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how about THIS system??

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Captain
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Posted: #26
I actually like a lot of these.  think it's a winning card.
 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by nbafan88:

covers consensus is bogus.. people arent actually placing those wagers

 

Oh so very true.

 
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Posted: #28

appreciate your insight nbafan, they arent wagers to begin with but rather consensus picks on their contests they run.....STILL shows what the public THINKS no matter HOW MUCH money is placed...besides, if i am the one just throwing something out there to try, you might wanna come in to bash my play today and HELP someone or offer a better solution instead an off-the-cuff remark that doesnt really do anything

always read ur posts, appreciate ur info, GL this weekend

 
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Posted: #29

skipster

charlie enlighten me as to what EXACTLY the consensus numbers mean, I will forever be greatful and send you a free pack of bonkers

 
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Posted: #30
My system has a 95% success rate weasie.   I get paintguys picks and go the other way.  Simple yet extremely effective.  lol 
 
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Posted: #31

DENT i am allllllll over that system dent, love the new picture buddy, dont let those outside treads slip from underneath ya

i am blessed that your first post was in my thread, this is btw my first thread that has gone past 1 page

Pittsburgh is the play on sunday, gl this weekend fading paintguys plays

 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by Pfotie:

Question to anyone.  I went to scores and odds and look at the sides. Mich st. is getting 12% and Iowa is getting 88%. The line went from +2 Mich. St. to a pick em. Is the 88% the total dollar amount on a side or is is it per transaction on each side. The only way I see the line going down with 88% on the opposite team is a bunch of guys putting small bets on Iowa while the heavy bets are going on Mich. State. Anyone have input? 
\

Bingo!
 
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Posted: #33
bingo it is only problem is trying to back a shit mich st team here
 
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Posted: #34
 
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Posted: #35

LBC - no problem man , glad I could help and GL w/your picks. In response to nbafan88 - I agree in theory but it gives a public perception of the line and play, also many people who enter their "fake" bets on wagerline are usually placing some of the bets for real somewhere.  I limit my real money bets to between 5 and 10 games a week on college football but I will play almost all of my leans on wagerline just to monitor different trends and situations for possible future profit.  No one said to bet with wagerline consensus only in mind.... but if you use it along with line movements, trends, etc to make the most educated play you can be successful.

 

 

 
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Posted: #36
whip seem like you got a good head on your shoulders and with a Matt Ryan avatar you OBV are an intelligent man....would love to live in turks and caicos, how the F does someone get an opportunity like that? do you like my deion pic?
 
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Posted: #37

ARMY +11 (1 Unit)

well, not the BEST start you could have to a new system but we will keep on pluggin away here boys, here is what the early card ended up being:

Indiana (+5, 33%) 1 unit

Virginia (+5.5, 28%....although it is out of the 25% or under category i AM still putting 2 units on this)

UAB (+7, 33%) 1 unit

Baylor (+9.5, 26%) 1 unit

MiamiOH (+11, 33%) 1 unit

locked in for the early games, now some of these may shift before kickoff but I will not be around to check if they do so I am locking them in now, all plays 3:30 and later will fall into the system, wish you all the best of luck and think im gonna soil myself with these plays

That does it for the early games ladies and germs, unless these %'s change before gametime, these will be the plays (hope BG moves into the 33% or lower range cuz i like them anyways)

 
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Posted: #38

the mid-afternoon plays are as follows:

Akron (+11, 28%)

Clemson (+4, 28%)

Rice (+10, 29%)

That appears to be it, funny how I try this system and it appears I will be losing my shirt today since not one fuckin dog besides POSS indiana even attempted to show up to play I'm such a cooler it makes me sick, hope the rest of you are killing it today

 

 

 
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Posted: #39
forgot to mention, all are for 2 units, the CHASE is on!!!!
 
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Posted: #40

ARMY +11 (1 Unit)


Indiana (+5, 33%) 1 unit

Virginia (+5.5, 28%) 2 units

UAB (+7, 33%) 1 unit

Baylor (+9.5, 26%) 1 unit

MiamiOH (+11, 33%) 1 unit (my sportsbook said they covered by 4, covers has incorrect score)

Akron (+11, 28%)

Clemson (+4, 28%)

Rice (+10, 29%)

this is getting ugly, someone give the kid a BIG bailout play for late night to chase and recoup these losses

 
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Posted: #41

ARMY +11 (1 Unit)


Indiana (+5, 33%) 1 unit

Virginia (+5.5, 28%) 2 units

UAB (+7, 33%) 1 unit

Baylor (+9.5, 26%) 1 unit

MiamiOH (+11, 33%) 1 unit (my sportsbook said they covered by 4, covers has incorrect score)

Akron (+11, 28%)

Clemson (+4, 28%)

Rice (+10, 29%)

Here are the remainders for the evening, no 2 unit plays qualify but IM SURE i will put 10 units on a bailout so my bookie can go on a nice vacation very very soon

ULMonroe (+14, 26%)

Vandy (+13.5, 26%)

SMU (+16, 32%)

ASU (+7, 30%)

tell me what y'all think of the last 4 plays, if one jumps out please let me know with some backup cuz i really need a tasty bailout....if not, just laugh at my, i wish you all the best of luck and tomorrow as well in the NFL

 
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Posted: #42
annnnnnnnnnnnnnnnd, i will keep talking to myself
 
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Posted: #43

ARMY +11 (1 Unit)


Indiana (+5, 33%) 1 unit

Virginia (+5.5, 28%) 2 units

UAB (+7, 33%) 1 unit

Baylor (+9.5, 26%) 1 unit

MiamiOH (+11, 33%) 1 unit (my sportsbook said they covered by 4, covers has incorrect score)

Akron (+11, 28%)

Clemson (+4, 28%)

Rice (+10, 29%)

ULMonroe (+14, 26%)

Vandy (+13.5, 26%)

SMU (+16, 32%)

ASU (+7, 30%)

 

i LOVE this game, any other week i take dogs they MIGHT bark, oh well.....other plays i love toledo and Lafeyette are gettin burried too, godbless

 
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Posted: #44

ARMY +11 (1 Unit)


Indiana (+5, 33%) 1 unit

Virginia (+5.5, 28%) 2 units

UAB (+7, 33%) 1 unit

Baylor (+9.5, 26%) 1 unit

MiamiOH (+11, 33%) 1 unit (my sportsbook said they covered by 4, covers has incorrect score)

Akron (+11, 28%)

Clemson (+4, 28%)

Rice (+10, 29%)

ULMonroe (+14, 26%)

Vandy (+13.5, 26%)

SMU (+16, 32%)

ASU (+7, 30%)

 

OK, so not the BEST system ive ever seen, got my shirt handed to me but i guess everything is a leraning experience will be trying something similar next week but will be following all trends throughout week with line movements and consensus moves, thanks for all that followed or cared to bore themselves with a dismal system, BOL in NFL today peeps

 
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Posted: #45
by following the covers consensus page you'd be:

114-120 on the year

70% + plays are 31-24 ytd



 
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Posted: #46
Looks like 4-11 including 1 -3 on bigger picks. Forget ever looking at consensus stuff or percentages. It has nothing to do with matchups or what happens in the game.
 
 
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Posted: #47

mark

vinny u are a breath of fresh air my friend

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