Posted:
#26
| 09/01/07 | MONST | W 38-7 | - - | - - |
| 09/08/07 | FRSST | W 47-45 x | L -17 | O 52 |
| 09/15/07 | ULMON | W 54-14 | W -22 | O 60 |
| 09/20/07 | @MIAMI | L 17-34 | L 2 | O 45 |
| 09/29/07 | BAY | W 34-10 | W -16.5 | U 58.5 |
| 10/06/07 | OKLST | W 24-23 | L -7 | U 64 |
| 10/13/07 | @TXTCH | L 7-35 | L 10 | U 68 |
| 10/20/07 | @NEB | W 36-14 | W 1.5 | U 59 |
| 10/27/07 | KANS | L 11-19 | L 2 | U 54.5 |
| 11/03/07 | @OKLA | L 14-42 | L 21 | P 56 |
| 11/10/07 | @MISOU | L 26-40 | W 19.5 | O 62 |
| 11/23/07 | TEXAS | W 38-30 | W 7 | O 60.5 |
Ok, I started to handicap this game by first looking at the injury and ineligible lists and saw that Penn State will have several players out due to an assult case at Penn State. So that first got me worried...then I saw that this game was being played at San Antonio, Texas, giving A&M an advantage. After looking at that, then I looked at the QBs playing this game. McGhee is an average qb at best who did though have his best game against Texas their last game (who we all know then destroyed Arz St in the Holiday bowl)....and Anthony Marelli's numbers although better than McGhee's must be put in the context that most of his numbers came agains teams like Buffalo, and Temple, and FL International....so I almost say that's a wash maybe even a slight edge to McGhee for his last game performance...
The running games for both teams are effective and primary options in both offenses. Penn St has a better running D, but I think A&M plays against better opponents (they faced Kansas, Mizzou, and Oklahoma) in a 3 game stetch so the numbers might be skewed.....
But lastly, as I copied above.....came the schedule and man, I could not ignore that....A&M has absolutely beaten no one besides that rivalry game against Texas and a 2 pt overtime victory against Fresno St at home! This is also a team that lost to Miami who absolutely stinks, and beat a terrible Ok St team by 1 at home.....
I just can no way in good conscience take take A&M in this game even if it is at a "home" site and the line at 4.5 is juicy enough to take a better Defense, a better physical team in Penn St in this game. TAKE PENN ST -4.5
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