What's your BIGGEST upset this weekend?

Glad College Football is back! Thoughts guys?

Hawaii

Fresno St. 

Georgia St

Sam Houston St. 

Vandy

Richmond

West Virginia 

but I wouldn’t sprinkle any money lines in a pre-season type of week. 

Given the way they slept walked over Delaware St. Hawaii might qualify at +14.  They either really suck, or they were laying in the weeds with UCLA on deck.  I lean Hawaii, but they burned me in a similar spot a year ago against Stanford.  A lot of the guys on the forum like em though. 

Georgia State

Old Dominion

FAU

FIU

@mws

 Out of curiosity, why Old Dominion?

why do you believe ODU has a chance to upset SC as a 21 pt dog?  They were gutted in the transfer portal.     On paper, it’s a mismatch.  Or is this just a, I don’t like the cocks perspective as a Clemson partisan?    It’s an absolute must win for SC playing at home…

Vandy

SDST

Clemson

minny is a dog, but not big upset…I’m playing minny because they r at home, UNC D is awful (can’t be any worse TY), but O will be a big drop off. Stuff the box

@Hulk_Hogan

 I'm not sure about "big" upsets but I believe Notre Dame and Florida are outright winners. I also was able to get UNC ML before the line flip. So, those are my three. 

Charlotte at home plus a touchdown 

Not a huge upset on paper, but I think Miami Ohio beats Northwestern.

@joejoe41189

 I like it.  Good G5 team, well coached, and pissed off about Bama stealing their kicker!  GL

+1 to the Sam Houston pick. 

@Greedybastard

Great stuff guys.

@mws

 On FIU as well as upset of the week.  Seems like everyone is focused on WV as upset of the week.  I need to do a deeper dive, but so far I can't come up with a reason Indiana is favored by 3 TD's.  Seem like similar teams both with crappy defenses last year.  Looking at the over 50.5 as well.  Indiana has a completely new system while FIU only loses their star receiver.  3 td's though seems like way too much.  Is it because they are giving IU too much credit for being in the big 10?

@mws

 Replying again I did do a little more research on the FIU-IU game. It was mentioned in the video I watched that while at James Madison and Elon, the worst Cignetti did in a home opener is win by 33. 33! Will that completely get me off this game now? Could be.

It's just hard to know in the first week.. though there is probably more chances of it happening because of the over valued teams with a number next to their name, and it causes the human element to kick in on the other side as the underdog.. As we saw with Georgia Tech last week

it's what makes college football great, I don't know how many great teams there will be this year but as of now I don't see there being many if even 2.. There's a lot of teams in the top 15 that just simply wouldn't be there if it weren't for the other powers not being at their peak lately.. and I wouldn't be shocked to see those teams lose to anyone, teams like Mizzou and Ole Miss are the perfect mixture of ranked based on last years results and favorable schedules they think will warrant their ranking. Ole Miss better start 6-0 with that schedule if they are indeed improved and a top 15 football team.. Missouri schedule looks even more favorable than that throughout.. Tennessee, another wild card with expectations based on a young QB that's played one game.. where nothing would surprise me either way with how that goes. Ohio State and UGA seem to be the most trust worthy teams as far as pedigree and rosters going into the season. Ohio State has put a lot of money into talent acquisition and coaches like adding chip Kelly as OC. Oregon might be right there or on that next tier but other than that I just don't see the prospect of greatness of teams to just demolish and run away from everyone weekly. It appears to be quite open this year 

Going with FAU and UConn

Huskies aint beatin our Terps.....

@Hulk_Hogan

 I'm liking Sammy a lot!  They had a rough first year in the FBS, but they finished strong and were 6-2-1 as a dog!

Florida, Miami Ohio, North Texas and San Houston moneyline parlay pays 52/1. 

NDSU BIZON  in an outright win

@Rowdie22

@Rowdie22

 You may be rite  that speadwreaks upset

I know as bettors there is a natural aversion to betting big favorites, and that there has been some chatter about P4 teams being overvalued in non-con games vs Group5 teams.  HOWEVER the numbers and history actually do not bear that out.  Huge favorites have done overwhelmingly well in week 0/1 over the last couple decades.  

That said I'll probably only be on Oklahoma and South Carolina as 3TD+ big chalk, and really like FIU, Kennesaw St, UTEP, Western Kentucky, and Southern Miss to cover as 3TD+ doggies, so I guess I am bucking my own angle...