UNC looked rejuvenated off the bye week, putting away a decent Virginia team on the road. Meanwhile FSU has only topped 16 pts in a game once all year offensively. UNC just has more to play for at this point in the season, and Florida st has likely quit. I’ll gladly fade the seminoles here
Unc -2.5 (-115) 1u
I took the same one....UNC looks like they want to bowl badly with Mack and have some fun...very impressive the past week!
GL to us my friend. I agree with you maybe the bye week was a bit of a reset for them. Good luck this week, you do a good job and i pop in to your thread often. Keep up the good work 
Sky dog you are a class act as always. Admittedly that game was a little flukey due to all of the navy turnovers, but there is not a world where the undersized navy front could hold up even against a notre dame offensive line that is supposed to be a little down this year. Glad i could help and always appreciate you stopping by, have a good week friend 
Clemson has owned louisville in recent years, and i dont see it being any different this time around with this Clemson team off a bye, a spot where dabo has had success winning 15 consecutive games SU (9-6 ATS) on extended rest. Clemson is 8-0 SU and 6-2 Ats in their last 8 matchups vs the cardinals. Instead of looking at the full game i prefer a 1st half play on a clemson team that has come out swinging all year in the 1st half of games. The tigers are 1st in the country in 1st quarter points scored, and 5th in 2nd quarter points scored this season. Meanwhile, Louisville has struggled to get stops in the 1st half this year ranking 122nd in the country in points given up in the 1st quarter, 68th in the 2nd quarter. Louisville has certainly had the tougher schedule, so i understand these numbers are likely blown out of proportion a bit, but its been a brutal stretch of games for louisville with each of their last 5 games being decided by 7 points or less without a bye in between, how much juice do they have left? Clemson off the bye should have some things schemed up here offensively and Death Valley should be rocking with the 7:30 pm EST start.
Clemson 1h -6.5 (-110) 1u
What a brutal spot for a Stanford squad that has been through the ringer the last few weeks facing off against 3 top 25 teams. They will now travel across the country to Raleigh for a noon EST start (9 am PT) vs a NC state team that is off a bye. Stanford is very vulnerable against the pass, and NC state has showed some life in the passing game the last couple weeks throwing for 300+ in each of their last 2 games, beating a decent cal team on the road in the process. I don’t love looking at trends in ncaaf because of all the moving parts, but for what it’s worth Stanford is 2-10 ATS since 2021 with a rest disadvantage, and 5-12 ATS as a road underdog. Just trusting the spot here more than anything and fading a bad Stamford squad
NC state -9.5 (-110) 1u
It’ll be under the lights, I don’t blame you for leaning Louisville, Brohm usually has his guys ready for big games as he’s been exceptional as a big dog ATS. But I just think there’s a lot of factors that point to Clemson getting off to a quick start here as they’ve done all year. I wouldn’t play this FG btw, Louisville should be able to score Good luck this week brotha
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