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2014 FIFA World Cup: Brazil (Plays & Analysis)

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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by Nesci:

Belgium vs Russia:

Both sides struggled in their openers, with Belgium charging late for the 3 points.  Russia look like one of the weakest teams in the tournament to me.  Mediocre midfield, suspect defending and no real link-up play with the forwards.  Korea is far from a defensive juggernaut and Russia barely scored once in that match.  I think we see a more confident Belgium, a Belgium that is exciting and capable of scoring beautiful goals.  I really like Belgium here to take the 3 points.

*Belgium (-0.5) -109 2.00
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by Nesci:

South Korea vs Algeria:

Two teams that are offensive minded yet not talented enough to achieve what the tactics set out too.  Have to say this is a fairly even contest and I think South Korea are just slightly better than Algeria.  Do not see a draw as both sides need 3 points, but I do see attacking football and a more than likely chance of both sides scoring.

BTTS (-109) 1.00
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by Nesci:

Portugal vs USA:

Ronaldo looks like he is playing and what a gamble that is.  Personally I do not know the extent of his injury, but I do know that he will change the face of this match.  The US will be aware of him on the blistering counter and more often than not I think he will be doubled up and contained.  The midfield battle will be interesting as I see no edge to either side.  Defensively the US played like lions last match and I expect a similar effort in this one.  Should be a tight match as Portugal are not eliminated with a draw and the US are fine with one.  Looks to me like Portugal will defeat Ghana and Germany will defeat the USA, meaning a draw here and Portugal will need to win by about 3 against Ghana and hope the US lose by 2 to Germany (ties GD).  In all, I expect a low-scoring game in Manaus, with a good chance of a draw.

Draw (+305) 3.05
Under 2.5 (+102) 1.00
 
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Posted: #104
15-14
11.21
 
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Posted: #105
Great day Nesci! Thanks for posting...
 
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Posted: #106
Spain vs Australia:

Spain will throw in some subs, but world class subs at that.  Australia will likely do something similar but less so.  Both sides are out and while that may lead some to perceive an open and high-scoring game, I am not so sure and therefore will not play the over as tempting as it is.  I think Spain play a great game in order to redeem themselves and against an open team like Australia I think they may win 3-0.

Spain (-2) +208
 
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Posted: #107
Chile vs Netherlands:

Both sides have advanced, but first place is still up for grabs with Chile needing a win to earn it.  A draw or a Dutch win results in them maintaining first.  Both sides are quality and can do some damage later on.  At this point I think Chile may very well win the world cup...  This team continues to impress me game after game.  Expect the Netherlands to play a tight match without RVP, seeking to control possession and get quality chances.  Chile will play the same no matter who they play and I expect them to counter rapidly.  Should be a close match but I like Chile to steal it.  Potential for a draw and therefore it is a DNB.

Chile (DNB) -103
 
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Posted: #108
Brazil vs Cameroon:

After this match, Brazil will be again the most fancied to hoist the trophy.  Expecting a bloody massacre as Cameroon will not be able to pierce a stout defense and conversely Brazil are way to talented not to score a few against a disorganized Cameroon side.  Somehow I see value in the ML...  Scary juice though and I will lay a goal and a half.  Expecting Cameroon's players to turn against each other in the 2nd half.  Could be 1-0 HT and 4/5-0 FT.  Cameroon will throw it all at Brazil so they could score.

Brazil (-1.5) -223
 
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Posted: #109
Croatia vs Mexico:

Draw/Mexico = Mexico advance
Croatia = Croatia advance

I think Mexico win this one outright...  Expect them to come out flying and go for the 3 as it is more to their style and gusto than playing for a draw.  Draw is very possible, but I will play it DNB.  Slight edge in the midfield to Croatia, strikers are even in my opinion and defensively even as well.  Mexico are better suited for the conditions and with the form Ochoa is in and the confidence around the team I will back the Mexicans.

*Mexico (DNB) +100
 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by SteelerNationNC:

Great day Nesci! Thanks for posting...
 Not a problem, appreciate the support!

 
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Posted: #111
Stupid question... but is PK the same as DNB?
 
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Posted: #112
no its not the same..
 
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Posted: #113
Quote Originally Posted by jpabla:

no its not the same..



So how is it different?

 
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Posted: #114
DNB, draw no bet, if there is a draw you get your money back.  PK is pick, if there is a draw, you lose your money.
 
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Posted: #115
Asian handicap nice for soccer and NHL betting.
 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by jpabla:

DNB, draw no bet, if there is a draw you get your money back.  PK is pick, if there is a draw, you lose your money.

Bookmaker has Chile PK at EV...and the ML at +170...
Since Nesci bet Chile DNB -103, I think DNB is the same bet as PK. And you are thinking of a money line. I'm thoroughly confused, but I like it!  Sorry to clutter the thread Nesci.
 
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Posted: #117
To my understanding PK is the same as DNB.
 
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Posted: #118
Thanks for your thread I have been following your picks.

I really like your plays today, I bet you go 3/4!!!

GOOD LUCK




 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by Nesci:

Spain vs Australia:

Spain will throw in some subs, but world class subs at that.  Australia will likely do something similar but less so.  Both sides are out and while that may lead some to perceive an open and high-scoring game, I am not so sure and therefore will not play the over as tempting as it is.  I think Spain play a great game in order to redeem themselves and against an open team like Australia I think they may win 3-0.

Spain (-2) +208 2.08
 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by Nesci:

Chile vs Netherlands:

Both sides have advanced, but first place is still up for grabs with Chile needing a win to earn it.  A draw or a Dutch win results in them maintaining first.  Both sides are quality and can do some damage later on.  At this point I think Chile may very well win the world cup...  This team continues to impress me game after game.  Expect the Netherlands to play a tight match without RVP, seeking to control possession and get quality chances.  Chile will play the same no matter who they play and I expect them to counter rapidly.  Should be a close match but I like Chile to steal it.  Potential for a draw and therefore it is a DNB.

Chile (DNB) -103 1.03
 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by Nesci:

Brazil vs Cameroon:

After this match, Brazil will be again the most fancied to hoist the trophy.  Expecting a bloody massacre as Cameroon will not be able to pierce a stout defense and conversely Brazil are way to talented not to score a few against a disorganized Cameroon side.  Somehow I see value in the ML...  Scary juice though and I will lay a goal and a half.  Expecting Cameroon's players to turn against each other in the 2nd half.  Could be 1-0 HT and 4/5-0 FT.  Cameroon will throw it all at Brazil so they could score.

Brazil (-1.5) -223 1.00
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by Nesci:

Croatia vs Mexico:

Draw/Mexico = Mexico advance
Croatia = Croatia advance

I think Mexico win this one outright...  Expect them to come out flying and go for the 3 as it is more to their style and gusto than playing for a draw.  Draw is very possible, but I will play it DNB.  Slight edge in the midfield to Croatia, strikers are even in my opinion and defensively even as well.  Mexico are better suited for the conditions and with the form Ochoa is in and the confidence around the team I will back the Mexicans.

*Mexico (DNB) +100 2.00
 
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Posted: #123
18-15
15.25
 
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Posted: #124
Quote Originally Posted by JJJay:

Thanks for your thread I have been following your picks.

I really like your plays today, I bet you go 3/4!!!

GOOD LUCK




3/4 Indeed!  Thanks for the love and I hope to see you in the thread.
 
 
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Posted: #125
Italy vs Uruguay:

A great result for Uruguay last time out, but I am not impressed.  Suarez was the difference, but defensively this side is average at best.  They have a horrible midfield as well.  Italy are class in every position and coming off a real shocker.  I think Italy are much better than Uruguay, but because a draw is good I will bet accordingly.

*Italy (DNB) -110
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