Week 2 (9-5-1 YTD)
nice start to the year
I like your style/thought process in determining your plays. It seems to me that USC completely goes against the way u pick, and your making it your largest play? Big chalk that comes in just under 3 td's seems like a traditionally weak line for the favorite, as they are tempting the better to think, "of course they can beat them by 21". (same thing with lines just under 14) Just like USC last week, which you nailed. I'm seeing 95% of bets on USC using vegasinsider.com matchup section.( which still can't be completely trusted but is a better barometer than wagerline, Auburn at 83%). So the public hasn't lost faith in USC after letting Hawaii hang around. Virginia does have a defense. score could certainly be 28-10 or 31-13 good luck bro, just something to think about.
thanks for the positive thoughts bro.. as for USC, this is what i posted on the official game thread:
"offensively, Hawaii is alot quicker and plays in a system that allows them to use that quickness to their advantage.. alot of the run and shoot isn't scripted, it's more based on the QB and WRs noticing the same holes in the defense.. Hawaii had a much better quarterback that was able to use his legs to make plays as well as his arm.. It was in Hawaii, which accounted for alot in my opinion.. N USC was close to covering that line a couple times.. Virginia plays a much more traditional defense, which SC should be able to contain.. if they get pressure on the QB, and make him make quick throws because of his lack of mobility, that will equal turnovers for the SC defense.. plus SC's first game at home in the Lane Kiffin era, he'll be looking to lay the smackdown on Virginia.."
copy and paste.. didn't feel like retyping that whole thing, but it's a little bit of why I like USC..
nice start to the year
I like your style/thought process in determining your plays. It seems to me that USC completely goes against the way u pick, and your making it your largest play? Big chalk that comes in just under 3 td's seems like a traditionally weak line for the favorite, as they are tempting the better to think, "of course they can beat them by 21". (same thing with lines just under 14) Just like USC last week, which you nailed. I'm seeing 95% of bets on USC using vegasinsider.com matchup section.( which still can't be completely trusted but is a better barometer than wagerline, Auburn at 83%). So the public hasn't lost faith in USC after letting Hawaii hang around. Virginia does have a defense. score could certainly be 28-10 or 31-13 good luck bro, just something to think about.
thanks for the positive thoughts bro.. as for USC, this is what i posted on the official game thread:
"offensively, Hawaii is alot quicker and plays in a system that allows them to use that quickness to their advantage.. alot of the run and shoot isn't scripted, it's more based on the QB and WRs noticing the same holes in the defense.. Hawaii had a much better quarterback that was able to use his legs to make plays as well as his arm.. It was in Hawaii, which accounted for alot in my opinion.. N USC was close to covering that line a couple times.. Virginia plays a much more traditional defense, which SC should be able to contain.. if they get pressure on the QB, and make him make quick throws because of his lack of mobility, that will equal turnovers for the SC defense.. plus SC's first game at home in the Lane Kiffin era, he'll be looking to lay the smackdown on Virginia.."
copy and paste.. didn't feel like retyping that whole thing, but it's a little bit of why I like USC..
@ SC_Capper: Thanks bro BoL to you as well ![]()
@ SiuLungBao: yeah, i know they usually do.. only year they did good on the road was Colt's 12-0 year.. it is against Army, n not sure if Moniz is gonna play yet.. will check it out today.. ![]()
@ SC_Capper: Thanks bro BoL to you as well ![]()
@ SiuLungBao: yeah, i know they usually do.. only year they did good on the road was Colt's 12-0 year.. it is against Army, n not sure if Moniz is gonna play yet.. will check it out today.. ![]()
So had a decent opening weekend, not as good as I hoped, but won money, so it's a good week..
I like them both!
BOL
So had a decent opening weekend, not as good as I hoped, but won money, so it's a good week..
I like them both!
BOL
I love the Miss State game. Below is a link to how big this game is to the Dawgs. To MSU this game makes or breaks the season...to Auburn its just another game. I think Auburn comes in a little overconfident given how poorly MSU has been in the past. This is not the same MSU team of the past. There is a reason Florida's offense has not been as good over the past two years and that is because there former OC is now the head coach at MSU. Think about it...
You don't think Auburn knows this??? You beat one of the worst D-1 teams in football last weekend. You're fan base is now acting like your going to contend for the West. I believe that our offense puts on a show, but hey that's why they play the game. BOL on the rest of your plays.
I love the Miss State game. Below is a link to how big this game is to the Dawgs. To MSU this game makes or breaks the season...to Auburn its just another game. I think Auburn comes in a little overconfident given how poorly MSU has been in the past. This is not the same MSU team of the past. There is a reason Florida's offense has not been as good over the past two years and that is because there former OC is now the head coach at MSU. Think about it...
You don't think Auburn knows this??? You beat one of the worst D-1 teams in football last weekend. You're fan base is now acting like your going to contend for the West. I believe that our offense puts on a show, but hey that's why they play the game. BOL on the rest of your plays.
good job, see you always come through
how do you feel about playing tulsa this week?
good job, see you always come through
how do you feel about playing tulsa this week?
was checking the line on the Covers scoreboard.. 70% on Auburn, but the line goes down?? Granted it is only this website, but i've found it to be quite helpful.. SMU game is a perfect example..
i gotta tell ya that your on the right path about looking at where the money is early but your looking at that information wrong if it is early in the week and early money is on the side that is the pros telling you who they like they do this to lock in a good money...this only doesnt help if the public jumps on this as well then there bet becomes a square bet. then you jump off and go with the books ...but usually the pros pick a side then the public picks a side the day of the game....one other caveat to this if the pros pick a number and it moves then they have a potential middling opportunity in which all pros look for...
was checking the line on the Covers scoreboard.. 70% on Auburn, but the line goes down?? Granted it is only this website, but i've found it to be quite helpful.. SMU game is a perfect example..
i gotta tell ya that your on the right path about looking at where the money is early but your looking at that information wrong if it is early in the week and early money is on the side that is the pros telling you who they like they do this to lock in a good money...this only doesnt help if the public jumps on this as well then there bet becomes a square bet. then you jump off and go with the books ...but usually the pros pick a side then the public picks a side the day of the game....one other caveat to this if the pros pick a number and it moves then they have a potential middling opportunity in which all pros look for...
not bad of a day.. 1-1.. nice Central Michigan win, heartbreaker in the Mississippi Stage game.. Looking forward to bouncing back tomorrow.. BoL guys ![]()
not bad of a day.. 1-1.. nice Central Michigan win, heartbreaker in the Mississippi Stage game.. Looking forward to bouncing back tomorrow.. BoL guys ![]()
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