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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #4501

Tuesday, May 19:

an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING! an_speechless

 

                          Misiorowski,  Brewers

 

           This STARTER is riding a tenuous  9-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

 

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  CAN NOT be avoided. an_shake Best to avoid!

 

an_lightCAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.

 
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Posted: #4502

clover  an_clap  You have a good supporting cast backing up that flamethrower.

Keep at it.
 
Legend
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Posted: #4503

an_police   From Roto:


May 19, 2026

Rocker has been scratched from Tuesday's scheduled start in Colorado, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports.


There's no word yet on the reasoning for Rocker being unable to take the ball, but the Rangers should have an update on his condition shortly.

Tyler Alexander will slot in as Tuesday's starter in Rocker's place in what will be a bullpen game for the Rangers.

 
Legend
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Posted: #4504

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

From Roto: May 19, 2026 Rocker has been scratched from Tuesday's scheduled start in Colorado, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports. There's no word yet on the reasoning for Rocker being unable to take the ball, but the Rangers should have an update on his condition shortly. Tyler Alexander will slot in as Tuesday's starter in Rocker's place in what will be a bullpen game for the Rangers.

ROCKER is expected to pitch bulk relief...

 
Legend
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Posted: #4505

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Twinkies -132 @pinn   *BB                ...estimated +1.4 run edge despite losing Jeffers

RANGERS -103 @pinn   *BB               

 
Legend
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Posted: #4506

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: . TACO Tuesday:       Cinci +127 @pinn   "value bet" *BB    ... Cinci may even have a tiny edge; rated 53% chance Cleveland -119 @pinn  *BB                     ...run production est:  4.4  vs  3.4   with breeze included TAMPA -114 @pinn  *BB   ... solid +1.1 edge unless TB starter implodes which is possible

But even if JAX does implode, the RAYS still have a good shot with their stronger offense.

Tampa TT over 2.5 -234 @pinn *BB   ...14 - 2 in May at least 3+ runs scored;  9 - 1 at home

                                                                  Bradish started 9 games, and opponents scored at least 3+ in 8 

                                                                  On this heavy juice bet, tailing is NOT RECOMMENDED! fingershake

 
Legend
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Posted: #4507

Haven't looked at the 4 late games yet but I only got in 4hrs winkies overnight so I'm dragging my old bones back to bed for a few.

BTW, while I am lights out, if the Yankees line might drop down into the low 120's that would be acceptable given their +1.0 run edge.

Same for Mets ......low -120's odds, nothing mid'20s or higher fingershake

 
Legend
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Posted: #4508

From Roto:


an_police  May 19, 2026

L.McCullers has been scratched from his scheduled start Tuesday in Minnesota.

The Astros have yet to provide reasoning for the move, but an update on McCullers should be forthcoming.

Jason Alexander will make a spot start Tuesday in McCullers' place.

 

 

 

an_lightAs a result, my original bet on Twinkies -132 is cancelled 

 I have re-bet now same team:  Twinkies -134 @pinn  *BB

 
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Posted: #4509

@fubah2

 clover today!!

 
Legend
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Posted: #4510

Looks like TORONTO will be missing a key bat tonight (Clement)

 
Legend
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Posted: #4511

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

From Roto:   May 19, 2026 L.McCullers has been scratched from his scheduled start Tuesday in Minnesota. The Astros have yet to provide reasoning for the move, but an update on McCullers should be forthcoming. Jason Alexander will make a spot start Tuesday in McCullers' place.     

 

From Roto:

McCullers was scratched from his scheduled start
against the Twins on Tuesday due to shoulder inflammation,
Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.

 

So it is a bullpen day for Astros...

 
Legend
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Posted: #4512

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: From Roto:   May 19, 2026 L.McCullers has been scratched from his scheduled start Tuesday in Minnesota. The Astros have yet to provide reasoning for the move, but an update on McCullers should be forthcoming. Jason Alexander will make a spot start Tuesday in McCullers' place.        From Roto: McCullers was scratched from his scheduled start against the Twins on Tuesday due to shoulder inflammation, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.   So it is a bullpen day for Astros...

 

Worth noting that the weak ASTROS offense are still w/o Diaz, Correa, and recently Altuve.  

That doesn't guarantee a TWINKIES win but I like my improved chances.

 
Legend
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Posted: #4513

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: From Roto:   May 19, 2026 L.McCullers has been scratched from his scheduled start Tuesday in Minnesota. The Astros have yet to provide reasoning for the move, but an update on McCullers should be forthcoming. Jason Alexander will make a spot start Tuesday in McCullers' place.        From Roto: McCullers was scratched from his scheduled start against the Twins on Tuesday due to shoulder inflammation, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.   So it is a bullpen day for Astros...   Worth noting that the weak ASTROS offense are still w/o Diaz, Correa, and recently Altuve.   That doesn't guarantee a TWINKIES win but I like my improved chances.

 

Twinkies  -1.5 +151 @pinn an_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #4514

 Posted by fubah2    Cinci +127 @pinn   "value bet" *BB    ... Cleveland -119 @pinn  *BB            TAMPA -114 @pinn  *BB      Cubbies +103  @pinn            ...borderline call; very thin edge..........Twinkies -132 @pinn   *BB      

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #4515

 Posted by fubah2       RANGERS -103 @pinn   *BB           Tampa TT over 2.5 -234 @pinn *BB       Twinkies  -1.5 +151 

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #4516

i don't pre-flop often... here we go good luck      an_timeout

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #4517

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

 

TAMPA -114 @pinn  *BB   ... solid +1.1 edge unless TB starter implodes which is possible an_eek2

First batter and Tampa trails 0 - 1 already sad  very bad omen... and then another hit

 
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Posted: #4518

My only play today on Mariners -1.0.

 
Legend
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Posted: #4519

Quote Originally Posted by NetProfit2023:

My only play today on Mariners -1.0.

Haven't yet looked at the late games myself but wish you BoL clover

 
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Posted: #4520

Athletics +124 @pinn  "value bet"   ...weaker SP but better bats and BP; +0.2 edge

 
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Posted: #4521

@NetProfit2023

 Please start your own thread. I don’t care who you’re betting on. Fubah has a record worth tailing. You don’t yet. Sorry to be so direct

 
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Posted: #4522

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Athletics +124 @pinn  "value bet"   ...weaker SP but better bats and BP; +0.2 edge

WhiteSox +128  "value bet"     ...coin-flipper;  zero net edge either team

 
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Posted: #4523

@fubah2

clover

 
Legend
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Posted: #4524

I like DODGERS for a probable win tonight ...BUT... the line is way over-priced, as usual

My projection is 4.4 runs  vs  3.6  ...only a modest edge; maybe worthy of -125 or so

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #4525

UGHH quiet  ...my bets not performing well early an_nailbiter 

Need RAYS!, CUBS, TWINS and Cleveland to turn it up. an_horse

Was expecting RAYS to score at least 3 to 5 runs before the 8th. sad

 

Had plenty of optimism entering today's matchups but we all have bad days, they're inevitable and frequent, so I shall begin looking ahead to HUMPING DAY...

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