so far this week in college bet MTSU, posted lean to jax st.....tuesday bet missouri st, posted lean or play WKY, lose over wky....wed posted ga southern, posted UAB, posted col st ...and i still think they should have looked into the Texas st/SDSU game that just seemed like a fix line goes up 7-8 pts but it wasnt that, it was the turnovers that were ran back for tds and the 3 turnovers in a row after a 17-3 lead, and then add how texas st always bounced back after giving up those turnover td's almost like they could score at will on SDSU and they did once they got behind its the perfect look to make it seem legit they kept trying to score and win but for some reason they just fell 2 pts short, if you do not think it happens? maybe not on big schools this is the perfect type of teams to have one, ?1 the big line move, ?2 the 3 turnovers in a row to get behind in 3rd qtr..?3 to keep fighting back to look legit just remember this game a year or 2 down the road
ytd 59-33 there will start being more plays, if i like it its a play and will be posted as such having too many leans win
saturday
this saturday plays that are in
Ohio st -2.5 -135
Miami fl -20.5
Over 35.5 TT oregon st
BYU +11.5
FAU +3.5
teaser 7 pt kansas +11.5/georgia -13.5/Oregon st -10.5 +115 1.5 units
and a parlay where i moved the lines
Kansas +6.5/N Car +6.5/Kentucky +8.5/Missouri +7.5/Purdue ml +1028 half unit
FRIDAY
memphis at Tulane Memphis -6.5 54.5
tulane is coming off a loss at army but they did cover the 5.5 spread losing 20-17 and last year Tulane did beat Memphis @ Memphis 38-32 as a 3 pt dog, so we do have some revenge for Memphis here and a little trend i found for this is that Tulane is 2-10 ats on weekdays vs an OPP with revenge ..but Tulane also lost alot this year from last years team
and Memphis is 6-1 ats on weekdays as a road fav, and Memphis the last 3 games has been scoring a lot of points, be hard to take tulane here, their offense is not been producing they are avg 18 pts a game and i think Memphis offense is starting to score points , i think Memphis would have to somehow lose this game with turnovers to not cover here , but that this line is under 7 makes me think , this line opened at 7 and moved down a half pt but i am sure its 7 at some places so maybe even action coming in
no play yet
Adding for tomorrow
Kansas +5.5 -120 yea this was a game i loved at +7.5 when it opened and said so but it dropped fast, but after watching Kansas last week at Utah, and the way they were able to move the ball impressed me a lot, even though this qb is a rookie he looked good in the pocket last week, now he was only 19/37 for 333 2 td's and 1 INT but that was against a good defense, they had 4 passes over 30 yds, they put up 55 the game before, now if ya follow ya know i was on Utah in that game and we did get a cover, but they kept fighting so i expect the same this weekend.......my 1st thought was kansas and sticking with it, possible upset here too
Kansas +5.5 anytime i can buy and stay at -120 im doing it
GL
@JP13
yes i have Purdue ML in a 5 team parlay where i moved the lines, what i am looking at is this total up at 49.5 looks high, but i hate UNDERS i think its high for a reason, washington is the worst running game in the big 10, they may have to start throwing it, i like Purdue tonight but might buy down if not that exspensive, Purdue can start 3-1 in Big 10 with a win but will be looking at team totals also, i think Purdue may score some points tonight ill post what i play sitting now going through other games for this weekend also..... i know most only play 2-3 games and hey they say its smart to do that, but you cannot tell me that those types do not like 10 games, so why play just 3?? its not because they do not want to win more money, its because the fear of going 2-8 3-7 , when others look at it as going 8-2 everyone has their own way, and you have to respect that, bottom line is how you do all year,
gl
some other trends on washington at Purdue
Coach Odom is 29-6 outright vs <.500 OPP including 18-1 and 9-3 ats at home.....Purdue only lost by 2 vs wake forest 36-38 and covered as a 2.5 pt dog, they went to UCLA and lost 38-52 so these guys can score points, they put up 41 last week vs Minnesota , i do think if washington can score this could go OVER the total tonight
Purdue is 8-0 ats w/revenge off a DD ats win vs a <.500 OPP but there are some bad ones like 1-9 ats after scoring over 35 pts, 1-5 off DD str up home win, 0-10 ats as conf home fav's under 18 pts vs OPP off a str up loss now the one thing i will say is those were all mostly before the coaching change bringing in Odom, this is his 2nd year and i think he has this program going in the right direction where as Washington is not ....tonight 53 degrees little breeza slight chance of light rain
Purdue ran for 305 yds vs Minnesota and threw for 159, they held Minnesota to 27 yds rushing and gave up 248 passing so maybe washington knows they will have to throw tonight, ...but the week before vs Illinois Purdue passed for 255 and ran for just 90 yds in their 24-17 win and they held Illinois to 120 yds rushing , so they are very good against the run and Washington last week vs Iowa ran for -3 yds yes -3 yds rushing but they threw for 320 in their 41-24 loss to Iowa and the game was not that close to be honest
i think this game has a good shot at going over the total
tonight OVER 26.5 TT Purdue
App st at CC this is a tuff one CC has won last 4 vs App st Appst better defense, and their redzone offense is much better, coastal has that fast uptempo offense that can have big plays but they just are not consistant, App st off the home loss in a rainy game where they scored just 3 points losing to ODU so i am sure they want to get the win also,
CC is 1-7 vs an OPP off a str up fav loss .....last year CC won at App st outright as a 10.5 pt dog 45-37....but CC is 6-0 on weekdays vs an <.800 opp CC coming off a win at Marshall 27-21 as a 4.5 pt dog but Marshall in that game had 5 turnovers their 1st 4 drives of marshalls were turnovers they got behind bigtime 27-0 and lost 27-21 so to be honest without 5 to's they maybe could have won the game ..coastal had 300 yds total offense 71 rushing while Marshall had 500 yds of offense 284 passing and 220 rushing crazy but they happen not sure how much credit i give CC for that win
@Mskeets
well i looked into this game every way possible and that was the 1st thing i liked was the team total, i liked that they scored 36 vs wake 38 vs UCLA 41 vs Minnesota i think there could be good props tonight, they held minnesota to 27 yds rushing, while running for 300 Purdue seems balanced as the week before they threw for 255 ran for 120 their defense has been playing ok, but washington i think tonight could have their backup in who did throw well vs Iowa, thats what drew me to the over.... just goes to show many are going with the over TT even the total has moved now does not mean they are winners...lol glad i am seeing a lot of washington action , hate seeing things all one way.....should be a good game hopefully
i do like Memphis tonight also like i wrote tulanes offense is avg 18 a game but they have won 9 in a row at home, just betting what i like i try to explain why, not going to say that MY NUMBERS come out to this or that....would love to have someone explain how they get numbers on things just float an example out there....lol
adding a teaser
Memphis -.5/N.western -.5 1 unit
the other game man i was liking APP st i think ML scary game cant really trust either team
Established in 1995,
Hot Forum Topics
