That said, my in depth prep is not done. I am already picking up some patterns from last couple of years in Week0/1 .
Frankly, I won't look at any lines for a while since there are 3 weeks to go. Fun to do, but I don't want to fall in love with teams and overthink things until I am done completely and its a bit of a mine field betting many plays in the first 2-3 weeks in my opinion.
I am mulling an idea 'flood the zone' of a pattern of type of game matchups that I am already picking up by 'spreadsheet-ing' every game for the past 2 years for each week (I am only doing each week of 2024 and 2025).
I won't go back to 2023 or further .....we are living in a new world of TRANSFER + RECRUTING dynamics for coaches to set up/mix well their teams and only the last 2 yrs are we seeing any kind of variance that could start to show up in the numbers as patterns.
Time will tell. If pattern betting fails in the first 2-3 weeks, I will kick to the curb for sure and not even bother next season. While I have done an extensive dive into who added what as far as quality goes, onto their teams, I just feel that sometimes you have to be flexible and not stubborn each week on what you are looking for .....let the number or situation dictate your decision instead.
This season:
1U = $100 / standard returnin BET365 = $190 on a win bet of $100
(unless I state the odds higher or more juice applied)
Half = $50 / standard return = $95
Looking forward to seeing who everyone likes and kudos to the ones that are first out the gate....
I will drop some observations of things I am seeing in my spreadsheet looking back at week0/1 the past two seasons.
I tend to suck in the first couple of weeks each year so I wouldn't recommend following what I do but rather, you might hopefully see something in each thread that makes sense for you to use.
NCAAF season soon...
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
2
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
i'm rarin' to go!!
That said, my in depth prep is not done. I am already picking up some patterns from last couple of years in Week0/1 .
Frankly, I won't look at any lines for a while since there are 3 weeks to go. Fun to do, but I don't want to fall in love with teams and overthink things until I am done completely and its a bit of a mine field betting many plays in the first 2-3 weeks in my opinion.
I am mulling an idea 'flood the zone' of a pattern of type of game matchups that I am already picking up by 'spreadsheet-ing' every game for the past 2 years for each week (I am only doing each week of 2024 and 2025).
I won't go back to 2023 or further .....we are living in a new world of TRANSFER + RECRUTING dynamics for coaches to set up/mix well their teams and only the last 2 yrs are we seeing any kind of variance that could start to show up in the numbers as patterns.
Time will tell. If pattern betting fails in the first 2-3 weeks, I will kick to the curb for sure and not even bother next season. While I have done an extensive dive into who added what as far as quality goes, onto their teams, I just feel that sometimes you have to be flexible and not stubborn each week on what you are looking for .....let the number or situation dictate your decision instead.
This season:
1U = $100 / standard returnin BET365 = $190 on a win bet of $100
(unless I state the odds higher or more juice applied)
Half = $50 / standard return = $95
Looking forward to seeing who everyone likes and kudos to the ones that are first out the gate....
I will drop some observations of things I am seeing in my spreadsheet looking back at week0/1 the past two seasons.
I tend to suck in the first couple of weeks each year so I wouldn't recommend following what I do but rather, you might hopefully see something in each thread that makes sense for you to use.
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