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    All Forums | Mixed Martial Arts

    UFC 317

    elmaniac8
    NoFancyHandle
    bense197969
    Loki808
    RXistrash
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1056
    Posts: 15
     
    elmaniac8
    elmaniac8
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    Joined: May, 2024
    Posts: 368
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 9:41 AM ET #1

    Maybe we have some people who want to share some knowledge or wisdom.

     

    How can Topuria be such a huge favorite.

    I love Topuria he seems smart.

    He has never fought anyone to this pedigree. 

    Oliveria has fought some cannon strikers and he has been shook and stunned.

     

    Can someone tell me how they can justify ever laying 425 without pairing this with a parlay. 

     

    the play would be to find the expected distance and outcome.

    The longer the fight goes it has to favor Charles, no?

     

    interesting fight not saying Ilia doesn't get the job done.

     

    Many people are many moves ahead of Oliviera like Pimblett vs Ilia etc. makes no sense. 

     

    Is he a better wrestler than volk?

     

     

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Maybe we have some people who want to share some knowledge or wisdom.

     

    How can Topuria be such a huge favorite.

    I love Topuria he seems smart.

    He has never fought anyone to this pedigree. 

    Oliveria has fought some cannon strikers and he has been shook and stunned.

     

    Can someone tell me how they can justify ever laying 425 without pairing this with a parlay. 

     

    the play would be to find the expected distance and outcome.

    The longer the fight goes it has to favor Charles, no?

     

    interesting fight not saying Ilia doesn't get the job done.

     

    Many people are many moves ahead of Oliviera like Pimblett vs Ilia etc. makes no sense. 

     

    Is he a better wrestler than volk?

     

     

     
    NoFancyHandle
    NoFancyHandle
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    Posts: 2690
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 11:33 AM ET #2

    My book doesn’t have it but Oliviera at over 29.5 significant strikes is pretty good.

    i think his length will equate to a feeling out process. I could see things starting to pick up after the first or second round.

    -250 to get to the second round is what I’m leaning right now…

    Reply

    My book doesn’t have it but Oliviera at over 29.5 significant strikes is pretty good.

    i think his length will equate to a feeling out process. I could see things starting to pick up after the first or second round.

    -250 to get to the second round is what I’m leaning right now…

     
    bense197969
    bense197969
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    Posts: 5051
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 11:52 AM ET #3

    @elmaniac8

     Meh....Ilia knocked out Max and Volk, thats impressive right there.  Even wins over Emmet and Mitchell are big.  He might not have the quantity of wins Oliveira has, but the quality is similar.  That being said, I do think the line is a tad high.  

    Reply

    @elmaniac8

     Meh....Ilia knocked out Max and Volk, thats impressive right there.  Even wins over Emmet and Mitchell are big.  He might not have the quantity of wins Oliveira has, but the quality is similar.  That being said, I do think the line is a tad high.  

     
    elmaniac8
    elmaniac8
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    Posts: 368
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 12:00 PM ET #4

    @NoFancyHandle

     some good thoughts. thanks

    Reply

    @NoFancyHandle

     some good thoughts. thanks

     
    elmaniac8
    elmaniac8
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    Posts: 368
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 12:01 PM ET #5

    @bense197969

     Let's be realistic. Volkswagen is a gatekeeper. Fighting Nerds are taking that belt.

    Volkswagen was declining, max is obviously old as molasses for a fighter, but actually young. crazy

     

    those are impressive but neither is in their prime anymore.

     

    that's my debate 

    Reply

    @bense197969

     Let's be realistic. Volkswagen is a gatekeeper. Fighting Nerds are taking that belt.

    Volkswagen was declining, max is obviously old as molasses for a fighter, but actually young. crazy

     

    those are impressive but neither is in their prime anymore.

     

    that's my debate 

     
    Loki808
    Loki808
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    Posts: 37
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 2:39 PM ET #6

    Lets go charles cant pass on price 

    Reply

    Lets go charles cant pass on price 

     
    elmaniac8
    elmaniac8
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    Posts: 368
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 3:06 PM ET #7

    @Loki808

     

     Can Charles win?

    Yes. How can't he.

     

    so yes, I think the price is right.

    Charles last fight was close to Arman and he melted vs Islam. that's about it.

    he handles the cannons well. usually when people start talking about next level shit. the hype is in effect. for all we really know.

     

    Illia beat a washed up Volk, because It wasn't Volk looked good. It was Lopes was starstruck and still was in the fight. Volk name is all that has value with him.

     

    Illia beat up Holloway pretty easy. I can't remember the last time Illia fought a well balanced athlete? 

    this has upset makings. Just saying.

    its all about if Charles wants that belt bad enough.mentally im speaking

     

     

     

    Reply

    @Loki808

     

     Can Charles win?

    Yes. How can't he.

     

    so yes, I think the price is right.

    Charles last fight was close to Arman and he melted vs Islam. that's about it.

    he handles the cannons well. usually when people start talking about next level shit. the hype is in effect. for all we really know.

     

    Illia beat a washed up Volk, because It wasn't Volk looked good. It was Lopes was starstruck and still was in the fight. Volk name is all that has value with him.

     

    Illia beat up Holloway pretty easy. I can't remember the last time Illia fought a well balanced athlete? 

    this has upset makings. Just saying.

    its all about if Charles wants that belt bad enough.mentally im speaking

     

     

     

     
    RXistrash
    RXistrash
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    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 4:37 PM ET #8

    Charles fought Chandler twice and got dropped both times. Given he won, Illa is a much better boxer with more power (if that translates). I think it’s not about if but about when does Illa catch Charles. The only question is how badly and is Charles able to recover from that? 

    Reply

    Charles fought Chandler twice and got dropped both times. Given he won, Illa is a much better boxer with more power (if that translates). I think it’s not about if but about when does Illa catch Charles. The only question is how badly and is Charles able to recover from that? 

     
    elmaniac8
    elmaniac8
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    Posts: 368
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 6:02 PM ET #9

    @RXistrash

     

     he also got dropped by gaethje and even porier 

    does anyone hit harder than Justin 

     

    Reply

    @RXistrash

     

     he also got dropped by gaethje and even porier 

    does anyone hit harder than Justin 

     

     
    bense197969
    bense197969
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    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 7:11 PM ET #10

    @elmaniac8

     Volk is not a gatekeeper, lol.  You're on an island with that mindset.

     

    Regardless, I think Ilia wins but there are certainly paths for Oliveira to win.  No bet for me, just gonna watch what should be a fantastic fight.  GL

     

    Reply

    @elmaniac8

     Volk is not a gatekeeper, lol.  You're on an island with that mindset.

     

    Regardless, I think Ilia wins but there are certainly paths for Oliveira to win.  No bet for me, just gonna watch what should be a fantastic fight.  GL

     

     
    elmaniac8
    elmaniac8
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    Posts: 368
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 7:43 PM ET #11

    @bense197969

     I agree I lik Volk, but he won't be champ long, obviously. 

    its a weak division. 

    Thanks. I don't really like Charles. But he's sneaky.

    Thx for the input

    Reply

    @bense197969

     I agree I lik Volk, but he won't be champ long, obviously. 

    its a weak division. 

    Thanks. I don't really like Charles. But he's sneaky.

    Thx for the input

     
    thatruth976
    thatruth976
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    Posts: 530
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2025 - 8:18 PM ET #12

    Charlie Olive gonna get chin’d

    Reply

    Charlie Olive gonna get chin’d

     
    RXistrash
    RXistrash
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    Posts: 1801
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2025 - 1:04 AM ET #13

    Easy money

     

     

    Quote Originally Posted by RXistrash:

    Charles fought Chandler twice and got dropped both times. Given he won, Illa is a much better boxer with more power (if that translates). I think it’s not about if but about when does Illa catch Charles. The only question is how badly and is Charles able to recover from that?

    Reply

    Easy money

     

     

    Quote Originally Posted by RXistrash:

    Charles fought Chandler twice and got dropped both times. Given he won, Illa is a much better boxer with more power (if that translates). I think it’s not about if but about when does Illa catch Charles. The only question is how badly and is Charles able to recover from that?

     
    elmaniac8
    elmaniac8
    Prospect
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    Joined: May, 2024
    Posts: 368
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2025 - 7:30 AM ET #14

    Giving 4-1 is never easy and never smart.

    Easy Pick more like it.

     

    Lost 20 units on Olivieria. Destroyed the main card with so many parlays.

    Profited 55 units and lost huge in both main events. I'll take it.

     

    Reply

    Giving 4-1 is never easy and never smart.

    Easy Pick more like it.

     

    Lost 20 units on Olivieria. Destroyed the main card with so many parlays.

    Profited 55 units and lost huge in both main events. I'll take it.

     

     
     
    RXistrash
    RXistrash
    Banned
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    Posts: 1801
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2025 - 8:21 AM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by elmaniac8:

    Giving 4-1 is never easy and never smart. Easy Pick more like it.   Lost 20 units on Olivieria. Destroyed the main card with so many parlays. Profited 55 units and lost huge in both main events. I'll take it.

     

     

    Okay lol. To win by tko/ko was only -165/-170.  Wish i played the first round KO. There was only one outcome in this matchup. If they fought 100 times it would end the same way every single time. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by elmaniac8:

    Giving 4-1 is never easy and never smart. Easy Pick more like it.   Lost 20 units on Olivieria. Destroyed the main card with so many parlays. Profited 55 units and lost huge in both main events. I'll take it.

     

     

    Okay lol. To win by tko/ko was only -165/-170.  Wish i played the first round KO. There was only one outcome in this matchup. If they fought 100 times it would end the same way every single time. 

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