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    All Forums | College Football

    Public Indicators Calculations

    «First Previous 678 ... 8910 Next Last»
    HooAlum
    Rocky813
    meatwhistle
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    HooAlum
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2022 - 7:43 PM ET #126

    A couple of small plays this evening

    Virginia Tech - 1 unit - strong over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Utah - 1 unit - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicator

     

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    A couple of small plays this evening

    Virginia Tech - 1 unit - strong over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Utah - 1 unit - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicator

     

     
    Rocky813
    Rocky813
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    Posted: Oct. 27, 2022 - 7:45 PM ET #127

    an_cheers

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    an_cheers

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2022 - 11:48 AM ET #128

     

    @HooAlum

     Well, the week looked to start out great as Virginia Tech was clearly the right call and Utah was causing to a cover until the 4th quarter so a 1-1 start  (what is irritating is one fo the sharp indicator reports that I draw from had both Wazzu and V tech that would have increased but I missed seeing it.  Stinks to leave 2 units on the table).  Let's start with a recap of last week which was very strange week as it started out 10-3 entering the evening and went 0-4 at night capped off by a backdoor 1/2 point cover by Cal.  Still a solid week nonetheless.

    WEEKLY RECORD: 10-7

    OVERALL RECORD: 85-75 (53.13%)

    WEEKLY REVENUE: 58.9 units on 52 placed

    OVERALL REVENUE: 509.2 units on 475 placed (7.20% profit)

    FRIDAY

    BYU (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    SATURDAY NOON

    TCU (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet

    Notre Dame (3.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS

    Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet

    Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet

    SATURDAY. AFTERNOON

    Georgia (2 units) - low ticket favroite

    Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet

    Louisville-Wake - No Bet

    UCF (3 units) - SKS

    Cal-Oregon - No Bet

    Kansas St (5.5 units) - sharp indicator, SKS

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator

    Baylor-Texas Tech - No Bet

    Texas A&M (3 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator

    Michigan (4 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze

    Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    SATURDAY LATE NIGHT

    Stanford (4 units) - lopsided wagering and reverse movement

    ********************

    INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

    West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

    SKS: 65.08% (line does not align with public ranking)

    Over/Under Squeeze: 61.97%

    Bye Week Return: 58.82%; augmentation 75%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 55.81%

    Line Movement (measured but not applied): 54.21%; positive line movement 60.3%, negative line movement 45.83%

    Reverse Movement: 53.6%; Positive Reverse movement 50%, negative reverse movement 55.00%

    Lopsided Wagering 52.17%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%

    Sharp Indicator: 51.6%; 53.3% straight up before augmentation

    Steam Movement: 50%

    Blowout Response: 50% 

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    @HooAlum

     Well, the week looked to start out great as Virginia Tech was clearly the right call and Utah was causing to a cover until the 4th quarter so a 1-1 start  (what is irritating is one fo the sharp indicator reports that I draw from had both Wazzu and V tech that would have increased but I missed seeing it.  Stinks to leave 2 units on the table).  Let's start with a recap of last week which was very strange week as it started out 10-3 entering the evening and went 0-4 at night capped off by a backdoor 1/2 point cover by Cal.  Still a solid week nonetheless.

    WEEKLY RECORD: 10-7

    OVERALL RECORD: 85-75 (53.13%)

    WEEKLY REVENUE: 58.9 units on 52 placed

    OVERALL REVENUE: 509.2 units on 475 placed (7.20% profit)

    FRIDAY

    BYU (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    SATURDAY NOON

    TCU (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet

    Notre Dame (3.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS

    Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet

    Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet

    SATURDAY. AFTERNOON

    Georgia (2 units) - low ticket favroite

    Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet

    Louisville-Wake - No Bet

    UCF (3 units) - SKS

    Cal-Oregon - No Bet

    Kansas St (5.5 units) - sharp indicator, SKS

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator

    Baylor-Texas Tech - No Bet

    Texas A&M (3 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator

    Michigan (4 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze

    Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    SATURDAY LATE NIGHT

    Stanford (4 units) - lopsided wagering and reverse movement

    ********************

    INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

    West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

    SKS: 65.08% (line does not align with public ranking)

    Over/Under Squeeze: 61.97%

    Bye Week Return: 58.82%; augmentation 75%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 55.81%

    Line Movement (measured but not applied): 54.21%; positive line movement 60.3%, negative line movement 45.83%

    Reverse Movement: 53.6%; Positive Reverse movement 50%, negative reverse movement 55.00%

    Lopsided Wagering 52.17%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%

    Sharp Indicator: 51.6%; 53.3% straight up before augmentation

    Steam Movement: 50%

    Blowout Response: 50% 

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2022 - 7:12 AM ET #129

    May be my only update today so will try to put notes where the tell could go away (much like last night's low ticket favorite on BYU flipped about an hour before game time taking away the lone tell there).  The most common thing that will change are sharp indicators.  I suggest to read Patrick Everson's (formerly of covers) tweet storm this morning as that is chalk full of good info as one source and will almost always move some of the line sharp indicators, for example he was key to moving the Minnesota-Illinois game a few weeks ago that I know a few folks saw.  Once again, I apologize for family commitments.  The good news is that this is easily the most bland betting weekend in terms of volume since week 0 so not missing too much.  I may be able to update late morning but do not know so apologize in advance

    SATURDAY NOON

    TCU (2 units) - low ticket favorite (at 46% so could go away)

    Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet

    Notre Dame (3.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS (could reduce as the line is moving dramatically to Cuse and if it jumps the fence things will change)

    Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet

    Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet

    WATCH - I have been seeing some initial action on Eastern Michigan-Toledo but handle is not there.  I do not think it will get there but if it does it would be. small play on EMU based on sharp indictors.

    SATURDAY. AFTERNOON

    Georgia (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet

    Louisville-Wake - No Bet

    UCF (3 units) - SKS

    Cal-Oregon - No Bet

    Kansas St (5.5 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator (I could see this swing to Kentucky as sharp indicators are building in that direction)

    Baylor (2 units) - reverse movement

    Texas A&M (3 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator (this could come back easily as the reverse movement is about to go away as I eliminate reverse movement as betting %s even out which is starting to happen here)

    Michigan (4 units) - low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement outweighs sharp indicator (reverse movement threatening to go away just as in TAMU-Ole Miss so would be a smalerl Wolverine bet)

    Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze

    Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    SATURDAY LATE NIGHT

    Stanford-UCLA - No bet as reverse movement and lopsided wagering went away overnight

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    May be my only update today so will try to put notes where the tell could go away (much like last night's low ticket favorite on BYU flipped about an hour before game time taking away the lone tell there).  The most common thing that will change are sharp indicators.  I suggest to read Patrick Everson's (formerly of covers) tweet storm this morning as that is chalk full of good info as one source and will almost always move some of the line sharp indicators, for example he was key to moving the Minnesota-Illinois game a few weeks ago that I know a few folks saw.  Once again, I apologize for family commitments.  The good news is that this is easily the most bland betting weekend in terms of volume since week 0 so not missing too much.  I may be able to update late morning but do not know so apologize in advance

    SATURDAY NOON

    TCU (2 units) - low ticket favorite (at 46% so could go away)

    Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet

    Notre Dame (3.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS (could reduce as the line is moving dramatically to Cuse and if it jumps the fence things will change)

    Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet

    Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet

    WATCH - I have been seeing some initial action on Eastern Michigan-Toledo but handle is not there.  I do not think it will get there but if it does it would be. small play on EMU based on sharp indictors.

    SATURDAY. AFTERNOON

    Georgia (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet

    Louisville-Wake - No Bet

    UCF (3 units) - SKS

    Cal-Oregon - No Bet

    Kansas St (5.5 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator (I could see this swing to Kentucky as sharp indicators are building in that direction)

    Baylor (2 units) - reverse movement

    Texas A&M (3 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator (this could come back easily as the reverse movement is about to go away as I eliminate reverse movement as betting %s even out which is starting to happen here)

    Michigan (4 units) - low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement outweighs sharp indicator (reverse movement threatening to go away just as in TAMU-Ole Miss so would be a smalerl Wolverine bet)

    Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze

    Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    SATURDAY LATE NIGHT

    Stanford-UCLA - No bet as reverse movement and lopsided wagering went away overnight

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
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    Posts: 920
    Posted: Oct. 29, 2022 - 11:32 AM ET #130

    @HooAlum

     Were some changes

    SATURDAY NOON

    TCU -WVU- No Bet - it went away as predicted 

    Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet

    Notre Dame (2.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS (could reduce as the line is moving dramatically to Cuse and if it jumps the fence things will change)

    Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet

    Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet

    SATURDAY. AFTERNOON

    Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet

    Louisville-Wake - No Bet

    UCF (2 units) - SKS & a sharp indicator outweighs emerging lopsided wagering

    Cal-Oregon - No Bet

    Kansas St (5.5 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator (I could see this swing to Kentucky as sharp indicators are building in that direction)

    NEW GAME Arizona (4 units) - reverse movement and lopsided wagering

    Baylor (2 units) - reverse movement

    Texas A&M (4 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator (this could come back easily as the reverse movement is about to go away as I eliminate reverse movement as betting %s even out which is starting to happen here)

    Michigan (2 units) - low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement  went away as expected

    Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze

    Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    SATURDAY LATE NIGHT

    Stanford-UCLA - No bet as reverse movement and lopsided wagering went away overnight

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    @HooAlum

     Were some changes

    SATURDAY NOON

    TCU -WVU- No Bet - it went away as predicted 

    Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet

    Notre Dame (2.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS (could reduce as the line is moving dramatically to Cuse and if it jumps the fence things will change)

    Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet

    Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet

    SATURDAY. AFTERNOON

    Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet

    Louisville-Wake - No Bet

    UCF (2 units) - SKS & a sharp indicator outweighs emerging lopsided wagering

    Cal-Oregon - No Bet

    Kansas St (5.5 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator (I could see this swing to Kentucky as sharp indicators are building in that direction)

    NEW GAME Arizona (4 units) - reverse movement and lopsided wagering

    Baylor (2 units) - reverse movement

    Texas A&M (4 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator (this could come back easily as the reverse movement is about to go away as I eliminate reverse movement as betting %s even out which is starting to happen here)

    Michigan (2 units) - low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement  went away as expected

    Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze

    Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    SATURDAY LATE NIGHT

    Stanford-UCLA - No bet as reverse movement and lopsided wagering went away overnight

     
    meatwhistle
    meatwhistle
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    Posted: Oct. 29, 2022 - 3:14 PM ET #131

    an_cheers

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    an_cheers

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2022 - 11:35 AM ET #132

    @HooAlum

    Last week was definitely a strong week so buyer beware this week :-).  It unfortunately was also one of the least bet so while the percentages gained on the amount bet (and even the total amount collected) was up, its disappointing that it came on a 35 unit play week and not the 80 unit play week 3.

    I assume there will be some MACtion tonight so why I wanted to get this post out in advance (plus who doesn't like rehashing success)

    WEEKLY RECORD: 8-3 & 1 push

    SEASON RECORD: 93-78 (54.39%)

    WEEKLY REVENUE: 51.6 units on 35 wagered

    YEARLY REVENUE: 560.8 units on 510 wagered (9.96% profit)

    *************

     

     

     

     

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    @HooAlum

    Last week was definitely a strong week so buyer beware this week :-).  It unfortunately was also one of the least bet so while the percentages gained on the amount bet (and even the total amount collected) was up, its disappointing that it came on a 35 unit play week and not the 80 unit play week 3.

    I assume there will be some MACtion tonight so why I wanted to get this post out in advance (plus who doesn't like rehashing success)

    WEEKLY RECORD: 8-3 & 1 push

    SEASON RECORD: 93-78 (54.39%)

    WEEKLY REVENUE: 51.6 units on 35 wagered

    YEARLY REVENUE: 560.8 units on 510 wagered (9.96% profit)

    *************

     

     

     

     

     
    HooAlum
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    Posts: 920
    Posted: Nov. 2, 2022 - 5:41 PM ET #133

    @HooAlum

    No MACtion last night surprisingly.  But there is some tonight

    Northern Illinois (2 units) - low bet favorite

    WMU-Bowling Green - No Bet

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    @HooAlum

    No MACtion last night surprisingly.  But there is some tonight

    Northern Illinois (2 units) - low bet favorite

    WMU-Bowling Green - No Bet

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2022 - 7:24 PM ET #134

    @HooAlum

     Hopefully the slow start to week will turnaround tonight.

     

    Appalachian St (1 unit) - sharp action (was THIS close to calling small SKS for the App State but I am being conservative)

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    @HooAlum

     Hopefully the slow start to week will turnaround tonight.

     

    Appalachian St (1 unit) - sharp action (was THIS close to calling small SKS for the App State but I am being conservative)

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2022 - 11:40 PM ET #135

    @HooAlum

    Well, 0-2 to start the week and it is shaping up to a big bet week so hopefully get things turned around

    Washington (5 units) - Low ticket favorite and SKS

    Texas Tech (1 unit) - sharp indicator and blowout response outweighs low ticket favorite

    Texas A&M (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement

    Kentucky (1 unit) - blowout response

    Oklahoma (4 unit) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering

    Indiana (6 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite and over/under squeeze

    Pitt (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, reverse movement

    Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return

    Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering

    Arkansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, outweighs bye week return

    Alabama (4 units) - low ticket favorite, reverse movement

    Texas (6.5 units) - SKS, Byer week return

    Notre Dame-Clemson - No Bet  - lopsided wagering balanced with bye week return

    Rutgers (7 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite, reverse movement, over/uncder squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points

    Miami-Florida St - No Bet

    Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze

    Wake Forest (2 units) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement

    Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite

    California (2 units) - lopsided wagering

     

     

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    @HooAlum

    Well, 0-2 to start the week and it is shaping up to a big bet week so hopefully get things turned around

    Washington (5 units) - Low ticket favorite and SKS

    Texas Tech (1 unit) - sharp indicator and blowout response outweighs low ticket favorite

    Texas A&M (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement

    Kentucky (1 unit) - blowout response

    Oklahoma (4 unit) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering

    Indiana (6 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite and over/under squeeze

    Pitt (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, reverse movement

    Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return

    Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering

    Arkansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, outweighs bye week return

    Alabama (4 units) - low ticket favorite, reverse movement

    Texas (6.5 units) - SKS, Byer week return

    Notre Dame-Clemson - No Bet  - lopsided wagering balanced with bye week return

    Rutgers (7 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite, reverse movement, over/uncder squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points

    Miami-Florida St - No Bet

    Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze

    Wake Forest (2 units) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement

    Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite

    California (2 units) - lopsided wagering

     

     

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2022 - 9:54 PM ET #136

    Friday Update.  Well be on travel much of tomorrow

    Washington (5 units) - Low ticket favorite and SKS

    Texas Tech (1 unit) - sharp indicator and blowout response outweighs low ticket favorite

    Texas A&M (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement

    Kentucky (1 unit) - blowout response

    Oklahoma (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicators

    Indiana (8 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite, reverse movement, over/under squeeze & bye week return

    Pitt (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, reverse movement

    Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return

    Georgia (6 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering & reverse movement

    Arkansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, outweighs bye week return

    Alabama (4 units) - low ticket favorite, reverse movement

    Texas (6.5 units) - SKS, Byer week return

    Clemson (2 units) - No Bet  - bye week return

    Rutgers (5 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite, over/under squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points

    Florida St (2 units) - sharp indicators

    Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze

    Wake Forest (1 unit) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement

    Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite

    California-Southern Cal (No Bet)

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    Friday Update.  Well be on travel much of tomorrow

    Washington (5 units) - Low ticket favorite and SKS

    Texas Tech (1 unit) - sharp indicator and blowout response outweighs low ticket favorite

    Texas A&M (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement

    Kentucky (1 unit) - blowout response

    Oklahoma (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicators

    Indiana (8 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite, reverse movement, over/under squeeze & bye week return

    Pitt (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, reverse movement

    Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return

    Georgia (6 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering & reverse movement

    Arkansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, outweighs bye week return

    Alabama (4 units) - low ticket favorite, reverse movement

    Texas (6.5 units) - SKS, Byer week return

    Clemson (2 units) - No Bet  - bye week return

    Rutgers (5 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite, over/under squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points

    Florida St (2 units) - sharp indicators

    Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze

    Wake Forest (1 unit) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement

    Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite

    California-Southern Cal (No Bet)

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2022 - 11:43 AM ET #137

    Lone Saturday Update.  Remember sharp action and lopsided wagering (and low ticket favorite) can change.  I'll try to note where it is close.

    0-3 start to the week including a 1 point loss last night on a big bet.  Looks like  the big gains of last week will go back to the mean.  (but at least the mean is still a winning amount - though a grinding modest amount).  

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    Lone Saturday Update.  Remember sharp action and lopsided wagering (and low ticket favorite) can change.  I'll try to note where it is close.

    0-3 start to the week including a 1 point loss last night on a big bet.  Looks like  the big gains of last week will go back to the mean.  (but at least the mean is still a winning amount - though a grinding modest amount).  

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 5, 2022 - 11:59 AM ET #138

    For some reason the picks themselves did not take

    NEW Game handle level but no bet on Air Force-Army

    TCU-Texas Tech  - No Bet - sharp indicator and blowout response balances  low ticket favorite

    Texas A&M (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs late steam

    Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement

    Missouri (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs blowout response

    Baylor-Oklahoma  - No Bet - low ticket favorite balances sharp indicators

    Indiana (8 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite, reverse movement, over/under squeeze & bye week return

    Pitt (5 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, 

    Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return

    Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite & reverse movement

    NEW GAME - Michigan St (1 unit) - over/;under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Arkansas (8 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, & sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    Alabama (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Texas (7.5 units) - SKS, Bye week return & sharp indicator

    Clemson (3 units)  - bye week return & sharp indicator

    Rutgers (3 units) - sharp indicator over/under squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points

    Florida St (4 units) - sharp indicators & (slight) low ticket favorite (as in could change)

    Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze

    Wake Forest (1 unit) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement

    Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite

    California-Southern Cal (No Bet)

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    For some reason the picks themselves did not take

    NEW Game handle level but no bet on Air Force-Army

    TCU-Texas Tech  - No Bet - sharp indicator and blowout response balances  low ticket favorite

    Texas A&M (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs late steam

    Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement

    Missouri (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs blowout response

    Baylor-Oklahoma  - No Bet - low ticket favorite balances sharp indicators

    Indiana (8 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite, reverse movement, over/under squeeze & bye week return

    Pitt (5 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, 

    Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return

    Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite & reverse movement

    NEW GAME - Michigan St (1 unit) - over/;under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Arkansas (8 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, & sharp indicator outweighs bye week return

    Alabama (2 units) - low ticket favorite

    Texas (7.5 units) - SKS, Bye week return & sharp indicator

    Clemson (3 units)  - bye week return & sharp indicator

    Rutgers (3 units) - sharp indicator over/under squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points

    Florida St (4 units) - sharp indicators & (slight) low ticket favorite (as in could change)

    Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze

    Wake Forest (1 unit) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement

    Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite

    California-Southern Cal (No Bet)

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2022 - 9:34 PM ET #139

    @HooAlum

    Initial calls of the week but first a recap of a poor week

    Weekly Record: 8-13

    Season Record: 101-91 (52.6%)

    Weekly Revenue: 62.8 units on 72.5 units wagered

    Season Revenue: 623.6 units on 582.5 wagered

    East Carolina-Cincinnati (No Bet): low bet favorite balanced by bye week return

    Tennessee (3 units): style points and low ticket favorite

    Arkansas (1 unit): sharp indicator

    Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return

    Louisville-Clemson - No Bet

    Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Oklahoma St-Iowa St: No Bet

    UCF (2 units): reverse movement

    Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet

    Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Washington (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Baylor (1.5 units): SKS

    Texas Tech (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator 

    Wake Forest (4 units): low ticket favorite, SKS

    Texas A&M (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Syracuse (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Arizona (2 units): lopsided wagering

    *****************

    INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

    West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

    SKS: 63.41% (line does not align with public ranking)

    Over/Under Squeeze: 61.11%

    Reverse Movement: 58.82%; Positive Reverse movement 55.56%, negative reverse movement 60.00%

    Bye Week Return: 56.00%; augmentation 57.14%

    Steam Movement: 54.55%

    Line Movement (measured but not applied): 54.55%; positive line movement 58.9%, negative line movement 49.21%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 53.27%

    Sharp Indicator: 51.89%; 52.85% straight up before augmentation

    Lopsided Wagering 50.00%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%

    Blowout Response: 33.33%

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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    @HooAlum

    Initial calls of the week but first a recap of a poor week

    Weekly Record: 8-13

    Season Record: 101-91 (52.6%)

    Weekly Revenue: 62.8 units on 72.5 units wagered

    Season Revenue: 623.6 units on 582.5 wagered

    East Carolina-Cincinnati (No Bet): low bet favorite balanced by bye week return

    Tennessee (3 units): style points and low ticket favorite

    Arkansas (1 unit): sharp indicator

    Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return

    Louisville-Clemson - No Bet

    Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Oklahoma St-Iowa St: No Bet

    UCF (2 units): reverse movement

    Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet

    Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Washington (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Baylor (1.5 units): SKS

    Texas Tech (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator 

    Wake Forest (4 units): low ticket favorite, SKS

    Texas A&M (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Syracuse (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Arizona (2 units): lopsided wagering

    *****************

    INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

    West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

    SKS: 63.41% (line does not align with public ranking)

    Over/Under Squeeze: 61.11%

    Reverse Movement: 58.82%; Positive Reverse movement 55.56%, negative reverse movement 60.00%

    Bye Week Return: 56.00%; augmentation 57.14%

    Steam Movement: 54.55%

    Line Movement (measured but not applied): 54.55%; positive line movement 58.9%, negative line movement 49.21%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 53.27%

    Sharp Indicator: 51.89%; 52.85% straight up before augmentation

    Lopsided Wagering 50.00%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%

    Blowout Response: 33.33%

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2022 - 12:09 AM ET #140

    Thursday Evening.  Lot of analysis but not action on MACtion and nothing tonight in Memphis.  A few new games for Friday and Saturday.  Will be once again intermittent on Saturday so hopefully can give good updates tomorrow.

    East Carolina-Cincinnati (No Bet): low bet favorite balanced by bye week return

    Colorado-Southern Cal (No Bet)

    Fresno St (1 unit): sharp Indicator

    Illinois (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Tennessee (3 units): style points and low ticket favorite

    Arkansas-LSU (NO Bet):

    Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return

    Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Oklahoma St-Iowa St: No Bet

    UCF (2 units): reverse movement

    Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet

    Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Washington (3 units): lopsided wagering with aggressive line movement

    Baylor (1/2 unit): SKS outweighs sharp indicator

    Texas Tech (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator 

    Wake Forest (5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicator

    Texas A&M-Auburn (No bet)

    Syracuse (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Arizona (2 units): lopsided wagering

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    Thursday Evening.  Lot of analysis but not action on MACtion and nothing tonight in Memphis.  A few new games for Friday and Saturday.  Will be once again intermittent on Saturday so hopefully can give good updates tomorrow.

    East Carolina-Cincinnati (No Bet): low bet favorite balanced by bye week return

    Colorado-Southern Cal (No Bet)

    Fresno St (1 unit): sharp Indicator

    Illinois (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Tennessee (3 units): style points and low ticket favorite

    Arkansas-LSU (NO Bet):

    Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return

    Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Oklahoma St-Iowa St: No Bet

    UCF (2 units): reverse movement

    Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet

    Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Washington (3 units): lopsided wagering with aggressive line movement

    Baylor (1/2 unit): SKS outweighs sharp indicator

    Texas Tech (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator 

    Wake Forest (5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicator

    Texas A&M-Auburn (No bet)

    Syracuse (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Arizona (2 units): lopsided wagering

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2022 - 9:38 PM ET #141

    @HooAlum

     

     getting a few picks in before gametime.  Southern Cal 2 units and UNLV 1.  I'll have an update for tomorrow soon

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     getting a few picks in before gametime.  Southern Cal 2 units and UNLV 1.  I'll have an update for tomorrow soon

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2022 - 10:32 PM ET #142

    This might be my only update before games as I am on travel all day tomorrow.

    Friday Night

    East Carolina (1 unit) - Sharp indicator and bye week return outweighs low ticket favorite

    Southern Cal (2 units) - Sharp Indicator

    UNLV (1 unit) - reverse movement outweighs sharp indicator

    Saturday NOON

    Illinois (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Missouri-Tennessee (No Bet): style points balanced by reverse movement and negative line movement

    Arkansas-LSU (NO Bet):

    Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Notre Dame (5 units): low ticket favorite, stream reverse movement 

    Saturday AFTERNOON

    Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return

    Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Iowa St (1 unit): low ticket favorite 

    UCF (2 units): reverse movement

    Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Washington (2 units): reverse movement

    Baylor (2 1/2 unit): SKS, sharp indicator

    Kansas-Texas Tech (No Bet):

    Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator 

    Wake Forest (6 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicator

    Texas A&M-Auburn (No bet)

    Syracuse-Florida St (No Bet)

    Arizona-UCLA (No Bet)

     

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    This might be my only update before games as I am on travel all day tomorrow.

    Friday Night

    East Carolina (1 unit) - Sharp indicator and bye week return outweighs low ticket favorite

    Southern Cal (2 units) - Sharp Indicator

    UNLV (1 unit) - reverse movement outweighs sharp indicator

    Saturday NOON

    Illinois (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Missouri-Tennessee (No Bet): style points balanced by reverse movement and negative line movement

    Arkansas-LSU (NO Bet):

    Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Notre Dame (5 units): low ticket favorite, stream reverse movement 

    Saturday AFTERNOON

    Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return

    Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Iowa St (1 unit): low ticket favorite 

    UCF (2 units): reverse movement

    Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Washington (2 units): reverse movement

    Baylor (2 1/2 unit): SKS, sharp indicator

    Kansas-Texas Tech (No Bet):

    Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator 

    Wake Forest (6 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicator

    Texas A&M-Auburn (No bet)

    Syracuse-Florida St (No Bet)

    Arizona-UCLA (No Bet)

     

     
    meatwhistle
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2022 - 12:38 PM ET #143

    clover

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    clover

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2022 - 5:18 PM ET #144

    @HooAlum

     

     I'll give recap tonight of last weak (intentional pun).  I really wanted to first and foremost express my consternation that there has been no play on MACtion this week nor the SMU-Tulane game tonight.  Maybe some late sharp action will enter but it really has been unusually barren for November midweek.  Maybe the NBA, NHL (and tonight) NFL have encroached on getting any action.

     

    If it were not for the 3-0 early start, last week would have been a even worse.  No advantage to an early start this week as there have been no bet calls..

     

     

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    @HooAlum

     

     I'll give recap tonight of last weak (intentional pun).  I really wanted to first and foremost express my consternation that there has been no play on MACtion this week nor the SMU-Tulane game tonight.  Maybe some late sharp action will enter but it really has been unusually barren for November midweek.  Maybe the NBA, NHL (and tonight) NFL have encroached on getting any action.

     

    If it were not for the 3-0 early start, last week would have been a even worse.  No advantage to an early start this week as there have been no bet calls..

     

     

     
    HooAlum
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2022 - 1:14 PM ET #145

    Here is the update and the games for the weekend.  Unusual week as with Florida St and Arizona going from no bet to a minor win. the overall record last week was positive BUUUUUUUUUT, the big plays (which is what people look at this thread for) unfortunately got WORSE specifically Texas gained a unit.  There were three big plays last week and last week was a poor 0-3 on that score (Channelling the Bear on Gameday that would have been one of those embarrassing weeks had I been sitting with a 3 game board)

    WEEKLY RECORD: 9-8

    OVERALL RECORD: 110-99 (52.63%)

    WEEKLY REVENUE: 27.6 units won on 40.5 wagered 

    OVERALL REVENUE: 651.2 units on 623 wagered (4.53% profit)

    FRIDAY

    New Mexico (2 units) - Over/Under squeeze

    11am/NOON SATURDAY

    Navy (1 unit) - Over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Pitt (3 units) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering

    Army (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Vanderbilt-Florida - No Bet

    Baylor (6 1/2 units) - lopsided wagering, sharp indicator, & SKS (yes I like Vegas generals has been burned over and over by TCU and it comes up AGAIN)

    Nebraska-Wisconsin - NO bet as low ticket favorite balances out with over/under squeeze

    Illinois (2 units) - sharp indicator and over/under squeeze outweighs Style points

    AFTERNOON SATURDAY

    Arizona St-Oregon St - No Bet

    Boston College-Notre Dame - No Bet (low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering balanced out by over/under squeeze)

    Clemson (1 unit) - style points outweighs over/under squeeze

    Kentucky (1 unit) - lopsided wagering & over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Texas (3 units) - lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite

    Iowa-Minnesota - No Bet

    EVENING SATURDAY

    Georgia Tech-North Carolina - No Bet

    California (2 units) - sharp indicators

    Iowa St (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    Tennessee (1 unit) - style points outweighs lopsided wagering

    Arkansas-Ole Miss - No Bet

    Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - low ticket favorites, lopsided wagering sharp indicator, & SKS

    UCLA (1 unit) - sharp indicators outweighs low ticket favorite

    Syracuse-Wake Forest - No Bet

    LATE NIGHT SATURDAY

    Nevada (2 units) - over/under squeeze

    Utah (2 units) - steam (jumped the fence)

    *****************

    INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

    Style Points - 100% (3-0)

    West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

    Over/Under Squeeze: 61.8%

    SKS: 59.55% (line does not align with public ranking)

    Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%

    Reverse Movement: 58.97%; Positive Reverse movement 50%, negative reverse movement 62.07%

    Line Movement (measured but not applied): 53.9%; positive line movement 57.14%, negative line movement 50%

    Steam Movement: 53.85%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 51.30%

    Sharp Indicator: 50.78%; 51.15% straight up before augmentation

    Lopsided Wagering 50.00%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 45.45%

    Blowout Response: 33.33%

     

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    Here is the update and the games for the weekend.  Unusual week as with Florida St and Arizona going from no bet to a minor win. the overall record last week was positive BUUUUUUUUUT, the big plays (which is what people look at this thread for) unfortunately got WORSE specifically Texas gained a unit.  There were three big plays last week and last week was a poor 0-3 on that score (Channelling the Bear on Gameday that would have been one of those embarrassing weeks had I been sitting with a 3 game board)

    WEEKLY RECORD: 9-8

    OVERALL RECORD: 110-99 (52.63%)

    WEEKLY REVENUE: 27.6 units won on 40.5 wagered 

    OVERALL REVENUE: 651.2 units on 623 wagered (4.53% profit)

    FRIDAY

    New Mexico (2 units) - Over/Under squeeze

    11am/NOON SATURDAY

    Navy (1 unit) - Over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Pitt (3 units) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering

    Army (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Vanderbilt-Florida - No Bet

    Baylor (6 1/2 units) - lopsided wagering, sharp indicator, & SKS (yes I like Vegas generals has been burned over and over by TCU and it comes up AGAIN)

    Nebraska-Wisconsin - NO bet as low ticket favorite balances out with over/under squeeze

    Illinois (2 units) - sharp indicator and over/under squeeze outweighs Style points

    AFTERNOON SATURDAY

    Arizona St-Oregon St - No Bet

    Boston College-Notre Dame - No Bet (low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering balanced out by over/under squeeze)

    Clemson (1 unit) - style points outweighs over/under squeeze

    Kentucky (1 unit) - lopsided wagering & over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Texas (3 units) - lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite

    Iowa-Minnesota - No Bet

    EVENING SATURDAY

    Georgia Tech-North Carolina - No Bet

    California (2 units) - sharp indicators

    Iowa St (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    Tennessee (1 unit) - style points outweighs lopsided wagering

    Arkansas-Ole Miss - No Bet

    Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - low ticket favorites, lopsided wagering sharp indicator, & SKS

    UCLA (1 unit) - sharp indicators outweighs low ticket favorite

    Syracuse-Wake Forest - No Bet

    LATE NIGHT SATURDAY

    Nevada (2 units) - over/under squeeze

    Utah (2 units) - steam (jumped the fence)

    *****************

    INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

    Style Points - 100% (3-0)

    West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

    Over/Under Squeeze: 61.8%

    SKS: 59.55% (line does not align with public ranking)

    Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%

    Reverse Movement: 58.97%; Positive Reverse movement 50%, negative reverse movement 62.07%

    Line Movement (measured but not applied): 53.9%; positive line movement 57.14%, negative line movement 50%

    Steam Movement: 53.85%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 51.30%

    Sharp Indicator: 50.78%; 51.15% straight up before augmentation

    Lopsided Wagering 50.00%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 45.45%

    Blowout Response: 33.33%

     

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 920
    Posted: Nov. 19, 2022 - 2:04 PM ET #146

    @HooAlum

     A few updates on where the tells landed in the morning and upcoming afternoon 

    11am/NOON SATURDAY

    Navy (1 unit) - SAME

    Pitt (1 unit) - low ticket favorite (lopsided wagering went away)

    Army (7 units) - getting nervous given the present score lopsided wagering and reverse movement joined low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Vanderbilt-Florida - No Bet

    Baylor (6 1/2 units) - SAME though lopsided wagering was right on the line

    Nebraska (2 units) - over/under squeeze strengthened (and it is playing itself out with that pathetic example of offensive football in the first half)

    Illinois (2 units) - SAME

    AFTERNOON SATURDAY

    Arizona St-Oregon St - No Bet - SAME

    Boston College (2 units) - over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Clemson (2 unit) - style points adds a sharp indicator to outweigh over/under squeeze

    Kentucky-Georgia (No Bet) - lopsided wagering went away (so style points and over/udner squeeze balance out) 

    Texas (3 units) -SAME

    Minnesota (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite

    Georgia Tech-North Carolina (NoBet) - SAME

    California (2 units) - SAME

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    @HooAlum

     A few updates on where the tells landed in the morning and upcoming afternoon 

    11am/NOON SATURDAY

    Navy (1 unit) - SAME

    Pitt (1 unit) - low ticket favorite (lopsided wagering went away)

    Army (7 units) - getting nervous given the present score lopsided wagering and reverse movement joined low ticket favorite and sharp indicator

    Vanderbilt-Florida - No Bet

    Baylor (6 1/2 units) - SAME though lopsided wagering was right on the line

    Nebraska (2 units) - over/under squeeze strengthened (and it is playing itself out with that pathetic example of offensive football in the first half)

    Illinois (2 units) - SAME

    AFTERNOON SATURDAY

    Arizona St-Oregon St - No Bet - SAME

    Boston College (2 units) - over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Clemson (2 unit) - style points adds a sharp indicator to outweigh over/under squeeze

    Kentucky-Georgia (No Bet) - lopsided wagering went away (so style points and over/udner squeeze balance out) 

    Texas (3 units) -SAME

    Minnesota (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite

    Georgia Tech-North Carolina (NoBet) - SAME

    California (2 units) - SAME

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 920
    Posted: Nov. 19, 2022 - 7:36 PM ET #147

    @HooAlum

    Productive morning and afternoon primaru=il because unlike last week 2 of 3 big plays have come home.  The last is in Bedlam.  GET it at 6. 5 (and barring that 7).  I have a feeling that extra half point will be worth it.  It is b=the biggest play of the weekend and could be very profitable if the unranked Sooners take out the Pokes by a touchdown.

    EVENING SATURDAY

    Iowa St (1 unit) - SAME

    South Carolina-Tennessee (No Bet) - style points balances with lopsided wagering and sharp indicator

    Ole Miss (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite

    Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - SAME (biggest play of the weekend)

    UCLA (1 unit) - SAME (but it is really close on whether low ticket favorite would go away which would make it UCLA 2 units0

    Wake Forest (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    LATE NIGHT SATURDAY

    Nevada (2 units) - SAME

    Utah (2 units) - SAME

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    @HooAlum

    Productive morning and afternoon primaru=il because unlike last week 2 of 3 big plays have come home.  The last is in Bedlam.  GET it at 6. 5 (and barring that 7).  I have a feeling that extra half point will be worth it.  It is b=the biggest play of the weekend and could be very profitable if the unranked Sooners take out the Pokes by a touchdown.

    EVENING SATURDAY

    Iowa St (1 unit) - SAME

    South Carolina-Tennessee (No Bet) - style points balances with lopsided wagering and sharp indicator

    Ole Miss (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite

    Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - SAME (biggest play of the weekend)

    UCLA (1 unit) - SAME (but it is really close on whether low ticket favorite would go away which would make it UCLA 2 units0

    Wake Forest (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    LATE NIGHT SATURDAY

    Nevada (2 units) - SAME

    Utah (2 units) - SAME

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 920
    Posted: Nov. 19, 2022 - 7:36 PM ET #148

    @HooAlum

    Productive morning and afternoon primaru=il because unlike last week 2 of 3 big plays have come home.  The last is in Bedlam.  GET it at 6. 5 (and barring that 7).  I have a feeling that extra half point will be worth it.  It is b=the biggest play of the weekend and could be very profitable if the unranked Sooners take out the Pokes by a touchdown.

    EVENING SATURDAY

    Iowa St (1 unit) - SAME

    South Carolina-Tennessee (No Bet) - style points balances with lopsided wagering and sharp indicator

    Ole Miss (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite

    Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - SAME (biggest play of the weekend)

    UCLA (1 unit) - SAME (but it is really close on whether low ticket favorite would go away which would make it UCLA 2 units0

    Wake Forest (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    LATE NIGHT SATURDAY

    Nevada (2 units) - SAME

    Utah (2 units) - SAME

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    @HooAlum

    Productive morning and afternoon primaru=il because unlike last week 2 of 3 big plays have come home.  The last is in Bedlam.  GET it at 6. 5 (and barring that 7).  I have a feeling that extra half point will be worth it.  It is b=the biggest play of the weekend and could be very profitable if the unranked Sooners take out the Pokes by a touchdown.

    EVENING SATURDAY

    Iowa St (1 unit) - SAME

    South Carolina-Tennessee (No Bet) - style points balances with lopsided wagering and sharp indicator

    Ole Miss (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite

    Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - SAME (biggest play of the weekend)

    UCLA (1 unit) - SAME (but it is really close on whether low ticket favorite would go away which would make it UCLA 2 units0

    Wake Forest (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

    LATE NIGHT SATURDAY

    Nevada (2 units) - SAME

    Utah (2 units) - SAME

     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 920
    Posted: Nov. 24, 2022 - 6:51 PM ET #149

    @HooAlum

    Quick update as tonight's game is a big one.

    Mississippi St (5 units) - SKS and lopsided wagering

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    @HooAlum

    Quick update as tonight's game is a big one.

    Mississippi St (5 units) - SKS and lopsided wagering

     
     
    HooAlum
    HooAlum
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2021
    Posts: 920
    Posted: Nov. 24, 2022 - 11:47 PM ET #150

    @HooAlum

     

    Always good to followup a strong week with a 1-0 start and big wager so hopeful the last full slate will go well this week.

    First a recap of a solid week where it was a polar opposite of the week before despite same overall record.  teh difference was nailing the three big plays of the week.

    WEEKLY RECORD: 10-9

    OVERALL RECORD: 120-108 (52.63%)

    WEEKLY REVENUE: 72.3 units on 50 units wagered

    OVERAL REVENUE: 723.5 units on 673 wagered (7.50% profit)

    FRIDAY NOON 

    Baylor-Texas (No Bet)

    Cincinnati (1 unit): low ticket favroite

    FRIDAY MIDDAY

    Arizona St-Arizona (NO Bet)

    Missouri-Arkansas (No Bet): Low ticket fvroiote and sharp indicator balance out

    NC State (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Nebraska (2 units):over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Cal (2 units): lopsided wagering

    FRIDAY EVENING

    Florida-Florida St (No Bet)

    SATURDAY NOON

    Army (1 unit): sharp indicator

    Georgia Tech (1 unit): over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Michigan-Ohio St (no Bet): low ticket favorite balances with Sharp indicator

    Clemson (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering & sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

    SATURDAY MIDDA

    Alabama (1 unit): lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite outweighs over/under squeeze

    Oregon (1 unit): sharp indicator

    Wisconsin (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Iowa St (3 units): over/under squeeze and low ticket favorite outweighs low ticket favorite

    Michigan St (2 units): over/under squeeze

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Texas A&M (6 units):lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze

    Southern Cal (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Texas Tech-Oklahoma (No Bet): Low ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator

    Kansas (4 units): lopsided wagering, reverse movement

    Washington St-Washington (NO Bet): Low Ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator

    BYU (1 unit): sharp indicator

    *****************

    INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

    Style Points - 100% (3-0)

    West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

    SKS: 61.29% (line does not align with public ranking)

    Reverse Movement: 60.0%; Positive Reverse movement 54.55%, negative reverse movement 62.07%

    Over/Under Squeeze: 59.81%

    Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%

    Line Movement (measured but not applied): 56.21%; positive line movement 58.54%, negative line movement 53.33%

    Lopsided Wagering 57.58%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 53.60%

    Sharp Indicator: 53.37%; 53.90% straight up before augmentation

    Steam Movement: 50.00%

    Blowout Response: 40%

     

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    @HooAlum

     

    Always good to followup a strong week with a 1-0 start and big wager so hopeful the last full slate will go well this week.

    First a recap of a solid week where it was a polar opposite of the week before despite same overall record.  teh difference was nailing the three big plays of the week.

    WEEKLY RECORD: 10-9

    OVERALL RECORD: 120-108 (52.63%)

    WEEKLY REVENUE: 72.3 units on 50 units wagered

    OVERAL REVENUE: 723.5 units on 673 wagered (7.50% profit)

    FRIDAY NOON 

    Baylor-Texas (No Bet)

    Cincinnati (1 unit): low ticket favroite

    FRIDAY MIDDAY

    Arizona St-Arizona (NO Bet)

    Missouri-Arkansas (No Bet): Low ticket fvroiote and sharp indicator balance out

    NC State (2 units): lopsided wagering

    Nebraska (2 units):over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

    Cal (2 units): lopsided wagering

    FRIDAY EVENING

    Florida-Florida St (No Bet)

    SATURDAY NOON

    Army (1 unit): sharp indicator

    Georgia Tech (1 unit): over/under squeeze outweighs style points

    Michigan-Ohio St (no Bet): low ticket favorite balances with Sharp indicator

    Clemson (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering & sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

    SATURDAY MIDDA

    Alabama (1 unit): lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite outweighs over/under squeeze

    Oregon (1 unit): sharp indicator

    Wisconsin (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Iowa St (3 units): over/under squeeze and low ticket favorite outweighs low ticket favorite

    Michigan St (2 units): over/under squeeze

    SATURDAY EVENING

    Texas A&M (6 units):lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze

    Southern Cal (1 unit): low ticket favorite

    Texas Tech-Oklahoma (No Bet): Low ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator

    Kansas (4 units): lopsided wagering, reverse movement

    Washington St-Washington (NO Bet): Low Ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator

    BYU (1 unit): sharp indicator

    *****************

    INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

    Style Points - 100% (3-0)

    West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

    SKS: 61.29% (line does not align with public ranking)

    Reverse Movement: 60.0%; Positive Reverse movement 54.55%, negative reverse movement 62.07%

    Over/Under Squeeze: 59.81%

    Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%

    Line Movement (measured but not applied): 56.21%; positive line movement 58.54%, negative line movement 53.33%

    Lopsided Wagering 57.58%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%

    Low Ticket Favorite: 53.60%

    Sharp Indicator: 53.37%; 53.90% straight up before augmentation

    Steam Movement: 50.00%

    Blowout Response: 40%

     

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