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L2T Week 7

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Posted: #26

@Last2thirst

 Yes I see it climbing.  I got it at 69 1/2 and feel pretty good with that as both these teams defenses are terrible. I'm looking for something mid to upper 30s to mid 40s or more. Like you say,just have to avoid a bad quarter. Turnovers can kill an over . Good luck.

 
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Posted: #27

Interesting tidbit with a soccer play ....actually two, at strong value if you want to parlay with something.

 

Champions League games going on today/tomorrow: - parlay action with football!!

- I took Sporting win and Tie on the 12:45 game based on the fact they haven't lost in regulation yet this year and most of preseason ( they are up 1-0 in first half)

-combo with Athletico Madrid at 3pm and this fact got me so I did win/tie with them >>> lots of players out for MANU

***No, Athletic M.  has never lost a competitive match against F.C Manchester United (2 wins, 2 ties)

- 3pm tomorrow > Man City is 4 - 2 - 1 vs PSG who look funky this year though playing better now ....after when Champions League for 2 yrs in a row, they are probably BORED

-fact: No, Man City has never lost to PSG at home

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Combos with NCAAF and mixed those together - combo all 2 together until all combos satisfied >> I got my Palmeiras win on Sunday and kept my weekly streak of making money in soccer-NCAAF parlay 3-4 way combos to 6 weeks now and up to $+1750  ($5 plays for 4 way parlays both win/tie)

FIU Under 43.5 @1.89

Kennesaw ML 1.65

Texas St Under 72.5 @1.86

Memphis 1.37

Wash St +3.5 @1.87  << this line is officially stupid ...GL Purdue beating them by more than that as their defense will crack finally with a rejigged offensive approach from Huskies in my opinion >> use their QB's fricken legs!!! Good athlete!

---------- ML shots > just play once with one combo

FAU ML 2.2 < jumping on this train others are going on 

FIU ML 2.25 < they have one of the best defenses in the P6 and JVST is hurting at receiver position and FIU sacks a lot too

CINCY ML 2.05 < they refreshed from west coast trip and WVU cannot stop anything but Cincy can and with decent offense 

 

 

 

 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by Arnfjvjivjs:

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays — Over/Under 6.5 Runs Recommended bet: Over 6.5 runs (-115) The strongest argument for the Over is that this total does not require a high-scoring slugfest. With a line of 6.5, the wager wins if the teams combine for at least seven runs. A score such as 4–3, 5–2 or 6–1 is enough, and the analysis should focus on whether both offenses—or one offense in a productive inning—can generate that threshold. The matchup features Cleveland left-hander Parker Messick against Tampa Bay right-hander Freddy Peralta at Tropicana Field. The latest available matchup listings identify this as ALCS Game 2 on Tuesday, October 13, with first pitch scheduled for 8:00 p.m. There is a real counterargument: Messick's regular-season numbers are strong, and Peralta's recent postseason form has been encouraging. But an Over wager does not require either starter to collapse. It requires the combined pitching, defense and bullpen performance to allow seven runs, and there are several routes to that outcome. The case for Over 6.5 therefore rests on the interaction between the starters' different statistical profiles, the teams' ability to score, and the possibility that the game changes once the starting pitchers leave. 1. Game Context and Why the 6.5 Total Is Reachable The first game of this series provides immediate context for the total. Cleveland defeated Tampa Bay 7–3 on October 12, producing ten combined runs and clearing the 6.5 line by 3.5 runs. The Guardians collected 14 hits and scored seven runs across the final four innings after Tampa Bay had taken an early 2–0 lead. One game does not guarantee another Over, and the first game's result should not be treated as proof that both offenses will repeat their performance. Nevertheless, it demonstrates that these lineups can generate runs against ...  You can find the full analysis on our website: victorypicks.eu/premium Temp. password: Augsburg1555

 

 

 please MODS ....I like baseball but this is too much going in a NCAAF thread

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #29

@Last2thirst

Good looking card!!!

BOL this week my friend!!

peace_5  clover

 
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Posted: #30

HAHA win

1 - 0 Athletic Madrid in first minute...lots of game left but its these kinds of data finds that I hunt for with parlay angles .....lets see what happens 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #31

Quote Originally Posted by FelixFermin21:

@Last2thirst Good looking card!!! BOL this week my friend!!

 

Thanks buddy an_cheers

 

Just a note on my parlays >> SEE AN ERROR > should say WASHINGTON +3.5 instead of Wash St

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #32

love the thoughts brother   keep up the good work  

gl

151
 
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Posted: #33

Quote Originally Posted by RUM151:

love the thoughts brother   keep up the good work   gl

 

 Thanks Rum! an_cheers

Ha, I looked in your thread today and thought....we kind of have the same style an_slap haha ..... I am going to respond in there on one play I think but have had a busy afternoon working on my soccer stuff and looking for marriages with NCAAF plays ML in parlays

 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #34

Bol this week L2Tclover

 
Prospect
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Posted: #35

love reading your insight

thanx for sharing

 
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Posted: #36

Thanks VK an_cheers

HROAD ...welcome an_cheers and thanks

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #37

Without considering the injury list, who has the best SP+ Variance advantage?

For Favorites: pts gain on current vs what spread should be 

Miami Ohio +9

New Mexico +7.5

Utah +6.5 

NW   +6

Texas +6 

Pitt    +5.5 

Memphis +5

UCLA    +5

JMAD    +5

USF      +5

Wyoming  +4.5

 

For Dogs:

UMASS +8

BYU +7

Washington +6.5

Air Force   +6.5

Arizona St   +6

Missouri    +5.5

Tennessee   +5

 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #38

Good luck L2T.  an_cheers

 
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Posted: #39

an_cheers

"When you love what you do, you'll never work a day in your life"
 
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Posted: #40

Thanks guys...

D-Town an_cheers

Cappro an_cheers 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #41

Seeing virtually no line movement overnight and it feels like favorite lines are tapped to rise much more....we should see the retail public who does not do much comparing at times or checking rankings for offensive/defensive units, start to chip away at these numbers and so I am standing pat until Friday night late or Saturday morning....watching injury reports too

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #42

@Last2thirst

 Bol this week nice workpeace_5 

 
 
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Posted: #43

@Last2thirst

 Great thread good luck sir peace_5

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