the homies
The Yankees are notorious for blowing games on high odds they are expected to win......but I wouldn't bet against them either...
![]()
.
It's HUMPING DAY! ![]()
W Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...about 47% chance to win
W Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
W Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
W Twinkies -133 @pinn *BB ...estimated runs: 2.4 vs 4.0
W Astros TT und 4.5 -193 @pinn
YTD "value bets" = 25 - 11 +19.38u
YTD *Best Bets = 65 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)
.
It's HUMPING DAY! ![]()
W Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...about 47% chance to win
W Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
W Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
W Twinkies -133 @pinn *BB ...estimated runs: 2.4 vs 4.0
W Astros TT und 4.5 -193 @pinn
YTD "value bets" = 25 - 11 +19.38u
YTD *Best Bets = 65 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)
Arty needs to sell the team with that being said halos are bad right now I’m either betting against or nothing like the Athletics tonight
@fubah2
Arty needs to sell the team with that being said halos are bad right now I’m either betting against or nothing like the Athletics tonight
@fubah2
.
It's HUMPING DAY! ![]()
W Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...about 47% chance to win
W Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
W Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
W Twinkies -133 @pinn *BB ...estimated runs: 2.4 vs 4.0
W Astros TT und 4.5 -193 @pinn
YTD "value bets" = 25 - 11 +19.38u
YTD *Best Bets = 65 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)
Correction: YTD *Best Bets = 67 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)
.
It's HUMPING DAY! ![]()
W Cinci +133 @pinn "value bet" ...about 47% chance to win
W Tampa -109 @pinn *BB
W Tampa TT ov 2.5 -295 @SIA
W Twinkies -133 @pinn *BB ...estimated runs: 2.4 vs 4.0
W Astros TT und 4.5 -193 @pinn
YTD "value bets" = 25 - 11 +19.38u
YTD *Best Bets = 65 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)
Correction: YTD *Best Bets = 67 - 36 (-5000 juice from 36 losses)

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.