1000 play ($1000) Challenge / Can u hit 60% Winners

Houston Astros +104

Much too uncontrollable. The theory is OK, but you will see miscalculation flourish. No line control, and at least 90% of Covers will think if they hit a -110 favorite they win $100. Where did dog prices come from? Verified at time of bet? Nice try Falcon but this will be a joke within a week. 

The only legit way to run an MLB contest is with a controllable, POSTED, line and based on return on risk.  

1-0

Cubs -108

@KeyElement

 I'm out of it. If anyone wants to do it, they can keep up with it.

I just brought something up on a boring day. 

I have a thread going with my plays. That's enough for me to handle.

Falcon Sports 

Dodgers -140 (-140 2win 100)

@MITM

 Long ago, probably 40 years, I did some math and found that versus -110 lines if you win 4 of 7 picks, 4 of 7 days, 4 of 7 weeks, months and years you become enormously rich. That is only 57.1%. Most folks never come near that as a long term accomplishment; and what they say on Covers is total B.S. Twenty years ago I won a contest in Vegas with 62% in the NBA. Only one other guy came in over 60%, something like 60.4% if memory serves me correctly.

It has been said "Don't believe everything you read on Covers". I would put about a 90% caveat on that. 

@MITM

 Long ago, probably 40 years, I did some math and found that versus -110 lines if you win 4 of 7 picks, 4 of 7 days, 4 of 7 weeks, months and years you become enormously rich. That is only 57.1%. Most folks never come near that as a long term accomplishment; and what they say on Covers is total B.S. Twenty years ago I won a contest in Vegas with 62% in the NBA. Only one other guy came in over 60%, something like 60.4% if memory serves me correctly.

It has been said "Don't believe everything you read on Covers". I would put about a 90% caveat on that. 

@bonfire69

 1-0

Twins -2 +135 DraftKings 

$109/256 payout 

@KeyElement

 Exactly 

4-3 against a (-110) is what I want. (57.14%) Winners 

@MITM

 I am down to get in, however regarding the “ -110” line….

I would track a contest the same way, keeping it at -110 but that means mlb is out, and there’s only a few weeks left of nba.

so I would start once football begins 

@MITM

Obviously nobody is going to be able to go 600-400 on standard juice bets, but it is fun to think about.  The biggest problem theoretically would be finding enough books to take all your action once your bankroll gets big enough.

I remember watching a documentary on sports betting several years ago (can't remember the name of it) and a guy would go to a frat party or some other similar type of venue and other guys there would swear they could consistently hit 66% or even 75% of their bets.  And he would offer to wager any amount that they couldn't hit 60% over 100 bets or something similar.  The psychology of it is pretty interesting to me.  Some people that he talked to didn't really bet much and were just naive about realistic winning expectations, and others were clearly in denial about how much they actually lose.

I shoot to win 11 out of every 20, and if I combine this with finding ways to drop the juice even just 1-2 points, I come out way ahead.  Hitting 55% on standard juice will make serious money over the long haul.  Those profits are magnified if you can find a way to drop the average juice to -108.

1-0 

Orioles -1.5 +115

@bluecompass

 Agree completely

Alternate lines are a big help in reducing juice.

Falcon 

@bonfire69

 2-0

Tampa -2 + 140

124/to win 173

55% has been profitable for me….  60% is a great goal. But let’s be realistic…….. 

wolfeman