Public Indicators Calculations

@HooAlum

 Some late morning steam movement with the line jumping the fence for Tulane has flipped the favorite and the indicators as a flip flop of low ticket favorite makes it a modest 1 unit play in favor of Tulane.

@HooAlum

 Grab Tulane as a pick'em while you can.  About half the books have it still as a pick'em the other half are at 1 or 1.5

Ur a brilliant read..

@HooAlum

Rest of the day

Arizona-Arizona St (No Bet)

Missouri-Arkansas (No bet)

NC State (3 units) - Lopsided wagering

Nebraska (2 units) - over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

Cal-UCLA (No Bet)

Florida-Florida St (No Bet)

@HooAlum

Here is tomorrow's games on an night before look.

SATURDAY NOON

Army (1 unit): sharp indicator

Georgia Tech-Georgia (No Bet): over/under squeeze balanced by style points and low ticket favorite

Michigan-Ohio St (no Bet)

Clemson (3 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering, & sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

SATURDAY MIDDAY

Alabama (4 units): reverse movement, lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite & sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

Oregon (1 unit): sharp indicator

Wisconsin (1 unit): low ticket favorite

Iowa St (3 units): over/under squeeze and low ticket favorite outweighs low ticket favorite

Michigan St (4 units): lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze

SATURDAY EVENING

Texas A&M (6 units):lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze

Southern Cal (1 unit): low ticket favorite

Texas Tech-Oklahoma (No Bet): Low ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator

Kansas (2 units): lopsided wagering

Washington St-Washington (NO Bet): Low Ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator

Stanford (1 unit): lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicator

@HooAlum

NOON Update

Army (1 unit) - No Change

Georgia Tech-Georgia (No Bet) - low ticket favorite & style points balanced out by over/under squeeze

Ohio St (1 unit) - low ticket favorite reappeared

Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

@HooAlum

SATURDAY MIDDAY

Alabama (3 units): lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite & sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

CHANGE!! Oregon State (2 unit): steam jumping & the fence with a low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicator - as a note get this as a pickem NOW!!!  Books are fast going to 1+ in favor of a Beavers

Wisconsin (1 unit): SAME

Iowa St (3 units): SAME

Michigan St (2 units):over/under squeeze as lopsided wagering has gone away

@HooAlum

SATURDAY EVENING

Texas A&M (7 units):lopsided wagering, away favorite, and over/under squeeze

Notre Dame-Southern Cal (No Bet): low ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator

Texas Tech-Oklahoma (No Bet): SAME

Kansas (2 units): SAME

@HooAlum

Aggies bringing home Gig'em!!!!  Big week thanks to the boys in College Station.

Only 1 play left tonight a modest 1 unit move on BYU with mild sharp action.  Still no play in the Apple Cup as low bet favorite balanced out by sharp indicator. 

The week that Jackie Sherrill built (Mississippi St & Texas A&M) turned out extremely well.  No real big play yet this week though Utah is starting to look interesting.

WEEKLY RECORD: 9-5

SEASON RECORD: 129-113 (53.31%)

WEEKLY REVENUE: 50.5 won from 36 wagered

SEASON REVENUE: 775.9 units won on 710 wagered (9.28% profit)

Championship Week analysis

FRIDAY

North Texas (1 unit): sharp indicator outweighs low ticket favorite

Utah (4 units): reverse movement and sharp indicator

SATURDAY

Kansas State (2 units) sharp indicator

Ohio (1 unit): low ticket favorite

Coastal Carolina-Troy (No Bet)

Georgia (1 unit): sharp indicator and low ticket favorite outweighs over/under squeeze

UCF (1 unit): lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicator

Fresno-Boise (No Bet)

Purdue (2 units): over/under squeeze

Clemson (1 unit) low ticket favorite

*************

INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)

Style Points - 100% (3-0)

West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)

Over/Under Squeeze: 62.60%

SKS: 62.11% (line does not align with public ranking)

Reverse Movement: 60.0%; Positive Reverse movement 54.55%, negative reverse movement 62.07%

Lopsided Wagering 59.46%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 53.85%

Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%

Line Movement (measured but not applied going forward - though likely will be ): 56.55%; positive line movement 57.30%, negative line movement 55.42%

Steam Movement: 56.25%

Sharp Indicator: 52.97%; 53.64% straight up before augmentation

Low Ticket Favorite: 50.71%

Blowout Response: 38.46% (measured but not used)

Here is an update for tonight.  Utah has popped as not only a big play tonight but possibly the big play of the weekend. About half the books have them at +3 and the others at +2.5 so shop if you can.

North Texas-UTSA (No Bet): Low ticket favorite and sharp indicators balance out

Utah (7 units): lopsided wagering, reverse movement, sharp indicator

@HooAlum

Saturday Update

Kansas State (3 units) sharp indicator

CHANGE!!! Toledo (5 units): steam, low ticket favorite, reverse movement

Troy (1 unit): low ticket favorite

Georgia (2 unit): sharp indicator and low ticket favorite outweighs over/under squeeze

UCF-Tulane (No Bet)

CHANGE!! Fresno (1 unit): sharp indicator outweighs low ticket favorite

Purdue (4 units): over/under squeeze and sharp indicator

Clemson (1 unit): low ticket favorite

Are these ML bets or spread? 

@Spyder_Man

 Spread

@HooAlum

 I tailed every play today. THANK YOU for your plays and analysis. 

@HooAlum

 Damn bro! 5-0 and two last plays looking good. That’s a killer 7 team parlay! 

@HooAlum

 All week is has looked like Navy for 1 or 2 units as a mix of sharp indicators and low ticket favorite were in play with the move to 3.  However, the new spread has evened out the sharps and low ticket is now gone.  I personally still like Navy given the b=ncie early look but the official call on the numbers is No Bet.

See you in Bowl season next week.

@HooAlum

 Bowl Season underway today.  A couple of games and one is a pretty strong play

Miami (OH) (6 units) -sharp ticket, early start for traveling time zone, Over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite

UTSA (1 unit) - low ticket favorite and steam outweighs sharp indicator

@HooAlum

UTSA has started to surge as we get closer to kickoff and now up to 3 units due to jumping the fence with strong movement as they take the favorite seat.  Unfortunately was late as the line everywhere is (-3) up from (-2.5) that you could have caught an hour ago. 

@HooAlum

 Thanks for posting Sir.

@HooAlum

Saturday's games

Louisville (5 units): low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement, sharp indicators

NC Central (4 units): sharp indicators and heavy bowl underdog

Oregon St (1 unit): Sharp indicators outweigh negative line movement

Fresno St (3 units): line movement and sharp indicators

Rice (2 units): lopsided wagering

SMU (3 units): steam, line movement outweighs sharp indicator

Boise St (1 unit): line movement and sharp movement outweighs double digit bowl underdog

@HooAlum

 sharp indicators have pulled back on NC Central.  They are still the choice but at 2 units, not 4.

@HooAlum

 Afternoon Games

CHANGE! Florida (1 unit): Line movement, sharp indicators

Fresno St (3 units): SAME

Rice (2 units): SAME

@HooAlum

 Evening change.  

Sharp indicator pulled back so UNT-Boise moved to "no Bet"