I have an early strong lean on Penn State here, Colonel Jim....I still need to crunch down the numbers and evaluate the personnel match-ups a little further but I like the Lions - 5.5 as of now...
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I have an early strong lean on Penn State here, Colonel Jim....I still need to crunch down the numbers and evaluate the personnel match-ups a little further but I like the Lions - 5.5 as of now...
I might be a bit biased being a Lion fan, but I think Texas A&M could easily win straight up. Anthony Morelli has shown flashes but not enough to warrant any confidence from betters. I will be cheering for my Lions, but will have a small play on the Aggies.
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I might be a bit biased being a Lion fan, but I think Texas A&M could easily win straight up. Anthony Morelli has shown flashes but not enough to warrant any confidence from betters. I will be cheering for my Lions, but will have a small play on the Aggies.
Just cannot figure this one. Neither team should even be in a bowl as disappointing as their years were. I would take T A&M if it weren't for the coaching shake-up (although that will better for them going forward.) I also would take Penn St, straight up because of the coaching change, but feel they don't have enough offense to spot anyone 5 and 1/2. I will probably leave this one alone. If I decide to bet it at all, it will be a one unit play on TAMU with the points and the closer fanbase. Good luck to all that play it.
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Just cannot figure this one. Neither team should even be in a bowl as disappointing as their years were. I would take T A&M if it weren't for the coaching shake-up (although that will better for them going forward.) I also would take Penn St, straight up because of the coaching change, but feel they don't have enough offense to spot anyone 5 and 1/2. I will probably leave this one alone. If I decide to bet it at all, it will be a one unit play on TAMU with the points and the closer fanbase. Good luck to all that play it.
I am not a Penn. State guru, but have had the chance to watch Morelli play about 5-6 times this year and he is not flashy, but has a pretty big arm and tends to make a few mistakes. Penn State must run the ball well to be effective with play action type passes. I will say this: PSU has a stud TE with 3 top flight burner WRs, but Morelli must get them the ball instead of turning it over.T A&M seems to do pretty well against the run. They also run well themselves, but PSU will have a hammer lock on the running game with All-American Dan Conner and crew shutting it down. The logical pick to me here is the under 52 because I cannot see anyway this game gets into the high 20s per team. PSU should hold A&M around 17-20 in this game IMO. GL guys.
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I am not a Penn. State guru, but have had the chance to watch Morelli play about 5-6 times this year and he is not flashy, but has a pretty big arm and tends to make a few mistakes. Penn State must run the ball well to be effective with play action type passes. I will say this: PSU has a stud TE with 3 top flight burner WRs, but Morelli must get them the ball instead of turning it over.T A&M seems to do pretty well against the run. They also run well themselves, but PSU will have a hammer lock on the running game with All-American Dan Conner and crew shutting it down. The logical pick to me here is the under 52 because I cannot see anyway this game gets into the high 20s per team. PSU should hold A&M around 17-20 in this game IMO. GL guys.
Is anyone a Penn State expert and can share some light on the guys who were suspended?
I did not see a lot of their games...what do you guys think about QB Morelli??
Hi Scorp, I'm a Penn State grad and have watched every game. Only one of the 5 players is a starter, and that is DT Baker. The other player who is significant is LB Navorro Bowman, who rotates in a lot. The others hardly played at all and should be no impact. They also return one LB, Dontey Brown, so that sort of balances out Bowman. I'm not losing sleep over this.
Worth noting TA&M also will miss a couple of guys for being on the nonsense list. DL Bennett for academics, and another guy for some sort of robbery or assault charge, I forget. Great name though - Yemi Babalola. I will miss hearing that name called. I do not know how much impact these guys out represent.
As far as Anthony Morelli goes, he has been a classic underachiever. Highly touted, great arm, productive. But he often crumbles in big games and has a knack for not protecting the football. That said, he managed the game well in their Outback Bowl win last year v. Tennessee. And he has improved over the course of the year. Look at AM like this -- he will own a lot of PS passing records when he leaves, but I do not expect this guy to play on Sundays.
PS has a track record in bowl games that is long and storied. Paterno is the only coach to have won every major bowl game -- and many minor ones too. He and his staff know how to prepare the team. Last time they played at Alamo in '99 v. TA&M they won 24-0 after a subpar season.
Our defense should be fine as usual. However I am still on the fence here. Will have more to add later but I'm not sure if I will lay the points or not. I need to keep my emotions in check. I don't need any more motivation to watch this game. Which will be challenging in that my Pats game is on at the same time. Thank god for a DVR with two tuners.
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Quote Originally Posted by scorpioTD!:
Is anyone a Penn State expert and can share some light on the guys who were suspended?
I did not see a lot of their games...what do you guys think about QB Morelli??
Hi Scorp, I'm a Penn State grad and have watched every game. Only one of the 5 players is a starter, and that is DT Baker. The other player who is significant is LB Navorro Bowman, who rotates in a lot. The others hardly played at all and should be no impact. They also return one LB, Dontey Brown, so that sort of balances out Bowman. I'm not losing sleep over this.
Worth noting TA&M also will miss a couple of guys for being on the nonsense list. DL Bennett for academics, and another guy for some sort of robbery or assault charge, I forget. Great name though - Yemi Babalola. I will miss hearing that name called. I do not know how much impact these guys out represent.
As far as Anthony Morelli goes, he has been a classic underachiever. Highly touted, great arm, productive. But he often crumbles in big games and has a knack for not protecting the football. That said, he managed the game well in their Outback Bowl win last year v. Tennessee. And he has improved over the course of the year. Look at AM like this -- he will own a lot of PS passing records when he leaves, but I do not expect this guy to play on Sundays.
PS has a track record in bowl games that is long and storied. Paterno is the only coach to have won every major bowl game -- and many minor ones too. He and his staff know how to prepare the team. Last time they played at Alamo in '99 v. TA&M they won 24-0 after a subpar season.
Our defense should be fine as usual. However I am still on the fence here. Will have more to add later but I'm not sure if I will lay the points or not. I need to keep my emotions in check. I don't need any more motivation to watch this game. Which will be challenging in that my Pats game is on at the same time. Thank god for a DVR with two tuners.
Hate to go against BlowPa anytime he's bowling, because he uses all his free time (and he's got alot) pulling bowl wins out of his ass. However, i'll take the dog here in this spot because thats what the numbers tell me to do. A&M, 33, PSU 30
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Hate to go against BlowPa anytime he's bowling, because he uses all his free time (and he's got alot) pulling bowl wins out of his ass. However, i'll take the dog here in this spot because thats what the numbers tell me to do. A&M, 33, PSU 30
OK, I'm not sure what the hell that post is s'posed to mean exactly, but it fits in with what I'm about to share. Not sure just yet how big a deal this may be, but there is potentially a big motivation gaffe at play that could light a fire under Penn State.
Thursday night's dual-school Alamo Bowl pep rally on the Riverwalk in San Antonio found a male Tex A&M cheerleader yelling this in front of fans of both schools:
"Joe Paterno's on his deathbed! And someone needs to find him a casket!"
Saying that in an anonymous chat room is one thing -- yelling it in public before thousands of fans is something else. It goes without saying that this was a big mistake -- big enough to lead the president of TA&M to call the president of PSU to make a formal apology.
In the end I expect this game to be decided on the field and not at a pep rally. But you never know how things like this can snowball and be used as motivation. Especially when the opposing team just lost their head coach. Taunt at Paterno riles Penn State faithful
Here is a link to the video of the event. It's about 2 minutes in -- and the opening bit is pretty boring, probably one reason the kid got frustrated and yelled the insult -- he was bombing.
KSAT.com video
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OK, I'm not sure what the hell that post is s'posed to mean exactly, but it fits in with what I'm about to share. Not sure just yet how big a deal this may be, but there is potentially a big motivation gaffe at play that could light a fire under Penn State.
Thursday night's dual-school Alamo Bowl pep rally on the Riverwalk in San Antonio found a male Tex A&M cheerleader yelling this in front of fans of both schools:
"Joe Paterno's on his deathbed! And someone needs to find him a casket!"
Saying that in an anonymous chat room is one thing -- yelling it in public before thousands of fans is something else. It goes without saying that this was a big mistake -- big enough to lead the president of TA&M to call the president of PSU to make a formal apology.
In the end I expect this game to be decided on the field and not at a pep rally. But you never know how things like this can snowball and be used as motivation. Especially when the opposing team just lost their head coach. Taunt at Paterno riles Penn State faithful
Here is a link to the video of the event. It's about 2 minutes in -- and the opening bit is pretty boring, probably one reason the kid got frustrated and yelled the insult -- he was bombing.
Is anyone a Penn State expert and can share some light on the guys who were suspended?
I did not see a lot of their games...what do you guys think about QB Morelli??
I live in Minnesota, see alot of Penn State on ABC regional broadcasts. I believe only one of the five is a starter. Morelli is a TURD! Nothing good can really be said about his play. Stick with the trusted theory of betting against the big 10 in bowl games. You don't even need to research, just bet against the big 10 and count yer money!
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Quote Originally Posted by scorpioTD!:
Is anyone a Penn State expert and can share some light on the guys who were suspended?
I did not see a lot of their games...what do you guys think about QB Morelli??
I live in Minnesota, see alot of Penn State on ABC regional broadcasts. I believe only one of the five is a starter. Morelli is a TURD! Nothing good can really be said about his play. Stick with the trusted theory of betting against the big 10 in bowl games. You don't even need to research, just bet against the big 10 and count yer money!
Penn St , 8th ranked defense overall , A&M ranked in the 50's. A&M gives up 400 + a game but seems to stay in games. Strength of schedule totally in favor of A&M ( 2 ) and PSU ( 42 ).
Looks like whoever runs the ball wins. I don't like the BIG 10 in this spot. A&M closed out the year with a big win vs TX. I'll take the pts.
Maybe more later.
Good Luck.
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Penn St , 8th ranked defense overall , A&M ranked in the 50's. A&M gives up 400 + a game but seems to stay in games. Strength of schedule totally in favor of A&M ( 2 ) and PSU ( 42 ).
Looks like whoever runs the ball wins. I don't like the BIG 10 in this spot. A&M closed out the year with a big win vs TX. I'll take the pts.
Stick with the trusted theory of betting against the big 10 in bowl games. You don't even need to research, just bet against the big 10 and count yer money!
How did Michigan State do against BC?
I had BC big at -4.5 and - thankfully - also had them in a teaser and first half -2.5 so I basically broke-even...but Purdue has won s/up (and was close to covering) and MSU covered the spread...
Thanks for your input!
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Quote Originally Posted by swamppdonkey77:
Stick with the trusted theory of betting against the big 10 in bowl games. You don't even need to research, just bet against the big 10 and count yer money!
How did Michigan State do against BC?
I had BC big at -4.5 and - thankfully - also had them in a teaser and first half -2.5 so I basically broke-even...but Purdue has won s/up (and was close to covering) and MSU covered the spread...
Plus, as we will hear about 500 times this weekend, this will be JoePa's 500th game as head coach of the Nittany Lions. Of course Joe downplays this, and the cheerleader rant too.
I do think PS wins this, but 5.5 is a FG too high.
Congrats to JoePa, that is quite a milestone.
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Plus, as we will hear about 500 times this weekend, this will be JoePa's 500th game as head coach of the Nittany Lions. Of course Joe downplays this, and the cheerleader rant too.
I do think PS wins this, but 5.5 is a FG too high.
LMFAO...male cheerleaders!!! That's the funny part about this...
Nonetheless...I made the mistake of believing that a team is only as good as their last game...I saw Texas get their ass spanked by A+M so I laid off of them against ASU and regretted it. Penn State lost to Michigan State so likely I can't go with them either right...
Nah..I wont make that mistake again...
Give me the Lions for 1 unit
Penn State 31
Texas A&M 21
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LMFAO...male cheerleaders!!! That's the funny part about this...
Nonetheless...I made the mistake of believing that a team is only as good as their last game...I saw Texas get their ass spanked by A+M so I laid off of them against ASU and regretted it. Penn State lost to Michigan State so likely I can't go with them either right...
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